Integrating Climate Adaptation in Hawaii Disaster Risk Management
|
|
- Ira Floyd
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Integrating Climate Adaptation in Hawaii Disaster Risk Management Building Resilient Communities HCPO/HIGICC 2009 Conference September Sheraton Waikiki
2 Introduction What are weather/climate-related events that an emergency manager in the Hawaiian Islands currently responds to? What are the event drivers?; and How might this change in a changing climate and what would be the impact?
3 Events Hurricanes; Flash-flooding; Strong Winds; Ocean Flooding and Erosion; Drought-related Fires
4 Drivers Water Level Global and Local Sea Level ENSO Anticyclonic Eddies Tides Storm Surge decreasing space and time scales Extreme Waves and Runup
5 Historical Patterns and Trends NOAA COOPS Sea Levels Online Hilo ~0.1 cm/yr Kapoho ~ 0.8 to 1.7 cm/yr From 2003 to Source Brooks et.al, 2006
6 Historical Patterns and Trends NOAA COOPS Sea Levels Online Multivariate ENSO Index
7 Historical Patterns and Trends University of Hawaii Sea Level Center for NOAA IDEA Center
8 Historical Patterns and Trends Oregon State University for NOAA IDEA Center
9 Projected Patterns and Trends Oregon State University for NOAA IDEA Center
10 Projected Patterns and Trends Global Sea Level Rise IPCC 2007 By the end of the 21st century estimates range from an increase of 0.2 to 0.6 meters. With linear increases due to increased ice flow from Greenland and Antarctica at the rates observed for the estimates would increase to 0.3 to 0.8 meters. Range of (stable) sea level during development of modern society Ice sheet uncertainty Principally ocean warming and melting glaciers Sea level is currently tracking near the upper 20 th C rise an order of limit of these projections magnitude larger than previous thousand years Independent Analyses An increase on the order of 0.3 to 0.6 meters by 2050 is probably a reasonable estimate. An increase on the order of 1 to 2 meters, and as much as 5m by the end of the 21st century is not inconceivable! (e.g., Rhamstorf, 2007 and the US Climate Change Science Program, 2008) In situ data Satellite data Adapted from WCRP-IOC Sea Level Group
11 Projected Patterns and Trends Local Sea Level Rise 1 to 2 feet of sea lever rise over the next 30 to 40 years may not appear to be too big a deal. What it means is that water level currently observed only at high tide will be what occurs at midtide, and extreme water levels now observed only once every twenty years or so will then occur about twenty-plus times a year in conjunction with spring and neap tides. Accompanying impacts, while not catastrophic, will be chronic. ELEVATIONS ON STATION DATUM National Ocean Service (NOAA) Station: T.M.: 0 W Name: HONOLULU, HONOLULU HARBOR, OAHU ISLAND, HI Units: Feet Datum Value Description Maximum 2.66 Highest Water Level on Station Datum MHHW 1.10 Mean Higher-High Water MHW 0.50 Mean High Water MSL 0.00 Mean Sea Level MLW Mean Low Water MLLW Mean Lower-Low Water Number of Extreme Sea Level Days each Year at Honolulu (Firing and Merrifield, 2004).
12 Conclusions Many of the events that emergency managers in the Hawaiian Islands currently respond to are weather/climate-related. Such events are commonly associated with well understood patterns and trends. Understanding these patterns and trends, and how they may be expected change in a changing climate will serve as a guide for how to include considerations into disaster risk management. If we wait until we can be certain about what to expect we may find ourselves like the frog in the pot
13 Mahalo! East-West Center John A. Burns Hall (JAB4092) 1601 East-West Road Honolulu, HI global science solutions NESDIS/NCDC IDEA Center
14 Targeted Information Products Historical Storm Event Anatomies Hurricane Iniki central North Pacific Typhoon Chata`an western North Pacific Super Typhoon Pongsona western North Pacific Cyclone Heta central South Pacific Cyclones Meena, Nancy, Olaf, and Percy central South Pacific Extra-Tropical Cyclones? northern North Pacific Extreme Tides, High Summer Surf, Winter Waves central North Pacific These event anatomies include a summary of sector-specific socioeconomic impacts associated with a particular extreme event as well as its historic context climatologically. The intent is to convey the impacts associated with extreme events and the causes of them in way that enable users to easily understand them. The event anatomies are also intended to familiarize users with in-situ and remotely sensed products typically employed to track and forecast weather and climate. The event anatomies employ an advanced portlet-based IT architecture as a means to deliver text and graphics, as well as annotated or animated visualizations.
Earth Science and Climate Change
Earth Science and Climate Change Dr. Mary L. Cleave February 7, 2007 YOU ARE HERE 3 Land Use Changes Over Time Lingering Doubts on Temperature Trends Have Been Resolved 1st CCSP Synthesis & Assessment
More informationCLIMATE READY BOSTON. Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016
CLIMATE READY BOSTON Sasaki Steering Committee Meeting, March 28 nd, 2016 Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016 WHAT S IN STORE FOR BOSTON S CLIMATE?
More informationUNDERSTANDING STORM TIDES
UNDERSTANDING STORM TIDES Run from the water, hide from the wind.. CATEGORY CATEGORY CATEGORY CATEGORY CATEGORY 1 2 3 4 5 WIND 74-95 mph 64-82 knots 96-110 mph 83-95 knots 111-130 mph 96-113 knots 131-155
More informationPlanning for Annapolis Sea Level Rise and Future Extreme Water Levels
Planning for Annapolis Sea Level Rise and Future Extreme Water Levels U.S. Naval Academy Sea Level Rise Advisory Council 31 October 2017 CAPT Emil Petruncio, USN (Ret.), PhD Associate Professor Gina Henderson
More informationCASE STUDY: A combination of processes creates extreme water levels and contributes to flooding and erosion
CASE STUDY: A combination of processes creates extreme water levels and contributes to flooding and erosion Episodic extreme water level events pose a serious risk to Pacific Island regions. Higher than
More informationClimate Change Impacts in Alaska: the Weather Perspective
Climate Change Impacts in Alaska: the Weather Perspective September 18, 2007 NOAA s National Weather Service, Alaska Region James Partain, Chief Environmental and Scientific Services Division NOAA NWS
More informationClimate Change in Newfoundland & Labrador
Climate Change in Newfoundland & Labrador Impacts and Adaptation Newleef Conference 08 October 2015 Met-Ocean Services The Team 55 personnel; 24/7 operational weather forecast desk; Equipment technician
More informationFire Weather Drivers, Seasonal Outlook and Climate Change. Steven McGibbony, Severe Weather Manager Victoria Region Friday 9 October 2015
Fire Weather Drivers, Seasonal Outlook and Climate Change Steven McGibbony, Severe Weather Manager Victoria Region Friday 9 October 2015 Outline Weather and Fire Risk Environmental conditions leading to
More informationThe 2009 Hurricane Season Overview
The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview Jae-Kyung Schemm Gerry Bell Climate Prediction Center NOAA/ NWS/ NCEP 1 Overview outline 1. Current status for the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific and Western Pacific basins
More informationCurrent and future climate of the Cook Islands. Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program
Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program Penrhyn Pukapuka Nassau Suwarrow Rakahanga Manihiki N o r t h e r n C o o k I s l a nds S o u t h e Palmerston r n C o o k I s l
More informationDeke Arndt, Chief, Climate Monitoring Branch, NOAA s National Climatic Data Center
Thomas R. Karl, L.H.D., Director, NOAA s National Climatic Data Center, and Chair of the Subcommittee on Global Change Research Peter Thorne, PhD, Senior Scientist, Cooperative Institute for Climate and
More informationWhy There Is Weather?
Lecture 6: Weather, Music Of Our Sphere Weather and Climate WEATHER The daily fluctuations in atmospheric conditions. The atmosphere on its own can produce weather. (From Understanding Weather & Climate)
More informationActivity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference)
Activity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference) Teacher Notes: Evidence for Climate Change PowerPoint Slide 1 Slide 2 Introduction Image 1 (Namib Desert, Namibia) The sun is on the horizon
More informationChapter 2. Changes in Sea Level Melting Cryosphere Atmospheric Changes Summary IPCC (2013)
IPCC (2013) Ice is melting faster (sea ice, glaciers, ice sheets, snow) Sea level is rising More ocean heat content More intense rainfall More severe drought Fewer frosts More heat waves Spring is arriving
More informationThe Field Research Facility, Duck, NC Warming Ocean Observations and Forecast of Effects
The Field Research Facility, Duck, NC Warming Ocean Observations and Forecast of Effects A potential consequence of a warming ocean is more frequent and more intense wind events (Hurricanes & Typhoons)
More informationPossible Applications of Deep Neural Networks in Climate and Weather. David M. Hall Assistant Research Professor Dept. Computer Science, CU Boulder
Possible Applications of Deep Neural Networks in Climate and Weather David M. Hall Assistant Research Professor Dept. Computer Science, CU Boulder Quick overview of climate and weather models Weather models
More informationUpdate on Climate Science. Professor Richard Betts, Met Office
Update on Climate Science Professor Richard Betts, Met Office The science of climate change Crown copyright Met Office Prof Richard Betts Head of Climate Impacts Research Crown copyright Met Office Observing
More informationNew Directions in Catastrophe Risk Models
New Directions in Catastrophe Risk Models World Bank Brown-Bag Lunch Presentation October 9, 2007 Richard J. Murnane Baseline Management Company, Inc. Overview! Background on reinsurance and cat models!
More informationHow Will Melting Ice Sheets Affect Us?
PASSAGE 4 How Will Melting Ice Sheets Affect Us? Variation is normal. During the last ice age, for example, ice sheets also covered much of North America and Scandinavia. Why is what s happening now different
More informationGlobal Climate Change: Implications for South Florida
Global Climate Change: Implications for South Florida Amy Clement Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science University of Miami IPCC 2007 + findings since the report + discussion of uncertainty
More information1 What Is Climate? TAKE A LOOK 2. Explain Why do areas near the equator tend to have high temperatures?
CHAPTER 17 1 What Is Climate? SECTION Climate BEFORE YOU READ After you read this section, you should be able to answer these questions: What is climate? What factors affect climate? How do climates differ
More informationCh. 3: Weather Patterns
Ch. 3: Weather Patterns Sect. 1: Air Mass & Fronts Sect. 2: Storms Sect. 3: Predicting the Weather Sect. 4: Weather forecasters use advanced technologies Ch. 3 Weather Fronts and Storms Objective(s) 7.E.1.3
More informationRemote sensing and GIS for multi-hazard risk assessments in the coastal zone: recent applications and challenges in the Pacific Jens Kruger
Remote sensing and GIS for multi-hazard risk assessments in the coastal zone: recent applications and challenges in the Pacific Jens Kruger Geoscience Division Pacific Community (SPC) The First Pacific
More informationHurricanes Part I Structure and Climatology by Professor Steven Businger. Hurricane Katrina
Hurricanes Part I Structure and Climatology by Professor Steven Businger Hurricane Katrina Hurricanes Part I Structure and Climatology by Professor Steven Businger What is a hurricane? What is the structure
More informationHurricane Basics and Preparedness. Jim Weyman Director, Central Pacific Hurricane Center Phone Office:
Hurricane Basics and Preparedness Jim Weyman Director, Central Pacific Hurricane Center Phone Office: 973-5270 james.weyman@noaa.gov United States Hurricane/Typhoon Centers National Hurricane Center, Miami
More informationJohn Callahan (Delaware Geological Survey) Kevin Brinson, Daniel Leathers, Linden Wolf (Delaware Environmental Observing System)
John Callahan (Delaware Geological Survey) Kevin Brinson, Daniel Leathers, Linden Wolf (Delaware Environmental Observing System) Delaware is extremely vulnerable to the impacts of coastal flooding Tropical
More informationResearch on Climate of Typhoons Affecting China
Research on Climate of Typhoons Affecting China Xu Ming Shanghai Typhoon Institute November,25 Outline 1. Introduction 2. Typhoon disasters in China 3. Climatology and climate change of typhoon affecting
More informationNOAA s National Ocean Service. Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services
NOAA s National Ocean Service Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services Richard Edwing, CO-OPS Acting Director January 27, 2010 Outline CO-OPS Overview Programs Observing Systems PORTS
More informationCurrent Climate Science and Climate Scenarios for Florida
Current Climate Science and Climate Scenarios for Florida Daniel Bader and Vivien Gornitz Water Utilities and Climate Change Workshop Palm Beach County Water Utilities/ Water Research Foundation June 10,
More informationCurrent and future climate of the Marshall Islands. Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program
Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program North Pacific Ocean Bikini Enewetak Ailinginae Rongelap Rongrik Utrik Taka R a Bikar t a Ujelang R a l i k Wotto Ujae C h a Lae
More informationUNDERSTANDING COASTAL GEOLOGIC HAZARDS, SEA LEVEL RISE and CLIMATE CHANGE in THE NORTHEASTERN US
UNDERSTANDING COASTAL GEOLOGIC HAZARDS, SEA LEVEL RISE and CLIMATE CHANGE in THE NORTHEASTERN US Congressional Hazards Caucus Briefing Washington, DC 18 November 2009 Jon C. Boothroyd Rhode Island Geological
More information3 Severe Weather. Critical Thinking
CHAPTER 2 3 Severe Weather SECTION Understanding Weather BEFORE YOU READ After you read this section, you should be able to answer these questions: What are some types of severe weather? How can you stay
More informationComparative Analysis of Hurricane Vulnerability in New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Dr. Marc Levitan LSU Hurricane Center. April 2003
Comparative Analysis of Hurricane Vulnerability in New Orleans and Baton Rouge Dr. Marc Levitan LSU Hurricane Center April 2003 In order to compare hurricane vulnerability of facilities located in different
More informationOcean in Motion 7: El Nino and Hurricanes!
Ocean in Motion 7: El Nino and Hurricanes! A. Overview 1. Ocean in Motion -- El Nino and hurricanes We will look at the ocean-atmosphere interactions that cause El Nino and hurricanes. Using vocabulary
More informationModeling Storm Surge for Emergency Management
Modeling Storm Surge for Emergency Management Study Area: Guam is the southern-most island of the Mariana Archipelago and is located at 13 28 N, 144 47 E. It has a total area of 541.3 sq. km. and the highest
More informationTown of Old Orchard Beach: A summary of sea level rise science, storm surge, and some highlighted results from SLAWG work efforts
Town of Old Orchard Beach: A summary of sea level rise science, storm surge, and some highlighted results from SLAWG work efforts October 15, 2013 Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological
More informationGlobal Climate Change and Human Health Cycloning out of Control: Climate Change Impacts on Natural Disasters; Cyclones
INSTRUCTOR BACKGROUND Cyclones are one of the world s most devastating natural disasters causing billions of dollars in damages to homes, building and infrastructure annually. The United Nations estimates
More informationHurricane Lane. Hawaiian Islands, August By Ian Robertson 1, Ph.D., P.E.
Hurricane Lane Hawaiian Islands, August 2018 By Ian Robertson 1, Ph.D., P.E. Hurricane Lane, a major Pacific Ocean hurricane, narrowly missed making landfall on the main Hawaiian Islands, but still caused
More informationNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information State Summaries 149-HI. Observed and Projected Temperature Change
9-HI HAWAI I Key Messages Average annual temperature has increased by about F since 95, with a leveling off of the rate of warming in the last two decades. Under a higher emissions pathway, historically
More informationHigh Rainfall Events and Their Changes in the Hawaiian Islands
High Rainfall Events and Their Changes in the Hawaiian Islands Pao-Shin Chu, Xin Zhao, Melodie Grubbs, Cheri Loughran, and Peng Wu Hawaii State Climate Office Department of Meteorology School of Ocean
More informationA Perfect Storm: The Collision of Tropical Cyclones, Climate Change and Coastal Population Growth. Jeff Donnelly Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
A Perfect Storm: The Collision of Tropical Cyclones, Climate Change and Coastal Population Growth Jeff Donnelly Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Recent Hurricane Trends What Might the Future Hold?
More informationNWSEO CALLS FOR NATIONAL CLIMATE SERVICE TO BE MADE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
APRIL 2009 NWSEO CALLS FOR NATIONAL CLIMATE SERVICE TO BE MADE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE At its recent winter meeting, the NWSEO National Council decided to urge the Administration and Congress
More informationLatest trends in sea level rise and storm surges in Maine Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist
Latest trends in sea level rise and storm surges in Maine Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Image from Chebeague.org Maine s glacial geology and historic sea level rise trends Current sea level trends
More informationDYNAMIC POSITIONING CONFERENCE October 7-8, Operations. Using GIS to Understand Hurricane Windfields in the Gulf of Mexico
Return to Session Directory DYNAMIC POSITIONING CONFERENCE October 7-8, 2008 Operations Using GIS to Understand Hurricane Windfields in the Gulf of Mexico Jill F. Hasling and Maureen T. Maiuri Weather
More informationClimate outlook, longer term assessment and regional implications. What s Ahead for Agriculture: How to Keep One of Our Key Industries Sustainable
Climate outlook, longer term assessment and regional implications What s Ahead for Agriculture: How to Keep One of Our Key Industries Sustainable Bureau of Meteorology presented by Dr Jeff Sabburg Business
More informationWhat a Hurricane Needs to Develop
Massive Storms! Hurricanes What a Hurricane Needs to Develop Warm tropical water - at least 80 F High Humidity Light wind Low Pressure Area Form between 5 and 20 latitude Hurricane Ingredients Hurricane
More informationOutline 24: The Holocene Record
Outline 24: The Holocene Record Climate Change in the Late Cenozoic New York Harbor in an ice-free world (= Eocene sea level) Kenneth Miller, Rutgers University An Ice-Free World: eastern U.S. shoreline
More informationFuture Climate Change
Future Climate Change How do you know whether to trust a prediction about the future? All predictions are based on global circulation models (GCMs, AOGCMs) - model accuracy is verified by its ability to
More informationImpact of Sea Level Rise on Future Storm-induced Coastal Inundation
Impact of Sea Level Rise on Future Storm-induced Coastal Inundation Changsheng Chen School for Marine Science and Technology, University of Massachusetts-Dartmouth Email: c1chen@umassd.edu 04/14/2015 Outline
More information6. What has been the most effective erosive agent in the climate system? a. Water b. Ice c. Wind
Multiple Choice. 1. Heinrich Events a. Show increased abundance of warm-water species of planktic foraminifera b. Show greater intensity since the last deglaciation c. Show increased accumulation of ice-rafted
More informationClimate modeling: 1) Why? 2) How? 3) What?
Climate modeling: 1) Why? 2) How? 3) What? Matthew Widlansky mwidlans@hawaii.edu 1) Why model the climate? Hawaii Fiji Sachs and Myhrvold: A Shifting Band of Rain 1 Evidence of Past Climate Change? Mean
More informationPage 1 of 5 Home research global climate enso effects Research Effects of El Niño on world weather Precipitation Temperature Tropical Cyclones El Niño affects the weather in large parts of the world. The
More information2010 Tied as warmest year 1.34 o F (0.8 o C) total warming
2010 Tied as warmest year 1.34 o F (0.8 o C) total warming 2010, tied for warmest year Chip Fletcher, University of Hawaii at Manoa School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, Global Surface Temperature
More informationCurrent and future climate of Vanuatu. Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program
Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program Hiu Torres Islands Vanua Lava Gaua Banks Islands Espiritu Santo Malekula Ambae Épi Maéwo Pentecost Ambrym Shepherd Islands Éfate
More informationWhat is Climate? Climate Change Evidence & Causes. Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing?
What is Climate? 1 Climate Change Evidence & Causes Refers to the average environmental conditions (i.e. temperature, precipitation, extreme events) in a given location over many years Climate is what
More informationUnderstanding Weather and Climate Risk. Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017
Understanding Weather and Climate Risk Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017 What is risk in a weather and climate context? Hazard: something with the
More informationHomework 9: Hurricane Forecasts (adapted from Pipkin et al.)
November 2010 MAR 110 HW9 Hurricane Forecasts 1 Homework 9: Hurricane Forecasts (adapted from Pipkin et al.) Movement of Hurricanes The advance of a tropical storm or hurricane is controlled by the prevailing
More informationWeather Outlook for Spring and Summer in Central TX. Aaron Treadway Meteorologist National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio
Weather Outlook for Spring and Summer in Central TX Aaron Treadway Meteorologist National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Outline A Look Back At 2014 Spring 2015 So Far El Niño Update Climate Prediction
More information2013 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. June RMS Cat Response
2013 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK June 2013 - RMS Cat Response Season Outlook At the start of the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially runs from June 1 to November 30, seasonal forecasts
More informationClimate Prediction Center Research Interests/Needs
Climate Prediction Center Research Interests/Needs 1 Outline Operational Prediction Branch research needs Operational Monitoring Branch research needs New experimental products at CPC Background on CPC
More informationPositioning the Pacific: NOAA s Geospatial Activities. Juliana Blackwell, Director NOAA s National Geodetic Survey March 6, 2012
Positioning the Pacific: NOAA s Geospatial Activities Juliana Blackwell, Director NOAA s National Geodetic Survey March 6, 2012 A Common Problem of the Early 19 th Century 1807 President Thomas Jefferson
More informationHOW GEOGRAPHY AND GEOLOGY AFFECT BIOLOGICAL DIVERSITY
HOW GEOGRAPHY AND GEOLOGY AFFECT BIOLOGICAL DIVERSITY Factors Affecting Extinction Rates Natural Factors Climate change Cataclysmic event (volcano, earthquake) Human Activities Habitat Loss/Fragmentation
More informationATMOSPHERIC MODELLING. GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 9 Ahrens: Chapter 13; A&B: Chapters 12 and 13
ATMOSPHERIC MODELLING GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 9 Ahrens: Chapter 13; A&B: Chapters 12 and 13 Agenda for February 3 Assignment 3: Due on Friday Lecture Outline Numerical modelling Long-range forecasts Oscillations
More informationJ8.4 TRENDS OF U.S. SNOWFALL AND SNOW COVER IN A WARMING WORLD,
J8.4 TRENDS OF U.S. SNOWFALL AND SNOW COVER IN A WARMING WORLD, 1948-2008 Richard R. Heim Jr. * NOAA National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, North Carolina 1. Introduction The Intergovernmental Panel
More informationNIDIS Intermountain West Regional Drought Early Warning System February 7, 2017
NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment NIDIS Intermountain West Regional Drought Early Warning System February 7, 2017 Precipitation The images above use daily precipitation statistics from NWS COOP, CoCoRaHS,
More informationMonitoring and Prediction of Climate Extremes
Monitoring and Prediction of Climate Extremes Stephen Baxter Meteorologist, Climate Prediction Center NOAA/NWS/NCEP Deicing and Stormwater Management Conference ACI-NA/A4A Arlington, VA May 19, 2017 What
More informationHurricanes and typhoons are taking their cues from a changing global climate
Hurricanes and typhoons are taking their cues from a changing global climate By Los Angeles Times, adapted by Newsela staff on 06.18.18 Word Count 921 Level 1050L Image 1. Flooding submerged a road after
More informationExercise Brunswick ALPHA 2018
ALPHA Exercise Brunswick ALPHA 2018 Who we are (our structure) What we do (our forecasts) How you can access the information Tropical cyclone information (basic) Overview of the products used for Exercise
More informationObserved Climate Variability and Change: Evidence and Issues Related to Uncertainty
Observed Climate Variability and Change: Evidence and Issues Related to Uncertainty David R. Easterling National Climatic Data Center Asheville, North Carolina Overview Some examples of observed climate
More informationGuidance for Sea Level in 2100
Guidance for Sea Level in 2100 Focus on Ice Melt - The Big Unknown Jim Houston 1 and Bob Dean 2 ¹ Director Emeritus, Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Corps of Engineers 2 Professor Emeritus,
More informationClimate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL September 9, 2014
Climate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL September 9, 2014 Short Term Drought Map: Short-term (
More informationWEDNESDAY 30 TH AUGUST, :57 p.m. Tropical Storm Irma forms in the Atlantic. Don t let your guard down, always #Be Ready.
Chapter 1 - The Set Up In the days leading up to Irma a series of composed and sobering text messages, presented in truncated form below, from Department of Disaster Management warned us of the pending
More informationSea Level Rise in the U.S. Affiliated Pacific Islands (USAPI)
Sea Level Rise in the U.S. Affiliated Pacific Islands (USAPI) Dr. Charles Fletcher (UH) and Dr. Art Sussman (WestEd) Pacific Islands Climate Education Partnership What is sea level? How has sea level been
More informationTurn and Face the Strange: Economic Impacts of Climate Change Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding E2Tech Forum June 21, 2018
Turn and Face the Strange: Economic Impacts of Climate Change Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding E2Tech Forum June 21, 2018 Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological Survey Image from Chebeague.org
More informationTrends in Climate Teleconnections and Effects on the Midwest
Trends in Climate Teleconnections and Effects on the Midwest Don Wuebbles Zachary Zobel Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois, Urbana November 11, 2015 Date Name of Meeting 1 Arctic
More informationClimate Variability and El Niño
Climate Variability and El Niño David F. Zierden Florida State Climatologist Center for Ocean Atmospheric Prediction Studies The Florida State University UF IFAS Extenstion IST January 17, 2017 The El
More informationASSESSING FUTURE EXPOSURE: GLOBAL AND REGIONAL SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS FOR THE UNITED STATES
ASSESSING FUTURE EXPOSURE: GLOBAL AND REGIONAL SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS FOR THE UNITED STATES Chesapeake Bay Program Climate Resiliency Workgroup Conference Call May 15, 2017 William Sweet NOAA CO-OPS
More informationOceanography II Notes
Oceanography II Notes Tides The rise and fall in sea level is called a tide. Caused by a giant wave and the gravitational pull of the moon and sun on the ocean One low-tide/high-tide cycle takes about
More informationImproving Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction at NOAA
Improving Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction at NOAA Dr. Louis W. Uccellini Director, National Weather Service NOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather Services July 13, 2016 Congressional Briefing Value
More informationPercentage of normal rainfall for August 2017 Departure from average air temperature for August 2017
New Zealand Climate Update No 219, August 2017 Current climate August 2017 Overall, mean sea level pressure was lower than normal over and to the west of New Zealand during August while higher than normal
More informationSEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING TO BENEFIT BUSINESS AND SOCIETY
SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING TO BENEFIT BUSINESS AND SOCIETY Dr Mark Saunders Head of Seasonal Forecasting Department of Space and Climate Physics University College London UCL Lunch Hour Lecture 13th
More informationBuilding Marina Resilience to Storms Wisconsin Marine Association Conference November 2-3, 2016
Julia Noordyk NOAA Great Lakes Coastal Storms Program Outreach Coordinator UW Sea Grant @NoordCoast Building Marina Resilience to Storms Wisconsin Marine Association Conference November 2-3, 2016 July
More informationINCREASING HURRICANES, DROUGHTS, & WILDFIRES. Paul H. Carr AF Research Laboratory Emeritus
INCREASING HURRICANES, DROUGHTS, & WILDFIRES Paul H. Carr AF Research Laboratory Emeritus www.mirrorofnature.org INCREASING HURRICANES, DROUGHTS, & WILDFIRES By Paul H. Carr, NES American Physical Society,
More informationJim Fox. copyright UNC Asheville's NEMAC
Decisions and System Thinking Jim Fox November, 2012 1 UNC Asheville s s NEMAC National Environmental Modeling and Analysis Center Applied Research and technology development on integration of environmental
More informationWaves and Weather. 1. Where do waves come from? 2. What storms produce good surfing waves? 3. Where do these storms frequently form?
Waves and Weather 1. Where do waves come from? 2. What storms produce good surfing waves? 3. Where do these storms frequently form? 4. Where are the good areas for receiving swells? Where do waves come
More informationGeospatial application in Kiribati
Geospatial application in Kiribati ICC-21 ST RESAP (9 TH TO 13 TH OCTOBER, 2017) BANGKOK, THAILAND Outline Kiribati Profile Natural disasters in Kiribati Achievements Challenges/Issues Ways forward 1 Kiribati
More informationNational Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook
National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Interagency Fire Center Predictive Services Issued: September, 2007 Wildland Fire Outlook September through December 2007 Significant fire
More informationClimate Adaptation Challenges for Boston s Water and Sewer Systems
National Association of Flood & Stormwater Management Agencies Climate Adaptation Challenges for Boston s Water and Sewer Systems John P Sullivan P.E. October 15,2014 Boston 1630 Boston 1630-2012 Boston
More informationWhy I Am a Climate Realist. by Dr. Willem de Lange
Why I Am a Climate Realist by Dr. Willem de Lange SPPI Commentary & Essay Series! May 27, 2009 Why I Am a Climate Realist by Dr. Willem de Lange May 23, 2009 In 1996 the United Nations Intergovernmental
More informationExtreme Weather and Climate Change: the big picture Alan K. Betts Atmospheric Research Pittsford, VT NESC, Saratoga, NY
Extreme Weather and Climate Change: the big picture Alan K. Betts Atmospheric Research Pittsford, VT http://alanbetts.com NESC, Saratoga, NY March 10, 2018 Increases in Extreme Weather Last decade: lack
More informationGlobal Circulation. Local weather doesn t come from all directions equally Everyone s weather is part of the global circulation pattern
Global Circulation Local weather doesn t come from all directions equally Everyone s weather is part of the global circulation pattern Wind rose shows % frequency of winds around the compass 1 Global Circulation
More informationPRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. June RMS Event Response
PRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK June 2014 - RMS Event Response 2014 SEASON OUTLOOK The 2013 North Atlantic hurricane season saw the fewest hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin
More informationOregon Water Conditions Report April 17, 2017
Oregon Water Conditions Report April 17, 2017 Mountain snowpack continues to maintain significant levels for mid-april. By late March, statewide snowpack had declined to 118 percent of normal after starting
More information1 What Is Climate? TAKE A LOOK 2. Explain Why do areas near the equator tend to have high temperatures?
CHAPTER 3 1 What Is Climate? SECTION Climate BEFORE YOU READ After you read this section, you should be able to answer these questions: What is climate? What factors affect climate? How do climates differ
More informationBeyond 2100: Committed Sea Level Rise in South Florida Produced by 21st Century Global Temperature Rise
Beyond 2100: Committed Sea in South Florida Produced by 21st Century Global Temperature Rise Presented by: Pete Harlem Presented at GIS Day November 6, Pete Harlem, Jack Meeder and Randy Parkinson It s
More informationA pragmatic view of rates and clustering
North Building Atlantic the Chaucer Hurricane Brand A pragmatic view of rates and clustering North Atlantic Hurricane What we re going to talk about 1. Introduction; some assumptions and a basic view of
More informationCoastal Emergency Risks Assessment - CERA Real-Time Storm Surge and Wave Visualization Tool
Coastal Emergency Risks Assessment - CERA Real-Time Storm Surge and Wave Visualization Tool Introduction This document provides guidance for using the Coastal Emergency Risks Assessment (CERA) visualization
More informationCrystal Goodison & Alexis Thomas University of Florida GeoPlan Center
Crystal Goodison & Alexis Thomas University of Florida GeoPlan Center A1A Fort Lauderdale, Hurricane Sandy, October 2012 Photo Credits: Susan Stocker, Sun Sentinel FAU s Research Report (completed Jan
More informationCh. 3: Weather Patterns. Sect. 1: Air Mass & Fronts Sect. 2: Storms Sect. 3: Predicting the Weather
Ch. 3: Weather Patterns Sect. 1: Air Mass & Fronts Sect. 2: Storms Sect. 3: Predicting the Weather Sect. 1: Air Masses & Fronts An air mass is a huge body of air that has similar temperature, humidity,
More informationNational Climatic Data Center Data Management Issues Tom Karl Director, NOAA s National Climatic Data Center
National Climatic Data Center Data Management Issues Tom Karl Director, NOAA s National Climatic Data Center Opening Meeting NOAA Science Advisory Board s Data Archiving and Access Requirements Working
More information