LVB-HYNEWS CONSORTIUM LAKE VICTORIA PROJECT

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1 LVB-HYNEWS CONSORTIUM LAKE VICTORIA PROJECT

2 Outline The East African Community Background Heads of EAC NMHS meeting

3 EAC

4 East African Community Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda John Mungai, EAC coordinator for meteorology Responsible for any activity requiring coordination Health, navigation, fishing, warning, etc Lake Victoria Basin Commission

5 Revisionist History BACKGROUND

6 Background: EAC EWS Recommendation Enhancing safety of navigation and efficient exploitation of natural resources over Lake Victoria and its basin by strengthening meteorological services on the lake Enhancement and upgrading of the meteorological and marine observation systems Development of a Navigation Early Warning System Hotspots Atlas Establish a Centre of Meteorological Services for LV 2011 EAC Feasibility Study Consultant, Fred Semazzi UNCS/Sandy Yuter

7 WCRP: HyVIC Science Plan Fred Semazzi, WCRP reaction to EAC Feasibility Study

8 Executive Council Charge to WWRP Joseph Mukabana, Kenya PR Now part of WMO Secretariat Dave Parsons charges WGNR to act

9 WWRP charge to WGNR Develop a satellite and lightning based nowcasting system. Develop a radar optional nowcasting system WWRP Secretariat Tetsuo Nakazawa charge to WGNR

10 HEADS OF EAC NMHS MAY 2014

11 Pre-Meeting Objectives 1. Understanding field project (with HyVIC) 2. Validation / verification of Nowcasting system with field project 3. Nowcasting system for Lake Victoria 4. Capacity Building NSF HyVIC/UK (Leeds)

12 Sun et al, TBD

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14 High Sensitivity S Pol Radar dual-pol Doppler radar is needed to monitor the clear air boundaries that initiate convection, the descending downdraft core that generates the strong downdraft winds and then the hazardous surface winds

15 Hi-Resolution dual-doppler radars

16 Integrated Observing System Frequent Soundings Wind Profiler Radiometer RASS for temperature Ceilometer Surface Met Obs Soundings

17 Buoys are needed for monitoring the lake conditions

18 Atmospheric Radiation Measurement the Aerosol Observing System, the microwave radiometer profiler, the balloon-borne sounding system, micropulse lidar, the total sky imager, Vaisala ceilometer, radar wind profiler, W-band cloud radar, Ka-band and W-band scanning cloud radars, the Doppler lidar, AERI system, Infrared Thermometer, ECOR system, Meteorological Instrumentation, optical rain gauge, tower camera and AMF3 C-band polarimetric radar. Climate Research

19 Post-Meeting Ojbectives LVB-HyNEWS 1. Develop a Sev Wx Nowcasting Demonstration Project (SWNDP) using global and regional data for all of LVB and multi-purposes (severe wx, aviation, agriculture, public health, diaster risk reduction) 2. Conduct a Field Project for Understanding and Verification and Validation of the SWNDP, HyVic and Thorpex HIW 3. Conduct Underpinning science to understand climate variability/change, improve climate predictability and to improve the projections, support decision making 4. Enhance the monitoring network for climate, weather and nowcaster including over the lake and its sustainability

20 AMCOMET WMO Initiative The African Ministers Cooperation in Meteorology (AMCOMET) is an over-arching initiative that addresses the meteorological issues related to all of Africa at the highest political level. The AMCOMET objectives: Increased recognition of NHMSs role at political level Improved climate risk management for the protection of life and property. Increased safety on land, on water and in the air. Enhanced quality of life. Enhanced cooperation among African countries to strengthen NMHSs.

21 LVB-HyNEWS is proposed as a demonstration project of AMCOMET (GFCS)

22 EAC proposed to conduct a donor meeting for LVB-HyNEWS consortium of projects. Envision multiple donor meetings

23 Task Force Membership Paul Joe Fred Semazzi Alexander Baklanov John Eza (Uganda) Hamza Kabelwa (TZ) Samuel Mwangi (Kenya) Rwanda N. Godefroid (Burundi) Richard T (ACLE) Jim Wilson, Rita Roberts, John Marsham, Rosalind Cornforth, Caroline Bain, Estelle de Coning,...

24 Next Steps (revised) Focal Points identified and authorized to help prepare research proposal/donor bids Proposal for a Nowcasting System within SWFDP framework Need to increase knowledge of nowcasting (capacity building) Need to refine concept of the Nowcast System Need to conduct stakeholder meeting Need to prepare donor requests Need to engage HIWeather, Lake Model, USP,

25 SWNDP Develop a satellite, lightning nowcasting system using global data within SWFDP Cascading model Global -> regional -> NMHS Introduce local data (NWP, Radar*, etc) NMHS -> regional NMHS only (data sharing issues) *Radars in Mwanza, *Kenya SAWS ATDnet UKMO 4km

26 SWNDP Development UKMO to provide NWP and lightning SAWS/EUMETSAT to provide satellite nowcasting products (uses UKMO NWP) NearCast, Convective Instability Index, GOES-R Via SWFDP Web Portal Capacity Build Climate centre researchers, focal points Service Implementation by NMHS or LVBC Prepare for donor meeting how to split up the projects how to stage the proposals

27 Earthnetworks Mr. Richard Tushemereirwe, Senior Presidential Adviser for Science and Technology, State House, Uganda The African Center for Lightning and Electromagnetics (ACLE) to be located at the Makerere University Business School (MUBS) in Uganda was launched on 26 th March 2014.