GAMUDA HOLD. Lacking near-term contract surprises. Company report. (Maintained) Rationale for report: Company Result CONSTRUCTION
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1 COTRUCTIO GUD (G K, GU.KL) 29 rch 22 Cmn rrt H Kn k mk-h-kn@mnkr.cm Lckin nr-trm cntrct srriss Rtinl fr rrt: Cmn Rslt HOLD (intind) Pric ir Vl 52-wk Hih/Lw K Chns ir l EP R3.59 R3.79 R3.95/R2.72 Instmnt Hihlihts intin HOLD n Gmd with r fir l twkd slihtl wrds 2% t R3.79/shr n n nchnd 5% discnt t its risd m-of-prts (OP) l, fllwin ttr-thn-xctd HY2 rnins. YE t Jl Y Y2 Y3 Y4 Rn (Rmil) 2, ,82.9 3,78.3 5,57.9 Cr nt rfit (Rmil) Cr D EP (n) Cr D EP rwth (%) Cnsnss EP (n) DP (n) Cr D PE (x) EV/EBITD (x) Di ild (%) ROE (%) t Grin (%) tck nd inncil Dt hrs Otstndin (millin) 2,6.2 rkt C (Rmil) 7,396. Bk l (R/shr).79 P/BV (x) 2. ROE (%) 2.4 t Grin (%) 2.7 jr hrhldrs kim mnh hm Bmitr (8.3%) KWP (8.%) r lt (%) 7. Dil Vl (Rmil) 9.4 Pric rfrmnc 3mth 6mth 2mth slt (%) (5.2) Rlti (%) (.) r th HY2 rrtin rid, Gmd rrtd nt rfit f R269mil n ttl trnr f R.4il. Its rslts cnstittd circ 57% f r ris fll-r frcst, nd 54% f cnsnss stimts. Th siti rinc cm frm: (i) hihr-thn-xctd cnstrctin mrins which dld t 2.4% in HY2; (ii) hihr-thn-xctd cntritins frm th wtr & xrssws diisin nd (iii) lwr-thn-xctd ffcti tx rts (2% s r ris frcst f 25%). Cnstrctin rnins jmd 89% YY, s hsicl rrss t th Ih-Pdn Bsr lctrifid dl trckin rjct hs rchd 77%. Cnstrctin mrins dld t 2.4% inst 6.2% in HY. Gmd s tstndin rdrk stnds t ~R5.8il with th inclsin f th R8.2il tnnllin cntrct fr th.blh-kjn (BK) RT lin (Gmd s 5% shr: R4.il). If th Prjct Dlir Prtnr (PDP) rl wrdd t th C-Gmd JV is t incldd, its rdrk wld xnd cls t rcrd R2il. Prrt r-sls ls dld t R87mil frm r. Th ncrin rsns t Gmd Cit (Hni: r-sls: >R2mil) ws mititd slish dt fr Cldn Cit (H Chi inh Cit) dsit th lttr kin in ins frm th sl f lnd t EO drin th qrtr. Unilld sls std t ~R.3il ,674,455 Th C-Gmd JV is witin frml wrd frm RT C fr th BK tnnllin j rl hsicl wrks shld kick-ff rch % f th 9 wrks cks ndr this nw lin shld wrdd Octr 22. ) 4. (R 2.,236,7 In d x P in ts W h risd Y24 nt rfit frcst 5%-6%. Bt, r HOLD cll n Gmd rmins s th BK RT lin rjct wins h lrl n crstllizd, with nl th ctl wrd f th tnnllin j ndin. W d nt xct tnil dcisin n nthr tw nw RT lins t mtrilis ntim sn Gmd B KLCI Th R8il Gms-JB dl trckin rjct rs t th nl thr nr-trm ctlst whr th Gmd- Chin Rilw Cnstrctin C is rrtdl mn thr cnsrtims in cnsidrd fr th j. PP 2247/6/22 (36) Th wtr cnslidtin rcss in lnr is still frstrtinl slw with n rsltin in siht fr nw. PLH rcils r rwin ~R5mil r qrtr.
2 Gmd 29 rch 22 TBLE : REULT URY YE 3 Jl (Rmil) H H2 % YY Q2 2Q2 % QQ Trnr,24.4, EBIT Intrst Exns (3.6) (33.8) (4.) (9.8) Intrst Incm Pr-Exctinls Prfit Exctinls.... Pr-sscits/JV Prfit sscits Prtx Prfit Txtin (47.6) (74.) (33.) (4.) inrit Intrst (4.9) (2.6) (.8) (.8) t Prfit EP (sn) Grss DP (sn) T/shr (R) EBIT rin (%) Prtx rin (%) Effcti Tx (%) mntl Brkdwn Cnstrctin (5.) Prrt dlmnt Wtr nd xrssws (8.7) Othrs. n/m. n/m Ttl Trnr (Rmil),24.4, Cnstrctin Prrt dlmnt Wtr nd xrssws (2.7) Othrs. n/m. n/m Prtx Prfit (Rmil) Pr-tx rin (%) Cnstrctin Prrt dlmnt Wtr nd xrssws n/m n/m n/m n/m Othrs n/m n/m n/m n/m Ttl Ttl rc : Brs lsi OTHER UPDTE RO GUD LYT BRIEIG In cnjnctin with Gmd s HY2 nlst rifin, mnmnt ls shwcsd tchnicl rsnttin n its rrtin fr th cmin tnnllin j ndr th BK lin. Blw r th k tkws: Th ntir 9.5km tnnl which inclds sn ndrrnd sttins - wld rkn dwn int fi min wrks cks. It wld strt frm mntn, fr ndin t th Cchrn r within KL cit cntr. Th C-Gmd JV is xctd t dl tn tnnl rin mchins (TBs) cstin twn 4 mil nd 5mil ch. Th first tw TB is t rcid r-nd. Bnd miliztin wrks nd th ld-tim whn rdrin th TBs, rl hsicl wrks n th tnnllin j shld cmmnc rch nxt r. - T-dt, rhl R.5il wrth f js r 27 wrks cks t f ttl f 9 fr th BK lin h lrd n wrdd. - nthr 6 r lrd thrh th tndrin rcss, whil th lnc 47 shld sstntill wrdd r-nd (Octr 22 trt: 85% f rll rjct l). - Thr mjr wrk cks tht wld incld tw ltd idct cntrcts r d t wrdd nxt mnth fllwd nthr tw mr in. - RT C is in th rcss f min t cnsltnc wrk fr th tw thr nw lins circl lin nd nthr rdil lin linkin rdn t.blh. This wld incld finlisin th trck linmnt sids tinin fdck frm ris stkhldrs- similr t th BK lin. mrsrch dn Bhd 2
3 Gmd 29 rch 22 CHRT : G.BULOH KJG RT LIE rc: PB, mrsrch TBLE 2: DERIVTIO O IR VLUE Diisin Vl % f tk Bsis (Rmil) (R) V (%) Cnstrctin rnins 3, ris 6x 3-r r sstinl nt rfit RV f rrt 2, ris RV f ndld lndnk Wtr rnins x 3-r r sstinl nt rfit Instmnt in Litrk Bsd n Litrk's fir l (R4.3/shr) Instmnt in Kss PV f Kss t WCC f 9% Instmnt in Indin tlls PV f Drr nd Pnrh-Plsit hihws t WCC f 7.3% Instmnt in PLH Bsd n PLH' ffr fr wtr ssts in lnr in (rch 2) PV f RT tnnl Bsd n IRR f 2% t Csh/(Dt) (9.7) (.37) (9.4) Y ndin 3 Jl 2 Csh frm wrrnts/eo cnrsin, Exrcis ric fwrrnts t R2.66/shr Intrst incm frm cnrsin f wrrnts t ild f 6% D -O-P 9, ll diltd shrs 2,49.3 D -O-P/shr (R) 3.99 ir Vl (5% discnt t OP) 3.79 Usid frm crrnt shr ric (%) 5.5 Y2 diidnd ild 3.6 Ttl Rtrn (%) 9. rc: PB, mrsrch - Hwr, Gmd ds nt xct firm dcisin n th tw nw lins ntim sn. T sr, w thr tht th rnmnt cn still t t nl mrsrch dn Bhd 3
4 Gmd 29 rch 22 wrd th cnstrctin wrks in nd-23/rl 24 nd still k within its initil trt f cmltin ll thr lins 29. TBLE 3: G.BULOH KJG TUELLIG WORK PROGR chin T Glicl rmtin Tnnllin wrks Lnth 2 ns EPB Knn Hills rth Prtl (mntn) - KL ntrl ttin,6m 2 ns EPB Knn Hills Pd 2,7m 2 ns VP lrr Krstic Limstn Psr Rkt t Pd,9m 2 ns VP lrr Krstic Limstn Cchrn t Psr Rkt,2m 2 ns VP lrr Krstic Limstn Cchrn t lri,3m rc: Gmd, mrsrch TBLE 4: OUTTDIG ORDERBOOK jr Prjcts Blnc wrks Cmltin tts (Rn) % nw Cmltin dt Cmmnts jr Onin Dl trckin chiin strn mrins Rcntl crd KVRT Tnnllin ilizin Cmltin n Yns Prk TP Prrin fr hndr DI - Ph,2 22 Prrin fr hndr rc: Gmd, mrsrch mrsrch dn Bhd 4
5 Gmd 29 rch 22 CHRT : PB BD CHRT CHRT 2 : PE BD CHRT ) (x +s 34.4 (x ) +s s. 6.8 s mrsrch dn Bhd 5
6 Gmd 29 rch 22 TBLE 5: ICIL DT Incm ttmnt (Rmil, YE 3 Jl) Rn 2,455. 2, ,82.9 3,78.3 5,57.9 EBITD Drcitin (28.8) (39.2) (44.5) (5.) (55.7) Ortin incm (EBIT) Othr incm & sscits t intrst (2.8) (3.5) (32.) (28.8) (9.5) Exctinl itms..... Prtx rfit Txtin (8.5) (.6) (52.) (77.9) (95.) inritis/rf diidnds (8.8) (7.5) (2.9) (23.8) (29.7) t rfit Cr nt rfit Blnc ht (Rmil, YE 3 Jl) ixd ssts Intnil ssts Othr ln-trm ssts, ,4.9 2,68.7 2,86.4 3,26. Ttl nn-crrnt ssts 2, , ,5.5 3,34.3 3,592. Csh & qilnt,949.7,385.6,756.,434.7,364.4 tck Trd dtrs,67.8,927.5,68.4 2,32. 2,632.9 Othr crrnt ssts 566.,34.7,34.7,34.7,34.7 Ttl crrnt ssts 4,23.2 4, , ,89. 5,457. Trd crditrs,4.,528.2,237., ,5.9 hrt-trm rrwins ,4.9,5.4,28.9 Othr crrnt liilitis Ttl crrnt liilitis,93.2 2,69.8 2, ,89.5 3,797.2 Ln-trm rrwins,278.7, Othr ln-trm liilitis Ttl ln-trm liilitis,32.9,494.6, hrhldrs fnds 3, , , , ,786.7 inrit intrsts BV/shr (R) Csh lw (Rmil, YE 3 Jl) Prtx rfit Drcitin t chn in wrkin citl 88. (922.8) (9.7) Othrs (36.4) (335.) (382.) Csh flw frm rtins (62.) Citl xnditr (.) (4.) (.) (.) (.) t instmnts & sl f fixd ssts Othrs (699.3) Csh flw frm instin (677.9) 62. (.) (.) (.) Dt risd/(rid) (48.) (469.5) Eqit risd/(rid) Diidnds id (82.) (23.8) (2.3) (2.3) (2.3) Othrs 38.8 (56.) (32.) (28.8) (9.5) Csh flw frm finncin 37.7 (98.5) 66.6 (7.) (69.3) t csh flw 2.6 (98.4) 37.4 (32.3) (7.2) t csh/(dt) /f,54.,65.6,49.,49.4,98. Exchn rt ffcts 8.9 (8.2)... t csh/(dt) c/f,65.6,49.,49.4,98.,27.8 K Rtis (YE 3 Jl) Rn rwth (%) n/ EBITD rwth (%) Prtx mrins (%) t rfit mrins (%) Intrst cr (x) Effcti tx rt (%) t diidnd t (%) Dtrs trnr (ds) tck trnr (ds) Crditrs trnr (ds) rc: Gmd, mrsrch mrsrch dn Bhd 6
7 Gmd 29 rch 22 nchr int fr disclimr txt x Plishd mrsrch dn Bhd (3355-P) ( mmr f th minstmnt Bnk Gr) 5 t h l r B n n n mb n k Gr 55 Jln Rj Chln 52 Kl Lmr Tl: ( 3 ) ( r s rc h) x: ( 3 ) Printd mrsrch dn Bhd (3355-P) ( mmr f th minstmnt Bnk Gr) 5 t h l r B n n n mb n k Gr 55 Jln Rj Chln 52 Kl Lmr Tl: ( 3 ) ( r s rc h) x: ( 3 ) Th infrmtin nd inins in this rrt wr rrd mrsrch dn Bhd. Th instmnts discssd r rcmmndd in this rrt m nt sitl fr ll instrs. This rrt hs n rrd fr infrmtin rss nl nd is nt n ffr t sll r slicittin t n scritis. Th dirctrs nd mls f mrsrch dn Bhd m frm tim t tim h sitin in r with th scritis mntind hrin. mrs f th minstmnt Gr nd thir ffilits m rid srics t n cmn nd ffilits f sch cmnis whs scritis r mntind hrin. Th infrmtin hrin ws tind r drid frm srcs tht w li r rlil, t whil ll rsnl cr hs n tkn t nsr tht sttd fcts r ccrt nd inins fir nd rsnl, w d nt rrsnt tht it is ccrt r cmlt nd it shld nt rlid n s sch. liilit cn cctd fr n lss tht m ris frm th s f this rrt. ll inins nd stimts incldd in this rrt cnstitt r jdmnt s f this dt nd r sjct t chn witht ntic. r mrsrch dn Bhd Bnn Chw nin Dirctr mrsrch dn Bhd 7
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