Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales"

Transcription

1 Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales OCTOBER 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The October contiguous U.S. average temperature was 57.4 F, 3.3 F above the 20th century average. This was the fourth warmest October on record and warmest since Fourteen states from the Great Plains to West Coast, including Alaska, had an October temperature that was much above average, with numerous locations within those states being record warm. Washington had its warmest October on record with a temperature of 52.8 F, 5.6 F above average, besting the previous record of 52.3 F set in Near-average October temperatures were observed across the Ohio Valley, Southeast, and Northeast, with belowaverage temperatures in parts of New England. The October contiguous U.S. maximum (daytime) temperature was 69.3 F, 2.5 F above average, the 15th warmest on record. Above-average maximum temperatures were observed in the West, where seven states across the Rockies and Northwest and Alaska had maximum temperatures that were much above average. Below-average maximum temperatures were observed in the Southeast. The October contiguous U.S. minimum (nighttime) temperature was 45.5 F, 4.0 F above average. This was the second warmest October minimum temperature on record. Only October 1947 had a warmer minimum temperature, at 46.2 F.

2 Much of the country had warmer than average minimum temperatures, with the largest departures from average across the West. Eights states were record warm, while an additional nine states were much warmer than average. Based on NOAA's Residential Energy Demand Temperature Index (REDTI), the contiguous U.S. temperature-related energy demand during October was 32.2 percent below average and the 27th lowest in the period of record. During October, there were 3,247 record warm daily high (1,055) and low (2,192) temperature records, which is more than three and a half times the 845 record cold daily high (668) and low (177) temperature record. The October precipitation total for the contiguous U.S. was 2.75 inches, 0.59 inch above average and the 20th wettest on record. Above-average precipitation was observed across the southern half of the contiguous U.S. from the Southwest, through the Southern Plains, and into the Southeast. Seven states had October precipitation totals that were much above average. South Carolina had at least* it s second wettest October with inches of precipitation, 7.37 inches above average. The state observed inches of precipitation in October Below-average October precipitation was recorded in parts of the Northwest, Ohio Valley, and Florida. According to the November 3rd U.S. Drought Monitor report, 26.2 percent of the contiguous U.S. was in drought, down about 5.2 percent compared to September 29th. Drought conditions dramatically improved across parts of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley where heavy precipitation flooded the region in late October. Drought also improved across the Southeast and in parts of the Northwest. Drought conditions worsened across parts of the Central Plains and Midwest. Precipitation was spotty across the West with long-term drought conditions continuing to plague the region.

3

4

5

6 Climate Highlights Year to Date January October 2015 The year-to-date contiguous U.S. average temperature was 57.0 F, 2.0 F above average, the sixth warmest on record. This was also the warmest year-to-date since Above-average temperatures were observed in the West and Southeast. Overall, 16 states, including Alaska, were much warmer than average. Arizona, California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, and Washington were each record warm. Below-average temperatures were observed in the Midwest and Northeast. The January-October contiguous U.S. maximum (daytime) temperature was 69.0 F, 1.7 F above average, the sixth warmest on record. Record warm maximum temperatures were observed across the Northwest Montana, Oregon, and Washington were record warm. Nine additional states across the West, including Alaska, were much warmer than average. Florida was also much warmer than average. Below-average maximum temperatures were observed across the Ohio Valley. The year-to-date contiguous U.S. minimum (nighttime) temperature was 45.0 F, 2.2 F above the 20th century average, the third warmest on record. Thirteen states had a record warm year-to-date minimum temperature. Twelve of the record warm states were in the West, from the Rockies to West Coast, including Alaska. Florida also observed a record warm January-October minimum temperature. Below-average minimum temperatures were observed in the Northeast. Based on REDTI, the contiguous U.S. temperature-related energy demand during January-October was 15.2 percent above average and the 40th highest in the period of record. The year-to-date precipitation total for the contiguous U.S. was inches, 1.63 inches above average, and the 22nd wettest on record. Above-average precipitation was observed across the central U.S., where Kentucky, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas were much wetter than average. No state was record wet for the year-to-date.

7 Below-average precipitation was observed along both coasts. California, Connecticut, and Oregon each had precipitation totals that were much below average. California had its fourth driest year-to-date, while Oregon had its third driest. The U.S. Climate Extremes Index (USCEI) for the year-to-date was 40 percent above average and the 13th highest value on record. On the national scale, extremes in warm maximum and minimum temperatures, one-day precipitation totals, and days with precipitation were much above average. The USCEI is an index that tracks extremes (falling in the upper or lower 10 percent of the record) in temperature, precipitation, land-falling tropical cyclones, and drought across the contiguous United States. Regionally, the CEI was record high in the West and Northwest. In the West, the components that examine extremes in warm daytime and nighttime temperatures, the spatial extent of drought, and days without precipitation were much above average. In the Northwest, extremes in warm daytime and nighttime temperatures, the spatial extent of drought, and one-day precipitation totals were above average. The Southwest had its sixth highest year-to-date CEI due to extremes in warm daytime and nighttime temperatures and days with precipitation. Significant Events In early October, a strong low pressure system moved into the Southeast as Hurricane Joaquin moved off the East Coast. The two systems interacted, streaming deep tropical moisture into the Carolinas over a five-day period. Historic rainfall totals of inches were widespread with localized totals greater than 25 inches around Charleston, South Carolina. The heavy rainfall caused significant flooding across the region, including coastal flooding that was exacerbated by strong onshore flow and astronomical high tides. The flooding resulted in over 400 roads, including Interstate Highways, being closed and at least 16 fatalities. In late October, several storm systems impacted the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley, including the remnants of Hurricane Patricia. Heavy rainfall caused significant flooding across the region. On October 30th, Austin, Texas's Bergstrom Airport was forced to close when 5.76 inches of rainfall was observed in one hour, adding to the calendar-day total of inches. This was the second wettest day on record for the city. Texas as a whole had its fifth wettest October with 5.84 inches of precipitation, 3.31 inches above the 20 th century average. Climate Highlights Soil Moisture Conditions

8

9

10

11

12

13

14 Climate Highlights Severe Weather Analysis All Event Distribution October Tornado Event Distribution October

15 Wind Event Distribution October Hail Event Distribution - October

16 Long Range Analog Analysis Due to the overwhelming evidence for a strong and building ENSO, I am maintaining the analog mapping to the following ENSO years from NOW out through Spring 2016:

17 , 20% , 10% , 15% , 20% , 5% , 30% November 2015 December 2015

18 January 2016: February 2016: March 2016:

19 European Model Outputs: DEC, JAN, FEB JAN, FEB, MAR FEB, MAR, APR

20 MAR, APR, MAY

21 NOAA CFS V2 Model Outputs:

22

23 NOAA Official Seasonal Forecasts Temperature and Precipitation:

24

25 AccuWeather s Winter Forecast Monthly HDDs for WINTER (out of 66 past winters from 1950, GCS = Gas Consuming States): Forecast Made Oct. 18, 2015: o Winter Full USA: 238,555 HDDs; 60 th Coldest; o Winter GCS: 72,110 HDDs; 52 nd Coldest; Forecast Made Nov. 16, 2015: o Winter Full USA: 236,364 HDDs; 61 st Coldest; o Winter GCS: 70,426 HDDs; 55 th Coldest; Winter : Winter : Winter : Winter : Winter : Winter : Winter : Past 5-Winter Average: Past 10-Winter Average: 244,852 HDDs; 51 ST Coldest; 271,201 HDDs; 8 TH Coldest; 246,194 HDDs; 50 th Coldest; 217,975 HDDs; 66 th Coldest (1 st Warmest); 256,794 HDDs; 38 th Coldest; 247,134 HDDs; 48 th Coldest; 258,361 HDDs; 32 nd Coldest; 248,397 HDDs 248,706 HDDs COLDEST WINTER since : ; 283,480 HDDs WARMEST WINTER since : ; 217,975 HDDs

26

27

28

29

30

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com AUGUST 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sroot@weatherbank.com SEPTEMBER 2016 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The contiguous

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sroot@weatherbank.com MARCH 2017 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average contiguous

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com MARCH 2016 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The March

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com JANUARY 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review During January, the average

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 1, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 1, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 1, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com FEBRUARY 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The February contiguous U.S. temperature

More information

SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW

SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: October 21, 2013 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average temperature

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: July 18, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: July 18, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: July 18, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com JUNE 2014 REVIEW Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average temperature for

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: May 15, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: May 15, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: May 15, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com APRIL 2014 REVIEW Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average temperature for

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2017 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2017 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College October 4, 2017 Summary: Typical variability in September temperatures with the onset of fall conditions evident

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter 2016-17 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University December 5, 2016 Well after an October that felt more like November, we just finished a November that

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter 2016-17 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University February 7, 2017 What a difference from last year at this time. Temperatures in January and February

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University August 4, 2017 July largely held true to forecast, although it ended with the start of one of the most extreme

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College January 5, 2018 Summary: A persistent ridge of high pressure over the west in December produced strong inversions

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College January 4, 2019 Summary: December was mild and dry over much of the west, while the east was much warmer than

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College February 5, 2018 Summary: For the majority of the month of January the persistent ridge of high pressure

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College March 7, 2018 Summary: The ridge pattern that brought drier and warmer conditions from December through most

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University August 5, 2016 The month of July saw the continued flip, flop of the western US temperatures. It was warm

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College November 7, 2017 Summary: October was relatively cool and wet north, while warm and very dry south. Dry conditions

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College August 5, 2018 Summary: July 2018 will likely go down as one of the top five warmest July s on record for many

More information

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Interagency Fire Center Predictive Services Issued: September, 2007 Wildland Fire Outlook September through December 2007 Significant fire

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College October 4, 2018 Summary: Much of Washington, Oregon, coastal California and the Bay Area and delta region

More information

Champaign-Urbana 1998 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 1998 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 1998 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY Audrey Bryan, Weather Observer 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sparc.sws.uiuc.edu The development of the El Nìno

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College December 5, 2017 Summary: November was relatively cool and wet from central California throughout most of

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University November 5, 2016 After a year where we were seemingly off by a month in terms of temperatures (March

More information

THE STATE CLIMATOLOGIST 2014/15 Annual Summary Volume 33, Issue 1

THE STATE CLIMATOLOGIST 2014/15 Annual Summary Volume 33, Issue 1 THE STATE CLIMATOLOGIST 2014/15 Annual Summary Volume 33, Issue 1 The State Climatologist is a publication of the American Association of State Climatologists Compiled by Olivia Kellner, Visiting Climatologist,

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College April 4, 2018 Summary: A near Miracle March played out bringing cooler and wetter conditions to the majority

More information

Champaign-Urbana 1999 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 1999 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 1999 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sws.uiuc.edu Maria Peters, Weather Observer A major snowstorm kicked off the new

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer into Harvest 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer into Harvest 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer into Harvest 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University September 3, 2016 With school and football season starting a hint of fall is right on time

More information

Every state in the nation experienced a record warm daily temperature during March.

Every state in the nation experienced a record warm daily temperature during March. Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: April 05, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com March 2012 Record and near record breaking temperatures dominated the eastern two thirds

More information

2011 Year in Review TORNADOES

2011 Year in Review TORNADOES 2011 Year in Review The year 2011 had weather events that will be remembered for a long time. Two significant tornado outbreaks in April, widespread damage and power outages from Hurricane Irene in August

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 04, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 04, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 04, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com Severe thunderstorms spawned tornadoes northeast of Birmingham, Alabama on January

More information

INVISIBLE WATER COSTS

INVISIBLE WATER COSTS Every Drop Every Counts... Drop Counts... INVISIBLE WATER COSTS Corn - 108.1 gallons per pound How much water it takes to produce... Apple - 18.5 gallons to grow Beef - 1,581 gallons per pound Oats - 122.7

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College March 2, 2019 Summary: Dramatic flip from a mild winter to a top five coldest February on record in many locations

More information

Northwest Outlook October 2016

Northwest Outlook October 2016 Northwest Outlook October 2016 Rainfall Opportunities and Challenges Rainfall over the month of September presented some challenges for the fall harvest while other producers benefitted. Figure 1a shows

More information

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Interagency Fire Center Predictive Services Issued: April 1, 2008 Next Issue: May 1, 2008 Wildland Fire Outlook April 2008 through July 2008

More information

Arizona Climate Summary February 2012

Arizona Climate Summary February 2012 Arizona Climate Summary February 2012 Summary of conditions for January 2012 January 2012 Temperature and Precipitation Summary January 1 st 20 th : The New Year has started on a very dry note. The La

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University June 6, 2016 May 2016 continued the warm trend for portions of the west, while providing some relief for

More information

May 2016 Volume 23 Number 5

May 2016 Volume 23 Number 5 The Weather Wire May 2016 Volume 23 Number 5 Contents: Winter Summary Current Colorado and West-wide Snow Pack Drought Monitor April Summary/Statistics May Preview Snowfall Totals Winter Summary The Front

More information

Climate. Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) January Temperature. July Temperature. Average Precipitation (Last 30 Years)

Climate. Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) January Temperature. July Temperature. Average Precipitation (Last 30 Years) Climate Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) Average Annual High Temp. (F)70, (C)21 Average Annual Low Temp. (F)43, (C)6 January Temperature Average January High Temp. (F)48, (C)9 Average January Low Temp.

More information

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE January 2016 February 9, 2016 This was a dry month across the HSA despite one large and several smaller snowfalls. Most locations ended up 1-2 inches below normal for the month. The driest locations at

More information

ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION IN INCHES

ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION IN INCHES 4 3 CUMULATIVE PRECIPITATION WATER YEAR 7 COLUMBIA BASIN ABOVE GRAND COULEE 18% of Normal 1971- Average ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION IN INCHES 1 3 1 4 3 1 8 6 4 94% of Normal 17% of Normal 118% of Normal

More information

Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report

Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report Month: December Year: 2017 Temperature: Mean T max was 47.2 F which is 4.4 above the 1981-2010 normal for the month. This

More information

The hydrologic service area (HSA) for this office covers Central Kentucky and South Central Indiana.

The hydrologic service area (HSA) for this office covers Central Kentucky and South Central Indiana. January 2012 February 13, 2012 An X inside this box indicates that no flooding occurred within this hydrologic service area. January 2012 continued the string of wet months this winter. Rainfall was generally

More information

Champaign-Urbana 2001 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 2001 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 2001 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sws.uiuc.edu Maria Peters, Weather Observer January: After a cold and snowy December,

More information

Climate Variability and El Niño

Climate Variability and El Niño Climate Variability and El Niño David F. Zierden Florida State Climatologist Center for Ocean Atmospheric Prediction Studies The Florida State University UF IFAS Extenstion IST January 17, 2017 The El

More information

Arizona Climate Summary February 2018 Summary of conditions for January 2018

Arizona Climate Summary February 2018 Summary of conditions for January 2018 Arizona Climate Summary February 2018 Summary of conditions for January 2018 January 2018 Temperature and Precipitation Summary January 1 st 19 th : The new year began with a ridge of high pressure over

More information

The following information is provided for your use in describing climate and water supply conditions in the West as of April 1, 2003.

The following information is provided for your use in describing climate and water supply conditions in the West as of April 1, 2003. Natural Resources Conservation Service National Water and Climate Center 101 SW Main Street, Suite 1600 Portland, OR 97204-3224 Date: April 8, 2003 Subject: April 1, 2003 Western Snowpack Conditions and

More information

Drought in Southeast Colorado

Drought in Southeast Colorado Drought in Southeast Colorado Nolan Doesken and Roger Pielke, Sr. Colorado Climate Center Prepared by Tara Green and Odie Bliss http://climate.atmos.colostate.edu 1 Historical Perspective on Drought Tourism

More information

The Pennsylvania Observer

The Pennsylvania Observer The Pennsylvania Observer October 1, 2015 September 2015 - Pennsylvania Weather Recap By: Quinn Lease The month of September will be remembered for its above normal temperatures and dry conditions that

More information

2012 Growing Season Weather Summary for North Dakota. Adnan Akyüz and Barbara A. Mullins Department of Soil Science October 30, 2012

2012 Growing Season Weather Summary for North Dakota. Adnan Akyüz and Barbara A. Mullins Department of Soil Science October 30, 2012 2012 Growing Season Weather Summary for North Dakota Adnan Akyüz and Barbara A. Mullins Department of Soil Science October 30, 2012 Introduction The 2012 growing season (the period from April through September)

More information

Sierra Weather and Climate Update

Sierra Weather and Climate Update Sierra Weather and Climate Update 2014-15 Kelly Redmond Western Regional Climate Center Desert Research Institute Reno Nevada Yosemite Hydroclimate Workshop Yosemite Valley, 2015 October 8-9 Percent of

More information

Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture. Today. 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date

Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture. Today. 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture Kenny Blumenfeld, State Climatology Office Crop Insurance Conference, Sep 13, 2017 Today 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date

More information

Highlights of the 2006 Water Year in Colorado

Highlights of the 2006 Water Year in Colorado Highlights of the 2006 Water Year in Colorado Nolan Doesken, State Climatologist Atmospheric Science Department Colorado State University http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu Presented to 61 st Annual Meeting

More information

Weather and Climate Risks and Effects on Agriculture

Weather and Climate Risks and Effects on Agriculture Weather and Climate Risks and Effects on Agriculture Dr. Eric Snodgrass Official Journal of the Fluid Fertilizer Foundation Vol. 26, No. 2, Issue #100 DOWNLOAD Summary: So, what do we need to watch for?

More information

Colorado CoCoRaHS. Colorado CoCoRaHS. Because Every Drop Counts! November 2014 Volume 2, Issue 11

Colorado CoCoRaHS. Colorado CoCoRaHS. Because Every Drop Counts! November 2014 Volume 2, Issue 11 U.S. PRECIPITATION (% OF AVERAGE) LOOKING BACK AT OCTOBER 2014 October was a fairly dry month for much of the nation with the exception of the Pacific Northwest, portions of New England and the Tennessee

More information

Climate Prediction Center National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Climate Prediction Center National Centers for Environmental Prediction NOAA s Climate Prediction Center Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Operations Wassila M. Thiaw Climate Prediction Center National Centers for Environmental Prediction Acknowlegement: Mathew Rosencrans, Arun

More information

JEFF JOHNSON S Winter Weather Outlook

JEFF JOHNSON S Winter Weather Outlook JEFF JOHNSON S 2017-2018 Winter Weather Outlook TABLE OF CONTENTS ABOUT THE AUTHOR Components of the seasonal outlook... 2 ENSO state/ocean temperatures... 3 Sub-seasonal outlooks... 4 Forecast models...

More information

2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW

2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW 2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW 1 INTRODUCTION Recently, three of the major centres for global climate monitoring determined with high confidence that 2015 was the warmest year on record, globally.

More information

The Climate of Payne County

The Climate of Payne County The Climate of Payne County Payne County is part of the Central Great Plains in the west, encompassing some of the best agricultural land in Oklahoma. Payne County is also part of the Crosstimbers in the

More information

Arizona Climate Summary

Arizona Climate Summary Arizona Climate Summary April 2014 Summary of conditions for March 2014 March 2014 Temperature and Precipitation Summary March 1 st 16 th : We started off the month of March with a significant precipitation

More information

Arizona Climate Summary

Arizona Climate Summary May 2015 Temperature and Precipitation Summary Arizona Climate Summary June 2015 Summary of conditions for May 2015 May 1 st 14 th : May began with high pressure in the west, and May 1 st was dry statewide,

More information

The Climate of Texas County

The Climate of Texas County The Climate of Texas County Texas County is part of the Western High Plains in the north and west and the Southwestern Tablelands in the east. The Western High Plains are characterized by abundant cropland

More information

Current Climate Trends and Implications

Current Climate Trends and Implications Current Climate Trends and Implications Dr. Mark Seeley Professor emeritus Department of Soil, Water, and Climate University of Minnesota St Paul, MN 55108 Crop Insurance Conference September 12, 2018

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: March 06, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: March 06, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: March 06, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com Warmer than average temperatures dominated the northern and eastern regions of the

More information

March 1, 2003 Western Snowpack Conditions and Water Supply Forecasts

March 1, 2003 Western Snowpack Conditions and Water Supply Forecasts Natural Resources Conservation Service National Water and Climate Center 101 SW Main Street, Suite 1600 Portland, OR 97204-3224 Date: March 17, 2003 Subject: March 1, 2003 Western Snowpack Conditions and

More information

The Pennsylvania Observer

The Pennsylvania Observer The Pennsylvania Observer May 31, 2012 May 2012 - Pennsylvania Weather Recap By: Paul Knight The majority of the fifth month had temperatures averaging well above seasonal levels with two distinct hot

More information

NWS FORM E-5 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I HYDRO SERVICE AREA NOAA, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE I Indianapolis, IN MONTHLY REPORT

NWS FORM E-5 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I HYDRO SERVICE AREA NOAA, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE I Indianapolis, IN MONTHLY REPORT NWS FORM E-5 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I HYDRO SERVICE AREA NOAA, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE I Indianapolis, IN. 1-------------------- MONTHLY REPORT OF RIVER AND FLOOD CONDITIONSI REPORT FOR I November

More information

Winter Climate Forecast

Winter Climate Forecast Winter 2018-2019 Climate Forecast 26 th Winter Weather Meeting, OMSI and Oregon AMS, Portland Kyle Dittmer Hydrologist-Meteorologist Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission Portland, Oregon Professor

More information

Summer 2018 Southern Company Temperature/Precipitation Forecast

Summer 2018 Southern Company Temperature/Precipitation Forecast Scott A. Yuknis High impact weather forecasts, climate assessment and prediction. 14 Boatwright s Loop Plymouth, MA 02360 Phone/Fax 508.927.4610 Cell: 508.813.3499 ClimateImpact@comcast.net Climate Impact

More information

National Situation Report As of 5:00 a.m. EDT Tuesday, April 4, 2017

National Situation Report As of 5:00 a.m. EDT Tuesday, April 4, 2017 Overview National Situation Report As of 5:00 a.m. EDT Tuesday, April 4, 2017 Table Of Contents Current Operations Monitoring Recovery National Response Coordination Center: Not Activated National Watch

More information

The Climate of Kiowa County

The Climate of Kiowa County The Climate of Kiowa County Kiowa County is part of the Central Great Plains, encompassing some of the best agricultural land in Oklahoma. Average annual precipitation ranges from about 24 inches in northwestern

More information

Winter Climate Forecast

Winter Climate Forecast Winter 2017-2018 Climate Forecast 25 th Winter Weather Meeting, OMSI and Oregon AMS, Portland Kyle Dittmer Hydrologist-Meteorologist Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission Portland, Oregon Professor

More information

The Climate of Marshall County

The Climate of Marshall County The Climate of Marshall County Marshall County is part of the Crosstimbers. This region is a transition region from the Central Great Plains to the more irregular terrain of southeastern Oklahoma. Average

More information

A Preliminary Severe Winter Storms Climatology for Missouri from

A Preliminary Severe Winter Storms Climatology for Missouri from A Preliminary Severe Winter Storms Climatology for Missouri from 1960-2010 K.L. Crandall and P.S Market University of Missouri Department of Soil, Environmental and Atmospheric Sciences Introduction The

More information

The Climate of Seminole County

The Climate of Seminole County The Climate of Seminole County Seminole County is part of the Crosstimbers. This region is a transition region from the Central Great Plains to the more irregular terrain of southeastern Oklahoma. Average

More information

NatGasWeather.com Daily Report

NatGasWeather.com Daily Report NatGasWeather.com Daily Report Issue Time: 5:15 pm EST Sunday, February 28 th, 2016 for Monday, Feb 29 th 7-Day Weather Summary (February 28 th March 5 th ): High pressure will dominate much of the US

More information

Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018

Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018 Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018 Brian Fuchs National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln School of Natural Resources September 20, 2018 General Information

More information

2015 Summer Forecast

2015 Summer Forecast 2015 Summer Forecast Inside This Forecast Summer 2014 Recap 2 Implications of El Niño and the PDO on the Upcoming Summer Summary of Global Indices & Oscillations Analog Year: The Midwest a battleground

More information

Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sws.uiuc.edu Maria Peters, Weather Observer January: January started on a mild note,

More information

The Weather Wire. Contents: Summer 2018 Outlook. Summer 2018 Outlook Drought Monitor May Summary/Statistics June Preview Rainfall Totals

The Weather Wire. Contents: Summer 2018 Outlook. Summer 2018 Outlook Drought Monitor May Summary/Statistics June Preview Rainfall Totals The Weather Wire June 2018 Volume 25 Number 6 Contents: Summer 2018 Outlook Drought Monitor May Summary/Statistics June Preview Rainfall Totals Summer 2018 Outlook June 1 st marked the first day of meteorological

More information

The Climate of Grady County

The Climate of Grady County The Climate of Grady County Grady County is part of the Central Great Plains, encompassing some of the best agricultural land in Oklahoma. Average annual precipitation ranges from about 33 inches in northern

More information

Midwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update

Midwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update Midwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update June 20,2013 Laura Edwards Climate Field Specialist Laura.edwards@sdstate.edu 605-626-2870 2012 Board of Regents, South Dakota State University General

More information

Historical and Projected Future Climatic Trends in the Great Lakes Region

Historical and Projected Future Climatic Trends in the Great Lakes Region Historical and Projected Future Climatic Trends in the Great Lakes Region Jeffrey A. Andresen Dept. of Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences Michigan State University Flooding along I-696 Warren,

More information

The Climate of Murray County

The Climate of Murray County The Climate of Murray County Murray County is part of the Crosstimbers. This region is a transition between prairies and the mountains of southeastern Oklahoma. Average annual precipitation ranges from

More information

Weather and Climate of the Rogue Valley By Gregory V. Jones, Ph.D., Southern Oregon University

Weather and Climate of the Rogue Valley By Gregory V. Jones, Ph.D., Southern Oregon University Weather and Climate of the Rogue Valley By Gregory V. Jones, Ph.D., Southern Oregon University The Rogue Valley region is one of many intermountain valley areas along the west coast of the United States.

More information

November 2018 Weather Summary West Central Research and Outreach Center Morris, MN

November 2018 Weather Summary West Central Research and Outreach Center Morris, MN November 2018 Weather Summary Lower than normal temperatures occurred for the second month. The mean temperature for November was 22.7 F, which is 7.2 F below the average of 29.9 F (1886-2017). This November

More information

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information State Summaries 149-FL. Observed and Projected Temperature Change

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information State Summaries 149-FL. Observed and Projected Temperature Change 19-FL FLORIDA Key Messages Under a higher emissions pathway, historically unprecedented warming is projected by the end of the 1st century. Rising temperatures will likely increase the intensity of naturally-occurring

More information

California 120 Day Precipitation Outlook Issued Tom Dunklee Global Climate Center

California 120 Day Precipitation Outlook Issued Tom Dunklee Global Climate Center California 120 Day Precipitation Outlook Issued 11-01-2008 Tom Dunklee Global Climate Center This is my second updated outlook for precipitation patterns and amounts for the next 4 s of the current rainy

More information

A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station

A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station ZUMWALT PRAIRIE WEATHER 2016 A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station Figure 1. An unusual summer storm on July 10, 2016 brought the second-largest precipitation day

More information

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION The total amount of rainfall recorded at Reina Beatrix International Airport for the year 2014 was 309.2 mm. This is 34.4 % below normal ( Figure 1 ). During

More information

The Weather Wire. Current Colorado Snowpack. Contents:

The Weather Wire. Current Colorado Snowpack. Contents: The Weather Wire January 2019 Volume 26 Number 1 Contents: Current Colorado Snowpack Denver Snowfall Since 1999-2000 Denver 2018 Climate Review Drought Monitor December Summary/Statistics January Preview

More information

Weather Outlook: 2015 Growing Season

Weather Outlook: 2015 Growing Season Weather Outlook: 2015 Growing Season Leon F. Osborne Chester Fritz Distinguished Professor Regional Weather Information Center University of North Dakota Grand Forks, North Dakota Why Should We Be Concerned?

More information

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION The total amount of rainfall recorded at Reina Beatrix International Airport for the year 2017 was 391.0 mm. This is 17.1 % below normal ( Figure 1 ). During

More information

The Climate of Bryan County

The Climate of Bryan County The Climate of Bryan County Bryan County is part of the Crosstimbers throughout most of the county. The extreme eastern portions of Bryan County are part of the Cypress Swamp and Forest. Average annual

More information

SOUTHERN CLIMATE MONITOR

SOUTHERN CLIMATE MONITOR SOUTHERN CLIMATE MONITOR NOVEMBER 2011 VOLUME 1, ISSUE 11 IN THIS ISSUE: Page 2 - Winter Forecast for the South Page 3 - Hurricane Season Wrap-up Page 4 - Drought Update Page 4 - Southern U.S. Precipitation

More information

State of the Climate National Overview January 2012

State of the Climate National Overview January 2012 1 of 14 1/5/2013 6:39 AM DOC > NOAA > NESDIS > NCDC Search Field: Climate Monitoring State of the Climate National Overview Help State of the Climate National Overview January 2012 National Oceanic and

More information

but 2012 was dry Most farmers pulled in a crop

but 2012 was dry Most farmers pulled in a crop After a winter that wasn t, conditions late in the year pointed to a return to normal snow and cold conditions Most farmers pulled in a crop but 2012 was dry b y M i k e Wr o b l e w s k i, w e a t h e

More information

J8.4 TRENDS OF U.S. SNOWFALL AND SNOW COVER IN A WARMING WORLD,

J8.4 TRENDS OF U.S. SNOWFALL AND SNOW COVER IN A WARMING WORLD, J8.4 TRENDS OF U.S. SNOWFALL AND SNOW COVER IN A WARMING WORLD, 1948-2008 Richard R. Heim Jr. * NOAA National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, North Carolina 1. Introduction The Intergovernmental Panel

More information

Arizona Climate Summary November 2016 Summary of conditions for October 2016

Arizona Climate Summary November 2016 Summary of conditions for October 2016 Arizona Climate Summary November 2016 Summary of conditions for October 2016 October 2016 Temperature and Precipitation Summary October 1 st 16 th : October began with high pressure over Mexico, bringing

More information