THE PORTUGUESE INSTITUTE FOR THE OCEAN AND ATMOSPHERE. Pedro Viterbo

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1 THE PORTUGUESE INSTITUTE FOR THE OCEAN AND ATMOSPHERE Pedro Viterbo

2 2012 IPMA CREATION Before Now IM INRB/IPIMAR LNEG IPMA

3 SOME NUMBERS: 506 Staff: Personnel 426 Budget % 26% 38% 25% 22% 40% 38% Researchers Technical (1st) Technical (2nd) Admin/Other State budget Sci Projects Own revenue Overall budget (2014) 35 M Over 74 research contracts and projects (13 FP7; 13 FEP; 12 Interreg; 37 FCT) Over 120 grantees 98 Facilities and 6 regional centres on Portugal mainland, Madeira and Azores Archipelagos 150 sailing days IPMA cruises (2013); expected 300 sailing days (2014) 2 National reference Labs Microbiology and Biotoxins

4 IPMA LARGE SCALE INFRA-STRUCTURE Meteorological Radar Network Climatological and meteorological Networks Seismological Network (Mainland and Islands) 3 vessels (one regional, two coastal) New vessel due in 2015 Pilot production aquaculture Facilities

5 SCOPE OF ACTIVITIES: Weather and ocean forecasting, seismological monitoring, tsunami early warning systems and issue alerts Paleo-climate, Climate change research, PT climate portal and sectoral impacts Aquiculture Pilot Experiments Classification of MPZ, status of MPZ Evaluation of fish Stocks (DCF under CFP) Economic valuation of related products Marine Environment and Biodiversity (OSPAR, Natura 2000, EU MSFD and water directives) Non Living Resources, exploration and evaluation Aeronautic meteorology

6 EMOCEAN: Building the future IPMA s observation and modelling operational system To support offshore aquaculture, artisanal fisheries, MPAs and climate changes studies INSITU OBSERVATIONS Coastal network is being designed - Measurements (buoys and monitoring stations) - Meteorological data (e.g., wind, air temperature, radiation) - Oceanographic data (e.g., T, S, Chl-a, Currents) - Nutrients - Primary and secondary production - Phyto- and Zooplankton Comprehensive set of ocean remote sensing products 1ST STAGE (Sept 2014) Installation of two instrumented buoys in the Algarve (Tavira and Sagres) 2nd STAGE (2015) Installation of two instrumented buoys in Arrabida MPA and Cascais Watch station (monitoring site for the past 15 years monthly basis) Coastal Observation Network will be complementary and articulated with existing IHPT network

7 PARTICIPATION ON EUROGOOS MYOCEAN PROYECT - IBI REGION (SWS) FIXED STATIONS VIEWING SERVICE IPMA seeks to: Reinforce IBI-ROOS by covering existing spatial gaps of in-situ observations in the S and SW of Portugal Interact with the international community and benefit from their experience (lessons learned) DATA NEEDED!!!

8 A case study: winter storms in the North Atlantic An unusually large number of North Atlantic storms 17 intense lows during all the winter - 10 with explosive cyclogenesis (the surface pressure falls > 24 hpa in 24 hours) - 2 of the above had explosive cyclogenesis in 2 consecutive days January and February, in particular, showed the storm tracks displaced southwards when compared to climate

9 Some examples 24 Dec Jan Feb

10 Significant height: 4 Jan to 7 Jan , every 3 hours m

11 Ocean waves impact Large ocean waves associated to each storm Swell, with very long periods (often > 15 s, occasionally > 18 s), with waves transporting large amounts of energy In some cases, in phase with high tide and/or inshore winds The energy carried by swell caused damage on coastlines of Ireland, United Kingdom, France, North and NW coast of Spain, western coast of Portugal This will require multiscale tools - To resolve the basins upstream with sufficient details to guarantee physical realism in the generation and propagation of swell - High resolution modelling close to the coastline to produce enough detail

12 2013/14, a pedagogical winter: Lessons learnt Portugal (and NW and North Iberia, Biscay Gulf, Ireland, Great Britain) is the Hawai of the Atlantic The importance of a global mesoscale model Only a global model can describe interlinked atmospheric patterns (Pacific and Atlantic basins; tropics, mid-latitudes and the Artic) Spatial resolution (16 km) was crucial, taking into account the scale of the most intense events Ocean waves were a key part of the risk last winter (2013/14) Ocean waves, esp. swell, display increased predictability: Swell carries the integrated effect of the atmospheric depression systems Use of a comprehensive observation system (remote sensing and in situ) for nowcasting and a set of intertwined modelling systems for ocean and atmosphere forecasts

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