Fort Rucker Wx Operations

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1 Spring & Summer Weather Hazards Fort Rucker Wx Operations

2 Overview Hours of Operation OWS vs FRWXOPS Products Services Climatology Seasonal Patterns Seasonal Hazards

3 Hours of Operation Observing 24/7 (automated) KOZR 01L Monday 01L Saturday (closed weekends and federal holidays) KLOR 06L-14L M-F (Oct-Apr) 08L-16L M-F (May-Sep) 26 OWS contact info COMM /2652/2653 DSN /2652/2653

4 Hours of Operation Weekend MEF Posted one hour before A/C issue time

5 Specification/Amendment Criteria 26 OWS NWS FRWXOPS 1500 / / / 3 < 1500 / 3 < 2000 / 3 < 1000 / 3 < 600 / 1 1/2 < 1000 / 3 < 700 / 2 < 200 / 1/2 < 600 / 2 < 600 / 1 1/4 < 200 / 1/2 < 500 / 1 < 200 / 1/4 WE tailor the MEF for YOU!

6 OWS vs FRWXOPS TAF MEF Watches DD Warnings Continuation Sheet Base Fields Advisories

7 The Process

8 Products MEF DD Continuation Sheet VFR Flights w/in 60NM Area Forecast AM, PM, N1 IFR Flights w/in 100NM Point Forecast AM, PM, N1 IFR Flights w/in 150NM Point Forecast AM, PM only

9 Keep In Mind Hazards are for 150NM FL winds/temps are for 150NM and mid point of period TURBC/ICING OUTSIDE TS Read the Remarks

10 Keep In Mind WWA criteria is generic, standard criteria Look at the max wind and the forecast

11 MEF Amendment vs Update Amendment is a change to the forecast Update is to add a WWA that is already forecast or to correct a typo

12 How Do I Know If The MEF was AMD/UPD? MEF AMD Advisory WIF ATIS JET Social Media Facebook Twitter Mobile App Flashing sign outside WX Top of MEF/-1

13 Products AM (CDT) PM (CDT) N1 (CDT) Issued: 0500L Issued: 1045L Issued: 1715L Valid: L Valid: L Valid: L Dissemination Web page Post to Twitter & Facebook to Ops Section and Mx Section

14 Products Grid lines on the MEF More flexibility in forecast areas Maximize training time GL 30 GL 90 GL 70

15 Products VCTS Used to articulate TS risk Better use of TEMPO TS Does NOT mean predominant thunderstorms

16 Products Typical summer day: When is greatest risk of TS?

17 Products

18 Products

19 Services

20 Services KOZR Viewable in JET KHEY, KLOR, KSXS Viewable in JET

21 Services

22 Services Weather Watches 60NM ring Tornado, severe TS, lightning Weather Warnings 15NM ring Tornado, severe TS, moderate TS, lightning Weather Advisories 15NM ring (terminal) 60NM ring (area) Icing, Turbc, LLWS, IFR, LIFR

23 Services PMSV (KOZR) (KLOR) Live forecaster WIF Recorded loop Detailed information about MEF AMDs Hourly updates/void times

24 Services Ranger Missions and Tomahawk Fury Slide deck provided for planning/pre-mission briefing NO planning On-site mission briefing Contact Management at least 3 days in advance Flying outside 100NM during the N1 period Request at least 2 hrs in advance

25 PIREPs Critical during poor wx Used to amend the MEF/-1 Used to brief other aircrews PMSV Freq: 134.1

26 Climatology Max Temp Min Temp Direction Speed Precip Jan N Feb N Mar NW Apr NW May NE-E Jun S-SW Jul SW Aug NE-E Sep NE-E Oct NE-E Nov N Dec N

27 Drought Monitor YTD Rainfall: KOZR: KHEY: KLOR: KSXS: 9.67 (missing half of Feb) 08 May 18 Normal YTD: 19.65

28 Looking Ahead May-Jun-Jul Above avg temps Avg precip

29 Percent 1000/3

30 Percent 500/1

31 Seasonal Weather Spring-Summer Patterns Spring-Summer Hazards Thunderstorms Turbulence Tornadoes Hurricanes

32 Spring Patterns Pre-frontal Squall Line Bow=Bad

33 Summer Patterns Bermuda High Sea Breeze Airmass Thunderstorms

34 Interactions: Outflow Boundary 22:29 22:35 22:40 22:46 22:52 22:57 23:03 23:09 23:15 23:20 23:32

35 Interactions: Merging Cells

36 Interactions: Outflow + Merging Cells 20:40 20:50 20:59 21:09 21:18 21:27 KLOR-44KTS KOZR-59KTS 21:36 21:48

37 Thunderstorms HAIL

38 Turbulence Thermal turbulence increases throughout the season with the advent of warmer temperatures

39

40

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43 Caught on Radar Strong Outbound Velocity Strong Inbound Velocity 01 Mar 07

44 Hurricanes 01 June - 30 November The official storm track and intensity provided to DoD by the National Hurricane Center We cannot and will not deviate Tailor to Ft Rucker

45 Hurricanes

46 Hurricanes: 2018 Outlook Organization Named Storms Hurricanes NOAA Major Hurricanes (Cat 3 or greater) Colo State Season Average % chance of landfall along US coastline (avg is 52%) 38% chance of landfall along Gulf Coast (avg is 30%)

47 Weather Happens... Are YOU prepared?

48 Contact Info Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Grab our App /8397 (KOZR) (KLOR) (PMSV) or (WIF) or (LOR)

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Fall & Winter Weather Hazards. Presented by: Fort Rucker Weather Operations

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