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1 Adapting Hazus for use in Canada: A risk assessment methodology for natural hazards Nicky Hastings and Murray Journeay

2 Public Safety Geoscience Program" Risk Assessment Methods Project Incorporate: best practices for integrated assessment into a framework and align with national policies Adapt: risk assessment methodology for use in Canada & evaluate through case studies Build Capability: of risk based planning through knowledge transfer and development of guidelines

3 Project Team & Key Partners Nicky Hastings! Dr. Murray Journeay! NRCan, Vancouver! NRCan, Vancouver! North Vancouver Project! Risk Assessment! Coordinator! Researcher! Dr. Bert Struik! NRCan, Vancouver! Risk Assessment! Researcher! Malaika Ulmi! NRCan, Vancouver! Risk Assessment! Researcher! Will Chow! NRCan, Vancouver! Risk Analyst! Carol Wagner! NRCan, Vancouver! Risk Analyst! Maggie Wojtarowicz! NRCan, Vancouver! Risk Assessment! Researcher! Jessica Shoubridge! UBC/NRCan! Masters planning student! Dr. Jorge Preito! NRCan, Vancouver! Seismic risk! Dr. Jan Bednarski! NRCan, Sidney! Surficial Geologist! Heather Crow! NRCan, Ottawa! Geophysicist! Dr. Jim Hunter! NRCan, Ottawa! Seismic Research! Dr. John Cassidy! NRCan, Sidney! Seismologist! Dr. Miro Nastev! NRCan, Quebec! Risk Assessment! Project leader! Dr. Carmel Lowe! NRCan, Sidney! Director GSC Pacific! Fiona Dercole! Hazard Manager! District of North! Vancouver! Dr. Carlos Ventura! Dorit Mason! UBC! North Shore Emergency! Director of Earthquake! Management Office! Engineer Facility! Dr. Bob Turner! NRCan, Ottawa! Science Outreach! Dr. John Adams! NRCan! Seismologist! Dr. Stephen Halchuk! NRCan! Seismologist! Jean Rivard! NRCan! Risk Analyst! Centre for! Natural Hazards! Research! Pearce2 consulting!

4 Outline * What is Hazus and Who uses it? * Why use Hazus in Canada? * How we are adapting the methodology for use in Canada * Building Hazus capability

5 What is Hazus? FEMA S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS ArcGIS

6 Comparison of risk assessment methods

7 Inputs for risk assessment HAZARD

8 Response of a building to a Hazard

9 Scale of Analysis

10 Hazus outputs

11 Hazus model

12 Earthquake hazard inputs

13 Seismic Hazard inputs

14 Seismic Hazard inputs - amplification

15 Earthquake Risk - Outputs 10% in 50 year ground shaking 2% in 50 year ground shaking

16 Earthquake Risk

17 Seismic results Annualized Earthquake loss = $5.3 B/year! 77% in the west coast! 23% rest of USA - with hotspots in central US, New Madrid Seismic Zone and South Carolina)!

18 Flood Hazard inputs Compatible Land Uses! Floodplain!

19 Flood Hazards - flood depth grids flood depth grid! 200 year return! flood depth grid! 20 year return!

20 Flood model Hazus outputs

21 Flood Risk - Outputs 1/200 year event or 25% in 50 years!

22 Hazus for decision makers land use and zoning! building codes and code enforcement! prioritizing mitigation projects! hazard identification! emergency plannning and response! determining the best use of public funds!

23 Who uses Hazus in private industry in USA? Financial Institutions banks and insurance companies assess their exposure to disasters Schwab Insurance Services Wells Fargo Bank of America Universities research Transportation and Utility agencies assess for reliability of their systems MIT Princeton Georgia Tech Stanford Illinois UC Berkley Pacific Gas & Electric LA Dept of Water & Power CalTrans

24 Potential users of Hazus in Canada

25 How we are adapting Hazus for Canada?

26 Challenges of incorporating Hazus into Canada Canada?!

27 Addition of BC Building Functions

28 damage functions for landslide! (debris flow)!

29 Building Hazus Capability

30 Training Curriculum

31 NRCan Risk Assessment Framework pathways Spatial Decision Support Tools for Risk-Based Planning Asset Inventory Analytic & Deliberative Methods Modelling & Visualization Indicators & Target Criteria Participatory Planning Risk Tolerance Information Knowledge Understanding

32 Training Curriculum - online courses Hazus-MH for Decision Makers Hazus-MH Overview and Installation Free Introduction to using Hazus-MH to Assess losses from a Riverine Flood Hazard Hazus Flood Model Output and Applications Integrating User Supplied Hazard data into the Hazus-MH Flood Model Introduction to using Hazus-MH for Hurricane Loss Estimation $29/course Introduction for using Hazus-MH for Earthquake Loss Estimation

33 Enable Risk Assessment Methods" Training

34 Enable Risk Assessment Methods" Conference Calls/Virtual Community of Practice Canadian Hazus Users Group CanHUG 2 nd week of every month Presentations from external and internal participants Risk Assessment Users Group RAUG 1st week of every month Presentations from external and internal participants if you are interested in participating please contact Bert Struik bstruik@nrcan.gc.ca to be added to the mailing list Virtual Community of Practice Joint website with the CRTI project Rural, Remote and Coastal communities risk assessment project site will be live mid January 2012

35 Questions?"

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