Strategies for coastal adaptation to climate change in the Mediterranean

Transcription

1 Strategies for coastal adaptation to climate change in the Mediterranean Paolo Lupino Regione Lazio Territorial Department, Directorate General Environment, ICZM Monitoring Centre

2 OVERVIEW 1. The ICZM Monitoring Center 2. MAREMED outputs (Coastal Adaptation to CC) 3. Future activities

3 Survey European Projects Projects Statistics Regione Lazio - Interventi (Importi in M ) Da Realizzare e Interamente da finanziare; 28,765; 24% Finanziati ; Studies 21,41; 18% Works Management Da Realizzare e Parzialmente finanziati; 17,338; 14% In corso di Realizzazione Realizzati; ; 30,076; 25% 23,152; 19% Planning

4 COASTANCE - MED ( ) Tot 2.500K / Reg.Laz 250K CLIMA ONDOSO CNR-ISMAR ( ) 250K MEDLAB MED ( ) Tot 2.000K / Reg.Laz 200K MAREMED - MED ( ) Tot 3.000K / Reg.Laz 227 K POSEIDONE LIFE+ ( ) Tot 1.339K / Reg.Laz 640K CAMP MATTM ( ) Tot 500K / Reg.Laz 200K COASTGAP - MED ( ) Tot 1.360K / Reg.Laz 160 MEDSANDCOAST ENPI-CBC ( ) Tot 1.324K / Reg.Laz 295K K 455 K ATLANTE HABITAT MARINI UNIROMA SAPIENZA DIPBAU ( ) 473K LIDAR AMBIENTALE - ISPRA ( ) 440K AREE MARINE PROTETTE UNITUSCIA - DECOS ( ) 312K K

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6 POSEIDONE LIFE+ ( ) Tot 1.339K / Reg.Laz 640K

7 Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps

8 Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps Reference to the VNK Netherland main governmental project and other plans/methods Adoption or proposition of standards for the coastal erosion representation Erosion Atlas

9 Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps The flood risk is quantified by the product of the probability of a flood (measured in event per year) by the consequences of that flood (measured in euro per event). Thus: Reference to the VNK Netherland main governmental project and other plans/methods Adoption of methodologies consistent with Directive 70/2006 /CE -Flood Risk flood risk ( /year) = flood probability (event/year) x consequences ( )

10 Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps Reference to the VNK Netherland main governmental project and other plans/methods Adoption of methodologies consistent with Directive 70/2006 /CE -Flood Risk Exposed Goods assessment fully transferable COFLERMap

11 Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps Reference to the VNK Netherland main governmental project and other plans/methods Adoption of methodologies consistent with Directive 70/2006 /CE -Flood Risk Original formulas for a simplified but coherent method COFLERMap

12 Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps Reference to the VNK Netherland main governmental project and other plans/methods Adoption of methodologies consistent with Directive 70/2006 /CE -Flood Risk Sensitiveness analysis to test the method solidity. COFLERMap

13 Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps Reference to the VNK Netherland main governmental project and other plans/methods Adoption of methodologies consistent with Directive 70/2006 /CE -Flood Risk Risk localization for its territorial representation. COFLERMap

14 Part 2: Shared tools for the forecast and management of the CC effects along the coast

15 Part 2: Shared tools for the forecast and management of the CC effects along the coast 1.Reference to White Paper for Adaptation to CC

16 Fiora River s Mouth Flood 12/11/2012 Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps

17 Risk Assessment and its monetization Risk cost = /y Adaptation cost = /y Residual Risk cost= /y R-(A+RR) = BENEFIT = /y Part 1: Coherence between coastal vulnerability maps

18 Part 2: Shared tools for the forecast and management of the CC effects along the coast 1.Reference to White Paper for Adaptation to CC 2.Adoption of methodologies consistent with DG MARE The PESETA study is the most exhaustive report estimating the cost of adaptation that would be required to protect Europe's coastal zones against SLR and flooding on a country-by country basis. Therefore this study was taken as benchmark to assess the differences between the real expenditure and the theoretical estimated amount of coastal protection and climate adaptation.

19 Part 2: Shared tools for the forecast and management of the CC effects along the coast 1.Reference to White Paper for Adaptation to CC 2.Adoption of methodologies consistent with DG MARE 3.Adoption or proposition of standards for the coastal adaptation costs (DIVA model)

20 Part 2: Shared tools for the forecast and management of the CC effects along the coast DIVA MODEL APPLICATION WITH REGIONAL DETAIL

21 European Topic Centre on Climate Change impacts, vulnerability and Adaptation (ETC/CCA) Methods for assessing coastal vulnerability to climate change - Technical Paper 1/2011. Part 2: Shared tools for the forecast and management of the CC effects along the coast A comparative analysis among the most promising assessment approaches (DIVA, DESYCO and RegIS) would be very useful. A first comparison could be done for the Mediterranean Sea, since DESYCO will be applied to this region and DIVA has already been used for this region. A comparison of model results with the outcomes of existing vulnerability assessments of the coastal zone (e.g. Eurosion project) would also provide useful indications of the robustness of results using different approaches DIVA MODEL APPLICATION WITH REGIONAL DETAIL

22 Part 3: implementation of a coastal observatory network in the Mediterranean EURIOMCODE 1.Reference to BEACHMED-e RFO OBSEMEDI subproject 2.Perspective for further development

23 Part 3: implementation of a coastal observatory network in the Mediterranean EURIOMCODE

24 Part 3: implementation of a coastal observatory network in the Mediterranean EURIOMCODE

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26 Regional action strategies for coastal zone adaptation to climate change Face the Challenge of Climate Change in the MED coastal zones Maritime Regions cooperation for Mediterranean

27 Actions Capitalizing experiences multi-sectoral, multi-levels Developing synergies/services among different sectors Raising awareness on threats and opportunities Avoiding/reducing overlaps among project activities Project Incubation for financing period

28 Future/potential developments Internal organisation Promoter Projects/Partners: fostering initiatives Supporting Projects/Partners:assisting initiatives Peers Table: project incubation, special initiatives,...

29 3. Actions Project Incubator first issue: (SPACE MED call on capitalization, October 2012)

30 Capitalization Call Summer 2012 Observatory Network EURIOMCODE Bologna CHARTER MACRO-PROJECT

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