Crystal Goodison & Alexis Thomas University of Florida GeoPlan Center
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1 Crystal Goodison & Alexis Thomas University of Florida GeoPlan Center
2 A1A Fort Lauderdale, Hurricane Sandy, October 2012 Photo Credits: Susan Stocker, Sun Sentinel
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4 FAU s Research Report (completed Jan 2012) Comprehensive analysis of SLR projections, studies, models and methodologies used in Florida. Resulting recommendations: (1) Apply U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) methodology to develop statewide and regional projections of SLR (2) Develop a sketch planning tool to identify potentially vulnerable infrastructure UF GeoPlan Center Research * Implement FAU recommendations * Phase 1: Feb Oct 2013, Phase 2: Dec 2013 August 2015
5 Map Inundation: Map where & when inundation is projected to occur in Florida. Use USACE methods to develop statewide and regional sea level change projections by decade Develop GIS planning tool to facilitate identification of transportation infrastructure potentially at risk to projected sea level changes.
6 Florida Department of Transportation, Office of Policy Planning Maria Cahill, Project Manager University of Florida GeoPlan Center Crystal Goodison, Principle Investigator Phase 2 Alexis Thomas, Principle Investigator Phase 1 Russell Watkins, Ph.D, Co-PI Phase 1 Reginald Pierre-Jean, Software Developer Katherine Norris, GIS Analyst Sam Palmer, GIS Analyst Daniel Downing, Web GIS Specialist Lance Barbour, Systems Administrator
7 Relative Sea Level Change (Meters) Key West, FL: 2.2 (mm/yr) USACE High Rate USACE Intermediate Rate USACE Low Rate (Current Rate) Year USACE Sea Level Change Projections & Methods NOAA Tide Gauge Data & Sea Level Trends Digital Elevation Model
8 Relative Sea Level Change (Meters) USACE Sea Level Change Projections Key West, FL: 2.2 (mm/yr) USACE High Rate USACE Intermediate Rate USACE Low Rate (Current Rate) in in ft 22 in 9 in 0.0 Year
9 Mapping SLR Inundation: Output Data Layers Hundreds of GIS layers, each representing a SLR Scenario: Where Scenario = Region, Year, Projection, Tidal Datum Region: statewide or for FDOT District Year: decadal intervals, USACE Projection: (1) low/ historic, (2) intermediate (3) high Tidal Datums: MHHW, MHW, MSL, MLW, MLLW Model output: Bathtub and hydro-connected inundation
10 SLR Inundation Data Layers Inundation with Hydroconnectivity filter Bathtub Inundation
11 Intersected inundation layers with transportation layers: roadways, rails, rail freight connectors, SIS airports, SIS sea ports Focus on State owned facilities Planning horizons: 2040, 2060, 2080, 2100 Outputs: GIS layers identifying potentially at-risk transportation facilities w/ approximate miles or area affected/ inundated
12 Map Inundation: Map where & when inundation is projected to occur in Florida. Use USACE methods to develop statewide and regional sea level change projections by decade Develop GIS planning tool to facilitate identification of transportation infrastructure potentially at risk to projected sea level changes.
13 Map Viewer Visualize areas of inundation and affected infrastructure Low technical expertise needed, no GIS software needed GIS Data Layers SLR Inundation Surfaces & Affected Infrastructure layers GIS Software and intermediate GIS expertise needed SLR Inundation Surface Calculator Create custom inundation layers Intermediate/ Advanced technical/ GIS expertise needed
14 Map Viewer - Sea Level Scenario Sketch Planning Tool Map Viewers available by FDOT District (7 districts in FL) View animation of projected inundation over time periods ( )
15 Map Viewer - Sea Level Scenario Sketch Planning Tool View transportation facilities potentially exposed to inundation various SLR scenarios. Available transportation layers by scenario
16 Map Viewer - Sea Level Scenario Sketch Planning Tool View details about affected facilities/ infrastructure under various SLR scenarios
17 Inputs: NOAA tide gauge data USACE curve Year (decade ) Tidal Datum DEM Outputs Bathtub model Hydro-connectivity filter Vector & Raster formats Currently supported on ArcMap 10.1 and , requires Spatial Analyst
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19 Data Enhancements: Update transportation layers Add critical facilities Create bridge deck elevation layer Add NOAA SLR curves? Tool Enhancements: Map Viewer update Improvements to SLR Calculator Add other inundation risks Storm surge & inland flooding
20 *Map Viewers *GIS Data * ArcMap SLR Calculator * Reports and supporting documentation Related Session: Crystal Goodison goody@geoplan.ufl.edu Friday, Sept. 18, 10:30am 11:45am Breakout 27: Integrating Resilience into Existing Management Tools, NAS 120 Applying the Sea-Level Scenario Sketch Planning Tool to Enhance the Resilience of Long-Range Transportation Plans: Lessons Learned from Two Florida MPOs
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