The Drought of 2012 and Outlook for 2013: A NIDIS Update Roger S. Pulwarty NIDIS
|
|
- Millicent Burke
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 The Drought of 2012 and Outlook for 2013: A NIDIS Update Roger S. Pulwarty NIDIS NIDIS Implementation Team, NB, KS, CO, CA, AZ, SD, WA NASA, NOAA, USGS, USDA, 1
2 Three tasks under the NIDIS Act (PL ) (I) Provide an effective drought early warning system: (a) collect and integrate key indicators of drought severity and impacts; and (b) produce timely information that reflect local, regional, and State differences; (II) Coordinate and integrate as practicable, Federal research in support of a drought early warning system (III) Build upon existing forecasting and assessment programs and partnerships 2
3 2012 Jul 62.8 Aug 60.0 Nov 60.0 December 61.8 July 3, 2012 Over 60% of the contiguous United States in early September was suffering moderate to exceptional drought, nearly twice the land the previous year Most expansive drought since1934 YEAR /MONTH % Area DRY 1934 May 73.1 Jun 74.1 Jul 79.9 Aug 77.5 Sep 70.2 Oct Dec Jul 60.4 Dec 59.5
4 How did we get here? Status and antecedent conditions 2010 Is this drought like others? Why has it been dry/drier than normal? What are the impacts and where did they occur? 2011 What information is being provided and by whom? How bad might it get and how long will it last? Are information needs being met? 2012 How are we planning for this year and 4 for longer-term risks and opportunities?
5 5
6 April 11,
7 1930s 1950s October 31,
8 Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index month through June month through June 8
9 Blue 1930s Red The drought has shown farmers the value of the Ogallala Aquifer and the need to make sure it is available into the future. Governor's 2012 water policy legislation...to conserve and extend this vital resource that supports the entire western third of Kansas. Gov. Brownback KS 2012 T. Streeter KS Water Office
10 Drought Early Warning-Useful monitoring regions for the US Southwest Cold PDO NAO warm AMO Improved monitoring and projections of the ocean will be critical for the future predictions of drought in the semi-arid West. Precipitation 10
11 NIDIS Regional Early Warning Information Systems 2-3 yrs 30 DAYS ( 1-4 SEASONS SHORT-TERM- Seasonal >1 YEAR 10 YEARS 30 YEARS DECADE-TO- CENTURY 100 YEARS 11
12 inar_registration.php 12
13 Regional Outlooks- NOAA-WGA MoU Montana Chesapeak Missouri e Bay Oklahoma Western Govs-NIDIS Regional Outlook 13
14 Drought Portal Regional Pages 2012
15 Landscape changes- Tribal Lands in the Four-Corners Region (USGS, NIDIS) Sand Dune Mobility = W/(P/PE) Stable Sand Dunes = P/PE > 0.31 Partly Active Dunes Fully Active Dunes = P/PE<
16 California NIDIS Pilot Activities Klamath River Basin: integrated information system for hydroclimate data Russian River: hydrologic extremes with droughts draining reservoirs and precipitation events filling reservoirs Southern California: complexities of urban droughts in a wellplumbed system, reliant on imported water Central Valley: remote sensing to assess extent of fallowed land
17 Million Gallons 1-May 2-May 3-May 4-May 5-May 6-May 7-May 8-May 9-May 10-May 11-May 12-May 13-May 14-May 15-May 16-May 17-May 18-May 19-May 20-May 21-May 22-May 23-May 24-May 25-May 26-May 27-May 28-May 29-May 30-May 31-May 1-Jun 2-Jun 3-Jun 4-Jun 5-Jun 6-Jun 7-Jun 8-Jun 9-Jun 10-Jun 11-Jun Rio Grande Runs Dry May 12, 2012 The fight for water in New Mexico New York Times, 27 March, Water Resources Used May June 2012 Desalination Plant Stored Pond Water El Paso Water Surface Water Groundwater 17 Utilities Board
18 Thanks to Kevin Grode (USACE) for these slides Missouri River Basin Inter-Agency Proposal for an Expanded Plains Snow and Basin Conditions Network National Water and Climate Center - NRCS Hydrologic Engineering Center
19 NIDIS Early Warning Pilot for the Missouri Basin 2012 Drought Assessment Causes, Impacts, Service Improvement State Climate Offices, Regional Climate Centers, NDMC and NOAA Draft this summer 2013 for AASC conference (St. Louis) finalized by end of Sept NIDIS and NCDC co-sponsored, NIDIS funded NDMC and NCDC funded the SCs (14 of them) and 2 RCCs Missouri Basin Prediction and 2011 Flood Attribution Studies USACE sponsored done by NOAA ESRL/PSD Final Drafts by September 2013 for USACE review, public by end of Drought Attribution Study NOAAESRL/PSD this spring Great Plains & Midwest Drought Webinars Presented by State Climate offices Since July 2012 will continue indefinitely WGA, states, governors offices, private interests (ag., commodities, insurance), tribes, academia, water supply folks, media Formal evaluation of effectiveness w/nidis funds (2013) done by NDMC and South Dakota SC
20 Goals To understand the extent of 2012 drought impacts and response in 2012, and help provide new information and coordination for improving the nations drought readiness for 2013 and in the future Increase public awareness of this year s drought and potential impacts for next year Technical assistance Ensure sustained support for monitoring, streamgages and other data Outreach with impacted communities Conservation plans 20
21 Time 09:30 AM Location 328A Russell Senate Office Building Witnesses: Dr. Joe Glauber, chief economist, USDA; Dr. Roger Pulwarty, NIDIS, NOAA Leon LaSalle, rancher, Havre, MT; Anngie Steinbarger, farmer, Edinburgh, IN; Jeff Send, cherry farmer, Leelanau, MI. 21
22 22
23 23
24 Drought is forecast to persist for much of the West and expand across northern California and southern Oregon Prospects for improvement decrease further south across the southern high Plains and Texas Persist or develop across the Florida peninsula-likely short-lived as the rainy 24 season typically begins during June
25 Atmospheric rivers: producing extreme rainfall and flooding These color images represent satellite observations of atmospheric water vapor over the oceans. Warm colors = moist air, Cool colors = dry air ARs can be detected with these data due to their distinctive spatial pattern. In the top panel, the AR hit central California and produced 18 inches of rain in 24 hours. From Ralph et al. 2011, Mon. Wea. Rev. In the bottom panel, the AR hit the Pacific Northwest and stalled, creating over 25 inches of rain in 3 days.
26 The next few months P T March to April 2013 P T AMJ
27 National Governors Association Meeting February,
28 Monitoring, Prediction, Use Improved satellite estimates and in situ measurements of soil moisture (SMAP) and soil moisture netowrk Estimates of Ground water/surface water interactions during drought Near real time attribution of drought Role of the sea surface temperatures in the various ocean basins Improved understanding of how decadal variability (PDO, AMO) are impact year to year droughts-improving forecast reliability Comprehensive assessment of the underlying predictability of surface temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, and stream flow on monthly to decadal time scales Analysis of significant past events 28
29 Percent Compare your readiness for drought before 2002 with today Actions Taken as a Result of NIDIS 29
30
31 Are we better off? The number of states and other institutions with improved capacity to inform risk management and reduce exposure to drought and flood risks The number of staff in or working with those institutions trained to develop and communicate local drought information and help reduce impacts The number of research projects that conduct and update drought impacts and user needs assessments in droughtsensitive parts of the US and The percentage of the U.S. population covered by adequate drought risk and early warning information systems
32 July 24, 2012 Really due to- Bob Rose Texas- LCRA 9/20/2012- S.3584 A bill to reauthorize NIDIS and for other purposes. Sponsor: Sen Pryor, Mark L. [AR], D.Moran (KS) (introduced 9/20/2012) Cosponsors Pryor, Moran Boren (1) Referred to the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation. Hon. L. Smith, TX)
33 NIDIS Reauthorization S. 376: Drought Information Act of th Congress, Feb 25, 2013 (Introduced) Mr. PRYOR (AR), Mr. MORAN (KS), Mr. THUNE (SD), Mr. UDALL (NM), and Mr. UDALL (CO) referred to the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation A BILL To reauthorize the National Integrated Drought Information System, and for other purposes 33
34 NIDIS Drought Information Partners: (Federal, States, Tribes, Urban, other) Monitoring & Forecasting Drought Impacts Assessments and Scenarios Early Warning Information in support of drought risk management Communication and Outreach Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation 34
35 Thank you National and Regional Outlooks Drought.gov 35
36 Monitoring Improved satellite estimates of snow amount (e.g., SWE) Improved satellite estimates and in situ measurements of soil moisture (SMAP) and soil moisture netowrk Estimates of Ground water/surface water interactions during drought Near real time attribution of drought 36
37 Prediction Role of the sea surface temperatures in the various ocean basins the strength and nature of the remote connections between SST and regional hydrology how do the impacts of SSTs in the various ocean basins interact to enhance/reduce predictability on regional scales? Improved understanding of how decadal variability (PDO, AMO) are impacting (will impact) year to year droughts-improving forecast reliability Comprehensive assessment of the underlying predictability of surface temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, and stream flow on monthly to decadal time scales Analysis of significant past events 37
38 Iowa Drought Actions 2012 Coordination between state government and partners in private sector Suspension of state laws to assist agriculture producers Rural water systems monitoring Burn bans issued for 2/3 of Iowa Aflatoxin watch Water allocation statute 38 Photos: Iowa Soybean Association
39 Grains and oilseeds dominate the southbound traffic, accounting for roughly half of the nearly 80 million metric tons of cargo (22 percent of which is coal) moving southward through this section of the river. Twenty percent of the northbound traffic is coal, 21 percent is from the fertilizer sector The Corps of Engineers - Low water levels December through February for this section of the Mississippi between -6.5 and -7 feet -- well below the level for minimum navigation Some spring snowmelt flooding northern Missouri tributaries...but less than normal Missouri navigation season flows 50% chance- less than
40 Modeling Predictions and Projections Drought Task Force Research Who/What -A multi-agency/multi-institution group of 30-plus MAPP Investigators research involving CTB - Research projects exploring improved methodologies for drought monitoring (e.g. remote sensing) and prediction (e.g. NMME) Roles - Providing focus, coordination and leadership to drought research in support of NIDIS -Extending NOAA s research capability via external collaborations -Improving NOAA operations via CTB -Contributing/leveraging International efforts (GDIS) Drought Task Force Advancing U.S. drought monitoring and prediction Broad Priorities - To define and apply metrics to evaluate advances - A case study approach to assess current monitoring and prediction capability - To incorporate research advances in an experimental drought system
41 Support cross-regional efforts to assess user needs, test drought-focused decision support tools Identify socio-economic effects of drought, data and info needs of resource managers and policy/decision makers PL Coping with Drought Research Evaluate and transition drought information products to operations Regional Climate Centers State Climatologists Drought Monitor
The National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Moving the Nation from Reactive to Proactive Drought Risk Management
The National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Moving the Nation from Reactive to Proactive Drought Risk Management CSG-West Annual Meeting Agriculture & Water Committee Snowbird, UT September
More informationDrought Impacts in the Southern Great Plains. Mark Shafer University of Oklahoma Norman, OK
Drought Impacts in the Southern Great Plains Mark Shafer University of Oklahoma Norman, OK Causes of Drought: Large-Scale, Stationary High Pressure Air rotates clockwise around high pressure steers storms
More informationDoug Kluck NOAA Kansas City, MO National Center for Environmental Information (NCEI) National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)
National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) for the Missouri River Basin Drought Early Warning Information System (DEWS) & Runoff Trends in the Missouri Basin & Latest Flood Outlook Doug Kluck
More informationMissouri River Basin Water Management
Missouri River Basin Water Management US Army Corps of Engineers Missouri River Navigator s Meeting February 12, 2014 Bill Doan, P.E. Missouri River Basin Water Management US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update
Midwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update June 20,2013 Laura Edwards Climate Field Specialist Laura.edwards@sdstate.edu 605-626-2870 2012 Board of Regents, South Dakota State University General
More informationThe U.S. National Integrated Drought Information System. Roger S. Pulwarty National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration USA
The U.S. National Integrated Drought Information System Roger S. Pulwarty National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration USA Drought: Weather-climate continuum and adaptation deficits 2010 2011 2012 2015
More informationMissouri River Basin Water Management Monthly Update
Missouri River Basin Water Management Monthly Update Participating Agencies 255 255 255 237 237 237 0 0 0 217 217 217 163 163 163 200 200 200 131 132 122 239 65 53 80 119 27 National Oceanic and Atmospheric
More informationMissouri River Basin Water Management Monthly Update
Missouri River Basin Water Management Monthly Update Participating Agencies 255 255 255 237 237 237 0 0 0 217 217 217 163 163 163 200 200 200 131 132 122 239 65 53 80 119 27 National Oceanic and Atmospheric
More informationMissouri River Basin Water Management Monthly Update
Missouri River Basin Water Management Monthly Update Participating Agencies 255 255 255 237 237 237 0 0 0 217 217 217 163 163 163 200 200 200 131 132 122 239 65 53 80 119 27 National Oceanic and Atmospheric
More informationMissouri River Basin Climate Outlook 1 May Dr. Dennis Todey State Climatologist South Dakota State Univ.
Missouri River Basin Climate Outlook 1 May 2014 Dr. Dennis Todey State Climatologist South Dakota State Univ. dennis.todey@sdstate.edu 605-688-5141 Photo taken Feb 19, 2013 General Information Providing
More informationDoug Kluck Regional Climate Services Director Kansas City, MO
Climate Resilience and Information: Opportunities with Tribes and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Partners National Congress of American Indians Annual Convention (October
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter 2016-17 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University February 7, 2017 What a difference from last year at this time. Temperatures in January and February
More informationCentral Region Climate Outlook May 15, 2014
Central Region Climate Outlook May 15, 2014 Dr. Jim Angel State Climatologist IL State Water Survey University of Illinois jimangel@illinois.edu 217-333-0729 Chicago-area flooding General Information Providing
More informationThe National Integrated Drought Information System in the Midwest
The National Integrated Drought Information System in the Midwest Advancing Drought Science and Preparedness Across the Nation Ohio River Basin Alliance Summit Thomas More College October 19, 2018 What
More informationUpper Missouri River Basin December 2017 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast December 5, 2017
Upper Missouri River Basin December 2017 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast December 5, 2017 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast Explanation and Purpose of Forecast U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Northwestern Division
More informationNorth Central U.S. Climate Summary & Outlook May 19, 2016
North Central U.S. Climate Summary & Outlook May 19, 2016 Golf course Lincoln, NE Image courtesy Terry Sohl Hailstones Lincoln, NE Image courtesy Andrew Ozaki EF1 tornado Lincoln, NE May 9 Photo by Bill
More informationUpper Missouri River Basin February 2018 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast February 6, 2018
Upper Missouri River Basin February 2018 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast February 6, 2018 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast Explanation and Purpose of Forecast U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Northwestern Division
More informationMissouri Basin Climate Outlook. 4 April 2014
Missouri Basin Climate Outlook Dr. Dennis Todey South Dakota State Climatologist South Dakota State University 4 April, 2014 Dennis.todey@sdstate.edu 605-688-5141 4 April 2014 Gavins Point Dam July 2011
More informationMissouri River Basin Water Management Monthly Update
Missouri River Basin Water Management Monthly Update Participating Agencies 255 255 255 237 237 237 0 0 0 217 217 217 163 163 163 200 200 200 131 132 122 239 65 53 80 119 27 National Oceanic and Atmospheric
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 17 April 2014
Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 17 April 2014 Dr. Dennis Todey State Climatologist South Dakota State Univ. dennis.todey@sdstate.edu 605-688-5141 Photo taken Feb 19, 2013 Tornado-Trenton,
More informationMidwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018
Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018 Brian Fuchs National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln School of Natural Resources September 20, 2018 General Information
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College February 5, 2018 Summary: For the majority of the month of January the persistent ridge of high pressure
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College March 7, 2018 Summary: The ridge pattern that brought drier and warmer conditions from December through most
More informationMontana Drought & Climate
Montana Drought & Climate MARCH 219 MONITORING AND FORECASTING FOR AGRICULTURE PRODUCERS A SERVICE OF THE MONTANA CLIMATE OFFICE IN THIS ISSUE IN BRIEF PAGE 2 REFERENCE In a Word PAGE 3 REVIEW Winter 219:
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 21 August 2014
Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 21 August 2014 Dr. Jeff Andresen State Climatologist Michigan State University andresen@msu.edu 517-432-4756 Flooding along I-696 in Warren, MI 11 AUG
More informationGreat Plains and Midwest Climate Outlook February 18, 2016
Great Plains and Midwest Climate Outlook February 18, 2016 Dr. Jim Angel State Climatologist Illinois State Water Survey University of Illinois jimangel@illinois.edu General Information Providing climate
More informationGreat Plains and Midwest Climate Outlook 18 December 2014
Great Plains and Midwest Climate Outlook 18 December 2014 Wendy Ryan Assistant State Climatologist Colorado State University wendy.ryan@colostate.edu 30 Nov 2014 Looking down at the Yampa Valley near Steamboat
More informationThe U.S. Drought Monitor: Parameters, People, Process, Policy
The U.S. Drought Monitor: Parameters, People, Process, Policy Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader National Drought Mitigation Center School of Natural Resources University of Nebraska-Lincoln
More informationPresentation Overview. Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future. Global Energy Balance. What is climate?
Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future Mike Crimmins Climate Science Extension Specialist Dept. of Soil, Water, & Env. Science & Arizona Cooperative Extension The University of Arizona Presentation
More informationOregon Water Conditions Report April 17, 2017
Oregon Water Conditions Report April 17, 2017 Mountain snowpack continues to maintain significant levels for mid-april. By late March, statewide snowpack had declined to 118 percent of normal after starting
More informationAn ENSO-Neutral Winter
An ENSO-Neutral Winter This issue of the Blue Water Outlook newsletter is devoted towards my thoughts on the long range outlook for winter. You will see that I take a comprehensive approach to this outlook
More informationMonthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sroot@weatherbank.com MARCH 2017 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average contiguous
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Drought and Climate Summary 20 February 2014
Midwest and Great Plains Drought and Climate Summary 20 February 2014 Wendy Ryan Assistant State Climatologist Colorado Climate Center Colorado State University wendy.ryan@colostate.edu 970-491-8506 General
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter 2016-17 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University December 5, 2016 Well after an October that felt more like November, we just finished a November that
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Climate & Drought Outlook 16 November 2017
Midwest and Great Plains Climate & Drought Outlook 16 November 2017 Jim Angel IL State Climatologist University of Illinois Champaign, IL jimangel@illinois.edu 217-333-0729 Harvest underway in Illinois
More informationWSWC/NOAA Workshops on S2S Precipitation Forecasting
WSWC/NOAA Workshops on S2S Precipitation Forecasting San Diego, May 2015 Salt Lake City at NWS Western Region HQ, October 2015 Las Vegas at Colorado River Water Users Association, December 2015 College
More informationNOAA S2S Planning. Dave DeWitt Fred Toepfer
NOAA S2S Planning Dave DeWitt Fred Toepfer 1 Agenda 1. Brief synopsis of The Weather Research and Forecasting Act of 2017 2. Report to Congress a. Timeline b. Process c. Document Outline 3. Some Preliminary
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University August 4, 2017 July largely held true to forecast, although it ended with the start of one of the most extreme
More informationMonthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com MARCH 2016 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The March
More informationNorth Central U.S. Climate Summary and Outlook Webinar July 21, 2016
North Central U.S. Climate Summary and Outlook Webinar July 21, 2016 Stuart Foster State Climatologist for Kentucky Department of Geography and Geology Western Kentucky University Stuart.foster@wku.edu
More informationOregon Water Conditions Report May 1, 2017
Oregon Water Conditions Report May 1, 2017 Mountain snowpack in the higher elevations has continued to increase over the last two weeks. Statewide, most low and mid elevation snow has melted so the basin
More informationGreat Plains & Midwest Climate Outlook June 18, 2015
Great Plains & Midwest Climate Outlook June 18, 2015 Pat Guinan Extension/State Climatologist University of Missouri guinanp@missouri.edu 573-882-5908 Saturated Soybeans, Monroe County, MO Yellow Corn,
More informationUS Drought Status. Droughts 1/17/2013. Percent land area affected by Drought across US ( ) Dev Niyogi Associate Professor Dept of Agronomy
Droughts US Drought Status Dev Niyogi Associate Professor Dept of Agronomy Deptof Earth Atmospheric Planetary Sciences Indiana State Climatologist Purdue University LANDSURFACE.ORG iclimate.org climate@purdue.edu
More informationQuenching the Valley s thirst: The connection between Sierra Nevada snowpack & regional water supply
Quenching the Valley s thirst: The connection between Sierra Nevada snowpack & regional water supply Roger Bales, UC Merced Snow conditions Snow & climate change Research directions Sierra Nevada snow
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College December 5, 2017 Summary: November was relatively cool and wet from central California throughout most of
More informationHow Patterns Far Away Can Influence Our Weather. Mark Shafer University of Oklahoma Norman, OK
Teleconnections How Patterns Far Away Can Influence Our Weather Mark Shafer University of Oklahoma Norman, OK Teleconnections Connectedness of large-scale weather patterns across the world If you poke
More informationApplications/Users for Improved S2S Forecasts
Applications/Users for Improved S2S Forecasts Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center Colorado State University WSWC Precipitation Forecasting Workshop June 7-9, 2016 San Diego, CA First -- A short background
More informationNorthwest Outlook October 2016
Northwest Outlook October 2016 Rainfall Opportunities and Challenges Rainfall over the month of September presented some challenges for the fall harvest while other producers benefitted. Figure 1a shows
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 19 November 2015
Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 19 November 2015 Dr. Dennis Todey State Climatologist South Dakota State Univ. dennis.todey@sdstate.edu 605-688-5678 Photo taken Feb 19, 2013 SDSU Campus
More informationCentral Region Climate Outlook March20, 2014
Central Region Climate Outlook March20, 2014 Dr. Jim Angel State Climatologist IL State Water Survey University of Illinois jimangel@illinois.edu 217-333-0729 Happy Spring Equinox! General Information
More informationClimate also has a large influence on how local ecosystems have evolved and how we interact with them.
The Mississippi River in a Changing Climate By Paul Lehman, P.Eng., General Manager Mississippi Valley Conservation (This article originally appeared in the Mississippi Lakes Association s 212 Mississippi
More informationClimatic and Ecological Conditions in the Klamath Basin of Southern Oregon and Northern California: Projections for the Future
Climatic and Ecological Conditions in the Klamath Basin of Southern Oregon and Northern California: Projections for the Future A Collaborative Effort by: CLIMATE LEADERSHIP INITIATIVE INSTITUTE FOR A SUSTAINABLE
More informationNational Integrated Drought Information System. Southeast US Pilot for Apalachicola- Flint-Chattahoochee River Basin 20-March-2012
National Integrated Drought Information System Southeast US Pilot for Apalachicola- Flint-Chattahoochee River Basin 20-March-2012 Current drought status from Drought Monitor http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 16 April 2015
Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 16 April 2015 Dr. Dennis Todey State Climatologist South Dakota State Univ. dennis.todey@sdstate.edu 605-688-5141 Photo taken Feb 19, 2013 Wildfire Wind
More informationThe U.S. Drought Monitor: A Composite Indicator Approach
The U.S. Drought Monitor: A Composite Indicator Approach Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln NWS IN Climate Services
More informationWeather and Climate Risks and Effects on Agriculture
Weather and Climate Risks and Effects on Agriculture Dr. Eric Snodgrass Official Journal of the Fluid Fertilizer Foundation Vol. 26, No. 2, Issue #100 DOWNLOAD Summary: So, what do we need to watch for?
More informationMissouri River Flood Task Force River Management Working Group Improving Accuracy of Runoff Forecasts
Missouri River Flood Task Force River Management Working Group Improving Accuracy of Runoff Forecasts Kevin Grode, P.E. Reservoir Regulation Team Lead Missouri River Basin Water Management Northwestern
More informationI C P A C. IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Monthly Climate Bulletin, Climate Review for September 2017
Bulletin Issue October 2017 I C P A C IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Monthly Climate Bulletin, Climate Review for September 2017 1. INTRODUCTION This bulletin reviews the September 2017
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 17 July 2014
Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 17 July 2014 Dr. Dennis Todey State Climatologist South Dakota State Univ. dennis.todey@sdstate.edu 605-688-5141 Hail damaged tree Josh Boustead copyrighted
More informationNorth Central U.S. Climate Summary & Outlook April 21, 2016
North Central U.S. Climate Summary & Outlook April 21, 2016 Eskridge, KS Fire Chip Redmond Eskridge, KS Fire Chip Redmond Pat Guinan Extension/State Climatologist University of Missouri guinanp@missouri.edu
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University November 5, 2016 After a year where we were seemingly off by a month in terms of temperatures (March
More informationMonthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com OCTOBER 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College April 4, 2018 Summary: A near Miracle March played out bringing cooler and wetter conditions to the majority
More informationA Review of the 2007 Water Year in Colorado
A Review of the 2007 Water Year in Colorado Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center, CSU Mike Gillespie Snow Survey Division, USDA, NRCS Presented at the 28 th Annual AGU Hydrology Days, March 26, 2008,
More informationClimate Impacts to Southwest Water Sector. Dr. Dave DuBois New Mexico State Climatologist
Climate Impacts to Southwest Water Sector Dr. Dave DuBois New Mexico State Climatologist Presented at EPA Extreme Events and Climate Adaptation Planning Workshop June 3, 2015 Water Year Precip. % of Average
More informationJanuary 25, Summary
January 25, 2013 Summary Precipitation since the December 17, 2012, Drought Update has been slightly below average in parts of central and northern Illinois and above average in southern Illinois. Soil
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College January 5, 2018 Summary: A persistent ridge of high pressure over the west in December produced strong inversions
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College January 4, 2019 Summary: December was mild and dry over much of the west, while the east was much warmer than
More informationEllen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA
Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA Regions of the US National Climate Assessment What we Observe: Climate changes and impacts Extreme precipitation and
More informationSEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: October 21, 2013 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average temperature
More informationUpper Missouri River Basin January 2018 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast January 3, 2018
Calendar Year Runoff Forecast Upper Missouri River Basin January 2018 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast January 3, 2018 Explanation and Purpose of Forecast U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Northwestern Division
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College November 7, 2017 Summary: October was relatively cool and wet north, while warm and very dry south. Dry conditions
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College March 2, 2019 Summary: Dramatic flip from a mild winter to a top five coldest February on record in many locations
More informationHighlights of the 2006 Water Year in Colorado
Highlights of the 2006 Water Year in Colorado Nolan Doesken, State Climatologist Atmospheric Science Department Colorado State University http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu Presented to 61 st Annual Meeting
More information2015 Fall Conditions Report
2015 Fall Conditions Report Prepared by: Hydrologic Forecast Centre Date: December 21 st, 2015 Table of Contents Table of Figures... ii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY... 1 BACKGROUND... 2 SUMMER AND FALL PRECIPITATION...
More informationColorado s 2003 Moisture Outlook
Colorado s 2003 Moisture Outlook Nolan Doesken and Roger Pielke, Sr. Colorado Climate Center Prepared by Tara Green and Odie Bliss http://climate.atmos.colostate.edu How we got into this drought! Fort
More informationNOAA Spring Flood Outlook for Iowa
NOAA Spring Flood Outlook for Iowa Safeguard Iowa Partnership March 10, 2015 1 Agenda Orientation Maps Current Conditions Weather Outlook Spring Flood Outlook 2 1 Orientation Maps 3 4 2 5 Current Conditions
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College August 5, 2018 Summary: July 2018 will likely go down as one of the top five warmest July s on record for many
More informationWeather Outlook: 2015 Growing Season
Weather Outlook: 2015 Growing Season Leon F. Osborne Chester Fritz Distinguished Professor Regional Weather Information Center University of North Dakota Grand Forks, North Dakota Why Should We Be Concerned?
More informationUpper Missouri River Basin May 2018 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast May 4, 2018
Calendar Year Runoff Forecast Explanation and Purpose of Forecast Upper Missouri River Basin May 2018 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast May 4, 2018 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Northwestern Division Missouri
More informationDrought and Future Water for Southern New Mexico
Drought and Future Water for Southern New Mexico David S. Gutzler University of New Mexico gutzler@unm.edu * The big drought of 2018 * Longer term challenges for water supply * Forecasting streamflow Elephant
More informationMarch 1, 2003 Western Snowpack Conditions and Water Supply Forecasts
Natural Resources Conservation Service National Water and Climate Center 101 SW Main Street, Suite 1600 Portland, OR 97204-3224 Date: March 17, 2003 Subject: March 1, 2003 Western Snowpack Conditions and
More informationMinnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture. Today. 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date
Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture Kenny Blumenfeld, State Climatology Office Crop Insurance Conference, Sep 13, 2017 Today 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date
More informationClimate Change and Water Supply Research. Drought Response Workshop October 8, 2013
Climate Change and Water Supply Research Drought Response Workshop October 8, 2013 DWR Photo Oroville Reservoir, 2009 Talk Overview Expectations History Atmospheric Rivers and Water Supply Current Research
More informationMidwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 20 October 2016
Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 20 October 2016 Laura Edwards Acting State Climatologist SDSU Extension, Aberdeen, SD Laura.edwards@sdstate.edu 605-626-2870 Cottonwood Fire 17 Oct 2016
More information2003 Moisture Outlook
2003 Moisture Outlook Nolan Doesken and Roger Pielke, Sr. Colorado Climate Center Prepared by Tara Green and Odie Bliss http://climate.atmos.colostate.edu Through 1999 Through 1999 Fort Collins Total Water
More informationCreating a WeatherSMART nation: SAWS drought related research, services and products
Creating a WeatherSMART nation: SAWS drought related research, services and products Drought Dialogue 23-24 June 2016 Western Cape Government Hannes Rautenbach South African Weather Service SAWS mandate
More informationNIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System January 15, 2019
NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System January 15, 2019 Precipitation The images above use daily precipitation statistics from NWS COOP, CoCoRaHS, and
More informationMonthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com JANUARY 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review During January, the average
More informationChanging Hydrology under a Changing Climate for a Coastal Plain Watershed
Changing Hydrology under a Changing Climate for a Coastal Plain Watershed David Bosch USDA-ARS, Tifton, GA Jeff Arnold ARS Temple, TX and Peter Allen Baylor University, TX SEWRU Objectives 1. Project changes
More information2012 USACE Drought Actions
2012 USACE Drought Actions for Inland Waterway Users Board 68 Jim Walker Navigation Branch Chief 19 December 2012 US US Army Corps of of Engineers US Drought Monitor 1 2 3 4 6 5 Impacts: 1. The area in
More informationClimate Variability and El Niño
Climate Variability and El Niño David F. Zierden Florida State Climatologist Center for Ocean Atmospheric Prediction Studies The Florida State University UF IFAS Extenstion IST January 17, 2017 The El
More informationThe United States Drought Monitor How is it Made?
The United States Drought Monitor How is it Made? Brian Fuchs, Climatologist National Drought Mitigation Center School of Natural Resources University of Nebraska-Lincoln September 14-17, 2009 Bamako,
More informationNational Drought Mitigation Center. Drought Services: Collaborative Efforts Towards Drought Early Warning and Information Systems
National Drought Mitigation Center Drought Services: Collaborative Efforts Towards Drought Early Warning and Information Systems Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader National Drought
More informationNorth Central U.S. Climate Summary and Outlook Webinar December 15, 2016
North Central U.S. Climate Summary and Outlook Webinar December 15, 2016 Stuart Foster State Climatologist for Kentucky Department of Geography and Geology Western Kentucky University Stuart.foster@wku.edu
More informationThe Colorado Drought of 2002 in Perspective
The Colorado Drought of 2002 in Perspective Colorado Climate Center Nolan Doesken and Roger Pielke, Sr. Prepared by Tara Green and Odie Bliss http://climate.atmos.colostate.edu Known Characteristics of
More informationNIDIS Intermountain West Regional Drought Early Warning System February 7, 2017
NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment NIDIS Intermountain West Regional Drought Early Warning System February 7, 2017 Precipitation The images above use daily precipitation statistics from NWS COOP, CoCoRaHS,
More informationJanuary 2011 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast
January 2011 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast 2010 Runoff Year Calendar Year 2010 was the third highest year of runoff in the Missouri River Basin above Sioux City with 38.8 MAF, behind 1978 and 1997 which
More informationGreat Plains and Midwest Drought Impacts and Outlook May 16, 2013
Great Plains and Midwest Drought Impacts and Outlook May 16, 2013 Dr. Martha Shulski Director, High Plains Regional Climate Center University of Nebraska - Lincoln mshulski3@unl.edu 402-472-6711 May snow
More informationMonthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com AUGUST 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The
More information