Advancing the Science for Ocean Planning Highlights from Massachusetts

Transcription

1 Advancing the Science for Ocean Planning Highlights from Massachusetts

2 Overview Massachusetts Ocean Plan Highlights The Process Plan 1.0 strengths and shortcomings Science Integration Planning clarifies data priorities Examples: Human use characterization Habitat classification Decision support Data accessibility

3 MA Ocean Planning Process Data Mining; Public/Stakeholder Input; Planning Framework /tools Options Develop Draft Plan Modify Draft Draft Release Formal Review of Final Plan Final Release 5/28/08 Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 7/08 1/09 2 4/09 5 6/ /09 12/31/09 Setting the Stage: MA Ocean Management Task Force ; Legislation filed 2004; MOP formation May : Governor Signs Oceans Act Ocean Advisory Commission and established, Public involvement initiated, EEA Working Groups tasked (MOP supported) June : Draft Plan Release, 5 Public Hearings and 300+ Comments, Continued Science Work (EEA and MOP), Draft Revisions January : Final Plan Release

4 Massachusetts Oceans Act of 2008 Mandated deadlines for draft and final Plan Projects must be consistent with Plan Plan update at least every five years Oceans 15 goals and requirements State fisheries management exempt Planning area: 0.3 nm from MHW to state limit (3 nm)

5 Translating the Oceans Act into an Ocean Plan Oceans Act Draft Plan Goals and Strategies Compatibility Assessment Screening Criteria Plan Development Plan objectives Decision making guidance Siting preferences Functional compatibility analysis Policy decisions Represent compatibility assessment with available spatially explicit data Develop plan based on synthesis of spatial and management elements

6 MA Ocean Plan Multi use: 85% Renewable Energy: 2% Prohibited: 13%

7 Resource Use Maps Compatibility of specific kinds of development with SSUs and existing uses for: Pipelines Cables Small scale wind Commercial scale tidal Sand/gravel mining

8 Massachusetts Ocean Plan

9 Massachusetts Ocean Plan 1.0 Strengths Management approach commensurate with available science/data Satisfied legislative requirements Identified priority data and research gaps for Plan 2.0 Plan approved by NOAA and incorporated into CZMP 10/2011 Shortcomings Connection between goals and indicators of plan performance not strong Focus on current uses; insufficient forecasting of future demands Not enough linkage to climate change adaptation

10 MA Science Priorities: Near Term (Five Years) 1. Evaluate fisheries trawl data 2. Classify benthic and pelagic habitats 3. Develop spatial and economic data on recreational uses 4. Develop spatial and economic data on commercial fishing 5. Understand human impacts and ocean resource vulnerability 6. Monitor climate change 7. Develop and implement indicators MA Ocean Plan, Volume 2, December Develop a data network for sharing information about MA ocean resources and uses

11 MA Science Priorities: Near Term (Five Years) 1. Evaluate fisheries trawl data 2. Classify benthic and pelagic habitats 3. Develop spatial and economic data on recreational uses 4. Develop spatial and economic data on commercial fishing 5. Understand human impacts and ocean resource vulnerability 6. Monitor climate change 7. Develop and implement indicators MA Ocean Plan, Volume 2, December Develop a data network for sharing information about MA ocean resources and uses

12 Habitat: Benthic Imagery Analysis (HabCam) PI: Scott Gallager and Amber York (WHOI) SeaPlan: Nick Napoli, Jill Swasey CZM: Todd Callaghan, Dan Sampson Project/Products: Analysis of sediment; species identification Benthic community composition Acoustic v optical analysis of sediment Methods for classifying habitat

13 Habitat: Oceanographic Hindcast Database PI: Changsheng Chen (UMASS Dartmouth), Bob Beardsley (WHOI) SeaPlan : Nick Napoli, Jill Swasey CZM: Dan Sampson, Todd Callaghan Project/Products: Advisory Group Database from Derived data products for use in characterizing habitat, resource potential. Northeastern U.S.

14 MA Science Priorities: Near Term (Five Years) 1. Evaluate fisheries trawl data 2. Classify benthic and pelagic habitats 3. Develop spatial and economic data on recreational uses 4. Develop spatial and economic data on commercial fishing 5. Understand human impacts and ocean resource vulnerability 6. Monitor climate change 7. Develop and implement indicators MA Ocean Plan, Volume 2, December Develop a data network for sharing information about MA ocean resources and uses

15 Human Use: MA Recreational Boater Survey MA Ocean Management Plan: Expert Opinion Supplement with statistically robust spatial, economic and demographic data

16 Human Use: 2010 MA Recreational Boater Survey Team: SeaPlan, Urban Harbors Institute, CZM, UMass Boston, Ecotrust, Marine Consulting Services Advisory Group: marine industry organizations Web based survey & mapping tool Products: Routes and activity areas Density mapping Recreational spending (trip & yearly) Boater demographics Direct involvement

17 MA Science Priorities: Near Term (Five Years) 1. Evaluate fisheries trawl data 2. Classify benthic and pelagic habitats 3. Develop spatial and economic data on recreational uses 4. Develop spatial and economic data on commercial fishing 5. Understand human impacts and ocean resource vulnerability 6. Monitor climate change 7. Develop and implement indicators MA Ocean Plan, Volume 2, December Develop a data network for sharing information about MA ocean resources and uses

18 Tools/Models: Cumulative Impacts PI: Carrie Kappel & Ben Halpern (NCEAS) SeaPlan: Nick Napoli, Kim Starbuck Project/Products: Ecosystem vulnerability survey Human use mapping/modeling Cumulative and sector/driver specific impacts Paper describing current and potential applications for management

19 Tools/Models: Ecosystem Service Tradeoffs Pilot Study Two Approaches: Spatially Explicit Tradeoff Analysis, C. White, B. Halpern, C. Kappel (NCEAS) Dynamic Ecosystem Service Model (MIMES) Les Kaufman (Boston University), Roel Boumans & Joe Roman (UVM), Irit Altman (UNH) Project/Products: Pilot project Energy, Fishing, Recreation Comparative analysis of different approaches Visualization tool (MIDAS)

20 Tools/Models: Ecosystem Service Tradeoffs (Simple) Team: National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS) Project/Products: Bioeconomic models for key ecosystem services Simple tradeoff curves Scenario maps Visualization in MIDAS Comparison to dynamic model

21 Tools/Models: Ecosystem Service Tradeoffs (Dynamic) Team: (MIMES) BU, UVM, NEAQ,UNH Multi scale Integrated Model of Ecosystem Services Project/Products: Tradeoff narratives Marine Integrated Decision Analysis System Dynamic modeling scenarios on provision of key ecosystem services Dynamic tradeoffs and visualization through MIDAS Comparison to simple model

22 Ecosystem Service Tradeoffs Potential Management Applications Spatially explicit Ecosystem service Tradeoff Analysis Identify whether there is a potential tradeoff Demonstrate and calculate the value of marine spatial planning over single sector management Develop spatial management solutions that mitigate conflict and maximize potential returns Simple illustration of the tradeoff between sectors or ecosystem services using relative value

23 Ecosystem Service Tradeoffs Potential Management Applications Dynamic Ecosystem Service Model (MIMES) & Decision Tool (MIDAS) Dynamic modeling allows for a more complete understanding of potential consequences MIMES model can serve as an accounting system for everything we know about the ecosystem Clarifies the nature of use/use and use/resource compatibilities MIDAS provides an interface for educating stakeholders about potential management decisions MIDAS provides interface for collecting information (attitudes, perceptions, social values, feedback on scenarios) from stakeholders

24 MA Science Priorities: Near Term (Five Years) 1. Evaluate fisheries trawl data 2. Classify benthic and pelagic habitats 3. Develop spatial and economic data on recreational uses 4. Develop spatial and economic data on commercial fishing 5. Understand human impacts and ocean resource vulnerability 6. Monitor climate change 7. Develop and implement indicators MA Ocean Plan, Volume 2, December Develop a data network for sharing information about MA ocean resources and uses

25 Phase 2 overlay outside data streams Data Network: MA Ocean Resource Info System (MORIS) PI: Eoin Howlett, Charlton Galvarino (Applied Science Associates) SeaPlan: Nick Napoli CZM: Dan Sampson, Emily Chambliss, Marc Carullo, Aleda Freeman Project/Products: New application released Feb. Speed, base maps, search CZM data catalog Advancements to open source technology

26 Data Network: Northeast Ocean Data Portal Working Group: SeaPlan, TNC, NOAA CSC, NERACOOS, ASA, GMRI Partners: NROC, NE CODP Project/Products: Web Site Regional CMSP Data Products Data/map viewer Data Catalog Regional Tools

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30 MA Science Priorities: Near Term (Five Years) 1. Evaluate fisheries trawl data 2. Classify benthic and pelagic habitats 3. Develop spatial and economic data on recreational uses 4. Develop spatial and economic data on commercial fishing 5. Understand human impacts and ocean resource vulnerability 6. Monitor climate change 7. Develop and implement indicators MA Ocean Plan, Volume 2, December Develop a data network for sharing information about MA ocean resources and uses

31 Tools/Models: Cumulative Impacts PI: Carrie Kappel & Ben Halpern (NCEAS) SeaPlan: Nick Napoli, Kim Starbuck Project/Products: Ecosystem vulnerability survey Human use mapping/modeling Cumulative and sector/driver specific impacts Paper describing current and potential applications for management

32 Cumulative Impacts

33 Cumulative Impacts Products Ecosystem vulnerability index

34 Cumulative Impacts Products Cumulative and sector/driver specific impacts

35 Cumulative Impacts Products Number of co occurring human uses/stressors

36 Cumulative Impacts Potential Management Applications and Lessons Methodology points out significant data and knowledge gaps that should be addressed It provides a framework for combining ecological and human use data with results that will become increasingly useful as gaps are filled Many interim products that are useful ecosystem vulnerability index, human use mapping/modeling, etc. Informs use resource compatibility Could inform scenario analysis or project review

37 MA Science Priorities: Near Term (Five Years) 1. Evaluate fisheries trawl data 2. Classify benthic and pelagic habitats 3. Develop spatial and economic data on recreational uses 4. Develop spatial and economic data on commercial fishing 5. Understand human impacts and ocean resource vulnerability 6. Monitor climate change 7. Develop and implement indicators MA Ocean Plan, Volume 2, December Develop a data network for sharing information about MA ocean resources and uses

38 Indicators: MA OMP Indicators PI: Jack Wiggin, Kristin Uiterwyk, Dan Hellin (UHI) SeaPlan: Kim Starbuck, Nick Napoli CZM: Prassede Vella, John Weber Project/Products: Selection of indicators for MA OMP Re engage planning team Review indicators Establish baseline

39 Indicators: Visualization Catalog PI: Bob Bowen and Marin Kress (UMass Boston) SeaPlan: Kim Starbuck, Nick Napoli Project/Products: Indicator visualization catalog CLF survey what do people care about? Inform MA OMP indicators Recommendations for communicating OMP indicators

40 SPATIALLY EXPLICIT ECOSYSTEM SERVICE TRADEOFF ANALYSIS Quantify interactions (i.e., tradeoffs) among service values Identify optimal wind farm designs that minimize conflicts Wind energy Fisheries Whale watching

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42 Data Network: Ocean Data Search PI: Eoin Howlett, Charlton Galvarino (Applied Science Associates) SeaPlan: Nick Napoli CZM: Dan Sampson, Emily Chambliss, Marc Carullo, Aleda Freeman Project/Products: Google search prototype Creation of simple KML (Google) file Overlay different data streams