Climate change in Vietnam challenge, risks and scientific investigations. Emilie STRADY Chargée de recherche IRD
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1 Climate change in Vietnam challenge, risks and scientific investigations Emilie STRADY Chargée de recherche IRD Paroles Volon terre. Valoriser les engagements pour le développement durable du Vietnam. Journée du Volontariat français au Vietnam. Samedi 21 novembre 2015
2 What is controlling climate on Earth? Energy budget is crucial for the hydrological cycle -Drought -Frequency of heavy rains and typhoons -Upwelling
3 What is perturbing climate on Earth?
4 Past CO 2 methane and temperature on Earth Vostok ice core Adapted from Petit et al. 1999
5 Past CO 2 methane and temperature on Earth Vostok ice core Adapted from Petit et al
6
7 Temperature Rainfall Increase of C over 50 years IMHEN 2009
8 Sea Level Rise cm rise over 25 years IMHEN 2009
9 Predicted T and rainfall change over 2100 Impacts on Agriculture land-use? Flooding? Tropical cyclones occurrence? Source: Le Monde.fr novembre 2013
10 Sea Level Rise 1m Impacts on Coastal erosion? Flooding? Salt water intrusion? World Bank 2007 Chinowsky et al Regional Studies
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12 sea level rise 11.5cm to 68 cm over the next 50 years a speed of cm per year SLR 0.65m Inundation: 5130km² (13%)
13 SLR 1.00m Inundation: 473km² (23%) If SLR 0.65m Inundation: 128km² (6%)
14 Achieve and provide robust dataset based on monitoring, satellite observatory, etc Built-up robust model to improve the prediction Improve our knowledge on the functionning of the ecosystems and on their interactions Anticipate the rising environmental issues to understand, predict and prevent Pass on knowledge Many Vietnamese and International Research Project focus on climate change in Southern Vietnam, especially in the Mekong Delta
15 Centre Asiatique de Recherche sur l Eau CARE aims to contribute to the sound and sustainable management of water resources in the Mekong Delta region in a context of unprecedented challenges related to climate change and anthropogenic pressure Research Areas and Teams: Sediment and pollutants transfert in aquatic systems Water quality and its health impact Hydrology hazard and vulnerability Urban hydrology Integrated water management
16 Coastal and River bank erosion Saline water intrusion
17 Coastal and River bank erosion Saline water intrusion
18 Coastal and River bank erosion Saline water intrusion Consequences on pollutant transfer
19 Coastal and River bank erosion Saline water intrusion Consequences on pollutant transfer Toxicity of pollutants depends on their speciation (how they are ) speciation is controlled by salinity, ph, O 2 levels of water Salinity change or sediments inputs from erosion may induced a change of speciation of pollutants and so their toxicity Field measurements: actual pollutant speciation & transfert Laboratory experiments: salinity, ph, O2 level change Modelling
20 Nguyen Phuoc Dan Merci pour votre attention Pour aller plus loin Nguyen Phuoc Dan
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