Welcome LESSLOSS Workshop

Transcription

1 Welcome LESSLOSS Workshop Alois J. Sieber acting Director Belgirate 19 July 2007 Page 1

2 JRC s Mission to provide customer-driven scientific and technical support for the conception, development, implementation and monitoring of EU policies. As a service of the European Commission, the DG JRC functions as a reference centre of science and technology for the Union. Close to the policy-making process, it serves the common interest of the Member States, while being independent of special interests, whether private or national. Page 2

3 The structure of the JRC 7 Institutes in 5 Member States 2650 staff competitive 300 M /y budget + 40 M /y competitive IE - Petten The Netherlands -Institute for Energy IRMM - Geel Belgium - Institute for Reference Materials and Measurements ITU - Karlsruhe Germany - Institute for Transuranium Elements IPSC - IHCP - IES - Ispra Italy - Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen - Institute for Health and Consumer Protection - Institute for Environment and Sustainability IPTS - Seville Spain - Institute for Prospective Technological Studies Page 3

4 IPSC - Mission Statement IPSC provides research-based, systems-oriented support to EU policies. The policy areas covered are mainly in the area of security, crisis management, anti-fraud, risk, maritime affairs and nuclear safeguards. Our objectives are in particular to support the development of a European area of Freedom, Security and Justice, and to contribute to the development of Global Stability and Security. Page 4

5 Early Warning Earthquakes: is it of humanitarian concern? Population density model connected with magnitude of the disaster M 6.7 The objective is to distinguish between large earthquake in unpopulated regions and smaller earthquake in higher populated areas. M 6.0 Page 5

6 Indonesia Earthquake 2006: automatic analysis Magnitude: 6.2 M Depth: 17 km Event Date: Fri, 5/26/ :54 GMT Report automatically created 5/26/ :58:28 GMT, 1 hour 4 minutes after the event The system correctly recognized the event as a red alert SMS, and Faxes sent out to 1500 registered users News automatically collected as the event occurs to check for confirmation Page 6

7 NATECH - Natural-hazard triggered technological accidents Alois SIEBER Page 7

8 Threats to oil/gas infrastructure Malicious threats Courtesy: A V Krivolapov Corrosion Permafrost Courtesy: N.N Khrenov Ekotekh-Nord Moscow Subsidence Courtesy: Michael Riedmann Landslides Courtesy: J. Fortuny- Guasch Construction activities (TPI) Floods Courtesy: Herman Den Uyl Seismic risks Courtesy: Pryroda, Kyiv Page 8

9 Page 9 Earthquake risk for pipelines?

10 Earthquake risk for pipelines? GIS layers (including pipeline overlay) showing (left) seismic activity and (right) tectonic movement Page 10

11 Working Principle One image in 11 min Page 11

12 LISA Characteristics Ground-based radar system to produce maps of displacement Distance meter (in the line of sight) Monitored area typically 1-5 square km Present maximum range 3-4 km Sub-millimeter accuracy Change detection in between two measurements Day and night capability under adverse conditions (fog, snow fall, light rain, ) Page 12

13 Monitored Sites in the Alps Airolo (CH) Landslide St. Gotthard Motorway (CH) Rock Fall SLF Davos Test Site at Valle de la Sionne (CH) Avalanches Bormio in Valtellina (I) Landslide Alagna in Valsesia (I) Avalanches Schwaz in Tirol (A) Landslide Page 13

14 Page 14 New Lava Flow on 27 Feb 2007

15 Page 15 Fractures in the craters area

16 Working Scheme LisaLAB LISA Raw Data JRC LISA SAR Processor Point Velocities Estimator 24 h Incremental Displacement Map LISA Cummulated Displacement Maps UNIFI Risk Assessment Failure Prediction Model Italian Civil Protection Dept Page 16

17 Page 17 Example Product

18 Wishing you all a most fruitful workshop DG JRC Robust Science for Policy Making Page 18