Cascadia megathrust earthquakes: reducing risk through science, engineering, and planning

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Cascadia megathrust earthquakes: reducing risk through science, engineering, and planning"

Transcription

1 Cascadia megathrust earthquakes: reducing risk through science, engineering, and planning NSF Hazards SEES EAR Urban Science and Engineering Workshop 21 July 2014

2 Everything to do with M9 Cascadia Subduction Zone Quakes Broadband Ground Motions and Fault Rupture Models Landslides Liquefaction Tsunamis Buildings and Infrastructure Interactive integrated risk analysis maps Early Warnings perceptions decisions & behaviors Community Planning and Enhanced Resilience Education and Outreach

3 Everything to do with M9 Cascadia Subduction Zone Quakes Broadband Ground Motions and Fault Rupture Models Landslides Liquefaction Tsunamis Buildings and Infrastructure Interactive integrated risk analysis maps Early Warnings perceptions decisions & behaviors Community Planning and Enhanced Resilience Education and Outreach

4 Everything to do with M9 Cascadia Subduction Zone Quakes Broadband Ground Motions and Fault Rupture Models Landslides Liquefaction Tsunamis Buildings and Infrastructure Interactive integrated risk analysis maps Early Warnings perceptions decisions & behaviors Community Planning and Enhanced Resilience Education and Outreach

5 General Approach Tradition is a single conventional idealized scenario. We ll make multiple realizations of a scenario, framed probabilistically. Hypothesis: This is more likely to enhance a community s resilience.

6 Everything to do with M9 Cascadia Subduction Zone Quakes Broadband Ground Motions and Fault Rupture Models Landslides Liquefaction Tsunamis Buildings and Infrastructure Interactive integrated risk analysis maps Early Warnings perceptions decisions & behaviors Community Planning and Enhanced Resilience Education and Outreach

7 Ground Motions overall scheme approximately 100 scenario ground motion maps each with its own probability, which includes the weight on the relative likelihood of having that scenario. In addition, we will be providing time histories of ground motions for engineers to use for buildings, liquefaction, landslides, etc.. Fault rupture models for tsunamis Emphasis - Basin amplification factors (1-10 sec) for design of tall buildings.

8 Ground Motions Many simulations Finite element 3D geological model From A. Delorey Capture the variability of ground motions so probabilistic estimates of earthquake effects can be determined

9 Ground Motions Many simulations Finite element 3D geological model Deterministic up to 1 Hz, Stochastic >1Hz Supercomputers! From Frankel (2009) Capture the variability of ground motions so probabilistic estimates of earthquake effects can be determined

10 Trial slip distributions for background slip (left) and sub-events (right) Slip (m) M8.2 M8.2 Slip (m)

11 Black, red, green are 3 components of motion

12 Ground Motions truth? Sites in Seattle and Tacoma basins

13 Tsunamis Focus on Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) meters Crescent City, Flooding depth with annual probability of (500-year flood)

14 Tsunamis Focus on Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) GeoClaw tsunami model /examples/tsunami/chile2010/

15 Tsunamis Ocean Shores Focus on Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) GeoClaw tsunami model GeoClaw outputs coupled to tsunamistructure response codes (CEE) PTHA of Forces (PTHAF)

16 Tsunamis Model submarine landslide Model resulting tsunami m m Focus on Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) GeoClaw tsunami model GeoClaw outputs coupled to tsunamistructure response codes (CEE) PTHA of Forces (PTHAF) Couple landslides to tsunamis in GeoClaw

17 Buildings and Infrastructure Subduction events = longer duration and strong long period content Structural behavior and damage can be different than from smaller events Poorly understood and not accounted for in building codes Are NW buildings and bridges vulnerable to M9 CSZ earthquakes? If so, what do we do?

18 Buildings and Infrastructure Review and Prioritize Building and Bridge Inventory (with partner input) The Plan Develop Archetypes and Models Analyze for CSZ Simulated Ground Motions Use the results to: Identify vulnerabilities and explore mitigation possibilities Develop recommendations for considering CSZ characteristics in design (compare to current design and crustal earthquake response) Regional scale information? Where are tall buildings most vulnerable in PNW? Investigate next-generation systems

19 Liquefaction EERI Clearinghouse Characterize effects of ground motion duration on liquefaction potential and consequences Expand case history database with Maule and Tohoku data Perform cyclic simple shear tests on liquefiable soils Numerical modeling of slopes and facilities

20 Seismically Induced Landslides Develop and implement analysis tools specific to subduction quakes Statistical methods to predict sliding using Tohoku and Maule landslide databases Analysis of landsliding in Puget Sound from past quakes - LiDAR, field observations, geochronology Apply statistical methods to M9 realizations Consider longer-term consequences Wartman et al. 2013; Tohoku landslides

21 Earthquake Early Warning Perceptions, Decisions and Behaviors Short-term warnings require long-term social and organizational preparation and integration in order to be effective People need actionable information on what to do, not just that there is a threat

22 Earthquake Early Warning Perceptions, Decisions and Behaviors 10 seconds 5 minutes

23 Earthquake Early Warning Perceptions, Decisions and Behaviors 70% How would your organization use an earthquake early warning system if it were available now? Would your organization do each of the following? (N=21, a few missing responses) 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Alert emergency managers Alert all employees Alert everyone (public alert) WOULD do Likely to do Might do Would NOT do Automated shut-off or slow-down of critical systems

24 Interactive Integrated Hazard and Risk Maps Visualizing probabilistic results

25 Community Planning and Enhanced Resilience Community meetings with stakeholders in 3 at-risk communities (asset-based approach) Year 1: present one simplified scenario (HAZUS) Year 4: repeat meetings with probabilistic results coming from other parts of the study How does probabilistic understanding help (or not)?

26 Outreach Collaborative creation of online, interactive probabilistic maps for Puget Sound region K-12 Outreach - UW in the High School Hazards module and web resources Results accessible to professionals and the public via web interface

27 Stakeholder Collaboration Workshops USGS, DNR, EMD, FEMA, City of Seattle, City of Bellevue, WSDOT, CREW, DOGAMI, PNW Universities, and many more

28 April 2014 Kickoff Workshop

29 Workshop findings Involve stakeholders and engineering community in entirety of process Mutually beneficial sharing of data and expertise (site identification, building archetype identification etc., LiDAR) Identification of research aspects of greatest interest to stakeholders Ground truthing, testing, and validation very important for results to be used Working with communities rather than handing them results at end of study Many goals will require more time than M9 project duration and close collaboration with stakeholders (building codes, regulations, outreach)

30 Everything to do with M9 Cascadia Subduction Zone Quakes Broadband Ground Motions and Fault Rupture Models Landslides Liquefaction Tsunamis Buildings and Infrastructure Interactive integrated risk analysis maps Early Warnings perceptions decisions & behaviors Community Planning and Enhanced Resilience Education and Outreach

31 Everything to do with M9 Cascadia Subduction Zone Quakes Broadband Ground Motions and Fault Rupture Models Landslides Liquefaction Tsunamis Buildings and Infrastructure Interactive integrated risk analysis maps Early Warnings perceptions decisions & behaviors Community Planning and Enhanced Resilience Education and Outreach

32 Long Term Goals and Impacts Land use and planning changes that lead to increased resilience Updated building codes and changes in engineering practice Effectively designed early warnings Integrated into emergency response and decisionmaking process Advance fundamental knowledge about extreme seismic events and

33 Beyond Megaquakes: Hazards and Resilience Initiative

34 Website: m9.ess.washington.edu NSF Hazards SEES EAR

Scientific Research on the Cascadia Subduction Zone that Will Help Improve Seismic Hazard Maps, Building Codes, and Other Risk-Mitigation Measures

Scientific Research on the Cascadia Subduction Zone that Will Help Improve Seismic Hazard Maps, Building Codes, and Other Risk-Mitigation Measures Scientific Research on the Cascadia Subduction Zone that Will Help Improve Seismic Hazard Maps, Building Codes, and Other Risk-Mitigation Measures Art Frankel U.S. Geological Survey Seattle, WA GeoPrisms-Earthscope

More information

How to communicate Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake hazards

How to communicate Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake hazards How to communicate Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake hazards Tom Brocher Research Geophysicist Earthquake Science Center U.S. Geological Survey Menlo Park, California Seattle Post-Intelligencer Lessons

More information

EFFECTS OF SIMULATED MAGNITUDE 9 EARTHQUAKE MOTIONS ON STRUCTURES IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST

EFFECTS OF SIMULATED MAGNITUDE 9 EARTHQUAKE MOTIONS ON STRUCTURES IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST Eleventh U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering Integrating Science, Engineering & Policy June 25-29, 2018 Los Angeles, California EFFECTS OF SIMULATED MAGNITUDE 9 EARTHQUAKE MOTIONS ON STRUCTURES

More information

Three Fs of earthquakes: forces, faults, and friction. Slow accumulation and rapid release of elastic energy.

Three Fs of earthquakes: forces, faults, and friction. Slow accumulation and rapid release of elastic energy. Earthquake Machine Stick-slip: Elastic Rebound Theory Jerky motions on faults produce EQs Three Fs of earthquakes: forces, faults, and friction. Slow accumulation and rapid release of elastic energy. Three

More information

Interpretive Map Series 24

Interpretive Map Series 24 Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries Interpretive Map Series 24 Geologic Hazards, and Hazard Maps, and Future Damage Estimates for Six Counties in the Mid/Southern Willamette Valley Including

More information

Interpretive Map Series 24

Interpretive Map Series 24 Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries Interpretive Map Series 24 Geologic Hazards, Earthquake and Landslide Hazard Maps, and Future Earthquake Damage Estimates for Six Counties in the Mid/Southern

More information

WESTERN STATES SEISMIC POLICY COUNCIL POLICY RECOMMENDATION Earthquake and Tsunami Planning Scenarios

WESTERN STATES SEISMIC POLICY COUNCIL POLICY RECOMMENDATION Earthquake and Tsunami Planning Scenarios WESTERN STATES SEISMIC POLICY COUNCIL POLICY RECOMMENDATION 18-1 Earthquake and Tsunami Planning Scenarios Policy Recommendation 18-1 WSSPC strongly encourages states, provinces, territories, First Nations,

More information

Building earthquake early warning for the west coast. Ken Creager Professor of Earth and Space Sciences University of Washington

Building earthquake early warning for the west coast. Ken Creager Professor of Earth and Space Sciences University of Washington Building earthquake early warning for the west coast Ken Creager Professor of Earth and Space Sciences University of Washington How Earthquake Early Warning works: P-waves S-waves 3-fold way of Earthquake

More information

DEPARTMENT OF GEOLOGY AND MINERAL INDUSTRIES WAYS & MEANS SUBCOMMITTEE ON NATURAL RESOURCES MARCH 2, 2017

DEPARTMENT OF GEOLOGY AND MINERAL INDUSTRIES WAYS & MEANS SUBCOMMITTEE ON NATURAL RESOURCES MARCH 2, 2017 DEPARTMENT OF GEOLOGY AND MINERAL INDUSTRIES WAYS & MEANS SUBCOMMITTEE ON NATURAL RESOURCES MARCH 2, 2017 1 ABOUT DOGAMI AGENCY MISSION, VISION & GOALS 2 Lidar image of a stream network along the Umpqua

More information

I. Locations of Earthquakes. Announcements. Earthquakes Ch. 5. video Northridge, California earthquake, lecture on Chapter 5 Earthquakes!

I. Locations of Earthquakes. Announcements. Earthquakes Ch. 5. video Northridge, California earthquake, lecture on Chapter 5 Earthquakes! 51-100-21 Environmental Geology Summer 2006 Tuesday & Thursday 6-9:20 p.m. Dr. Beyer Earthquakes Ch. 5 I. Locations of Earthquakes II. Earthquake Processes III. Effects of Earthquakes IV. Earthquake Risk

More information

The Three Things You Need to Know About Tsunami Preparedness Patrick Corcoran, Oregon Sea Grant,

The Three Things You Need to Know About Tsunami Preparedness Patrick Corcoran, Oregon Sea Grant, The Three Things You Need to Know About Tsunami Preparedness Patrick Corcoran, Oregon Sea Grant, 10.11.13 NSF/CEETEP Workshop for Coastal Educators, October 11-14, Astoria, OR The Bottom Line Giant Earthquakes

More information

Baldwin County, Alabama

Baldwin County, Alabama 2015 Baldwin County, Alabama Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan I. Comprehensive Plan A multi-jurisdiction plan City of Bay Minette City of Daphne Town of Elberta City of Fairhope City of Foley City of Gulf

More information

IDENTIFICATION OF HAZARDS OF CONCERN

IDENTIFICATION OF HAZARDS OF CONCERN IDENTIFICATION OF HAZARDS OF CONCERN To provide a strong foundation for mitigation strategies considered in Section 6, the Village considered a full range of hazards that could impact the area and then

More information

RISK ASSESSMENT COMMUNITY PROFILE NATURAL HAZARDS COMMUNITY RISK PROFILES. Page 13 of 524

RISK ASSESSMENT COMMUNITY PROFILE NATURAL HAZARDS COMMUNITY RISK PROFILES. Page 13 of 524 RISK ASSESSMENT COMMUNITY PROFILE NATURAL HAZARDS COMMUNITY RISK PROFILES Page 13 of 524 Introduction The Risk Assessment identifies and characterizes Tillamook County s natural hazards and describes how

More information

Oregon APA Legal Issues Workshop December 7, Tricia Sears, DLCD With information from Bill Burns, DOGAMI

Oregon APA Legal Issues Workshop December 7, Tricia Sears, DLCD With information from Bill Burns, DOGAMI Oregon APA Legal Issues Workshop December 7, 2018 Tricia Sears, DLCD With information from Bill Burns, DOGAMI How this Topic Arrived WE FREQUENTLY HEAR CONCERNS ABOUT LIABILITY AND TAKINGS. Current federal

More information

Portland Water Bureau. Preparing Portland s Water Supply for The Big One. July 11, Tim Collins, P.E., G.E.

Portland Water Bureau. Preparing Portland s Water Supply for The Big One. July 11, Tim Collins, P.E., G.E. Portland Water Bureau Preparing Portland s Water Supply for The Big One July 11, 2018 Tim Collins, P.E., G.E. Presentation Outline Portland water system overview Pacific Northwest seismic hazards Building

More information

Important Concepts. Earthquake hazards can be categorized as:

Important Concepts. Earthquake hazards can be categorized as: Lecture 1 Page 1 Important Concepts Monday, August 17, 2009 1:05 PM Earthquake Engineering is a branch of Civil Engineering that requires expertise in geology, seismology, civil engineering and risk assessment.

More information

SCENARIO DESIGN ON THE IMPACT OF A HIGH-MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE IN THE CITY OF LIMA, PERU

SCENARIO DESIGN ON THE IMPACT OF A HIGH-MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE IN THE CITY OF LIMA, PERU SCENARIO DESIGN ON THE IMPACT EARTHQUAKE IN THE CITY OF LIMA, Methodology Determination of the characteristics of the probable earthquake (magnitude, intensity, acceleration). Seismic geotechnical soil

More information

Climate Risk Visualization for Adaptation Planning and Emergency Response

Climate Risk Visualization for Adaptation Planning and Emergency Response Climate Risk Visualization for Adaptation Planning and Emergency Response NCR Flood Fact Finding Workshop Ricardo Saavedra ricardo@vizonomy.com Social Media, Mobile, and Big Data St. Peter s Basilica,

More information

Development of U. S. National Seismic Hazard Maps and Implementation in the International Building Code

Development of U. S. National Seismic Hazard Maps and Implementation in the International Building Code Development of U. S. National Seismic Hazard Maps and Implementation in the International Building Code Mark D. Petersen (U.S. Geological Survey) http://earthquake.usgs.gov/hazmaps/ Seismic hazard analysis

More information

Water Supply Forum Regional Water Supply Resiliency Project Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment Technical Memorandum

Water Supply Forum Regional Water Supply Resiliency Project Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment Technical Memorandum Water Supply Forum Regional Water Supply Resiliency Project Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment Technical Memorandum Snohomish, King, and Pierce Counties, Washington April 11, 2016 Earthquake Vulnerability

More information

Update on the It s Our Fault project

Update on the It s Our Fault project Report 12.552 Date 29 October 2012 File 12/01/01 Committee Author CDEM Group Bruce Pepperell, Regional Manager, WREMO Update on the It s Our Fault project 1. Purpose To inform the CDEM Group of progress

More information

Washington State K 12 Facilities Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program Final Mitigation Plan

Washington State K 12 Facilities Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program Final Mitigation Plan Washington State K 12 Facilities Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program Final Mitigation Plan ESD Meeting, January 2015 Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction School Facilities & Organization 1 Mitigating

More information

Application of a GIS for Earthquake Hazard Assessment and Risk Mitigation in Vietnam

Application of a GIS for Earthquake Hazard Assessment and Risk Mitigation in Vietnam Application of a GIS for Earthquake Hazard Assessment and Risk Mitigation in Vietnam Nguyen Hong Phuong Earthquake Information and Tsunami Warning Centre, VAST OUTLINE Introduction Fault Source Model and

More information

Earthquake Hazards in Douglas County

Earthquake Hazards in Douglas County Earthquake Hazards in Douglas County Craig M. depolo Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology Nevada Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee August 9, 2012 Earthquake Truths The consequences of bad earthquakes

More information

Lecture 4: Earthquakes and Seismic Waves

Lecture 4: Earthquakes and Seismic Waves Lecture 4: Earthquakes and Seismic Waves Key Questions 1. What are the sources for EQs in the PNW? 2. What is a seismograph and seismogram? 3. What is the difference between Richter magnitudes and Mercalli

More information

Seth J. Wittke Wyoming State Geological Survey

Seth J. Wittke Wyoming State Geological Survey Seth J. Wittke Wyoming State Geological Survey Project initiation Data manipulation Scenarios Creating the IMS Lessons learned County-wide block level probabilistic models created in 2004 for state mitigation

More information

Tsunami potential and modeling

Tsunami potential and modeling Tsunami potential and modeling GEORGE PRIEST OREGON DEPT. OF GEOLOGY AND MINERAL INDUSTRIES NEWPORT COASTAL FIELD OFFICE April 7, 2012 GeoPRISMS Cascadia Workshop, Portland, Oregon What creates most uncertainty

More information

Downtown Anchorage Seismic Risk Assessment & Land Use Regulations to Mitigate Seismic Risk

Downtown Anchorage Seismic Risk Assessment & Land Use Regulations to Mitigate Seismic Risk Prepared for: The Municipality of Anchorage Planning Department and the Geotechnical Advisory Commission Downtown Anchorage Seismic Risk Assessment & Land Use Regulations to Mitigate Seismic Risk Prepared

More information

Establishment and Operation of a Regional Tsunami Warning Centre

Establishment and Operation of a Regional Tsunami Warning Centre Establishment and Operation of a Regional Tsunami Warning Centre Dr. Charles McCreery, Director NOAA Richard H. Hagemeyer Pacific Tsunami Warning Center Ewa Beach, Hawaii USA Why A Regional Tsunami Warning

More information

What is an Earthquake?

What is an Earthquake? Earthquakes What is an Earthquake? Earthquake - sometimes violent shaking of ground caused by movement of Earth s tectonic plates; creates seismic waves Often followed by smaller earthquakes (aftershocks);

More information

Introduction to Environmental Geology, 5e Case History: Indonesian Tsunami Indonesian Tsunami (2) Introduction Historic Tsunamis

Introduction to Environmental Geology, 5e Case History: Indonesian Tsunami Indonesian Tsunami (2) Introduction Historic Tsunamis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Introduction to Environmental Geology, 5e Chapter 7 Tsunami Case History: Indonesian Tsunami December 26, 2004, within a few hours, close to 250,000 people were killed With no warning

More information

Low-Latency Earthquake Displacement Fields for Tsunami Early Warning and Rapid Response Support

Low-Latency Earthquake Displacement Fields for Tsunami Early Warning and Rapid Response Support Low-Latency Earthquake Displacement Fields for Tsunami Early Warning and Rapid Response Support Hans-Peter Plag, Geoffrey Blewitt Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology and Seismological Laboratory University

More information

12/05/2016. The First step in Adaptation to future climate change Reduce Vulnerability and Exposure to present Climate Variability (IPCC 2014)

12/05/2016. The First step in Adaptation to future climate change Reduce Vulnerability and Exposure to present Climate Variability (IPCC 2014) Integrating CCA, DRR and L+D to Address Emerging Challenges due to Slow Onset Processes Joy Jacqueline Pereira (Project Leader), SEADPRI-Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Nguyen Van Thang (Collaborator),

More information

MULTI-HAZARD RISK ASSESSMENT AND DECISION MAKING

MULTI-HAZARD RISK ASSESSMENT AND DECISION MAKING MULTI-HAZARD RISK ASSESSMENT AND DECISION MAKING JULINDA KEÇI Epoka University Logo of the institution CONTENT: Introduction Multi Hazard Risks Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment Quantitative Assessment Event

More information

ENGINEERING-SEISMOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF EARTHQUAKE SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT ON THE EXAMPLE OF TASHKENT, UZBEKISTAN

ENGINEERING-SEISMOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF EARTHQUAKE SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT ON THE EXAMPLE OF TASHKENT, UZBEKISTAN International Journal of Geology, Earth & Environmental Sciences ISSN: 2277-281 (Online) 218 Vol. 8 (2) May-August, pp. 3-35/Alixanovich ENGINEERING-SEISMOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF EARTHQUAKE SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT

More information

Usually, only a couple of centuries of earthquake data is available, much shorter than the complete seismic cycle for most plate motions.

Usually, only a couple of centuries of earthquake data is available, much shorter than the complete seismic cycle for most plate motions. Earthquake Hazard Analysis estimate the hazard presented by earthquakes in a given region Hazard analysis is related to long term prediction and provides a basis to expressed hazard in probabilistic terms.

More information

Introduction to Environmental Geology, 5e

Introduction to Environmental Geology, 5e Lecture Presentation prepared by X. Mara Chen, Salisbury University Introduction to Environmental Geology, 5e Edward A. Keller Chapter 7 Tsunami Case History: Indonesian Tsunami December 26, 2004, within

More information

ShakeAlert Phase 1: West Coast Earthquake Early Warning. Doug Given, USGS EEW Coordinator Education Symposium, Dec. 4, 2018

ShakeAlert Phase 1: West Coast Earthquake Early Warning. Doug Given, USGS EEW Coordinator Education Symposium, Dec. 4, 2018 ShakeAlert Phase 1: West Coast Earthquake Early Warning Doug Given, USGS EEW Coordinator Education Symposium, Dec. 4, 2018 Population WA 7M OR 4M Annualized Earthquake Losses, $6.1B 61% in California,

More information

Current Landscape of Spatial Decision Support Systems (SDSS) and Software Applications for Earthquake Disaster Management in Turkey

Current Landscape of Spatial Decision Support Systems (SDSS) and Software Applications for Earthquake Disaster Management in Turkey Presented at the FIG Congress 2018, May 6-11, 2018 in Istanbul, Turkey Current Landscape of Spatial Decision Support Systems (SDSS) and Software Applications for Earthquake Disaster Management in Turkey

More information

Report of the Working Group 2 Data Sharing and Integration for Disaster Management *

Report of the Working Group 2 Data Sharing and Integration for Disaster Management * UNITED NATIONS E/CONF.104/6 ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COUNCIL Twentieth United Nations Regional Cartographic Conference for Asia and the Pacific Jeju, 6-9 October 2015 Item 5 of the provisional agenda Report

More information

New Service Provided by State Agency in Oregon: Base Flood Elevation Determinations

New Service Provided by State Agency in Oregon: Base Flood Elevation Determinations New Service Provided by State Agency in Oregon: Base Flood Elevation Determinations Jed Roberts, MS, CFM Flood Mapping Coordinator Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries (DOGAMI) About DOGAMI

More information

TOOLS FOR RISK MANAGEMENT Related to climate change

TOOLS FOR RISK MANAGEMENT Related to climate change TOOLS FOR RISK MANAGEMENT Related to climate change copyright CONTENT 1 CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES 2 METHODS AND TOOLS DEVELOPED BY EGIS For infrastructures For urban areas For crisis management

More information

ShakeAlert Earthquake Early Warning

ShakeAlert Earthquake Early Warning ShakeAlert Earthquake Early Warning Doug Given USGS, Pasadena Earthquake Program, Early Warning Coordinator 10 seconds 50 seconds 90 seconds USGS Earthquake Hazard Responsibilities USGS has the lead federal

More information

Natural Hazards Large and Small

Natural Hazards Large and Small Specialty Seminar on Engineering of Geo-Hazards ASCE Met Section Geotechnical Group and Geo-Institute of ASCE 16 May 2007 Natural Hazards Large and Small Evaluation and Mitigation Edward Kavazanjian, Jr.,

More information

The Cascading Hazards from Cascadia s Earthquakes

The Cascading Hazards from Cascadia s Earthquakes Tsunamis The Cascading Hazards from Cascadia s Earthquakes Earthquakes (Nisqually earthquake, Seattle, WA) Volcanoes (Mt St Helens eruption, WA) Joan Gomberg gomberg@usgs.gov Landslides (Oso landslide,

More information

Wainui Beach Management Strategy (WBMS) Summary of Existing Documents. GNS Tsunami Reports

Wainui Beach Management Strategy (WBMS) Summary of Existing Documents. GNS Tsunami Reports Wainui Beach Management Strategy (WBMS) Summary of Existing Documents GNS Tsunami Reports a) Review of Tsunami Hazard and Risk in New Zealand ( National Risk Report ) b) Review of New Zealand s Preparedness

More information

Guidelines for Site-Specific Seismic Hazard Reports for Essential and Hazardous Facilities and Major and Special-Occupancy Structures in Oregon

Guidelines for Site-Specific Seismic Hazard Reports for Essential and Hazardous Facilities and Major and Special-Occupancy Structures in Oregon Guidelines for Site-Specific Seismic Hazard Reports for Essential and Hazardous Facilities and Major and Special-Occupancy Structures in Oregon By the Oregon Board of Geologist Examiners and the Oregon

More information

What is a tsunami? Capital Regional District Tsunami Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ s) Tsunami (soo-nah-mee)

What is a tsunami? Capital Regional District Tsunami Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ s) Tsunami (soo-nah-mee) Tsunami (soo-nah-mee) Tsunamis (Japanese translation harbour wave ) are waves with a great distance between crests, and are caused by any widespread, sudden movement of large volumes of water. The tsunami

More information

The ITSU System in the Pacific Region and Future Upgrades

The ITSU System in the Pacific Region and Future Upgrades The ITSU System in the Pacific Region and Future Upgrades Eddie Bernard Director, Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL) NOAA/USA Pacific Tsunami Warning Center OPERATIONAL ACTIVITIES SEISMIC DATA

More information

Linkage to the National Program

Linkage to the National Program Linkage to the National Program Frank González Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory Seattle, WA Frank González, NOAA TIME Center, PMEL, Seattle, WA NOAA is about FORECASTS and WARNINGS -Hurricanes Sunspots

More information

Earthquake Hazards in Henderson

Earthquake Hazards in Henderson Earthquake Hazards in Henderson Craig M. depolo Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology Nevada Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee November 15, 2012 Earthquake Truths The consequences of bad earthquakes to

More information

Earthquake and Tsunami Modeling in Japan. Renee Lee Product Manager, RMS

Earthquake and Tsunami Modeling in Japan. Renee Lee Product Manager, RMS Earthquake and Tsunami Modeling in Japan Renee Lee Product Manager, RMS RMS JAPAN EARTHQUAKE MODEL HISTORY 2011 GREAT EAST JAPAN EARTHQUAKE M9.0 SCOPE OF JAPAN EARTHQUAKE MODEL UPDATE (2012) Event Rate

More information

Surviving the Big One: Understanding and Preparing for a Major Earthquake in Western Oregon

Surviving the Big One: Understanding and Preparing for a Major Earthquake in Western Oregon Surviving the Big One: Understanding and Preparing for a Major Earthquake in Western Oregon May 21, 2013 City of Salem Salem Public Library Althea Rizzo, Geological Hazards Program Coordinator Oregon Emergency

More information

NPTEL Online - IIT Kanpur. Course Name Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering. Department IIT Kanpur

NPTEL Online - IIT Kanpur. Course Name Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering. Department IIT Kanpur NPTEL Online - IIT Kanpur Course Name Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering Department Instructor Civil Engineering Department IIT Kanpur Prof. N.R. Patra Module 1 INTRODUCTION TO GEOTECHNICAL ENGINEERING

More information

ANNUAL REPORT

ANNUAL REPORT 2016-2017 ANNUAL REPORT Oregon State University Student Chapter of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute Report Date: April 25, 2017 This report summarizes the membership and activities conducted

More information

Earthquake Risk in Canada and the National Building Code

Earthquake Risk in Canada and the National Building Code Earthquake Risk in Canada and the National Building Code Tuna Onur, Ph.D. Onur Seemann Consulting, Inc. NICC, Vancouver, BC, 28-30 September 2016 Southwestern Canada: Cascadia Subduction Zone + Crustal

More information

B.2 Sources for Hazard Identification, Profiling, and Ranking (Section 3) Overview of Sussex County s History of Hazards

B.2 Sources for Hazard Identification, Profiling, and Ranking (Section 3) Overview of Sussex County s History of Hazards Appendix B Sources B.1 Sources for Planning Process (Section 2) FEMA. Mitigation Planning Guidance (386 Series). Available on the web at: http://www.fema.gov/plan/mitplanning/planning_resources.shtm FEMA

More information

Building Disaster Resilience Community in Asia: Indonesian perspective

Building Disaster Resilience Community in Asia: Indonesian perspective Workshop C of the 7th Science Council of Asia (SCA) Conference Construction of Secure and Safe Society against Global Changes of Natural Disasters Okinawa, June 14 th, 2007 Building Disaster Resilience

More information

NATURAL HAZARDS MODULE

NATURAL HAZARDS MODULE NATURAL HAZARDS MODULE Table of Content Vocabulary... 86 Background Infromation... 87 Introduction... 89 Group activity... 90 Worksheets: Oral history... 93 Written history... 95 Mordern planning... 96

More information

The AIR Earthquake Model for Canada

The AIR Earthquake Model for Canada The AIR Earthquake Model for Canada Canada experienced one of the most powerful earthquakes in world history when an M9.0 event struck just offshore of western North America in 1700. If a similar earthquake

More information

Seismic Hazard Abatement Program

Seismic Hazard Abatement Program Seismic Hazard Abatement Program Recommendations To take the first steps toward a seismic mitigation program for older existing buildings To improve our current regulatory system for implementation of

More information

the IRIS Consortium Collaborative, Multi-user Facilities for Research and Education Briefing NSF Business Systems Review September 9, 2008

the IRIS Consortium Collaborative, Multi-user Facilities for Research and Education Briefing NSF Business Systems Review September 9, 2008 the IRIS Consortium Collaborative, Multi-user Facilities for Research and Education Briefing NSF Business Systems Review September 9, 2008 A facilities program for collection and distribution of seismological

More information

EARTHQUAKE CHAPTER. Hazard Analysis/Characterization EARTHQUAKE SOURCES.

EARTHQUAKE CHAPTER. Hazard Analysis/Characterization EARTHQUAKE SOURCES. EARTHQUAKE CHAPTER Oregon has experienced few damaging earthquakes during its recorded history, leading to decades of complacency and lack of attention to earthquake resistant design and construction.

More information

Utilizing GIS to Identify and Mobilize Interdisciplinary Disaster Reconnaissance Research Teams: The SSEER and ISEEER Platforms

Utilizing GIS to Identify and Mobilize Interdisciplinary Disaster Reconnaissance Research Teams: The SSEER and ISEEER Platforms Utilizing GIS to Identify and Mobilize Interdisciplinary Disaster Reconnaissance Research Teams: The SSEER and ISEEER Platforms NSF-EAGER Award #1745611 Lori Peek, Director Mason Mathews and Haorui Wu,

More information

Earthquakes in Oregon: Past, Present & Future. Earthquakes in OREGON: Are we ready for the Big One?

Earthquakes in Oregon: Past, Present & Future. Earthquakes in OREGON: Are we ready for the Big One? Earthquakes in Oregon: Past, Present & Future Earthquakes in OREGON: Are we ready for the Big One? Scott Burns Portland State University Department of Geology New Yorker Article: 7/20/15 The Really Big

More information

Earthquake Hazards. Tsunami

Earthquake Hazards. Tsunami Earthquake Hazards Tsunami Review: What is an earthquake? Earthquake is the vibration (shaking) and/or displacement of the ground produced by the sudden release of energy. The point inside the Earth where

More information

Lifelines mitigation in Hawke s Bay

Lifelines mitigation in Hawke s Bay Lifelines mitigation in Hawke s Bay N.L. Evans Opus International Consultants (Member) NZSEE 2002 Conference ABSTRACT: This paper summarizes the findings of the recently completed Hawke s Bay Engineering

More information

Earthquake Hazards. Tsunami

Earthquake Hazards. Tsunami Earthquake Hazards Tsunami Measuring Earthquakes Two measurements that describe the power or strength of an earthquake are: Intensity a measure of the degree of earthquake shaking at a given locale based

More information

5.2. IDENTIFICATION OF NATURAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN

5.2. IDENTIFICATION OF NATURAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN 5.2. IDENTIFICATION OF NATURAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN To provide a strong foundation for mitigation strategies considered in Sections 6 and 9, County considered a full range of natural hazards that could impact

More information

The moment magnitudes for the largest earthquakes recorded worldwide and in Washington are shown below. Table 6.1 Largest Recorded Earthquakes 1,2

The moment magnitudes for the largest earthquakes recorded worldwide and in Washington are shown below. Table 6.1 Largest Recorded Earthquakes 1,2 6.0 EARTHQUAKES: 6.1 Introduction Every location in Washington State has some level of earthquake hazard, but the level of earthquake hazard varies widely by location within the state. Historically, awareness

More information

REGIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLANNING IN SOUTH CENTRAL CONNECTICUT. Association of State Floodplain Managers Conference June 13, 2013 Hartford, CT

REGIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLANNING IN SOUTH CENTRAL CONNECTICUT. Association of State Floodplain Managers Conference June 13, 2013 Hartford, CT REGIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLANNING IN SOUTH CENTRAL CONNECTICUT Association of State Floodplain Managers Conference June 13, 2013 Hartford, CT MULTI-JURISDICTION MITIGATION PLAN South Central Regional

More information

Agency Vision and Decision- Maker Needs: A USGS Perspective

Agency Vision and Decision- Maker Needs: A USGS Perspective Agency Vision and Decision- Maker Needs: A USGS Perspective Connecting Grassroots to Government for Disaster Management David Applegate USGS Associate Director for Natural Hazards September 13, 2012 U.S.

More information

Preparing for the BIG one Cascadia Subduction Zone Event

Preparing for the BIG one Cascadia Subduction Zone Event Preparing for the BIG one Cascadia Subduction Zone Event Source - 2016 CZS Excercise updated Jan 2015 1 Earthquake Faults in Washington State Emergency Management Ring of Fire The Ring of Fire accounts

More information

Overview. Tools of the Trade. USGS Decision-Making Tools for Pre-Earthquake Mitigation and Post-Earthquake Response

Overview. Tools of the Trade. USGS Decision-Making Tools for Pre-Earthquake Mitigation and Post-Earthquake Response USGS Decision-Making Tools for Pre-Earthquake Mitigation and Post-Earthquake Response Tools of the Trade DAVID WALD United States Geological Survey NEHRP Workshop: Developing Earthquake Scenarios Sept

More information

3D Elevation Program, Lidar in Missouri. West Central Regional Advanced LiDAR Workshop Ray Fox

3D Elevation Program, Lidar in Missouri. West Central Regional Advanced LiDAR Workshop Ray Fox 3D Elevation Program, Lidar in Missouri West Central Regional Advanced LiDAR Workshop Ray Fox National Enhanced Elevation Assessment (Dewberry, 2011) Sponsored by the National Digital Elevation Program

More information

FRIEDMAN FAMILY VISITING PROFESIONALS PROGRAM

FRIEDMAN FAMILY VISITING PROFESIONALS PROGRAM FRIEDMAN FAMILY VISITING PROFESIONALS PROGRAM Visit to Oregon State University: February 24, 2017 This report summarizes the visit of Ivan Wong from Lettis Consultants International that took place at

More information

Borah Peak Earthquake HAZUS Scenario Project Executive Summary Idaho Bureau of Homeland Security Idaho Geological Survey Western States Seismic

Borah Peak Earthquake HAZUS Scenario Project Executive Summary Idaho Bureau of Homeland Security Idaho Geological Survey Western States Seismic Borah Peak Earthquake HAZUS Scenario Project Executive Summary Idaho Bureau of Homeland Security Idaho Geological Survey Western States Seismic Policy Council 12/30/2008 The HAZUS-MH analysis of the Borah

More information

Lessons Learned from Past Tsunamis Warning and Emergency Response

Lessons Learned from Past Tsunamis Warning and Emergency Response UNESCO IOC CTIC US NOAA ITIC Regional Training Workshop on Strengthening Tsunami Warning and Emergency Response Standard Operating Procedures and the Development of the ICG/CARIBE-EWS PTWC New Enhanced

More information

Magnitude 7.0 N of ANCHORAGE, ALASKA

Magnitude 7.0 N of ANCHORAGE, ALASKA A magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurred just before 8:30 am local time 8 miles north of Anchorage at a depth of 40.9 km (25.4 miles). There are reports of major infrastructure damage and damage to many homes

More information

Cascadia Seismic Event Planning for the Maritime Community

Cascadia Seismic Event Planning for the Maritime Community Cascadia Seismic Event Planning for the Maritime Community Jonathan Allan, Oregon Dept. of Geology and Mineral Industries Presentation to Annual Pacific Northwest Waterways Association Meeting (PNWA) October

More information

A New National Flood Inundation Mapping Science Initiative

A New National Flood Inundation Mapping Science Initiative A New National Flood Inundation Mapping Science Initiative William Guertal, PhD. Director, USGS Indiana and Kentucky Water Science Centers U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Courtesy

More information

Adapting Hazus for use in Canada:

Adapting Hazus for use in Canada: Adapting Hazus for use in Canada: A risk assessment methodology for natural hazards Nicky Hastings and Murray Journeay Public Safety Geoscience Program" Risk Assessment Methods Project Incorporate: best

More information

Assessing Hazards and Risk

Assessing Hazards and Risk Page 1 of 6 EENS 204 Tulane University Natural Disasters Prof. Stephen A. Nelson Assessing Hazards and Risk This page last updated on 07-Jan-2004 As discussed before, natural disasters are produced by

More information

Seismic Hazard Analysis along the State Water Project California Department of Water Resources

Seismic Hazard Analysis along the State Water Project California Department of Water Resources Seismic Hazard Analysis along the State Water Project California Department of Water Resources ATC-USGS NSHMP User-Needs Workshop September 21-22, 2015 USGS Menlo Park Don Hoirup, CEG 2270 Senior Engineering

More information

Chapter 12 Earth. 1 What are the characteristics of the region s physical setting and geology?

Chapter 12 Earth. 1 What are the characteristics of the region s physical setting and geology? Chapter 12 Earth 1 What are the characteristics of the region s physical setting and geology? The physical form and geology of the central Puget Sound region has been shaped over millions of years by three

More information

Publishable Summary. Summary Description of the project context and main objectives

Publishable Summary. Summary Description of the project context and main objectives Publishable Summary Summary Description of the project context and main objectives Tsunamis are low frequency but high impact natural disasters. In 2004, the Boxing Day tsunami killed hundreds of thousands

More information

SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS. Instructional Material Complementing FEMA 451, Design Examples Seismic Hazard Analysis 5a - 1

SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS. Instructional Material Complementing FEMA 451, Design Examples Seismic Hazard Analysis 5a - 1 SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS Instructional Material Complementing FEMA 451, Design Examples Seismic Hazard Analysis 5a - 1 Seismic Hazard Analysis Deterministic procedures Probabilistic procedures USGS hazard

More information

Magnitude 8.2 NORTHWEST OF IQUIQUE, CHILE

Magnitude 8.2 NORTHWEST OF IQUIQUE, CHILE An 8.2-magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of northern Chile, generating a local tsunami. The USGS reported the earthquake was centered 95 km (59 miles) northwest of Iquique at a depth of 20.1km

More information

They include earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, floods, landslides, and other processes and occurrences. They are included in the broader concept of.

They include earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, floods, landslides, and other processes and occurrences. They are included in the broader concept of. They include earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, floods, landslides, and other processes and occurrences. They are included in the broader concept of. In general, natural processes are labeled hazardous only

More information

THE NEW DNR LANDSLIDE HAZARDS PROGRAM

THE NEW DNR LANDSLIDE HAZARDS PROGRAM THE NEW DNR LANDSLIDE HAZARDS PROGRAM Kara Jacobacci, G.I.T. Landslide Hazards Program Washington Geological Survey Washington Department of Natural Resources LEGISLATIVE FUNDING 2015 session DNR requested

More information

Hazards in the Seattle Area. Disaster Questions. Where Were You? Where Were You? Volcanoes St. Helens Adams, Rainier, Glacier, Baker

Hazards in the Seattle Area. Disaster Questions. Where Were You? Where Were You? Volcanoes St. Helens Adams, Rainier, Glacier, Baker Hazards in the Seattle Area Volcanoes St. Helens Adams, Rainier, Glacier, Baker Earthquakes Outer coast Puget Sound (Seattle Fault & others) Tsunami Outer coast Puget Sound (Seattle Fault & others) Disaster

More information

EQ Monitoring and Hazards NOTES.notebook. January 07, P-wave. S-wave. surface waves. distance

EQ Monitoring and Hazards NOTES.notebook. January 07, P-wave. S-wave. surface waves. distance Earthquake Monitoring and Hazards Reading a Seismogram General guidelines: P-wave First disruption of trace = Second disruption of trace = surface waves Largest disruption of trace = Not the distance to

More information

INDONESIA IMPACT BASED FORECAST PROGRAM

INDONESIA IMPACT BASED FORECAST PROGRAM INDONESIA IMPACT BASED FORECAST PROGRAM Seoul, 19-21 November 2018 The 2nd Regional Workshop on Impact-based Forecasts in Asia Indonesia Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG) A. Fachri

More information

Dr. ELIAS A., International Day for Disaster Risk Reduction, AUB - 15 Oct 2012

Dr. ELIAS A., International Day for Disaster Risk Reduction, AUB - 15 Oct 2012 3/3/14 Dr. Ata ELIAS, Geology department AUB Outline 1. Tsunami events: 2. The physical and geological tsunami event 3. Global tsunami mitigation efforts Tsunami hazard 1. The tsunami hazard in the Mediterranean

More information

Earthquakes. Photo credit: USGS

Earthquakes. Photo credit: USGS Earthquakes Earthquakes Photo credit: USGS Pancaked Building - 1985 Mexico City Earthquakes don t kill people - buildings do! An earthquake is the motion or trembling of the ground produced by sudden displacement

More information

Storm Surge/Coastal Inundation State of the Union. Jamie Rhome Storm Surge Team Lead NOAA/National Hurricane Center

Storm Surge/Coastal Inundation State of the Union. Jamie Rhome Storm Surge Team Lead NOAA/National Hurricane Center Storm Surge/Coastal Inundation State of the Union Jamie Rhome Storm Surge Team Lead NOAA/National Hurricane Center 2 Tampa: Cat 5 Scenario 3 4 The Stakes are High Combination of SLR and increasing coastal

More information

Reducing Vulnerability to Extreme Heat: Science-Policy Interface

Reducing Vulnerability to Extreme Heat: Science-Policy Interface Reducing Vulnerability to Extreme Heat: Science-Policy Interface Olga Wilhelmi, Mary Hayden, Jennifer Boehnert, Ursula Lauper and SIMMER research team October 23, 2013 Toronto SIMMER workshop Science-Policy

More information

Structures Group Report

Structures Group Report Structures Group Report Ian Buckle, Co-leader University of Nevada Reno Kazuhiko Kawashima, Co-leader Tokyo Institute of Technology J-RAPID Final Symposium, Sendai, March 6-7, 2013 Structures Presentations

More information

Geology 229 Engineering Geology Lecture 27. Earthquake Engineering (Reference West, Ch. 18)

Geology 229 Engineering Geology Lecture 27. Earthquake Engineering (Reference West, Ch. 18) Geology 229 Engineering Geology Lecture 27 Earthquake Engineering (Reference West, Ch. 18) Earthquake Engineering 1. General introduction of earthquakes 2. Seismic Hazards 3. Strong ground motion Exactly

More information