Climate Change in Newfoundland & Labrador

Save this PDF as:
 WORD  PNG  TXT  JPG

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Climate Change in Newfoundland & Labrador"

Transcription

1 Climate Change in Newfoundland & Labrador Impacts and Adaptation Newleef Conference 08 October 2015

2 Met-Ocean Services The Team 55 personnel; 24/7 operational weather forecast desk; Equipment technician group; Ice management; Metocean data analysts; Modeling and consulting Terrestrial Weather Services Winter Road Weather Information Systems; Construction support services; Equipment installation and data monitoring; Severe Weather Forecasting (Insurance and Energy); Wind energy and resource assessment; Modeling high resolution atmospheric and sub-surface; Flood forecasting Marine Services Marine Forecasting Offshore, ports and harbours; Data collection and analysis (waves, currents, tides etc.); Ice Management Services; Modeling-- hydrodynamic, wave, tsunami, storm surge Information Management Cloud based database management; Customized web portals; Mobile apps, websites, and data collection tools; Forecast production systems Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Water resources, infrastructure, vulnerability risk assessments, energy projects, severe and extreme events projections 2 ISO 9001:2008 certified

3 Presentation Outline Weather and Climate Observed Changes Climate Change Science and Models Climate Change Projections and Impacts Adaptation and Resilience 3

4 Weather and Climate 4

5 Weather 5

6 Climate IPCC WG1 AR5 Figure SPM m mean 6

7 Climate Change Long term shifts in weather Average conditions Timing and magnitudes Variability and extremes Temperature, precipitation, winds, etc We can see it now! IPCC SYR AR5 Figure SPM.7 7

8 Observations 8

9 Global Observations The Air 10 warmest years in 134-year record have happened since C increase over preindustrial temperatures Record high temperature events increasing Increasing numbers of intense rainfall events 9

10 Global Observations The Sea Sea level +17 cm (6.7 ) in past century Ocean stores ~90% of additional heat in climate system Top 700 m C since 1969 Acidity +30% since beginning of industrial revolution 10

11 Global Observations The Ice Greenland -285 B tonnes/year Antarctica -135 B tonnes/year Glaciers retreating globally -400 B tonnes/year Arctic sea ice declined rapidly since 1979 Spring snow cover extent has decreased Snow melting earlier Less of it to melt 11

12 Goose Bay Temperature Trends 12

13 Gander Precipitation Trends 13

14 Science and Models 14

15 1859 A Big Year! Image courtesy of EDF Energy 15

16 Forcing and Feedback NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Earth Observatory Climate forcing The sun Radiation balance Feedbacks Countless and complicated E.g. T air Sea Ice T ocean T air 16

17 Climate Models Based on physical laws Approximations of the real world 3D grid of ocean and atmosphere Supercomputers National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 17

18 Projections and Impacts 18

19 Climate Projections Globally Robust Results CBC News IPCC AR5 Fig 12.5 NASA More uncertainty: Specific regional and local impacts 19

20 Climate Projections North America CURRENT PATH C Add segment and caption if required. 20 IPCC AR5 WG2 (Regional) Fig 26-3

21 Climate Projections North America % 21 IPCC AR5 WG2 (Regional) Fig 26-3

22 Climate Projections NL in General Warmer temperatures year round Greater increases in winter and north/west/inland Increased agricultural potential Less frost events on shoulder seasons More growing degree days Increased precipitation Average annual accumulation More intense extremes Sea level rise Significant for the island, not so much for the Big Land 22

23 Climate Projections Extremes in NL Summer Extreme Hot RCP Extreme Precipitation RCP IPCC AR5 WG2 (Regional) Fig 26-4

24 Climate Projections Extremes in NL Summer Extreme Dry RCP March Extreme Low Snow RCP IPCC AR5 WG2 (Regional) Fig 26-4

25 Adaptation and Resilience 25

26 Adaptation and Resilience Successful adaptation does not mean that negative impacts will not occur, only that they will be less severe than would be experienced had no adaptation occurred. - Natural Resources Canada Resilience is the capacity of individuals, communities, institutions, businesses, and systems within a society to survive, adapt, and grow no matter what kinds of chronic stresses and acute shocks they experience. - Adapted from 100 Resilient Cities Be Prepared! 26

27 Adaptation and Resilience Status quo no longer sufficient! Can no longer base designs, regulations, governance, etc on the historical record Reduce negative impacts Higher capacity culverts Reinforce/relocate coastal infrastructure Take advantage of the positive impacts Increase agriculture Plan for lower snow clearing and heating needs 27

28 Identify Key Systems and Infrastructure Healthcare Commercial buildings Education Homes and cabins Offshore industry Food security Water resources Fishery Energy security Tourism Recreation Agriculture Ocean transportation Land transportation 28

29 Vulnerability Risk Assessments Direct where adaptation efforts should focus What are the sensitive sectors? What is the current adaptive capacity? Risk = Consequences + Likelihood Free Adaptation Tools and Resources NL s 7 Steps to Assess Climate Change Vulnerability in Your Community Engineers Canada s PIEVC Protocol Federation of Canadian Municipalities Help develop an Action Plan 29

30 Action Plan Components Land use planning Infrastructure upgrades Community services & engagement Licensing and regulation Workforce development Adapted from Federation of Canadian Municipalities Changing Climate, Changing Communities: Guide for Municipal Climate Adaptation 30

31 Roads Snow clearing and ice control Bridge and culvert washouts Potholes freeze/thaw Amec Foster Wheeler Road Weather Information System Thorburn Rd Freeze- Thaw Cycles ( ) Air (2 m) 225 Surface Sub (6 cm)

32 Healthcare Increased heat stress Pests and invasive species Infrastructure vulnerabilities 32

33 Food Security Increased agricultural potential Food import challenges Long supply chains Droughts and conflicts Ports and ocean transportation Storm surge > sea level rise 33

34 Offshore Industry More severe storms Altered wind regimes Sea ice risks Iceberg risks 34

35 Challenges Awareness of climate change impacts Accepting the need to adapt Awareness of available tools and resources Making long term a priority Near term costs 35

36 Opportunities Awareness is increasing Replacing aging infrastructure Take advantage of positive impacts More than most places! Develop diverse industry 36

37 Thank you! Jonas Roberts (709)

Climate Change Projections for Newfoundland and Labrador Implications for Our Economy. NEIA Conference October 10 th 2013.

Climate Change Projections for Newfoundland and Labrador Implications for Our Economy. NEIA Conference October 10 th 2013. Climate Change Projections for Newfoundland and Labrador Implications for Our Economy NEIA Conference October 10 th 2013 Jackie Janes, ADM Overview To provide a high-level overview of the climate change

More information

Seamless weather and climate for security planning

Seamless weather and climate for security planning Seamless weather and climate for security planning Kirsty Lewis, Principal Climate Change Consultant, Met Office Hadley Centre 28 June 2010 Global Climate Models Mitigation timescale changes could be avoided

More information

The known requirements for Arctic climate services

The known requirements for Arctic climate services The known requirements for Arctic climate services based on findings described in STT White paper 8/2015 Johanna Ekman / EC PHORS STT Regional drivers The Arctic region is home to almost four million people

More information

Climate change projections for Ontario: an updated synthesis for policymakers and planners

Climate change projections for Ontario: an updated synthesis for policymakers and planners Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry Climate change projections for Ontario: an updated synthesis for policymakers and planners Shannon Fera and Adam Hogg Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and

More information

CLIMATE READY BOSTON. Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016

CLIMATE READY BOSTON. Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016 CLIMATE READY BOSTON Sasaki Steering Committee Meeting, March 28 nd, 2016 Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016 WHAT S IN STORE FOR BOSTON S CLIMATE?

More information

Activity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference)

Activity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference) Activity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference) Teacher Notes: Evidence for Climate Change PowerPoint Slide 1 Slide 2 Introduction Image 1 (Namib Desert, Namibia) The sun is on the horizon

More information

Global Ocean Heat Content (0-700m) Other signs of (global) warming. Global Sea Level Rise. Change in upper ocean temperature ( )

Global Ocean Heat Content (0-700m) Other signs of (global) warming. Global Sea Level Rise. Change in upper ocean temperature ( ) Global Ocean Heat Content (0-700m) Change in upper ocean temperature (1955-2003) 0.25C 0.50C Solid lines are three independent estimates (95% confidence interval in grey) IPCC 2007 Fig TS.16 Trends in

More information

Understanding Weather and Climate Risk. Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017

Understanding Weather and Climate Risk. Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017 Understanding Weather and Climate Risk Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017 What is risk in a weather and climate context? Hazard: something with the

More information

Observed changes in climate and their effects

Observed changes in climate and their effects 1 1.1 Observations of climate change Since the TAR, progress in understanding how climate is changing in space and time has been gained through improvements and extensions of numerous datasets and data

More information

THE CANADIAN CENTRE FOR CLIMATE MODELLING AND ANALYSIS

THE CANADIAN CENTRE FOR CLIMATE MODELLING AND ANALYSIS THE CANADIAN CENTRE FOR CLIMATE MODELLING AND ANALYSIS As Canada s climate changes, and weather patterns shift, Canadian climate models provide guidance in an uncertain future. CANADA S CLIMATE IS CHANGING

More information

What is the IPCC? Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

What is the IPCC? Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC WG1 FAQ What is the IPCC? Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change The IPCC is a scientific intergovernmental body set up by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and by the United Nations

More information

Chapter 2. Changes in Sea Level Melting Cryosphere Atmospheric Changes Summary IPCC (2013)

Chapter 2. Changes in Sea Level Melting Cryosphere Atmospheric Changes Summary IPCC (2013) IPCC (2013) Ice is melting faster (sea ice, glaciers, ice sheets, snow) Sea level is rising More ocean heat content More intense rainfall More severe drought Fewer frosts More heat waves Spring is arriving

More information

CLIMATE IMPACTS TO INFRASTRUCTURE ENHANCING CLIMATE RESILIENCY FOR MANITOBA INFRASTRUCTURE

CLIMATE IMPACTS TO INFRASTRUCTURE ENHANCING CLIMATE RESILIENCY FOR MANITOBA INFRASTRUCTURE CLIMATE IMPACTS TO INFRASTRUCTURE ENHANCING CLIMATE RESILIENCY FOR MANITOBA INFRASTRUCTURE Heather Auld, Neil Comer, Simon Eng, Erik Sparling Manitoba: Climate Impacts on Infrastructure - OUTLINE of TALK

More information

Appendix 1: UK climate projections

Appendix 1: UK climate projections Appendix 1: UK climate projections The UK Climate Projections 2009 provide the most up-to-date estimates of how the climate may change over the next 100 years. They are an invaluable source of information

More information

Global Challenges - Partnering with Service Providers. World Meteorological Organization. J. Lengoasa WMO Deputy Secretary-General

Global Challenges - Partnering with Service Providers. World Meteorological Organization. J. Lengoasa WMO Deputy Secretary-General WMO World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water Global Challenges - Partnering with Service Providers J. Lengoasa WMO Deputy Secretary-General jlengoasa@wmo.int http://www.wmo.int/pages/gfcs/gfcs_en.html

More information

Climate Change in the Northeast

Climate Change in the Northeast Climate Change in the Northeast Dr. Alan K. Betts Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT 05763 akbetts@aol.com http://alanbetts.com NNECAPA Stowe, VT September 11, 2014 Outline Science of climate change Global

More information

Global warming and Extremes of Weather. Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading

Global warming and Extremes of Weather. Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading Global warming and Extremes of Weather Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading Extreme weather climate change Recent extreme weather focusses debate on climate change Can we

More information

CLIMATE RESILIENCE FOR ALBERTA MUNICIPALITIES CLIMATE PROJECTIONS NORTHERN ALBERTA. Dr. Mel Reasoner Reasoner Environmental Consulting

CLIMATE RESILIENCE FOR ALBERTA MUNICIPALITIES CLIMATE PROJECTIONS NORTHERN ALBERTA. Dr. Mel Reasoner Reasoner Environmental Consulting CLIMATE RESILIENCE FOR ALBERTA MUNICIPALITIES CLIMATE PROJECTIONS NORTHERN ALBERTA Dr. Mel Reasoner Reasoner Environmental Consulting Probability of occurrence Increase in Mean Temperature & Variance Less

More information

6. What has been the most effective erosive agent in the climate system? a. Water b. Ice c. Wind

6. What has been the most effective erosive agent in the climate system? a. Water b. Ice c. Wind Multiple Choice. 1. Heinrich Events a. Show increased abundance of warm-water species of planktic foraminifera b. Show greater intensity since the last deglaciation c. Show increased accumulation of ice-rafted

More information

1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Impacts Assessment

1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Impacts Assessment 1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Impacts Assessment Although the variability of weather and associated shifts in the frequency and magnitude of climate events were not available from the

More information

Arctic Adaptation Research Considerations and Challenges

Arctic Adaptation Research Considerations and Challenges Arctic Adaptation Research Considerations and Challenges Dr Grete K. Hovelsrud, Research Director CICERO- Center for International Climate and Environmental Research Oslo, Norway Many Strong Voices Stakeholder

More information

Future Climate Change

Future Climate Change Future Climate Change How do you know whether to trust a prediction about the future? All predictions are based on global circulation models (GCMs, AOGCMs) - model accuracy is verified by its ability to

More information

What the Science Tells Us & How Practitioners Can Use the Science

What the Science Tells Us & How Practitioners Can Use the Science What the Science Tells Us & How Practitioners Can Use the Science Presented at APTA Los Angeles, CA Presented by Dr. B. Tod Delaney President, First Environment, Inc. Wed. August 3, 2011 1 Agenda 1. What

More information

1 Town of Placentia, Newfoundland, Water Resources Infrastructure

1 Town of Placentia, Newfoundland, Water Resources Infrastructure 1 Town of Placentia, Newfoundland, Water Resources Infrastructure Figure A- 6 Town of Placentia, Newfoundland 1.1 Background Water resources infrastructure vulnerability was one of four priority areas

More information

Climate change in the U.S. Northeast

Climate change in the U.S. Northeast Climate change in the U.S. Northeast By U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, adapted by Newsela staff on 04.10.17 Word Count 1,109 Killington Ski Resort is located in Vermont. As temperatures increase

More information

Services Requirements Paper Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar & High Mountain Observations, Research, and Services

Services Requirements Paper Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar & High Mountain Observations, Research, and Services Services Requirements Paper Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar & High Mountain Observations, Research, and Services Aimee M. Devaris Regional Director U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

More information

Integrating Climate Adaptation in Hawaii Disaster Risk Management

Integrating Climate Adaptation in Hawaii Disaster Risk Management Integrating Climate Adaptation in Hawaii Disaster Risk Management Building Resilient Communities HCPO/HIGICC 2009 Conference September 23-25 Sheraton Waikiki Introduction What are weather/climate-related

More information

Climate Change Engineering Vulnerability Assessment. Coquihalla Highway (B.C. Highway 5) Between Nicolum River and Dry Gulch

Climate Change Engineering Vulnerability Assessment. Coquihalla Highway (B.C. Highway 5) Between Nicolum River and Dry Gulch SSuum mm maarryy ffoorr PPoolliiccyy M Maakkeerrss Climate Change Engineering Vulnerability Assessment Rev 2 June 2, 2010 Rev 2 June 2, 2010 Page 2 of 7 1 Conclusion 1.1 Adaptive Management Process BCMoTI

More information

Extreme Weather and Climate Change: the big picture Alan K. Betts Atmospheric Research Pittsford, VT NESC, Saratoga, NY

Extreme Weather and Climate Change: the big picture Alan K. Betts Atmospheric Research Pittsford, VT   NESC, Saratoga, NY Extreme Weather and Climate Change: the big picture Alan K. Betts Atmospheric Research Pittsford, VT http://alanbetts.com NESC, Saratoga, NY March 10, 2018 Increases in Extreme Weather Last decade: lack

More information

NOAA s Regional Climate Science & Information: Opportunities and Challenges

NOAA s Regional Climate Science & Information: Opportunities and Challenges NOAA s Regional Climate Science & Information: Opportunities and Challenges Dr. Wayne Higgins Climate Program Office, Director Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research National Oceanic and Atmospheric

More information

NOAA Surface Weather Program

NOAA Surface Weather Program NOAA Surface Weather Program Maintenance Decision Support System Stakeholder Meeting #9 Jim O Sullivan NOAA Surface Weather Program Manager NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services September

More information

Climate change and adaptation of the aviation community

Climate change and adaptation of the aviation community Climate change and adaptation of the aviation community Sigrún Karlsdóttir, Halldór Björnsson, Trausti Jónsson Icelandic Meteorological Office International Air Safety & Climate Change conference EASA

More information

Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA

Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA Regions of the US National Climate Assessment What we Observe: Climate changes and impacts Increasing temperature Increasingly

More information

A Warming Arctic: Regional Drama with Global Consequences

A Warming Arctic: Regional Drama with Global Consequences A Warming Arctic: Regional Drama with Global Consequences Norway: Temperature in March was 3,8 C above the normal, 4th highest since 1900 Monthly precipitation for Norway was 120 % above the normal Temperaturein

More information

Changing Arctic: climate, environment, metocean conditions, with a special focus on sea ice

Changing Arctic: climate, environment, metocean conditions, with a special focus on sea ice Changing Arctic: climate, environment, metocean conditions, with a special focus on sea ice (IPCC AR4, WG II, Ch.15) Julienne Stroeve National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Cooperative Institute for

More information

Changing Marine Access in the Arctic Ocean: The Arctic Climate Impact Assessment Panama Canal Authority 11 January 2005

Changing Marine Access in the Arctic Ocean: The Arctic Climate Impact Assessment Panama Canal Authority 11 January 2005 Changing Marine Access in the Arctic Ocean: The Arctic Climate Impact Assessment Panama Canal Authority 11 January 2005 Lawson Brigham Deputy Director, U.S. Arctic Research Commission ACIA Contributing

More information

NWSEO CALLS FOR NATIONAL CLIMATE SERVICE TO BE MADE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NWSEO CALLS FOR NATIONAL CLIMATE SERVICE TO BE MADE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE APRIL 2009 NWSEO CALLS FOR NATIONAL CLIMATE SERVICE TO BE MADE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE At its recent winter meeting, the NWSEO National Council decided to urge the Administration and Congress

More information

An overview of the applications for early warning and mapping of the flood events in New Brunswick

An overview of the applications for early warning and mapping of the flood events in New Brunswick Flood Recovery, Innovation and Reponse IV 239 An overview of the applications for early warning and mapping of the flood events in New Brunswick D. Mioc 1, E. McGillivray 2, F. Anton 1, M. Mezouaghi 2,

More information

Update on Climate Science. Professor Richard Betts, Met Office

Update on Climate Science. Professor Richard Betts, Met Office Update on Climate Science Professor Richard Betts, Met Office The science of climate change Crown copyright Met Office Prof Richard Betts Head of Climate Impacts Research Crown copyright Met Office Observing

More information

Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma. Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey

Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma. Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey OCS LEGISLATIVE MANDATES Conduct and report on studies of climate and weather

More information

SEA ICE AND GLOBAL WARMING

SEA ICE AND GLOBAL WARMING jkjk SEA ICE AND GLOBAL WARMING Lesson plan for grades K- 3 By: Laura Sanders, Environmental Science Institute, March 2011 Length of lesson: two 30- minute class periods SOURCES AND RESOURCES: Atmospheric

More information

CLIMATE MODEL DOWNSCALING: HOW DOES IT WORK AND WHAT DOES IT TELL YOU?

CLIMATE MODEL DOWNSCALING: HOW DOES IT WORK AND WHAT DOES IT TELL YOU? rhgfdjhngngfmhgmghmghjmghfmf CLIMATE MODEL DOWNSCALING: HOW DOES IT WORK AND WHAT DOES IT TELL YOU? YAN FENG, PH.D. Atmospheric and Climate Scientist Environmental Sciences Division Argonne National Laboratory

More information

CLIMATE. UNIT TWO March 2019

CLIMATE. UNIT TWO March 2019 CLIMATE UNIT TWO March 2019 OUTCOME 9.2.1Demonstrate an understanding of the basic features of Canada s landscape and climate. identify and locate major climatic regions of Canada explain the characteristics

More information

1 City of Edmonton Quesnell Bridge, Roads and Associated Structures Assessment

1 City of Edmonton Quesnell Bridge, Roads and Associated Structures Assessment 1 City of Edmonton Quesnell Bridge, Roads and Associated Structures Assessment 1.1 Background Within the First National Engineering Vulnerability Assessment, the Public Infrastructure Engineering Vulnerability

More information

Climate Change and Stormwater. Daniel Brown, Research Associate, GLISA

Climate Change and Stormwater. Daniel Brown, Research Associate, GLISA Climate Change and Stormwater Daniel Brown, Research Associate, GLISA Global Trends and Regional Trends Global trends are more certain than regional trends. Natural variability plays a larger role at the

More information

Impact of Climate Change on Alaska Native Communities

Impact of Climate Change on Alaska Native Communities Impact of Climate Change on Alaska Native Communities Alaska Native Science Commission www.nativescience.org www.nativeknowledge.org Climate Change Affects Community Way of Life Alaska Natives have always

More information

The Copernicus Climate Change (C3) service: State of play

The Copernicus Climate Change (C3) service: State of play Enterprise and Industry The Copernicus Climate Change (C3) service: State of play B. Pinty (a) & J-N. Thépaut (b) (a) Copernicus G.2 unit (b) ECMWF CCI October2014 Legal frame & MS consultations Publica6on

More information

Improving Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction at NOAA

Improving Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction at NOAA Improving Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction at NOAA Dr. Louis W. Uccellini Director, National Weather Service NOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather Services July 13, 2016 Congressional Briefing Value

More information

What is Climate? Climate Change Evidence & Causes. Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing?

What is Climate? Climate Change Evidence & Causes. Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? What is Climate? 1 Climate Change Evidence & Causes Refers to the average environmental conditions (i.e. temperature, precipitation, extreme events) in a given location over many years Climate is what

More information

Extreme Weather and Risks to Infrastructure. Heather Auld & Neil Comer Risk Sciences International

Extreme Weather and Risks to Infrastructure. Heather Auld & Neil Comer Risk Sciences International Extreme Weather and Risks to Infrastructure Heather Auld & Neil Comer Risk Sciences International The Science is Valid and the Evidence grows Stronger AGREE Climate Change Disagree More Intense Rainfall

More information

Climate Change in the Northeast: Past, Present, and Future

Climate Change in the Northeast: Past, Present, and Future Climate Change in the Northeast: Past, Present, and Future Dr. Cameron Wake Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space (EOS) University of New Hampshire 62nd Annual Meeting of the Northeastern

More information

WMO Guide on Integrated Urban Weather, Environment and Climate Services for Cities (IUWECS) Hong Kong- an experience from a high-density city

WMO Guide on Integrated Urban Weather, Environment and Climate Services for Cities (IUWECS) Hong Kong- an experience from a high-density city WMO Guide on Integrated Urban Weather, Environment and Climate Services for Cities (IUWECS) Hong Kong- an experience from a high-density city Dr. Chao REN Associate Professor School of Architecture The

More information

Chapter outline. Reference 12/13/2016

Chapter outline. Reference 12/13/2016 Chapter 2. observation CC EST 5103 Climate Change Science Rezaul Karim Environmental Science & Technology Jessore University of science & Technology Chapter outline Temperature in the instrumental record

More information

Current Climate Trends and Implications

Current Climate Trends and Implications Current Climate Trends and Implications Dr. Mark Seeley Professor emeritus Department of Soil, Water, and Climate University of Minnesota St Paul, MN 55108 Crop Insurance Conference September 12, 2018

More information

Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis

Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report Presented by R.K. Pachauri, IPCC Chair and Bubu Jallow, WG 1 Vice Chair Nairobi, 6 February

More information

The continent of Antarctica Resource N1

The continent of Antarctica Resource N1 The continent of Antarctica Resource N1 Prepared by Gillian Bunting Mapping and Geographic Information Centre, British Antarctic Survey February 1999 Equal area projection map of the world Resource N2

More information

Building Marina Resilience to Storms Wisconsin Marine Association Conference November 2-3, 2016

Building Marina Resilience to Storms Wisconsin Marine Association Conference November 2-3, 2016 Julia Noordyk NOAA Great Lakes Coastal Storms Program Outreach Coordinator UW Sea Grant @NoordCoast Building Marina Resilience to Storms Wisconsin Marine Association Conference November 2-3, 2016 July

More information

Presentation for the Institute of International & European Affairs

Presentation for the Institute of International & European Affairs Presentation for the Institute of International & European Affairs Kathryn D. Sullivan, Ph.D. Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere & NOAA Administrator June 3, 2016 Overview NOAA 101 Closing

More information

Weather & Ocean Currents

Weather & Ocean Currents Weather & Ocean Currents Earth is heated unevenly Causes: Earth is round Earth is tilted on an axis Earth s orbit is eliptical Effects: Convection = vertical circular currents caused by temperature differences

More information

Changing Climate and Increased Volatility What it Means for the Energy Sector in the Future April 3, 2014 Jeff Johnson, Chief Science Officer

Changing Climate and Increased Volatility What it Means for the Energy Sector in the Future April 3, 2014 Jeff Johnson, Chief Science Officer Changing Climate and Increased Volatility What it Means for the Energy Sector in the Future April 3, 2014 Jeff Johnson, Chief Science Officer There is no doubt that the climate has changed, and it will

More information

Climate Change: Why Worry?

Climate Change: Why Worry? Climate Change: Why Worry? Lesson Overview Students will explore the meaning of Climate Change, with an emphasis on the impact expected on future human life, the adaptations which will be required, and

More information

Chapter Introduction. Earth. Change. Chapter Wrap-Up

Chapter Introduction. Earth. Change. Chapter Wrap-Up Chapter Introduction Lesson 1 Lesson 2 Lesson 3 Climates of Earth Chapter Wrap-Up Climate Cycles Recent Climate Change What is climate and how does it impact life on Earth? What do you think? Before you

More information

Local Climate Change Impacts for Central Illinois

Local Climate Change Impacts for Central Illinois Local Climate Change Impacts for Central Illinois Molly Woloszyn Extension Climatologist Midwestern Regional Climate Center & Illinois-Indiana Sea Grant Urbana Sustainability Advisory Commission February

More information

Historical and Modelled Climate Data issues with Extreme Weather: An Agricultural Perspective. Neil Comer, Ph.D.

Historical and Modelled Climate Data issues with Extreme Weather: An Agricultural Perspective. Neil Comer, Ph.D. Historical and Modelled Climate Data issues with Extreme Weather: An Agricultural Perspective Neil Comer, Ph.D. When Crops are in the fields it s looking good: Trend in Summer Temperature (L) & Summer

More information

MTO s Road Weather Information System (RWIS)

MTO s Road Weather Information System (RWIS) MTO s Road Weather Information System (RWIS) Ontario Good Roads Association Managing Winter Operations Workshop October 19, 2017 Overview of MTO s Road Weather Information Station (RWIS) RWIS for Winter

More information

Climate Change and Arctic Ecosystems

Climate Change and Arctic Ecosystems itletitle Climate Change and Arctic Ecosystems Climate Change and Arctic Ecosystems Key Concepts: Greenhouse Gas Albedo Ecosystem Sea ice Vegetative zone WHAT YOU WILL LEARN 1. You will analyze Arctic

More information

SHAPING OUR FUTURE: THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE KS3 LESSON 1 TEACHER GUIDE HOW IS OUR CLIMATE CHANGING?

SHAPING OUR FUTURE: THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE KS3 LESSON 1 TEACHER GUIDE HOW IS OUR CLIMATE CHANGING? SHAPING OUR FUTURE: THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE KS3 LESSON 1 TEACHER GUIDE HOW IS OUR CLIMATE CHANGING? KS3 LESSON 1 TEACHER GUIDE HOW IS OUR CLIMATE CHANGING? Learning objective: To understand, through the

More information

Future sea level rise through 2100 and beyond

Future sea level rise through 2100 and beyond Future sea level rise through 2100 and beyond Emma Stone Uncertain World Summit (Tuesday 20 October 2015) 1 Why are we interested in future sea level rise? How certain are we about the worst case scenario

More information

"Outcomes of the storm surge and waves workshop in Dominican Republic and the questionnaire"

Outcomes of the storm surge and waves workshop in Dominican Republic and the questionnaire "Outcomes of the storm surge and waves workshop in Dominican Republic and the questionnaire" Strengthening Regional Cooperation to Support Forecasting with Multi Hazard Approach in RA IV Ritz Carlton Grand

More information

Extremes of Weather and the Latest Climate Change Science. Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading

Extremes of Weather and the Latest Climate Change Science. Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading Extremes of Weather and the Latest Climate Change Science Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading Extreme weather climate change Recent extreme weather focusses debate on climate

More information

The Kentucky Mesonet: Entering a New Phase

The Kentucky Mesonet: Entering a New Phase The Kentucky Mesonet: Entering a New Phase Stuart A. Foster State Climatologist Kentucky Climate Center Western Kentucky University KCJEA Winter Conference Lexington, Kentucky February 9, 2017 Kentucky

More information

The ENSEMBLES Project

The ENSEMBLES Project The ENSEMBLES Project Providing ensemble-based predictions of climate changes and their impacts by Dr. Chris Hewitt Abstract The main objective of the ENSEMBLES project is to provide probabilistic estimates

More information

1 What Is Climate? TAKE A LOOK 2. Explain Why do areas near the equator tend to have high temperatures?

1 What Is Climate? TAKE A LOOK 2. Explain Why do areas near the equator tend to have high temperatures? CHAPTER 17 1 What Is Climate? SECTION Climate BEFORE YOU READ After you read this section, you should be able to answer these questions: What is climate? What factors affect climate? How do climates differ

More information

Observed Climate Variability and Change: Evidence and Issues Related to Uncertainty

Observed Climate Variability and Change: Evidence and Issues Related to Uncertainty Observed Climate Variability and Change: Evidence and Issues Related to Uncertainty David R. Easterling National Climatic Data Center Asheville, North Carolina Overview Some examples of observed climate

More information

An Introduc5on: Climate Change Adapta5on

An Introduc5on: Climate Change Adapta5on Dr. Joseph Hagg Science Officer Adapta/on Scotland An Introduc5on: Climate Change Adapta5on 13 th February 2013 contact: joseph.hagg@sepa.org.uk Adapta5on Scotland Partnership: Increase the resilience

More information

Who Cares about the Weather? Climate Change and U.S. National Security

Who Cares about the Weather? Climate Change and U.S. National Security Who Cares about the Weather? Climate Change and U.S. National Security Josh Busby LBJ School of Public Affairs University of Texas - Austin busbyj@mail.utexas.edu 1 Question Is climate change a national

More information

2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW

2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW 2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW 1 INTRODUCTION Recently, three of the major centres for global climate monitoring determined with high confidence that 2015 was the warmest year on record, globally.

More information

Climate Change. What we know And What we need to know

Climate Change. What we know And What we need to know Climate Change What we know And What we need to know John Tyndall of Carlow "The waves of heat speed from our earth through our atmosphere towards space. These waves dash in their passage against the atoms

More information

Impacts of Climate on the Corn Belt

Impacts of Climate on the Corn Belt Impacts of Climate on the Corn Belt Great Lakes Crop Summit 2015 2015 Evelyn Browning Garriss Conclusions Climate change is not linear. It ebbs and flows. Recent polar volcano eruptions created a cool

More information

Weather Outlook 2016: Cycles and Patterns Influencing Our Growing Season

Weather Outlook 2016: Cycles and Patterns Influencing Our Growing Season Weather Outlook 2016: Cycles and Patterns Influencing Our Growing Season Leon F. Osborne Chester Fritz Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Sciences University of North Dakota Cycle of El Niño Events

More information

Overview of proposed approach to the Desktop Study to inform discussion

Overview of proposed approach to the Desktop Study to inform discussion LTAS Phase 2: Climate Change Implications for the Human Settlements sector in South Africa Overview of proposed approach to the Desktop Study to inform discussion Project Team Project Lead: Crispian Olver

More information

Sea Level Rise and Coastal Inundation Thursday 11 th October, 2012, 1.00pm, With lunch in the Legislative Council Committee Room

Sea Level Rise and Coastal Inundation Thursday 11 th October, 2012, 1.00pm, With lunch in the Legislative Council Committee Room The Presiding Officers invite Parliamentarians and Staff to a Science Briefing on Sea Level Rise and Coastal Inundation Thursday 11 th October, 2012, 1.00pm, With lunch in the Legislative Council Committee

More information

Section 2.1 Ocean Basins. - Has helped determine where ocean basins are located. - Tectonic plates move changing the position of the continents.

Section 2.1 Ocean Basins. - Has helped determine where ocean basins are located. - Tectonic plates move changing the position of the continents. Science 8 Unit 1: Water Systems on Earth Chapter 2: Oceans Control the Water Cycle Section 2.1 Ocean Basins Oceans are important because: 1. Primary water source for the water cycle 2. Control weather

More information

Grade 8 Science. Unit 1: Water Systems on Earth Chapter 1

Grade 8 Science. Unit 1: Water Systems on Earth Chapter 1 Grade 8 Science Unit 1: Water Systems on Earth Chapter 1 Effects of Water? Churchill River Large Ocean Wave How do you use water? House Hold Use Personal Use Recreational Activities Water Distribution

More information

Disaster Risk Reduction and

Disaster Risk Reduction and 6 th ICRM Symposium 2015 Disaster Risk Reduction and 2015/04/23 Resilience in Taipei Outline Natural Disaster and Loss in Taiwan Climate Change and Geohazard Hazard Alert & App Monitoring & Modeling Land

More information

Activity 1 Eyewitnesses to Change

Activity 1 Eyewitnesses to Change Activity 1 Eyewitnesses to Change Forces of Change >> Arctic >> Activity 1 >> Page 1 EYEWITNESSES TO CHANGE NATIVE PEOPLES OBSERVE CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE ARCTIC Living With Change Sachs Harbour, Canada

More information

Climate Dataset: Aitik Closure Project. November 28 th & 29 th, 2018

Climate Dataset: Aitik Closure Project. November 28 th & 29 th, 2018 1 Climate Dataset: Aitik Closure Project November 28 th & 29 th, 2018 Climate Dataset: Aitik Closure Project 2 Early in the Closure Project, consensus was reached to assemble a long-term daily climate

More information

Manitoba s Future Climate

Manitoba s Future Climate Climate Change Connection: Severe Weather in MB Workshop, 2 April 2013 Manitoba s Future Climate Danny Blair Associate Dean of Science, University of Winnipeg Professor of Geography Co-Chair, MB s Climate

More information

ATOC OUR CHANGING ENVIRONMENT Class 19 (Chp 6) Objectives of Today s Class: The Cryosphere [1] Components, time scales; [2] Seasonal snow

ATOC OUR CHANGING ENVIRONMENT Class 19 (Chp 6) Objectives of Today s Class: The Cryosphere [1] Components, time scales; [2] Seasonal snow ATOC 1060-002 OUR CHANGING ENVIRONMENT Class 19 (Chp 6) Objectives of Today s Class: The Cryosphere [1] Components, time scales; [2] Seasonal snow cover, permafrost, river and lake ice, ; [3]Glaciers and

More information

2014 Annual Mitigation Plan Review Meeting

2014 Annual Mitigation Plan Review Meeting 2014 Annual Mitigation Plan Review Meeting Highland County EMA MEETING OBJECTIVES Understand Your Natural Disaster Risk Review of Previous Plans Current Plan Status Future Activity Plan/Needs of Each Community

More information

Adapting to Climate Change in Black River First Nation

Adapting to Climate Change in Black River First Nation Adapting to Climate Change in Black River First Nation Dr. Brian G. Kotak, General Manager -Manitoba Model Forest Jack Johnson, Special Projects Black River First Nation Climate Change & Health Adaptation

More information

Who cares about S2S research to improve forecasts?

Who cares about S2S research to improve forecasts? Who cares about S2S research to improve forecasts? Ali Stevens, Annarita Mariotti, Dan Barrie, Emily Read Climate Program Office Contact: alison.stevens@noaa.gov 16th Annual CPASW May 22-24, 2018 **Any

More information

Historical and Projected Future Climate Changes in the Great Lakes Region

Historical and Projected Future Climate Changes in the Great Lakes Region Historical and Projected Future Climate Changes in the Great Lakes Region B.J. Baule Great Lakes Integrates Sciences + Assessments University of Michigan Jeffrey A. Andresen Dept. of Geography Michigan

More information

Climate outlook, longer term assessment and regional implications. What s Ahead for Agriculture: How to Keep One of Our Key Industries Sustainable

Climate outlook, longer term assessment and regional implications. What s Ahead for Agriculture: How to Keep One of Our Key Industries Sustainable Climate outlook, longer term assessment and regional implications What s Ahead for Agriculture: How to Keep One of Our Key Industries Sustainable Bureau of Meteorology presented by Dr Jeff Sabburg Business

More information

Temperature ( C) Map 1. Annual Average Temperatures Are Projected to Increase Dramatically by 2050

Temperature ( C) Map 1. Annual Average Temperatures Are Projected to Increase Dramatically by 2050 CO UNT RY S NA P SHO T India s Hotspots The Impact of Temperature and Precipitation Changes on Living Standards Climate change is already a pressing issue for India. Temperatures have risen considerably

More information

Terrestrial Snow Cover: Properties, Trends, and Feedbacks. Chris Derksen Climate Research Division, ECCC

Terrestrial Snow Cover: Properties, Trends, and Feedbacks. Chris Derksen Climate Research Division, ECCC Terrestrial Snow Cover: Properties, Trends, and Feedbacks Chris Derksen Climate Research Division, ECCC Outline Three Snow Lectures: 1. Why you should care about snow: Snow and the cryosphere Classes of

More information

Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma. Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey

Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma. Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey Our previous stance on global warming Why the anxiety? Extreme Viewpoints!

More information

New NASA Ocean Observations and Coastal Applications

New NASA Ocean Observations and Coastal Applications New NASA Ocean Observations and Coastal Applications Duane Armstrong Chief, Applied Science & Technology Project Office August 20, 2014 1 Outline NASA s new Earth Science Ocean Science Missions for 2014

More information

Impact on Agriculture

Impact on Agriculture Weather Variability and the Impact on Agriculture InfoAg 2017 Copyright 2017, awhere. All Rights Reserved The Problem: The Earth s Atmosphere is a Heat Engine In transition 1 C warming of atmosphere Triples

More information