Panel of Tropical Cyclones

Transcription

1 43 rd Session of WMO/ESCAP Panel on Tropical Cyclones 2-6 May 2016, New Delhi, India Country Report Panel of Tropical Cyclones Kamol Promasakha na Sakolnakhon (DBA) Director of Meteorological Radar and Satellite Data Analysis Division, Weather Forecast Bureau, Thai Meteorological Department (TMD)

2 Outline - Introduction of Thailand, - Report on Meteorological component, - Report on Hydrology component, - Report on DRR component, - Report on Training and Research component.

3 Introduction of Thailand In 2015, Thailand was much warmer and drier, annual rainfall averaged over the country of 1,419.6 mm, was mm (11%) below the normal. During early rainy season due to a combination of the absence of the monsoon trough influences and El Nino episode, unusual dry and warm conditions occurred in Thailand.

4 Accumulated Rainfall in 2015 Anormally in 2015

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6 The annual mean temperature of 27.9 C, 0.8 C above normal, was the second warmest year in Thailand on 65 years record same as 2010 (the warmest year is 1998). The mean temperature was above normal for all months especially December and November which was 2.1 and 1.9 C above normal, respectively. The maximum temperature reached the new highest record in several areas.

7 Besides, there was only one tropical cyclone namely VAMCO (1519) that moved into northeastern Thailand at Ubon Ratchathani province on September 15. The details are as follow.

8 Report on Meteorological Component 2.1 Weather Forecasting TMD s received the government budget in 2016 will development of weather forecast system which will establishment hardware and software in The model composed of 3 domains: Domain-1 is resolution grid 18 kilometer square, Domain-2 is resolution grid 6 kilometer square and Domain-3 is resolution grid 2 kilometer square. High resolution WRF Bangkok model (resolution 2x2 km. vertical 35 levels) was run at TMD for urban weather forecasting and improvement for Bangkok and vicinity short range weather forecast.

9 2.1 Weather Forecasting Dimension 640x640x71=29,081, x913x71=69,472, x911x71=52,456,291 Detail of WRF Project Resolution Grid 18km. 6km 2km Initial storage Backup data

10 High Performance Computer System (Phase I) 2.1 Weather Forecasting (Forecasting System (HPC + Model)) Forecasting Process High speed interconnection GTS/FTP Storage (3PB) API Decoded Files (OOB) HPC Decoding Pre/Post Process Sever Computer graphics Observation data Preprocessing OPS: QC Test SYNOP, SHIP, BUOY, TEMP, PILOT, WIND-PROFILER Aircraft (AMDAR, AIREP) Satellite (ATOVS, AIRS, IASI, SSMI, HIMAWARI. Etc.) Regional Model (WRF) Local (WRF) Data Assimilation (3/4 DVAR) Global (NCEP) VAR: FDDA SURF: Surface A nalysis Postpreprocessing/ Application models User internet

11 2.1 Weather Forecasting High speed interconnection System Diagram High speed interconnection

12 2.2 Operational Room Operational Room will development for meteorologist can use observations data, seismic data numerical weather prediction data and climate model data, to support expertise and administration to decision making for weather forecast: the very short range, short range, medium range and long range forecast to the relevant authorities, also public and private data to use management. TMD s received the government budget in 2016 will development of War Room at Weather Forecast Bureau of TMD, to establish hardware and software will be finish the end of year.

13 2.3 Meteorological Satellite The Japan the government trust fund with WMO supported Himawari Satellite tool for TMD as HimawariCast set. Himawari Satellite tool established the top TMD s building can measure every 10 minute and operate on routine.

14 Himawari-8/9: Specification of Observation Wavebands of the Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) True Color Image Channel Central Wavelength [μm] Spatial Resolution km km km RGB Composited True Color Image km km km km km km km km km km km km km Water Vapor SO2 O3 Atmospheric Windows CO2 Full disk Interval: 10 minutes (6 times per hour) Region: Japan Interval: 2.5 minutes (4 times in 10 minutes) Dimension: EW x NS: 2000 x 1000 km x 2 Region: Typhoon Interval: 2.5 minutes (4 times in 10 minutes) Dimension: EW x NS: 1000 x 1000 km Number of Channels: 5 16 Interval: 30/60 min. 10min.

15 Himawari-8/9 ground segment and operations Osaka*

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18 Temp. Clouds over Thailand

19 Temp. Clouds over Bangkok and Victium

20 Temp. Clouds over Thailand

21 Qualitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) GSMaP Algorithm overview (1) (3) Calculated cloud moving vectors Rainfall data retrieved from each microwave imager and/or sounder (0) Rain models developed from PR Observations. (2) Hourly merged microwave rainfall map GSMaP rainfall in 0.1 degree grid and hourly

22 Data sets

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24 Comparison Radar to Satellite, 30 SEP 2013 Sakon Nakhon Radar 30 Sep 2013 Estimated Rainfall from Satellite 30 Sep 2013

25 Estimated rainfall from satellite 29 September September 2013

26 Qualitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) Before, TC NARI attack Vietnam, Lao, Thailand

27 Qualitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) During, TC NARI attack Vietnam, Lao, Thailand

28 Qualitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) After, TC NARI attack Vietnam, Lao, Thailand

29 Qualitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) After, TC NARI attack Vietnam, Lao, Thailand

30 QPE from satellite to Basin Chi basin Chao Phaya basin Moon basin

31 2. TMD s, Weather Radar Network TMD has 26 Doppler RADAR stations, one mobile RADAR and one portable RADAR as these follows; S Band Doppler RADAR 10 cm 2800 MHz 5 stations C Band Doppler RADAR/Portable 5 cm 5600 MHz 16 stations X - Band Doppler RADAR/Mobile 3 cm 9600 MHz 5 stations

32 Radar Information (C & S-Band 240 KM Range)

33 2. TMD s, Weather Radar Network 30 April April April 2016

34 Southeast Asia Meteorological Telecommunication Center (RTH Bangkok) TMD s received the government budget in 2016 will development the global telecommunication (GTS) to integrate data support ICAO. Meteorological Telecommunication Network GTS Network Volume Meteorology Broadcast for Shipping Radiofax (HF Fax)

35 The Global Telecommunication System (GTS) GTS: The coordinated global system of telecommunication facilities and arrangements for the rapid collection, exchange and distribution of observations and processed information. The GTS has a hierarchical structure on three levels MTN - The Main Telecommunication Network Linking 3 WMCs and 15 RTHs RMTN - The Regional Meteorological Telecommunication Network to integrate network of 6 WMO regions NMTN - The National Meteorological Telecommunication Network to enable NMCs to collect observational data and received and distribute meteorological information on a national level

36 64K NI NI Jeddah Algiers Internet RTH in Region II NMC in Region II Centre in other region MTN circuit Regional circuit Interregional circuit Additional circuit No implementation Non-IP link IP link Internet transmission 512K 2M IMTN MPLS 64K 64K Baghdad 64K Kuwait Bahrain 64K Internet Washington Internet 64K 1200 Doha Internet NI Offenbach 9.6K 1200 Abu-Dhabi Internet Muscat Sanaa 64K Toulouse Internet Internet Tehran NI Moscow K (V.34) Ashgabad Cai ro K (V.34) Male Tashkent Almaty 512K Bishkek Colombo Regional Meteorological Telecommunication Network for Region II (Asia) Current status as of 25 November 2011 MPLS 128K 2M Internet Internet 64K Internet NI Internet Internet Internet Internet 64k NI 512K Novosibirsk 256K EUMETSAT 64K 2M MPLS Yangon Singapore 64K 128K 512K MPLS 4M Ulaanbaatar 4M Internet Khabarovsk 64K Vientiane 64K Bangkok 64K via Moscow MPLS 64K K (V.34) Internet PyongYang 4M Exeter Washing IMTN 4M NI F/R CIR 128K MPLS Dushanbe IMTN <32/32K> 2M 1M MPLS 64K 3M NI Kabul Seoul MPLS Thimpu NI Offenbach 64K 4M NI 4M 1M 64K 64K Karachi 1M IMTN Internet MPLS New Delhi Hong Kong Toulo 1M Internet 64K Macao ISDN Melbourne Moscow use 128K MPLS Internet Internet Kath 10M 8M 64K Hanoi IMTN mand MPLS Internet 64K 1M Dhaka u Internet 4M 64K MPLS 64K 64K Beijing 64K 64K MPLS 64K 4M EUME TSAT 128K IMTN MPLS MPLS 64K 2M 2M 10M MPLS 10M IMTN MPLS 10M MPLS 64K 1M IMTN MPLS Tokyo 10M 2M IMTN MPLS 10M Manila 2M Phnom Penh Melbourn Kuala Lumpur

37 GTS Network of RTH Bangkok RTH NC NC NC (RA-V) (Leased line) (Leased line) (Internet) (Leased line) Beijing Tokyo (MPLS-128 kbps) Jeddah New Delhi Vientiane Hanoi Taipei Phnom Penh Cambodia Yangon Nay Pyi Taw Hong Kong Kuala Lumpur (MPLS) Singapore (MPLS) Thimphu - Circuit bandwidth for all leased line circuits, except Tokyo, is 64 kbps - Current internet bandwidth is 30/6 Mbps (Guaranteed) Starting October 1, 2013 internet bandwidth will be upgraded to 40/10 Mbps (Guaranteed)

38 Exchange on GTS The types of meteorological messages containing observational data to be exchanged on the Main Telecommunication Network are as follows: Surface observations on land and sea, including data from ships and buoys Upper-air observations including data from aircraft Climatological data Selected satellite data Seismic data, tsunami and other types of data as agreed

39 Bangkok Volume Met GTS Network in: Aeronautical Radio Of Thailand (AEROTHAI) AFTN Network AMSS (RTH Bangkok) Satellite image Center Domestic Communication Center (METNET) Bureau of Aeronautical Meteorology (AEROMET) Domestic Airports SADIS Network

40 5. Report on Training and Research components 5.1 In 2015, Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) sent officials to attend in the trainings supported by WMO

41 5.1 In 2015, Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) sent officials to attend in the trainings supported by WMO (Continuous)

42 5.1 In 2015, Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) sent officials to attend in the trainings supported by WMO (Continuous)

43 5.2 Training Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) Regional Subproject for the Bay of Bengal and Southeast Asia Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting and Warning Services The Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) in cooperation with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) organized a two- week Training Workshop entitled Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) Regional Subproject for the Bay of Bengal and Southeast Asia Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting and Warning Services at the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) in Bangkok from 14 to 25 September 2015,

44 with the aims to facilitate the participation of the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) in the Bay of Bengal and Southeast Asia involved in the SWFDP Project and enhancing them on the use of existing Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) products for improving meteorological warnings, and supporting emergency response to hazardous weather conditions and weather-related hazards. The Workshop was conducted successfully with participation of all 49 participants from the 9 participating countries in the SWFDP-Bay of Bengal namely: Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Thailand,

45 and the five participating countries in the SWFDP- Southeast Asia namely: Cambodia, Lao PDR, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam. Besides there were all 15 resource persons/lecturers from WMO, Australia, Canada, China, Hong Kong, New Zealand, India, Japan and Vientnam, participated in the Training Workshop. The event was funding supported from WMO and TMD as the host country.

46 5.3 In the beginning of 2016, the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) in cooperation with the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) Office in Bangkok and the Thailand International Cooperation Agency (TICA) organized a Training course on Hydrology (Advance Flood Forecasting, Flash Flood Forecasting, Remote Sensing and GIS) for the Myanmar Officials from 18 January to 17 February 2016, at TMD Headquarters, under the Trilateral Cooperation Framework between Japan, Thailand and Myanmar with the full financial support from the JICA Office in Bangkok and the TICA, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Thailand.

47 Training course on Hydrology (Advance Flood Forecasting, Flash Flood Forecasting, Remote Sensing and GIS) Picture 1: Mr. Charoon Laohalertchai, Director of Meteorological Development Bureau (TMD) (who stand in the middle) took a group photo with lecturers, TMD staff and five participants from DMH, Myanmar after the opening ceremony of the Training course on the morning of 18 January 2016, in front of the statute of Admiral Kromluang Chumporn Khate Udomsakdi, the Founder of TMD, at TMD Headquarters in Bangkok.

48 Training course on Hydrology (Advance Flood Forecasting, Flash Flood Forecasting, Remote Sensing and GIS) Picture 2: Myanmar participants courtesy called on Dr. Songkran Agsorn, Deputy Director- General of TMD in charge of Technical Services on the first day of the training.

49 Training course on Hydrology (Advance Flood Forecasting, Flash Flood Forecasting, Remote Sensing and GIS) Picture 3 and 4: Dr. Songkran Agsorn, Deputy Director-General, TMD presided over the closing ceremony of the training and presented certificates to participants, held in the afternoon of 17 February 2016 at Bussarakham Meeting Room, TMD Headquarters. The Closing ceremony was attended by Mr. Wattanawit GAJASENI, representative of TICA, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Thailand, Mr. Masanari Yanagiuchi, Senior Representative of JICA, Mr. Katsuya Miyoshi Representative of JICA, Mr. Thada Sukhapunnaphan, Representative of RID, Mr. Charoon Laohalertchai, Director of Meteorological Development Bureau, TMD and some of Tha

50 Picture 5 : Dr. Songkran Agsorn, Deputy Director-General, (who stands in the middle, second row) took a group photo with TICA and JICA, RID representatives, TMD staff and five participants from DMH, Myanmar after the closing ceremony.

51 Conclusions From the activities 2015, report on meteorological component, - TMD s received the government budget 2016, to develop Weather Forecast System and develop Operational room, - TMD s received HimawariCast established ground station; hardware and software on the top of TMDD s building, - JMA was transfer radar composite technique to TMD s staffs, - TMD s have the Global Telecommunication System (GTS) budget will development in this year, - TMD s cooperation JAXA to QPE satellite data, - TMD s cooperation JICA and TICAR had training to member.

52 Thank You