Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office

Transcription

1 Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office Morning Situation Report Saturday, December 1, 2018

2 State Emergency Operations Center Activation Level Level 3 Monitoring

3 SERT On-Call Personnel Position Personnel Phone Operations Chief Sam Walters (850) Watch Officer Sam Walters (850) Duty Officer Taylor Cheney (850) Operations Officer- Day Shane Matthews (850) Operations Officer- Swing Amanda Holcomb (850) Operations Officer- Night Claudia Baker (850) Meteorologist Cameron Young (850) Plans Chief Ryan Lock (850) Logistics Chief LTC Knox (850) Human Services Director Pam Hughes (850) Emergency Services Director Rob Dietrich (850) Infrastructure Branch Director Danny Kilcollins (850) ESF 8 On-Call Kenneth DeCastro (850) Kenneth.DeCastro@flhealth.gov Public Information Officer Alberto Moscoso (850) Alberto.Moscoso@em.myflorida.com DEM Finance and Admin Dawna Johnson (850) Dawna.Johnson@em.myflorida.com

4 Regional EM Liaison Team Regional EM Liaisons County Location Status / Activities REMLT Manager: Jim Roberts In Region Off & Monitoring Region 1: Wanda Stafford In Region Off & Monitoring Region 2: Brian Bradshaw In Region Off & Monitoring Region 3: Gina Lambert In Region Off & Monitoring Region 4: Paul Siddall In Region Off & Monitoring Region 5: Vacant VACANT See Coverage Region 6: Jodie Fiske In Region Off & Monitoring Region 7: Willie Bouie In Region Off & Monitoring R3 covering Lake, Seminole, & Volusia R4 covering Brevard, Orange, & Osceola R7 covering Indian River, Martin, & St. Lucie Status Normal Operations Delayed Response Out of Service / Unavailable

5 Meteorology Summary Threat R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Lightning H H M L L Flooding M M L Damaging Wind L L Hail Tornado L L Freeze Fire L L L L Fog Rip Currents H H M L L L M Space Weather Lake Okeechobee Status: Keetch-Byram Drought Index: Very Low Elevation is at ft. 336 (+4) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry) Today s Weather Map Rainfall Amounts Next 24 Hours

6 Meteorology Summary Statewide Overview, Next 24 Hours: December starts off active as heavy rainfall and severe weather are possible across North Florida today. Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms are ongoing this morning, but they will become less widespread this afternoon. However, severe weather remains possible with damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes being the primary hazards. There is a Slight Risk of severe weather (level 2 of 5) across the Panhandle and western Big Bend, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for the rest of the Big Bend. Flash Flood Watches are in effect from Escambia through Jefferson Counties. Central and South Florida will see isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms today. Severe weather and heavy rainfall are not expected. Highs across the state will range from the middle 70s in North Florida to the lower 80s in South Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger across North Florida through the overnight. An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. The Peninsula will remain largely dry. Lows tonight will be very warm for early December upper 60s in North Florida with lower to middle 70s in South Florida. Chance of Rain Today

7 Coastal Hazards / Hydrology Rip Currents: Breezy onshore winds and building waves will result in a high risk of rip currents for Panhandle beaches today. Onshore winds will also result in a moderate risk of rip currents for Northeast and Southeast Florida beaches. A High Surf Advisory is in effect from Escambia through Gulf Counties for waves of 4-7. Waves of 1-2 are expected along the West Coast and 2-4 along the East Coast. Remember, always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Rip currents can still occur on low risk days! Lake Okeechobee average elevation is feet, which is 1.78 feet below normal for this time of year. Rip Current Outlook Hydrology: No rivers are currently in flood stage, but many North Florida rivers will rise to action stage due to this weekend s heavy rainfall. The Chipola River near Altha is the only river currently forecast to rise to minor flood stage. Rainfall totals of 2-4 are expected across the Panhandle with localized totals up to 6 possible. This will result in some flooding of urban or low-lying areas. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from Escambia through Jefferson Counties. For more information on specific rivers, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here. Current & Forecast River Conditions

8 Drought & Fire Weather Fire Weather: A low wildfire threat is expected across the Peninsula. In the Panhandle, rainfall will likely preclude any wildfire risk today. Fallen timber from Michael poses a hazard, however. In the Peninsula, relative humidity will be higher and winds will be lower than much of this week. Areas of dry fuels/moderate drought still exist across the region. County burn bans are in effect for 6 counties, including 1 in the Panhandle in the wake of Hurricane Michael and 5 in the Peninsula that are prohibited year-round. The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida was 336 (+4) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry). There are currently 7 Florida counties with a KBDI above 500. Drought Monitor Active Wildfires (Florida Forest Service)

9 Space Weather Current Sunspots Solar Flare Risk Active Watches & Warnings Past 24 hours M-class: 1% Geomagnetic Storm: Yes (G1 Watch) A2 Solar Flare X-class: 1% Radiation Storm: No No Radio Blackouts 48 Hour Geomagnetic Forecast 12/1 12/2 Max Kp= 5 (G1) Chance of minor activity = 25% severe activity = 1% Max Kp= 5 (G1) Chance of minor activity = 25% severe activity = 1% Coronal holes on the Earthfacing side of the sun Space Weather: The sun remains spotless and the threat for a significant solar flare is zero. A surge of solar winds will impact earth today and tomorrow, resulting in geomagnetic storming. A Geomagnetic Storm Watch for G1 conditions is in effect both today and tomorrow. This will likely be upgraded to a warning. However, impacts will mainly be confined to areas poleward of 60 degrees latitude, and the space weather threat to Florida remains very low.

10 SWO Communications Systems & Contact Information Equipment Contact Status Phone: or Fax: SWO Tracker: SLERS: DEM Statewide NAWAS: State Watch Office EMnet Message: FL.000- State Watch Office EMnet Voice: FL SWP- State Watch Office State EAS: FL Interoperable Network: Website: WebEOC: LP.1 Stations via Emnet SOFEOC Users wishing to subscribe (approval pending) to this distribution list, register at: Taylor Cheney Comments Digitally signed by Taylor Cheney DN: cn=taylor Cheney, o=florida Division of Emergency Management, ou=operations Duty Officer, c=us Date: :01:22-05'00'