South Carolina s Climate Report Card: South Carolina State Climatology Office. Understanding South Carolina s Climate Trends and Variability
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1 The information provided here is for informational and educational purposes and current as of the date of publication. The information is not a substitute for legal advice and does not necessarily reflect the opinion or policy position of the Municipal Association of South Carolina. Consult your attorney for advice concerning specific situations. South Carolina s Climate Report Card: Understanding South Carolina s Climate Trends and Variability Hope Mizzell, Ph.D. SC State Climatology Office South Carolina State Climatology Office Serves as the State s focal point for weather and climate information Archive, process, and disseminate South Carolina weather and climate data, to educate on current and emerging weather and climate issues Assist in forecast interpretation before, during, and after periods of severe weather Maintain an active research program 1
2 Is the SC Getting Warmer or Colder? SC Statewide Average Annual Temperature Winter Maximum Temperature Winter Minimum Temperature USHCN database developed by NOAA. Stations chosen using criteria: -length of period of record -% of missing data -number of station moves and other station changes 2
3 Spring Maximum Temperature Spring Minimum Temperature USHCN database developed by NOAA. Stations chosen using criteria: -length of period of record -% of missing data -number of station moves and other station changes Summer Maximum Temperature Summer Minimum Temperature USHCN database developed by NOAA. Stations chosen using criteria: -length of period of record -% of missing data -number of station moves and other station changes Fall Maximum Temperature Fall Minimum Temperature USHCN database developed by NOAA. Stations chosen using criteria: -length of period of record -% of missing data -number of station moves and other station changes 3
4 SC Statewide Average Summer Temperature Summer Minimum Temperature Comparison
5 Is it Wetter or Drier? SC Annual Precipitation Trend Wettest Driest Annual Precipitation 5
6 Spring Precipitation Summer Precipitation Fall Precipitation 6
7 Winter Precipitation Fall Average Precipitation Comparison SC Statewide Average Fall Precipitation
8 8
9 Hurricane and Flooding Flood Mitigation Program Protecting Lives, Protecting Property Floodplain Management, Mapping, and Mitigation South Carolina Hurricane Landfalls Years Without Hurricane Landfalls Number of Landfalls October
10 October 2016 September
11 NOAA ATLAS 14 POINT PRECIPITATION FREQUENCY ESTIMATES Preliminary Analysis NOAA ATLAS 14 POINT PRECIPITATION FREQUENCY ESTIMATES Preliminary Analysis MARION : HURRICANE FLORENCE: Sept 14-17, Years Years 100 Years Years 500 Years Years Observed Precipitation hr 2-day 3-day 4-day 7-day 10-day 30-day 11
12 MARION: 4-day Maximum Rainfall Totals 18 Rainfall (inches) Year 500 Year 200 Year Year Year 25 Year Years 12
13 HMGP Project Summary Catalyst: Flooding rains from hurricane Joaquin & Matthew Partners: SC Department of Natural Resources State Climatology Office and MetStat Funding source: FEMA Hazard Mitigation Grant Program & In-kind from MetStat Goal: Situational awareness and resiliency thru precipitation/hydrology online portal (MetPortal) for SC Key datasets: Gridded precipitation observed at various intervals (MetStormLive) Gridded precipitation forecasts at various intervals (WRF) Precipitation probabilities (AEPs), used to identify areas of potential flooding Dense precipitation gauge network & integrated gauge history Personalized point and/or watershed-specific & text alerts Timeline: MetPortal publicly available Spring
14 Sample case: Hurricane Michael in MetPortal 1-hour precip ending 11 Oct 2018 at 10 UTC *Conceptual Design 40 Sample case: Florence alerts ~ 95.6 year event 41 Extreme Precipitation Flood Alert System HMGP Project Currently in preliminary development phase Seeking participants for a 5-minute survey Please share with interested colleagues Responses due November 30th Survey available at: goo.gl/cpmcrb Contact info: Hope Mizzell: MizzellH@dnr.sc.gov Tye Parzbok: tyep@metstat.com Katie Ward: katie@metstat.com Victoria Bahls: vbahls@metstat.com 42 14
15 Calling all Citizen Scientists Winner of the COCORAHS March Madness Recruitment Contest 178 new observers 15
16 Thank you Hope Mizzell, Ph.D. SC State Climatologist
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