Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office

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1 Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office Morning Situation Report Thursday, November 22, 2018

2 State Emergency Operations Center Activation Level Level 3 Monitoring

3 SERT On-Call Personnel Position Personnel Phone Operations Chief Ashley Davis (850) Watch Officer Amy Godsey (850) Duty Officer Taylor Cheney (850) Operations Officer- Day Amanda Holcomb (850) Operations Officer- Swing Shane Matthews (850) Operations Officer- Night Jim Lawhon (850) Meteorologist Cameron Young (850) Plans Chief Wendy Reynolds (850) Logistics Chief LTC Knox (850) Human Services Director Pam Hughes (850) Emergency Services Director Margaret Giani (850) Infrastructure Branch Director Danny Kilcollins (850) ESF 8 On-Call Christie Mathison (850) Christie.Mathison@flhealth.gov Public Information Officer Alberto Moscoso (850) Alberto.Moscoso@em.myflorida.com DEM Finance and Admin Dawna Johnson (850) Tara.Walters@em.myflorida.com

4 Regional EM Liaison Team Regional EM Liaisons County Location Status / Activities REMLT Manager: Jim Roberts Leon Off & Monitoring Region 1: Wanda Stafford In Region Off & Monitoring Region 2: Brian Bradshaw In Region Off & Monitoring Region 3: Gina Lambert In Region Off & Monitoring Region 4: Paul Siddall In Region Off & Monitoring Region 5: Vacant VACANT See Coverage Region 6: Jodie Fiske In Region Off & Monitoring Region 7: Willie Bouie In Region Off & Monitoring R3 covering Lake, Seminole, & Volusia R4 covering Brevard, Orange, & Osceola R7 covering Indian River, Martin, & St. Lucie Status Normal Operations Delayed Response Out of Service / Unavailable

5 Meteorology Summary Threat R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Lightning Flooding L L Damaging Wind Hail Tornado Freeze Fire L L L L L M M Fog Rip Currents M M H L M L L Space Weather Very Low Lake Okeechobee Status: Keetch-Byram Drought Index: Elevation is at ft. 329 (+/-0) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry) Today s Weather Map Rainfall Amounts Next 24 Hours

6 Meteorology Summary Statewide Overview, Next 24 Hours: Gusty northeasterly winds will result in a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms along coastal areas between Cape Canaveral and St. Augustine. Isolated showers are also possible in the Keys. For the rest of the state, expect dry conditions with cool temperatures. Afternoon high temperatures will only reach the low to mid 60s in the Panhandle, upper 60s to low 70s in Northeast Florida and mid to upper 70s in Central Florida, but will continue to be warm in the low 80s across South Florida. Tonight, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through the night along the East Coast. Skies across the state will be partly to mostly cloudy. Lows will not be as cool tonight with upper 40s and lower 50s in North Florida, mid 50s to lower 60s in Northeast and Central Florida, and mid 60s to lower 70s in South Florida. Forecast High Temperatures Forecast Low Temperatures Chance of Rain

7 Coastal Hazards / Hydrology Rip Currents: Northeast winds of mph and waves of 6-8 will result in a high risk of rip currents for Northeast Florida beaches. Additionally, a Coastal Flood Watch is in effect from Duval through Flagler Counties. There is also a moderate risk of rip currents for east central Florida and Panhandle beaches. A low risk is expected elsewhere. Remember, always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Rip currents can still occur on low risk days! Rip Current Outlook Lake Okeechobee average elevation is feet, which is 1.61 feet below normal for this time of year. Hydrology: All rivers have receded below flood stage. Rainfall totals of 1-2 are possible along the East Coast from St. Augustine to Cape Canaveral. If the rain falls in a short period of time, it may result in some nuisance urban flooding. For more information on specific rivers, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here. Current & Forecast River Conditions

8 Tropical Weather Tropics: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. For more information regarding the tropics, please visit

9 Drought & Fire Weather Fire Weather: Low humidity and dry brush or soils will result in a moderate wildfire threat for much of the state today. County burn bans are in effect for 8 counties, including 3 in the Panhandle in the wake of Hurricane Michael and 5 in the Peninsula that are prohibited year-round. The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 329 (+/-0) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry). There are currently 6 Florida counties with a KBDI above 500 (Brevard, Broward, Glades, Highlands, Indian River and Okeechobee). Drought Monitor Active Wildfires (Florida Forest Service)

10 Space Weather Current Sunspots Solar Flare Risk Active Watches & Warnings Past 24 hours M-class: 1% Geomagnetic Storm: No A2 Solar Flare X-class: 1% Radiation Storm: No No Radio Blackouts 48 Hour Geomagnetic Forecast 11/22 11/23 Max Kp= 2-3 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 1% severe activity = 1% Max Kp= 2 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 1% severe activity = 1% Coronal holes on the Earthfacing side of the sun Space Weather: No solar flares or geomagnetic storms are expected. Some solar wind may impact Earth from the minor coronal hole early next week. The space weather threat to Florida is very low.

11 SWO Communications Systems & Contact Information Equipment Contact Status Phone: or Fax: SWO Tracker: SLERS: DEM Statewide NAWAS: State Watch Office EMnet Message: FL.000- State Watch Office EMnet Voice: FL SWP- State Watch Office State EAS: FL Interoperable Network: Website: WebEOC: LP.1 Stations via Emnet SOFEOC Users wishing to subscribe (approval pending) to this distribution list, register at: Taylor Cheney Comments Digitally signed by Taylor Cheney DN: cn=taylor Cheney, o=florida Division of Emergency Management, ou=operations Duty Officer, c=us Date: :34:33-05'00'

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