Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office

Transcription

1 Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office Morning Situation Report Wednesday, September 19, 2018

2 State Emergency Operations Center Activation Level Level 3 Monitoring

3 SERT On-Call Personnel Position Personnel Phone Operations Chief Ashley Davis (850) Watch Officer Sam Walters (850) Duty Officer Justin Lazzara (850) Operations Officer- Day Amanda Holcomb (850) Operations Officer- Swing Phillip Thomas (850) Operations Officer- Night Jim Lawhon (850) Meteorologist Michael Spagnolo (850) Plans Chief Ryan Lock (850) Logistics Chief Chuck Hagan (850) Human Services Director Pam Hughes (850) Emergency Services Director Rob Dietrich (850) Infrastructure Branch Director Danny Kilcollins (850) ESF 8 On-Call Robert Mills (850) Robert.Mills@flhealth.gov Public Information Officer Alberto Moscoso (850) Alberto.Moscoso@em.myflorida.com DEM Finance and Admin Jessica Blake (850) Jessica.Blake@em.myflorida.com

4 Regional EM Liaison Team Regional EM Liaisons County Location Status / Activities REMLT Manager: Jim Roberts Leon Office Admin Region 1: Wanda Stafford Bay SOW Meeting Region 2: Brian Bradshaw Columbia County EM Visit Region 3: Gina Lambert Seminole FEMA Airport Survey Region 4: Paul Siddall Out of State Florence Deployment - See Coverage Region 5: Vacant VACANT See Coverage Region 6: Jodie Fiske Lee Cape Coral EM Visit Region 7: Willie Bouie Miami-Dade LMS Meeting / IA-19 Planning Meeting R3 covering Citrus, Hernando, Sumter, Lake, Orange, Seminole, & Volusia R6 covering Hardee, Hillsborough, Pasco, Polk, Pinellas, & Osceola R7 covering Brevard, Indian River, Martin, & St. Lucie Status Normal Operations Delayed Response Out of Service / Unavailable

5 Meteorology Summary Threat R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Lightning L L M M M M M Flooding Damaging Wind Hail Tornado Excessive Heat L L L L L L L Fire Fog L L Rip Currents M M M L M L L Space Weather Lake Okeechobee Status: Keetch-Byram Drought Index: Very Low Elevation is at ft. 190 (+13) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry) Today s Weather Map Rainfall Amounts Next 24 Hours

6 Meteorology Summary Statewide Overview, Next 24 Hours: A weak cold front is stalled near North Florida this morning. While cooler temperatures are nowhere to be found, some drier air is in the vicinity. This will work to limit rain chances across the Panhandle and Big Bend today. Well south of the front, plenty of moisture remains and typical summertime showers and thunderstorms are expected. Most thunderstorms that develop this afternoon in the Peninsula will move to the south or southeast. A few thunderstorms could become strong this afternoon. Gusty winds, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and locally heavy downpours are possible. Temperatures will be unseasonably hot for mid- September. Highs will be in the lower to middle 90s. Some spots in interior North Florida may rise to the upper 90s where more sunshine and little in the way of rainfall is expected. Heat index values of degrees are expected for much of the state. Thunderstorms will dissipate after sunset. Only isolated showers are possible along the coasts near sunrise. Otherwise, lows will be in the middle to upper 70s, except the lower 80s in the Keys. Chance of Rain Today Heat Index Values This Afternoon

7 Coastal Hazards / Hydrology Rip Currents: Onshore winds will result in a moderate risk of rip currents for parts of the East Coast and Panhandle. Today, yellow flags will be flying from Martin County to Nassau County and from Walton to Franklin County. All other Florida beaches have a low risk of rip currents. Wave heights will be 2-3 in the Atlantic and 1 in the Gulf. Remember, always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Rip currents can still occur on low risk days! Rip Current Outlook Lake Okeechobee average elevation is feet, which is 0.15 feet above normal for this time of year. Hydrology: All rivers have now dropped below flood stage and no river flood warnings are in effect. However, a handful of rivers in the Peninsula remain in action stage. Rainfall amounts today will be isolated and will not cause any significant flooding concerns. For more information on specific river stages, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here. Current & Forecast River Conditions

8 Tropical Weather Tropics: Tropical Depression Joyce dissipated overnight and the National Hurricane Center issued the last advisory. A tropical wave about halfway between the Caribbean and Africa is producing some showers and thunderstorms. This system will have a small window over the next day or so for minimal development before conditions become unfavorable this weekend. The NHC gives this system a 20% (low) chance of development over the next 48 hours and next five days. Elsewhere, a non-tropical low is forecast to form this weekend between Bermuda and the Azores. The system may acquire some subtropical characteristics. This system has a near 0% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 20% (low) chance over the next five days. For more information on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center at

9 Space Weather Current Sunspots Solar Flare Risk Active Watches & Warnings Past 24 hours M-class: 1% Geomagnetic Storm: No A1 Solar Flare X-class: 1% Radiation Storm: No No Radio Blackouts 48 Hour Geomagnetic Forecast 9/19 9/20 Max Kp= 2 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 1% severe activity = 1% Max Kp= 2 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 1% severe activity = 1% Coronal holes on the Earthfacing side of the sun Space Weather: The sun is spotless and solar flare activity is near zero. Solar winds have quieted down and geomagnetic conditions will be calm for the next few days. The next increase in solar winds may be this weekend as the next coronal hole moves into view. The space weather threat to Florida is very low.

10 SWO Communications Systems & Contact Information Equipment Contact Status Comments Phone: or Operational Fax: Operational Operational SWO Tracker: Operational SLERS: DEM Statewide Operational NAWAS: State Watch Office Operational EMnet Message: FL.000- State Watch Office Operational EMnet Voice: FL SWP- State Watch Office Operational State EAS: LP.1 Stations via Emnet Operational FL Interoperable Network: SOFEOC Operational Website: Operational WebEOC: Operational Users wishing to subscribe (approval pending) to this distribution list, register at: