Florida Flood Risks. Heavy Rainfall. Groundwater. Tidal Flooding. Storm Surge. King Tides. Runoff/Riverine
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1 Florida Flood Risks Heavy Rainfall Storm Surge Groundwater Tidal Flooding Runoff/Riverine King Tides
2 Sawgrass Mills Mall Sunrise, Florida 15 of rain in 3 days, with most in 24 hours. Mall closed for 3 days due to flooding. Approximately $4 million in lost revenue per day (based on company-wide numbers).
3 Punta Gorda Seawall Failures Punta Gorda, Florida Water retreated due to offshore hurricanes winds. Seawalls overloaded and collapsed. Important component of stormwater system for coastal cities. Images from City of Punta Gorda website.
4 St. John s River Flooding during Irma Jacksonville, Florida Rainfall (5-10 ) + storm surge News4JAX.com Steve Bowen (Aon Benfield) Photo from Jacksonville Sheriff s Office
5 Rising Seas have and will continue to create greater challenges for communities dealing with flooding events. 1 Historic Mean Sea Level (MSL) & Projections Virginia Key, FL & Miami Beach, FL Mean Sea Level (ft, NAVD88) ~14 inches since 1930s
6 The Catch-22 of Sea Level Rise Those communities that will require the most investment to adapt will also be hit the hardest financially by sea level rise. - Potential Increases in Mortgage Defaults - Business Interruption from Flooding - Reduction in Tourism - Municipal Bond Ratings Damage to Public Assets & Infrastructure - Damage from Extreme Weather - Substantial Investments in Adaptation - Greater Public Health Costs - - Changes in Flood Insurance Premiums - Migration of Residents
7 ( / ) ( / ) Economic Feedback Loop of Flooding & Adaptation
8 Municipal Bonds Adaptation today (bonding projects today) will make it easier to bond projects in the future. Communities that wait to adapt may find it harder to bond public infrastructure projects.
9 Flood Insurance National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) What is the future of the private flood insurance market? Housing affordability (+ potential for less offerings of 30-year mortgages). Billions of Dollars $20 $18 $16 $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $- Hurricane Katrina Superstorm Sandy Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria Loss Dollars Paid Total Premium Collected Data from FEMA
10 Even the biggest bucket can be filled drop by drop.
11 EXTRA SLIDES
12 What does the future look like? Mean Sea Level (ft, NAVD88) Historic Mean Sea Level (MSL) & Projections Virginia Key, FL & Miami Beach, FL 1 High 0.98 ft. Virginia Key, FL Monthly MSL Miami Beach, FL Monthly MSL NOAA Linear MSL Trend NOAA Low Projection NOAA Intermediate Projection NOAA High Projection Intermed ft. Low ft.
13 In coastal communities, our stormwater systems use gravity to move water from the our streets out to sea.
14 When significant amounts of rain fall in a relatively short amount of time, the existing stormwater infrastructure may be overloaded.
15 Tides in oday Our stormwater systems become conduits for sea water. Sunny Day Tidal Flooding or Fair-Weather Flooding vation Extent l Now SEA WATER Floodin Tidal E New Mean Sea L
16 Even relatively small amounts of rain on days experiencing Sunny Day Flooding can exacerbate flooding. SEA WATER
17 Tides Today Flooding Elevation Tidal Extent Mean Sea Level Now Tides in the Future Flooding Elevation Tidal Extent New Mean Sea Level Sea Level Rise Streets now flood more often *without adaptation King Tides of today will be the normal tides of tomorrow.
18 Brian McNoldy, University of Miami
19 How do we know sea levels are rising? Multiple lines of evidence. We directly observe sea level all over the world through tidal gauges. Beaufort, NC San Francisco, CA Woods Hole, MA Virginia Key, FL
20 So what causes sea level rise? More water in our ocean basins: As temperatures continue to warm, ice on land will melt inputting cold freshwater into the oceans. Glacier in Greenland, Dr. Rebecca Jackson. Existing water expanding: As temperatures continue to warm, existing ocean waters will increase in volume due to thermal expansion.
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