Future Forecasts Meeting Agenda

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1 Future Forecasts Meeting Agenda US 192 Feasibility Study Date: January 10, 2012 Project #: At: Viera Governmental Center, Building A, Natural Resources Large Conference Room 10:00 12:00 PM 1. Introductions 2. Schedule and Scope Review 3. Previous Meeting Recap (12/21/11) a. Existing Conditions Analysis b. Model Calibration i. Additional calibration steps ii. Acceptance of calibrated model Future Forecasts a. Historical Growth Analysis i. AADT historical profile vs recent year trends b. Model Growth Analysis i. Without Platt Ranch (LRTP land use assumptions) ii. With Platt Ranch 1. Land use and phasing assumptions c. Future Forecast Methodology i. Growth rate (historical or model) applied to 2011 counts ii. Future forecasts from model FILENAME: D:\DATA\PROJECTS\CONSULTANT SELECTION 2009\GPC KITTELSON\WO 11-07K US 192\STATUS MTG \FUTURE FORECASTS MTG AGENDA DOC

2 US 192 Feasibility Study Project #: January 10, 2012 Page 2 5. Discussion of Next Steps and Questions a. Interim meeting needed? NEXT MEETING: 3/1/12 (Future Operations Analysis and Typical Section Discussion) Kittelson & Associates, Inc. Orlando, Florida

3 MEETING NOTES US 192 Feasibility Future Forecasts Meeting FM Meeting Date& Time: January 9, 2012; 10:00 12 PM. Project #: Location: Viera Governmental Center, Building A, Natural Resources Large Conference Room Attendees Attendees participated by attending the meeting. Those that participated in the meeting were: Laura Carter TPO Bob Kamm TPO Georganna Gillette - TPO Judy Pizzo FDOT Mike McPhail FDOT Lorena Valencia FDOT Planning Scott Morgan City of West Melbourne Tami Gillen City of Melbourne Gil Ramirez Brevard County Traffic Operations Rick Cloutier Melbourne Int l Airport David Bennett - IEI Karl Passetti Kittelson & Associates, Inc. Travis Hills Kittelson & Associates, Inc. Li Jin - Kittelson & Associates, Inc. Schedule/Scope Review Karl Passetti led a discussion reviewing the schedule and the scope of the project to date. The data collection to date is 99% complete. Travis Hills then reviewed the outstanding existing conditions questions raised at the Existing Conditions Meeting. This included the concern about Dairy Road signal timings, the labeling of the ARTPLAN results table in the report, and the existence of an EB right turn lane at Dairy Road. All of the existing conditions questions have been discussed and answered. The TPO verified that they have received all documents from KAI to date. FILENAME: H:\PROJFILE\ BREVARD MPO GENERAL PLANNING\TASK 7 US192 FEASIBILITY\MEETINGS\KICKOFF MEETING\MEETING MINUTES 12_5_2011 REVISED.DOCX

4 Previous Meeting Recap US 192 Feasibility Future Forecasts Meeting Li Jin led a discussion on the model and how the model focuses on US 192 more than the surrounding east-west or north-south arterials. The US 192 volumes were under 10% root mean square error which is acceptable. Mr. Jin discussed how he modified the zones and connectors in the model to better reflect the conditions surrounding the US 192. Bob Kamm requested a link by link breakdown which KAI provided. It was agreed upon that the model is validated and is acceptable for future forecasts analysis Future Forecasts Mr. Hills led the discussion on historical growth rates. Laura Carter asked if KAI performed a historical growth rate analysis for the TPO count stations as well as FDOT count stations. KAI will look into performing a historical growth rate analysis with TPO counts. Mr. Jin followed with a discussion about changing the facility type for Palm Bay Parkway and how that affected the model. There was also a discussion about the large growth west of I-95 seen in the model. Mr. Passetti discussed alternatives for approaching the future forecasts. These included using the model AADT s or using growth rates on 2011 AADT s to project future volumes. There was agreement that growing the future volumes from 2011 would be the best option. The growth rate used could either be historical, model or a mixture of both. There was agreement that a 4 lane model scenario would be run. It was also agreed upon that Palm Bay Parkway would be a facility type 23 instead of 21. There was a continued discussion about the phasing of US 192 and how much longer US 192 can function at 4 lanes before being over capacity. A decision matrix on what model and growth rate to use will be presented to the TPO. Discussion of Next Steps and Questions ACTION ITEMS Item Party Due Date Description Decision Matrix KAI February 6 th what items need to be finalized before moving forward with future traffic KAI will provide decision matrix to TPO on forecasts. CFRPM 5.0 KAI February Different model scenarios will be run in order to portray US 192 as 4 or 6 lanes, with and without Platt Ranch. February 3, 2012 Page 2

US 192 Feasibility Future Forecasts Meeting The meeting was adjourned at 12:00 PM. These notes are Travis Hills understanding of the discussions during this meeting.

5 US 192 Feasibility Future Forecasts Meeting The meeting was adjourned at 12:00 PM. These notes are Travis Hills understanding of the discussions during this meeting. Comments or corrections to the information reported above should be directed to him at or Copies to: All team members and attendees File 9891 Task 7 Attached: Original meeting agenda package February 3, 2012 Page 3

Wesley Chapel Area Roadway Needs Study Build-Out Analysis (Beardsley Dr/Oldwoods Ave Need Study) Project Progress Meeting 1

Wesley Chapel Area Roadway Needs Study Build-Out Analysis (Beardsley Dr/Oldwoods Ave Need Study) Project Progress Meeting 1 Build-Out Analysis (Beardsley Dr/Oldwoods Ave Need Study) Project Progress Meeting 1 9:30 AM Pasco County Development Services Conference Room 1. Welcome/Introductions 2. Project Overview Purpose Major