Current Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
|
|
- Peregrine Cunningham
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Puerto Plata; Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeastern Bahamas A Warning is in effect for the Dominican Republic west of Puerto Plata to the northern border of the Dominican Republic and Haiti; Central Bahamas Current Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) COORDINATES: 21.9 north, 70.9 west LOCATION: 30 miles (50 kilometers) north-northeast of Grand Turk Island MOVEMENT: northwest at 7 mph (11 kph) WINDS: 125 mph (205 kph) with gusts to 250 mph (155 kph) RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS: 160 miles (260 kilometers) RADIUS OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS: 70 miles (110 kilometers) MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 959 millibars SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE RANKING*: Category 3 Hurricane 1 st LANDFALL LOCATION: Dominica 1 st LANDFALL TIMEFRAME: 9:15 PM local time, September 18 (01:15 UTC, September 19) 1 st LANDFALL INTENSITY: 160 mph (260 kph) Category 5 2 nd LANDFALL LOCATION: Yabucoa, Puerto Rico 2 nd LANDFALL TIMEFRAME: 6:15 AM local time, September 20 (10:15 UTC) 2 nd LANDFALL INTENSITY: 155 mph (250 kph) Category 4 24-HOUR SIGNIFICANT LOCAL INSURED LOSS POTENTIAL: LOW Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources.
2 Latest Satellite Picture Source: NOAA Discussion Hurricane Maria, located approximately 30 miles (50 kilometers) north-northeast of Grand Turk Island, is currently tracking northwest at 7 mph (11 kph). Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft earlier this morning indicated that the central pressure of Maria had risen to 959 millibars, accompanied by flight-level winds and surface wind estimates that supported an intensity near 120 mph (195 kph). Since that time, the cloud tops in the eyewall have cooled, but the eye has become less distinct in conventional satellite imagery. The NHC has slightly increased the initial intensity to 125 mph (205 kph) pending the imminent arrival of a new aircraft. Maria is starting to be affected by increasing vertical wind shear, with the first sign of this being a decrease in convective banding in the western semicircle. The forecast models continue to show some wind shear to persist through the forecast period, and as a result, the intensity guidance predicts a gradual weakening trend. In addition, after 48 hours the forecast NHC track takes the center of Maria over waters that were cooled significantly by the passage of former Hurricane Jose. Based on these factors, the new NHC intensity forecast calls for a slow weakening during the first two days, similar to the previous forecast, then calls for more weakening than previously forecast as the cyclone reaches the colder waters. Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 2
3 The initial motion is northwest. Maria will be moving between a ridge of high pressure located to the east and a trough over the southeastern United States and the adjacent Atlantic waters during the next several days. This pattern should cause the hurricane to turn north-northwestward and then northward during the next 72 hours. The track guidance is tightly clustered during this part of the forecast, and the new NHC forecast track is an update of the previous track. After 72 hours, the guidance becomes a little more divergent. This part of the forecast track is nudged just a little to the left of the old forecast and the consensus models to account for the Euro (ECMWF) and Canadian forecasts. Key Messages from the National Hurricane Center 1. Flash flood warnings continue in portions of Puerto Rico due to persistent heavy rainfall from Maria's trailing rainbands. Everyone in Puerto Rico should continue to follow advice from local officials to avoid these life-threatening flooding conditions. 2. Swells from Maria are expected to begin reaching the coast of the southeastern United States today. These swells are likely to cause dangerous surf and life-threatening rip currents along the coast for the next several days, even with Maria forecast to remain well offshore over the western Atlantic Ocean. Additional Information WIND: storm conditions across portions of the Dominican Republic should subside during the next several hours. Hurricane conditions are spreading into the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas and will continue through today. storm conditions are possible in the central Bahamas beginning late today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels in the hurricane warning area in the Dominican Republic, and 1 to 3 feet elsewhere along the northern coasts of the Dominican Republic and Haiti. A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels within the hurricane warning area of the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Saturday: Turks and Caicos: 8 to 16 inches (isolated 20 inches) Puerto Rico: additional 3 to 6 inches (isolated maximum storm total amounts 40 inches) Eastern Dominican Republic:additional 4 to 8 inches (isolated storm total amounts 20 inches) Western Dominican Republic and northern Haiti: additional 3 to 6 inches Mayaguana, southeast Bahamas: 4 to 8 inches Inagua Islands and Crooked Island, Bahamas: 2 to 6 inches Rest of eastern Bahamas: 1 to 3 inches Rainfall on these islands will continue to cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the southeastern Bahamas. These swells will reach the remainder of the Bahamas soon and should reach portions of the United States southeastern coast today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 3
4 National Hurricane Center (NHC) Forecast Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 4
5 Most Likely Arrival Time of -Force Winds Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 5
6 National Hurricane Center: Wind Speed Probabilities -Force Wind Probabilities ( 40 mph (65 kph)) Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 6
7 Wind Probabilities ( 60 mph (95 kph)) Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 7
8 Hurricane-Force Wind Probabilities ( 75 mph (120 kph)) Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 8
9 Current Spaghetti Model Output Data Source: NHC Additional Information and Update Schedule Wind intensity forecasts and forecast track information can be found via the National Hurricane Center at NEXT CAT ALERT: Saturday morning after 10:00 AM Central Time (15:00 UTC). Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 9
10 * Intensity Classifications for Global Basins WIND SPEED KTS 1 MPH 1 KPH NE Pacific, Atlantic National Hurricane Center (NHC) NW Pacific Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) BASINS AND MONITORING BUREAU NW Pacific Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) SW Pacific Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS) Australia Bureau Of Meteorology (BOM) Low SW Indian Meteo-France (MF) North Indian India Meteorological Department (IMD) Deep Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Moderate Cyclonic Cyclonic Cat. 1 Hurricane Cat. 3 Cat Cat. 2 Hurricane Cat. 3 Major Hurricane Typhoon Typhoon Cat. 4 Cat. 4 Intense Very Cyclonic Cat. 4 Major Hurricane Cat. 5 Major >140 >160 >260 Hurricane Super Typhoon Cat. 5 Cat. 5 Very Intense Super Cyclonic Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 10
11 About Aon Benfield Aon Benfield, a division of Aon plc (NYSE: AON), is the world s leading reinsurance intermediary and fullservice capital advisor. We empower our clients to better understand, manage and transfer risk through innovative solutions and personalized access to all forms of global reinsurance capital across treaty, facultative and capital markets. As a trusted advocate, we deliver local reach to the world s markets, an unparalleled investment in innovative analytics, including catastrophe management, actuarial and rating agency advisory. Through our professionals expertise and experience, we advise clients in making optimal capital choices that will empower results and improve operational effectiveness for their business. With more than 80 offices in 50 countries, our worldwide client base has access to the broadest portfolio of integrated capital solutions and services. To learn how Aon Benfield helps empower results, please visit aonbenfield.com. Copyright by Impact Forecasting No claim to original government works. The text and graphics of this publication are provided for informational purposes only. While Impact Forecasting has tried to provide accurate and timely information, inadvertent technical inaccuracies and typographical errors may exist, and Impact Forecasting does not warrant that the information is accurate, complete or current. The data presented at this site is intended to convey only general information on current natural perils and must not be used to make life-or-death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property, as the data may not be accurate. Please listen to official information sources for current storm information. This data has no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances. Cat Alerts use publicly available data from the internet and other sources. Impact Forecasting summarizes this publicly available information for the convenience of those individuals who have contacted Impact Forecasting and expressed an interest in natural catastrophes of various types. To find out more about Impact Forecasting or to sign up for the Cat Reports, visit Impact Forecasting s webpage at impactforecasting.com. Copyright by Aon plc. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise. Impact Forecasting is a wholly owned subsidiary of Aon plc. Cat Alert: Hurricane Maria 11
Current Details from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Current Details from the Joint Warning Center COORDINATES: 19.6 north, 125.5 east (previous location: 17.9 north, 130.3 east) LOCATION: 737 kilometers (458 miles) southeast of Taipei, Taiwan MOVEMENT:
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect for U.S. Virgin Islands; British Virgin Islands; Puerto Rico, Culebra, and Vieques; Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Puerto Plata; Turks
More informationCurrent Details from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Current Details from the Joint Warning Center COORDINATES: 10.2 north, 148.1 east (previous location: 10.1 north, 148.3 east) LOCATION: 520 kilometers (325 miles) southeast of Andersen Air Force Base,
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Port Mansfield to Sargent, Texas A Warning is in effect from north of Sargent to High Island, Texas A Surge Warning is in effect from
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Central Bahamas; Northwestern Bahamas (including the Abacos, Berry Islands, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence); The
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Warning is in effect from San Blas to Punta San Telmo, Mexico A Warning is in effect from east of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico; north of San Blas to El Roblito,
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Anguilla; Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten; Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy; British Virgin Islands; U.S. Virgin Islands; Puerto
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Warning is in effect from Anclote River to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line; north of the Volusia/Brevard County line to the South Santee River A Surge Warning is in effect
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the northern border with Haiti; Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to Le
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the northern border with Haiti; Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to Le
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Port Mansfield to Sargent, Texas A Warning is in effect from north of Sargent to High Island, Texas; south of Port Mansfield, Texas to
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Port Mansfield to Matagorda, Texas A Warning is in effect from north of Matagorda to High Island, Texas; south of Port Mansfield, Texas
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches/Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Surf City, North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border; Pamlico Sound; Eastern Albemarle Sound A Hurricane Watch is in effect from
More informationCurrent Details from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Current Details from the Joint Warning Center COORDINATES: 25.0 north, 119.1 east (previous location: 23.3 north, 123.7 east) LOCATION: 245 kilometers (150 miles) west of Taipei, Taiwan MOVEMENT: northwestward
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Fernandina Beach southward around the Florida peninsula to Indian Pass; Florida Keys; Lake Okeechobee; Florida Bay A Hurricane Watch is
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border A Warning is in effect from Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico; Pinar del Rio; metropolitan
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Fernandina Beach southward around the Florida peninsula to the Aucilla River; Florida Keys; Lake Okeechobee; Florida Bay; Cuban provinces
More informationColorado State University (CSU) Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
Colorado State University (CSU) Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Dr. Philip Klotzbach of Colorado State University (CSU) has issued his latest forecast for the Atlantic Hurricane Season. The forecast
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Fernandina Beach southward around the Florida peninsula to the Indian Pass; Florida Keys; Lake Okeechobee; Florida Bay; Cuban provinces
More informationColorado State University (CSU) Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
Colorado State University (CSU) Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Dr. Philip Klotzbach of Colorado State University (CSU) has issued his April forecast for the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The forecast
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from South Santee River, South Carolina (SC) to Duck, North Carolina (NC); Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds A Hurricane Watch is in effect from
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from South Santee River, South Carolina (SC) to Duck, North Carolina (NC); Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds A Hurricane Watch is in effect from
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Hurricane Warning is in effect from South Santee River, South Carolina (SC) to Bogue Inlet, North Carolina (NC); Pamlico Sound A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Edisto
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches/Warnings A Warning is in effect from east of Morgan City, Louisiana to the Mississippi-Alabama border, including metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas A Watch is
More informationCurrent Details from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Current Watches and Warnings A Warning is in effect from South Santee River, South Carolina to Cape Lookout, North Carolina; Pamlico Sound A Surge Warning is in effect from Myrtle Beach, South Carolina
More informationStorm Summary for Hurricane Joaquin
Storm Summary for Hurricane Joaquin Wednesday, September 30, 2015 at 5 PM EDT (Output from Hurrevac, based on National Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory #12) Joaquin is currently a Category 1 hurricane
More informationTropical Update. 5 AM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia
Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational
More informationHurricane Matthew Page 1 Location Forecast Analysis Summary Report - Advanced Wind Estimation On
Page 1 Current NHC Forecast Predictions Maximum Sustained Winds / Storm Category: 138 MPH / Category 4 Forward motion: 9 mph towards the North Hurricane Force winds extend from the center: 46 miles Tropical
More informationTropical Update. 5 AM EDT Wednesday, September 6, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Storm Katia
Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Wednesday, September 6, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Storm Katia This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational
More informationGC Briefing. Weather Sentinel Hurricane Florence. Status at 5 PM EDT (21 UTC) Today (NHC) Discussion. September 13, 2018
GC Briefing September 13, 2018 Weather Sentinel Hurricane Florence Tropical storm conditions have been reported for areas of North Carolina and will continue to spread inland to the west and south. Hurricane
More informationWEDNESDAY 30 TH AUGUST, :57 p.m. Tropical Storm Irma forms in the Atlantic. Don t let your guard down, always #Be Ready.
Chapter 1 - The Set Up In the days leading up to Irma a series of composed and sobering text messages, presented in truncated form below, from Department of Disaster Management warned us of the pending
More informationStorm Summary for Hurricane Jose
Storm Summary for Hurricane Jose Tuesday, September 19, 2017 at 11 AM EDT (Output from Hurrevac, based on National Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory #57) Jose is currently a Category 1 hurricane on the
More informationTropical Update. 5 AM EDT Tuesday, September 12, 2017 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irma, Hurricane Jose, & Tropical Wave (10%)
Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Tuesday, September 12, 2017 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irma, Hurricane Jose, & Tropical Wave (10%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided
More informationTropical Update. 11 AM EDT Tuesday, October 9, 2018 Hurricane Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, Tropical Storm Nadine
Tropical Update 11 AM EDT Tuesday, October 9, 2018 Hurricane Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, Tropical Storm Nadine This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided
More informationGC Briefing. Weather Sentinel Tropical Storm Michael. Status at 8 AM EDT (12 UTC) Today (NHC) Discussion. October 11, 2018
GC Briefing Weather Sentinel Tropical Storm Michael October 11, 2018 After making landfall as a high-end category-4 hurricane on the Florida Panhandle, Michael weakened to tropical storm status early this
More informationHurricane Irma Page 1 HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2017 Summary Report for Tampa, FL 09/09/ EDT, Adv. # 43
Hurricane Irma Page 1 Description of impact to Tampa, FL, Tampa, FL, is expected to receive a major impact from Hurricane Irma. The forecast maximum wind for this location has decreased since the last
More informationTropical Update 11 AM EDT Thursday, September 6, 2018 Tropical Depression Gordon, Hurricane Florence, Invest 92L (90%) & African Tropical Wave (50%)
Tropical Update 11 AM EDT Thursday, September 6, 2018 Tropical Depression Gordon, Hurricane Florence, Invest 92L (90%) & African Tropical Wave (50%) This update is intended for government and emergency
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Sunday, September 10, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, Tropical Wave (60%)
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Sunday, September 10, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, Tropical Wave (60%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational
More informationHurricane Irma Page 1 HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2017 Summary Report for Tampa, FL 09/10/ EDT, Adv. # 46
Hurricane Irma Page 1 Description of impact to Tampa, FL, Tampa, FL, is expected to receive a major impact from Hurricane Irma. The forecast maximum wind for this location has increased since the last
More informationMajor Hurricane Matthew Briefing Situation Overview
Major Hurricane Matthew Briefing Situation Overview At 5 p.m. Tuesday, Category 4 Hurricane Matthew was about 860 miles South-Southeast of Mayport, Florida, moving north around 10 mph. Maximum sustained
More informationAtlantic Basin Satellite Image
Tropical Update 11 AM EDT Friday, September 7, 2018 Tropical Depression Gordon, Tropical Storm Florence, Potential Tropical Cyclone #8 (90%), Invest 92L (90%) This update is intended for government and
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Thursday, August 27, 2015 Tropical Storm Erika
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Thursday, August 27, 2015 Tropical Storm Erika This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational and situational awareness
More informationTropical Update. 12 PM EDT Friday, October 7, 2016 Hurricane Matthew & Tropical Storm Nicole
Tropical Update 12 PM EDT Friday, October 7, 2016 Hurricane Matthew & Tropical Storm Nicole This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational and
More informationHURRICANE JEANNE CHARACTERISTICS and STORM TIDE EVALUATION
HURRICANE JEANNE CHARACTERISTICS and STORM TIDE EVALUATION ((DRAFT)) By Robert Wang and Michael Manausa Sponsored by Florida Department of Environmental Protection, Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems
More informationTropical Update. 5 AM EDT Monday, October 8, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, Invest 92L (10%) & African Tropical Wave (50%)
Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Monday, October 8, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, Invest 92L (10%) & African Tropical Wave (50%) This update is intended for government and emergency response
More informationTropical Update. 11 AM EDT Wednesday, October 10, 2018 Hurricane Michael, Hurricane Leslie & Tropical Storm Nadine, Caribbean Low (40%)
Tropical Update 11 AM EDT Wednesday, October 10, 2018 Hurricane Michael, Hurricane Leslie & Tropical Storm Nadine, Caribbean Low (40%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials,
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Sunday, October 7, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, & Invest 92L (30%)
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Sunday, October 7, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, & Invest 92L (30%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided
More information(April 7, 2010, Wednesday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 2
Lecture #17 (April 7, 2010, Wednesday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 2 Hurricane Katrina August 2005 All tropical cyclone tracks (1945-2006). Hurricane Formation While moving westward, tropical disturbances
More informationCovered Area Rainfall Event (18-19 September 2017) Hurricane Maria Excess Rainfall
Covered Area Rainfall Event (18-19 September 2017) Hurricane Maria Excess Rainfall Event Briefing Barbados 28 September 2017 Registered Office: CCRIF SPC c/o Sagicor Insurance Managers Ltd., 198 North
More informationTropical Update 6 AM EDT Friday, October 7, 2016 Hurricane Matthew & Hurricane Nicole
Tropical Update 6 AM EDT Friday, October 7, 2016 Hurricane Matthew & Hurricane Nicole This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational and situational
More informationWEATHER SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS Prepared by the staff of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service
WEATHER SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS 2008 Prepared by the staff of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service TROPICAL STORM DOLLY Formed 194 miles west of Grand Cayman July 19 th. The tropical
More informationChapter 24 Tropical Cyclones
Chapter 24 Tropical Cyclones Tropical Weather Systems Tropical disturbance a cluster of thunderstorms about 250 to 600 km in diameter, originating in the tropics or sub-tropics Tropical depression a cluster
More informationNWS HURRICANES June 3, 2015
NWS HURRICANES June 3, 2015 Hurricane Season June 1 November 30 2 What s the concern? All tropical systems passing within 125nm of central Maryland since 1950 Mid-Atlantic Hurricanes Greatest Risk: August
More informationHurricane Harvey: SE Texas Impacts. 10 PM CDT UPDATE Friday, August 25, 2017 Prepared by: Lance Wood
Hurricane Harvey: SE Texas Impacts 10 PM CDT UPDATE Friday, August 25, 2017 Prepared by: Lance Wood Latest Observations Hurricane Harvey making landfall this evening near Rockport as a category 4 hurricane.
More informationTROPICAL STORM HARVEY BRIEFING
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY BRIEFING 10:00 AM CDT Sunday, August 27, 2017 Prepared by: NWS LIX NWSNewOrleans www.weather.gov/neworleans Situation Overview New Information Tropical Storm Winds 40mph Immediate
More informationHurricane Harvey: SE Texas Impacts. 10 AM CDT UPDATE Saturday, August 26, 2017 Prepared by: Dan Reilly, Brian Kyle
Hurricane Harvey: SE Texas Impacts 10 AM CDT UPDATE Saturday, August 26, 2017 Prepared by: Dan Reilly, Brian Kyle Latest Observations and Radar Hurricane Harvey centered near Victoria and weakening Wind
More informationWhat s s New for 2009
What s s New for 2009 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook becomes operational Special Tropical Disturbance Statement replaced with Special Tropical Weather Outlook Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Graphic becomes
More informationChapter 24. Tropical Cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Classification 4/19/17
Chapter 24 Tropical Cyclones Tropical Cyclones Most destructive storms on the planet Originate over tropical waters, but their paths often take them over land and into midlatitudes Names Hurricane (Atlantic
More informationTropical Storm Harvey: SE Texas Impacts
Tropical Storm Harvey: SE Texas Impacts 10 AM CDT UPDATE Thursday, August 24, 2017 Prepared by: Dan Reilly, Brian Kyle PLEASE MUTE YOUR LINES AND DON T PUT ON HOLD! Situation Overview Tropical Storm Harvey
More informationHURRICANE HARVEY COE Navigation BRIEFING
HURRICANE HARVEY COE Navigation BRIEFING 10:00 AM CDT Friday, August 25, 2017 NWSNewOrleans www.weather.gov/neworleans Situation Overview New Information Harvey continues to strengthen Max sustained winds
More informationWELCOME TO THE 2018 RA-IV WORKSHOP ON HURRICANE FORECASTING AND WARNING
WELCOME TO THE 2018 RA-IV WORKSHOP ON HURRICANE FORECASTING AND WARNING Richard J. Pasch and Daniel P. Brown Senior Hurricane Specialists National Hurricane Center ORIENTATION Use of PCs NHC Facility Workshop
More informationphoto courtesy of
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS REPORT TROPICAL STORM JEANNE photo courtesy of www.bviplatinum.com PREPARED BY THE DEPARTMENT OF DISASTER MANAGEMENT 1 EVENT 13 th -16 th September, 2004 TROPICAL STORM JEANNE Sequence
More informationMajor Hurricane Earl
Major Hurricane Earl Advisory 32 North Carolina Threat Assessment Prepared at: 8 AM Thursday September 2, 2010 Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warnings in effect for the North Carolina Coast and Sounds. NWS
More informationMajor Hurricane Matthew Briefing Situation Overview
Major Hurricane Matthew Briefing Situation Overview THIS IS NOW A WORST CASE STORM SURGE SCENARIO Catastrophic Damage is Anticipated for Coastal Areas. Major Hurricane Matthew is still expected to move
More information11/19/14. Chapter 11: Hurricanes. The Atmosphere: An Introduction to Meteorology, 12 th. Lutgens Tarbuck
Chapter 11: Hurricanes The Atmosphere: An Introduction to Meteorology, 12 th Lutgens Tarbuck Lectures by: Heather Gallacher, Cleveland State University! Hurricanes: " Hurricanes are intense centers of
More informationHURRICANE IRENE. CONFERENCE CALL BRIEFING SLIDES Saturday August 27, :30 AM
HURRICANE IRENE CONFERENCE CALL BRIEFING SLIDES Saturday August 27, 2011 8:30 AM NHC TRACK AND CONE HURRICANE IRENE WATCHES/WARNINGS Hurricane Warning along south coast including all of Cape Cod and Islands
More informationHurricane Matthew. National Weather Service Wilmington NC. Steven Pfaff, WCM.
Hurricane Matthew Threat Assessment for northeast South Carolina & southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 515 PM EDT Monday October 3, 2016 Steven Pfaff, WCM Steven.Pfaff@noaa.gov
More informationNOAA s National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly NJ
Next Briefing Package: Friday, October 2, 2015 no later than 300 PM Hazards and Impacts: Overview: A dangerous weather pattern still threatens our region. Threats include very heavy rainfall, inland river
More informationCoastal Storm Potential
Coastal Storm Potential Event Date/Time: 11/12/2009-11/14/2009 Today through Saturday National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City, NC Date: 11/12/2009 1000 am Coastal Storm Remnants of Ida, coupled
More informationTROPICAL STORM NATE BRIEFING
TROPICAL STORM NATE BRIEFING 5:00 AM CDT Friday, October 6, 2017 Prepared by: NWS NWSNewOrleans www.weather.gov/neworleans Situation Overview No significant changes to the track forecast this morning.
More informationHurricane Matthew. National Weather Service Wilmington NC. Steven Pfaff, WCM.
Hurricane Matthew Threat Assessment for northeast South Carolina & southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 730 AM EDT Tuesday October 4, 2016 Steven Pfaff, WCM Steven.Pfaff@noaa.gov
More informationCoping With Disaster: The Impact of Hurricanes on International Financial Flows,
Coping With Disaster: The Impact of Hurricanes on International Financial Flows, 1970-2001 Dean Yang Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy University of Michigan 1 Motivation Disasters cause huge human
More informationFoundations of Earth Science, 6e Lutgens, Tarbuck, & Tasa
Foundations of Earth Science, 6e Lutgens, Tarbuck, & Tasa Weather Patterns and Severe Weather Foundations, 6e - Chapter 14 Stan Hatfield Southwestern Illinois College Air masses Characteristics Large body
More informationAt the Midpoint of the 2008
At the Midpoint of the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Editor s note: It has been an anxious couple of weeks for those with financial interests in either on- or offshore assets in the Gulf of Mexico and
More information2006 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SUMMARY. Weather Research Center Houston, Texas
2006 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SUMMARY Weather Research Center Houston, Texas Weather Research Center 5104 Caroline Houston, Texas 77004 Phone: 713-529-3076 Fax: 713-528-3538 E-mail: wrc@wxresearch.org 2006 Atlantic
More informationHURRICANE FRANCES CHARACTERISTICS and STORM TIDE EVALUATION
HURRICANE FRANCES CHARACTERISTICS and STORM TIDE EVALUATION ((DRAFT)) By Robert Wang and Michael Manausa Sponsored by Florida Department of Environmental Protection, Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems
More informationMajor Hurricane Earl
Major Hurricane Earl Advisory 33 North Carolina Threat Assessment Prepared at: 11 AM Thursday September 2, 2010 Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warnings in effect for the North Carolina Coast and Sounds NWS
More informationHurricanes. April 14, 2009
Tropical Weather & Hurricanes Chapter 15 April 14, 2009 Tropical meteorology Tropics characterized by seasonal wet and drier periods- wet when sun is nearly overhead at noon and inter-tropical convergence
More informationTropical Cyclone Isaac (AL092012)
Tropical Cyclone Isaac (AL092012) Event Briefing, Central Caribbean Impacts Caribbean Risk Managers Ltd Facility Supervisor 27 August 2012 Facility Supervisor: Caribbean Risk Managers Ltd Email: ccrif@ccrif.org
More informationTropical Storm Ana. Created 6:00 AM Sun May 10, 2015 John Cole Warning Coordination Meteorologist
Tropical Storm Ana Threat Assessment for Eastern North Carolina Created 6:00 AM Sun May 10, 2015 John Cole Warning Coordination Meteorologist John.cole@noaa.gov National Weather Service Newport/Morehead
More informationAon Benfield Analytics Impact Forecasting. Weekly Cat Report. February 16, Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources.
Weekly Cat Report February 16, 2018 Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. This Week s Natural Disaster Events Event & Region CY Gita - Oceania Fatalities Damaged Structures or Filed Claims Est. Economic
More informationTropical Update. 1 PM EDT Monday, May 21, 2018 Caribbean Disturbance (20%)
Tropical Update 1 PM EDT Monday, May 21, 2018 Caribbean Disturbance (20%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational and situational awareness
More informationFrank Revitte National Weather Service. Weather Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge
Frank Revitte National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge Above normal activity 17 Total Named Storms 7 Tropical Storms 4 Hurricanes 6 Major Hurricanes Not the most active,
More informationWEEKLY OUTLOOK Valid: June 24-July 1, 2013
WEEKLY OUTLOOK Valid: June 24-July 1, 2013 Issue: 6:00 am Tuesday, June 24, 2013 SYNOPSIS for 6:00am Tuesday, June 24, 2013 RESIDUAL INSTABILITY IN THE MOIST EASTERLY AIRFLOW INDUCED BY A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
More informationChapter 16, Part Hurricane Paths. 2. Hurricane Paths. Hurricane Paths and Damage
Chapter 16, Part 2 Hurricane Paths and Damage 1. Hurricane Paths Start over tropical water except South Atlantic and eastern South Atlantic, where water is too cold. Initially steered by easterly winds
More informationStorm Surge Forecast with Shifting Forecast Tracks
Storm Surge Forecast with Shifting Forecast Tracks Storm Surge Findings in the Florida Keys Jon Rizzo Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Florida Keys Florida Keys Life History
More informationHurricanes and Their Tracks
LESSON PLAN 1 Hurricanes 3 5 Hurricanes and Their Tracks Children will know better what to expect of an approaching hurricane if they understand what a hurricane is and the weather associated with it.
More informationHurricane Matthew Threats and Impacts Briefing for Eastern NC
Hurricane Matthew Threats and Impacts Briefing for Eastern NC October 6 th, 2016 Date/Time Created: 10/6/2016, Noon EDT National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City, NC Hurricane Matthew Key Points Changes
More informationSLOSH New Orleans Basin 2012 Update
SLOSH New Orleans Basin 2012 Update Michael Koziara Science and Operations Officer National Weather Service Slidell, LA The Basics What is storm surge? What is SLOSH? Details Assumptions Inundation = Storm
More informationTropical Weather Briefing
Tropical Weather Briefing August 28, 2012 700 AM CDT National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Slidell, LA Current Satellite Tropical Storm Isaac Watches/Warnings Tropical Storm Isaac Track Guidance
More informationHurricane Matthew. Life Threatening Flash Flooding Likely. National Weather Service Wilmington NC. Josh Weiss, Meteorologist
Hurricane Matthew Life Threatening Flash Flooding Likely Threat Assessment for northeast South Carolina & southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 630 PM EDT Friday October 7, 2016
More informationHurricane Matthew Life Threatening Flash Flooding Likely
Hurricane Matthew Life Threatening Flash Flooding Likely Threat Assessment for northeast South Carolina & southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 12 AM EDT Saturday October 8, 2016
More informationWEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA
WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Sunday, June 17 until Monday, June 25, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Sunday, June 17, 2012; 3:00 pm RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: An upper level trough
More informationHurricanes. Environmental Geology Mr. Paul Lowrey. Stacey Singleton, Cassandra Combs, Dwight Stephenson, Matt Smithyman
Environmental Geology Mr. Paul Lowrey Stacey Singleton, Cassandra Combs, Dwight Stephenson, Matt Smithyman Hurricanes EMPACTS Project, Spring 2017 Northwest Arkansas Community College, Bentonville, AR
More informationTropical Storm Ana. Created 615 AM Sat May 9, 2015 Reid Hawkins, Science Officer
Tropical Storm Ana Threat Assessment for northeast South Carolina & southeast North Carolina Created 615 AM Sat May 9, 2015 Reid Hawkins, Science Officer National Weather Service Wilmington, NC 1 New Information
More informationTSR TROPICAL STORM TRACKER LAUNCH
TSR TROPICAL STORM TRACKER LAUNCH The Old Library, Lloyd s s of London Friday 30th May 2003 10.30am - 11.30am Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) Founded in 2000, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) offers a leading resource
More informationCustom Weather Forecast
1 of 23 Custom Weather Forecast 2018 Chicago Yacht Club s Race To Mackinac- Cruising Division Disclaimer: The user assumes all risk related to the use of this Custom Weather Forecast. The crew of the participating
More informationLECTURE #18: Hurricane Damage, Monitoring & Case Study
GEOL 0820 Ramsey Natural Disasters Spring, 2018 LECTURE #18: Hurricane Damage, Monitoring & Case Study Date: 27 March 2018 I. Exam II grades now posted online o high: 98, low: 46, average: 80 (~3 points
More information