A Natural Disaster Monitoring and Warning System SISMADEN

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1 ABCC Program Workshop Ottawa, September 2010 A Natural Disaster Monitoring and Warning System SISMADEN Dr. Laércio M. Namikawa Eymar S.S. Lopes

2 rincipais Desastres Naturais no Brasil Natural Disasters in Brazil Principais Desastres Naturais no Brasil % 11% 8% 8% 14% 14% 3% 3% 6% 6% 58% 58% Seca Droughts Epidemia Epidemic Temperatura Ext temperature Inundação Floods Deslizamento Landslides High Vendavais winds Epidemia Extreme Temperatura Ex Source (adpated): Vulnerabilidade Ambiental / Rozely Ferreira dos Santos, organizadora. Brasilia: ção MMA, p. : il. color. Deslizamento ; 29 cm. Vendavais

3 Pernambuco and Alagoas

4 Pernambuco and Alagoas June/ deaths 95 municipalities

5 Niterói, Rio de Janeiro

6 Niterói, RJ April/ rio_album.jhtm

7 Niterói, Rio de Janeiro

8 Jan/01/2010 Ilha Grande Angra dos Reis Morro da Carioca - Angra dos Reis

9 CBERS Feb/21/2010

10 Fusion CBERS CCD-HRC

11 Damage Assessment

12 Comparison Jul/16/2008 Feb/21/2010

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14 GOES Enhanced Image

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28 Center for Weather Forecast and Climate Studies - CPTEC

29 Observations by Satellite TRMM Estimated Rain

30 Forecast 24h Total Precipitation Run Dec/31/ :00 GMT for 01/Jan/ Eta-20 km

31 Observation Data Collect Platform Weather Radar

32 12/27/ :00:00 12/27/ :00:00 12/27/ :00:00 12/28/ :00:00 12/28/ :00:00 12/28/ :00:00 12/29/ :00:00 12/29/ :00:00 12/29/ :00:00 12/30/ :00:00 12/30/ :00:00 12/30/ :00:00 12/31/ :00:00 12/31/ :00:00 12/31/ :00:00 01/01/ :00:00 01/01/ :00:00 01/01/ :00:00 01/02/ :00:00 01/02/ :00:00 01/02/ :00:00 01/03/ :00:00 Rain Gauge at Angra dos Reis Source: Eletronuclear mm total in 24h 01/01/2009 8: mm total in 24h 31/12/ : mm total in 24h 31/12/2009 9:00 Chuva HourlyHorária Chuva Total in Acum.24h

33 Research and Development in Geoinformatics 1974: I : SITIM and SGI 1991: SPRING : SPRING : SPRING : TerraLib : TerraLib : TerraLib 3.5

34 Technological Support Geographical database and manipulation by TerraLib:

35 Automatically Generated Alerts Hydrology and Meteorology Observations and Forecasts Natural Disaster Risks Risk Areas Extreme Event Spatial Analysis Alerts U s e r s Actions Additional Information

36 Natural Disaster Monitoring and Alert System Open Source Computational System based on service oriented architecture Provides technological infrastructure to develop operational systems to manage alerts of environmental risks Services: Data gathering and formatting Analysis by comparison with risk layers or by executing models Risk model edition for alerts Alert handling and management

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38 Natural Disasters Monitoring and Alert System Who are the users? System Operators Organization that monitor the possibility of disaster events Operate on Administration and Configuration interfaces Insert static data using TerraView

39 Natural Disasters Monitoring and Alert System Who are the users? Alert Clients Representatives with authority to execute prevention and mitigation actions in disaster events Receive alerts in http, , sms

40 WEB Site

41 Download

42 Ilha Grande January/2010 Hydrology and Meteorology Observations and Forecasts Natural Disaster Risks Risk Areas Municipalities Extreme Event Hydroestimator Spatial Analysis Additional Information Alerts U s e r s Actions

43 Forecast 20x20Km Grid Precipitation 24h

44 Configure Climate Data

45 Hydroestimator on GOES Image Every 15 minutes

46 Configure Risk Map

47 Simple Risk Map Municipalities Inserted using TerraView Polygons Risk Levels

48 Configure Risk Analysis local var1 = media_eta('eta20', 24) if var1 == nil or var1 < 10 then return 0 Normal elseif var1 < 20 then return 1 Observation elseif var1 < 30 then return 2 Attention elseif var1 < 50 then return 3 Alert else return 4 Maximum Alert end

49 Alert Sent by Dear User, There was a change in the Alert Level of one or more regions of the risk map, from one of the analysis you are linked to. See below a complete report of changes: Analysis Name: Analise_Municipios_Hidroestimador Risk Areas ID Name Previous Alert Level Current Alert Level 01 Angra dos Reis Ilha Grande Parati 1 2 IMAGE attached to the report 31/12/ :00 h

50 Warnings 31/12/2009 from 10:00 to 14:00

51 Improving Risk Maps

52 Terrain Morphology

53 Terrain Gradient

54 Land Use Classification

55 Land Use Classification

56 Detailed Risk Map Polygon: Slope Units Where: There is Urban Use and Convex or Plane morphology and Gradient greater than 30 percent

57 Future Developments Inclusion of Dynamic Models - TerraME and TerraHidro (TerraLib family) Call to external models (FORTRAN programs, TITAN2D, Hydrologic models Operators for cumulative rain from observations hydroestimator, radar Data validation - radar, PCD Alert model validation

58 Conclusions Processes extremes captured by risk analyses Includes vulnerabilities Easy programming for non-programmers of input processing and risk analysis

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