Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office

Transcription

1 Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office Morning Situation Report Wednesday, October 24, 2018

2 State Emergency Operations Center Activation Level Level 2 Activation

3 SERT On-Call Personnel Position Personnel Phone Operations Chief Ashley Davis (850) Watch Officer Sam Walters (850) Duty Officer Taylor Cheney (850) Operations Officer- Day Chris Dorans (850) Operations Officer- Swing Phillip Thomas (850) Operations Officer- Night Jim Lawhon (850) Meteorologist Michael Spagnolo (850) Plans Chief Ryan Lock (850) Logistics Chief Andrew Baxter (850) Human Services Director Pam Hughes (850) Emergency Services Director Rob Dietrich (850) Infrastructure Branch Director Danny Kilcollins (850) ESF 8 On-Call Kenneth DeCastro (850) Kenneth.DeCastro@flhealth.gov Public Information Officer Alberto Moscoso (850) Alberto.Moscoso@em.myflorida.com DEM Finance and Admin Antionette Akisanya (850) Antionette.Akisanya@em.myflorida.com

4 Regional EM Liaison Team Regional EM Liaisons County Location Status / Activities REMLT Manager: Jim Roberts Leon Michael Response Operations Region 1: Wanda Stafford Branch II Michael Response Operations Region 2: Brian Bradshaw Branch III Michael Response Operations Region 3: Gina Lambert Off Off & Monitoring Region 4: Paul Siddall Gulf Michael Response Operations Region 5: Vacant VACANT See Coverage Region 6: Jodie Fiske Branch III Michael Response Operations Region 7: Willie Bouie Branch IV Michael Response Operations R3 covering Lake, Seminole, & Volusia R4 covering Brevard, Orange, & Osceola R7 covering Indian River, Martin, & St. Lucie Status Normal Operations Delayed Response Out of Service / Unavailable

5 Meteorology Summary Threat R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Lightning Flooding Damaging Wind Hail Tornado Excessive Heat Fire Fog Rip Currents M M H L M L H Space Weather Lake Okeechobee Status: Keetch-Byram Drought Index: Very Low Elevation is at ft. 374 (+7) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry) Today s Weather Map Rainfall Amounts Next 24 Hours

6 Meteorology Summary Statewide Overview, Next 24 Hours: The front has pushed back to the south and drier air has returned to North Florida. Skies will be mostly sunny to partly cloudy with no chance of rainfall. Temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s. Overnight, cloud cover will begin to increase as the front moves back northward. Rain chances will increase in the western Panhandle after midnight. In the Peninsula skies will be partly cloudy with isolated showers along the East Coast. Most showers will dissipate as they move inland and won t make it to the West Coast. Winds will be breezy- out of the east at mph. Winds gusts along the coast of Northeast Florida may gust to 25 mph. Temperatures will reach the lower to middle 80s. Overnight, rain chances will continue near the Atlantic. Temperatures will fall into the lower 70s except across the Florida Keys where temperatures will only fall into the upper 70s. Chance of Rain Today High Temperatures Today

7 Coastal Hazards / Hydrology Rip Currents: Breezy onshore winds will result in a high risk of rip currents for Northeast Florida beaches (Flagler to Nassau County) and for Palm Beach County in Southeast Florida. A moderate risk of rip currents continues for some Panhandle beaches (Walton to Franklin County) and all other East Coast beaches. Wave heights will be 1-2 in the Gulf and 3-4 in the Atlantic. Remember, always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Rip currents can still occur on low risk days! Rip Current Outlook Lake Okeechobee average elevation was feet, which is 1.11 feet below normal for this time of year. Hydrology: There are no active River Flood Warnings across the state. Little rainfall is expected today. Locally heavy rainfall tomorrow may cause a localized flood threat in the Panhandle and Big Bend. For more information on specific river stages, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here. Current & Forecast River Conditions

8 Tropical Weather Tropics: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean (designated Invest 95L) is associated with a broad area of low pressure located a little over 900 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. This system is expected to move slowly northward over the next few days into an area where environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development. A tropical or subtropical depression could form over the weekend while the system turns westward well to the northeast of the Lesser Antilles. Odds of development over the next 48 hours is 30% (low), but 60% (medium) over the next 5 days. This system poses no threat to land. For more information on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center at

9 Space Weather Current Sunspots Solar Flare Risk Active Watches & Warnings Past 24 hours M-class: 1% Geomagnetic Storm: No A1 Solar Flare X-class: 1% Radiation Storm: No No Radio Blackouts 48 Hour Geomagnetic Forecast 10/24 10/25 Max Kp= 3 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 5% severe activity = 1% Max Kp= 3 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 1% severe activity = 1% Space Weather: The sun is spotless and the threat of a significant solar flare is near zero. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next 48 hours. The space weather threat to Florida is very low. Coronal holes on the Earthfacing side of the sun

10 SWO Communications Systems & Contact Information Equipment Contact Status Phone: or Fax: SWO Tracker: SLERS: DEM Statewide NAWAS: State Watch Office EMnet Message: FL.000- State Watch Office EMnet Voice: FL SWP- State Watch Office State EAS: FL Interoperable Network: Website: WebEOC: LP.1 Stations via Emnet SOFEOC Users wishing to subscribe (approval pending) to this distribution list, register at: Taylor Cheney Comments Digitally signed by Taylor Cheney DN: cn=taylor Cheney, o=florida Division of Emergency Management, ou=operations Duty Officer, c=us Date: :53:56-04'00'