Atmospheric Moisture during Monsoon 2002 ARMEX Phase I

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Atmospheric Moisture during Monsoon 2002 ARMEX Phase I"

Transcription

1 Atmospheric Moisture during Monsoon 2002 ARMEX Phase I Anu Simon, K. Mohankumar, Aype Thomas and C.K. Rajan Department of Atmospheric Sciences Cochin University of Science and Technology Cochin

2 All India Rainfall (mm) for June to September 2002 (Climatology is plotted) Oct There was a long dry spell from end June to beginning of August 30-M ay 06-Jun 13-Jun 20-Jun 27-Jun 04-Jul 11-Jul 18-Jul 25-Jul 01-Aug 08-Aug 15-Aug 22-Aug 29-Aug 05-Sep 12-Sep 19-Sep 26-Sep

3 Evolution Of OLR field NOAA(10 dayaverages) JUNE to AUGUST 2002

4 In the present study The moisture field of NCMRWF analysis of the 2002 monsoon (ARMEX Phase I) at levels 1000, 850, 700, 600 and 500 hpa is studied and compared with the and ERA reanalysis data sets.

5 A comparison is also made with the moisture field of monsoon 1998, during which the break monsoon spells were short, using the available and ERA reanalysis data sets.

6 All India Rainfall (mm) for June to September 1998 (Climatology is plotted)

7 Average Specific Humidity(g/kg) -NCMWRF for Arabian sea box (10-20N,55-75 E) 01 June to 31 August hPa 700hPa 14 ALL INDIA DAILY RAINFALL (mm) -JUNE TO SEPTE May 06-Jun 13-Jun 20-Jun 27-Jun 04-Jul 11-Jul 18-Jul 25-Jul 01-Aug 08-Aug 15-Aug 22-Aug 29-Aug 05-Sep 600hPa 500hPa

8 Average Specific Humidity(g/kg) NCMWRF for Bay Of Bengal (10-20N, E) 01 June to 31 August hPa 700hPa 600hPa 500hPa

9 Average Specific Humidity(g/kg) for Arabian sea (10-20N,55-75 E) 01 June 31 August hPa 700hPa 600hPa 500hPa

10 Specfic Humdity (g/kg) 600hPa Specfic Humdity (g/kg) 500hPa Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 3-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug 1-Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 3-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug Specfic Humdity (g/kg) 600hPa Specfic Humdity (g/kg) 500hPa Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 3-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug 1-Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 3-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug

11 Evolution Of OLR field NOAA(10 dayaverages) JUNE to AUGUST 1998

12 10 day average of Specific Humidity July JUL 1000 hpa NCMRWF NCMRW JUL1000 hpa NCMRW JUL 1000 hpa F F NCMRWF

13 10 day average of Specific Humidity July 2002 NCMRWF 1-10 JUL 700 hpa JUL 700 hpa NCMRWF JUL 700 hpa NCMRWF

14 1-10 JUL 500 hpa 10 day average of Specific Humidity July 2002 NCMRWF JUL 500 hpa NCMRWF JUL 500 hpa NCMRWF

15 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 July at 1000hPa NCMWRF

16 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 July at 700hPa NCMWRF

17 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 July at 600hPa NCMWRF

18 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 July at 500hPa NCMWRF

19 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 August at 1000hPa NCMWRF

20 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 August at 700hPa NCMWRF

21 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 August at 600hPa NCMWRF

22 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 August at 500hPa NCMWRF NCMWRF

23 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 July at 1000hPa

24 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 July at 700hPa

25 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 July at 600hPa

26 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 July at 500hPa

27 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 August at 1000hPa

28 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 August at 700hPa

29 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 August at 600hPa

30 Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 August at 500hPa

31 INTEGRATED MOISTURE FLUX (Kgm -1 s -1 ) ( ) for July 2002 NCMRWF Integrated Flux = 1 g P t P 0 Vq dp

32 INTEGRATED MOISTURE FLUX (Kgm -1 s -1 ) ( ) for July 1998

33 DAILY MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS 75 E FROM 10 20N (kg/day) NCMRWF hPa hPa

34 DAILY MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS 75 E FROM 10 20N (kg/day) hPa

35 DAILY MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS 75 E FROM 10 20N (kg/day) hPa

36 Conclusions During the dry July of 2002 (long break) Arabian Sea had very low moisture at levels above 700hPa Dry air over Arabian sea above 700hPa in July 2002 appears to have come from both the south Indian ocean across the equator and also from the dry continental areas to the north In August, the Arabian sea was more moist with the relatively dry air from the south Indian ocean spreading to south of the Indian peninsula.

37 The moisture field of Bay of Bengal doesn't show much variation during July unlike that of the Arabian Sea. A comparison with the moisture at 600 and 500 hpa levels of 1998 (year with short breaks) show that moisture at these levels in July was more than that of It also remained high throughout the season with very little variations The vertically integrated moisture ( hPa) during July 2002 was relatively less than that during 1998

38 Moisture transport at hpa across the west coast of India (10-20N) during July 2002 was very low compared to August 2002 and also of July & August In general at all levels 1000hPa to 500hPa / has less/more moisture than NCMWRF

39 Thank You

7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency

7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency Summary of the 2016 Asian Summer Monsoon 7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency This report summarizes the characteristics of the surface climate and atmospheric/oceanographic

More information

Study of Intra Annual and Intra Seasonal Variations of Indian Summer Monsoon during ARMEX Period

Study of Intra Annual and Intra Seasonal Variations of Indian Summer Monsoon during ARMEX Period Study of Intra Annual and Intra Seasonal Variations of Indian Summer Monsoon during ARMEX Period Bhanu Kumar, O.S.R.U., S.Ramalingeswara Rao and K.Muni Krishna Dept. of Meteorology & Oceanography Andhra

More information

Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June to September) Issued in May 2014

Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June to September) Issued in May 2014 Ministry of Earth Sciences Earth System Science Organization India Meteorological Department WMO Regional Climate Centre (Demonstration Phase) Pune, India Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June

More information

Vertical wind shear in relation to frequency of Monsoon Depressions and Tropical Cyclones of Indian Seas

Vertical wind shear in relation to frequency of Monsoon Depressions and Tropical Cyclones of Indian Seas Vertical wind shear in relation to frequency of Monsoon Depressions and Tropical Cyclones of Indian Seas Prince K. Xavier and P.V. Joseph Department of Atmospheric Sciences Cochin University of Science

More information

Evidence for Weakening of Indian Summer Monsoon and SA CORDEX Results from RegCM

Evidence for Weakening of Indian Summer Monsoon and SA CORDEX Results from RegCM Evidence for Weakening of Indian Summer Monsoon and SA CORDEX Results from RegCM S K Dash Centre for Atmospheric Sciences Indian Institute of Technology Delhi Based on a paper entitled Projected Seasonal

More information

INFLUENCE OF LARGE-SCALE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE FLUXES ON THE INTERANNUAL TO MULTIDECADAL RAINFALL VARIABILITY OF THE WEST AFRICAN MONSOON

INFLUENCE OF LARGE-SCALE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE FLUXES ON THE INTERANNUAL TO MULTIDECADAL RAINFALL VARIABILITY OF THE WEST AFRICAN MONSOON 3C.4 INFLUENCE OF LARGE-SCALE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE FLUXES ON THE INTERANNUAL TO MULTIDECADAL RAINFALL VARIABILITY OF THE WEST AFRICAN MONSOON Andreas H. Fink*, and Sonja Eikenberg University of Cologne,

More information

The Australian Summer Monsoon

The Australian Summer Monsoon The Australian Summer Monsoon Aurel Moise, Josephine Brown, Huqiang Zhang, Matt Wheeler and Rob Colman Australian Bureau of Meteorology Presentation to WMO IWM-IV, Singapore, November 2017 Outline Australian

More information

Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2018

Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2018 Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2018 Date issued: Jun 25, 2018 1. Overview The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is now in a neutral phase and is expected to rise towards an El Niño phase through

More information

Role of Low Level Jetstream in Intense Monsoon Rainfall episodes over the West Coast of India

Role of Low Level Jetstream in Intense Monsoon Rainfall episodes over the West Coast of India Role of Low Level Jetstream in Intense Monsoon Rainfall episodes over the West Coast of India Dr. P.V. Joseph Professor Emeritus Department of Atmospheric Sciences Cochin University of Science and Technology

More information

KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT

KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT T KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT 2 ALAYSIAN METEOROLOGICAL http://www.met.gov.my DEPARTMENT MINISTRY OF SCIENCE. TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATIO Introduction Atmospheric and oceanic conditions over the tropical

More information

Contribution of Monthly and Regional Rainfall to the Strength of Indian Summer Monsoon

Contribution of Monthly and Regional Rainfall to the Strength of Indian Summer Monsoon VOLUME 144 M O N T H L Y W E A T H E R R E V I E W SEPTEMBER 2016 Contribution of Monthly and Regional Rainfall to the Strength of Indian Summer Monsoon YANGXING ZHENG AND M. M. ALI Center for Ocean Atmospheric

More information

Dynamics of summer monsoon active phases and onset over Pakistan

Dynamics of summer monsoon active phases and onset over Pakistan Dynamics of summer monsoon active phases and onset over Pakistan F. S. Syed 1, J. H. Yoo 2, H. Körnich 3, F. Kucharski 2 and M. Latif 1 1) Department of Meteorology, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology,

More information

Moist static energy budget diagnostics for. monsoon research. H. Annamalai

Moist static energy budget diagnostics for. monsoon research. H. Annamalai Moist static energy budget diagnostics for monsoon research H. Annamalai JJAS Precipitation and SST Climatology I III II Multiple regional heat sources - EIO and SPCZ still experience high precipitation

More information

Inter comparison of wave height observations from buoy and altimeter with numerical prediction

Inter comparison of wave height observations from buoy and altimeter with numerical prediction Indian Journal of Geo-Marine Sciences Vol. 43(7), July 2014, pp. 1347-1351 Inter comparison of wave height observations from buoy and altimeter with numerical prediction S. A. Sannasiraj 1*, M. Kalyani

More information

The Abnormal Indian Summer Monsoon of 2002: JRA25 Reanalysis

The Abnormal Indian Summer Monsoon of 2002: JRA25 Reanalysis The Abnormal Indian Summer Monsoon of 2002: JRA25 Reanalysis D. Rajan 1,2, T. Koike 2, J. Matsumoto 2 1 NCMRWF, Ministry of Earth Sciences, India 2 CEOP Lab, University of Tokyo, Japan Correspondence:

More information

2011 Atlantic Hurricane Activity and Outlooks A Climate/ Historical Perspective

2011 Atlantic Hurricane Activity and Outlooks A Climate/ Historical Perspective 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Activity and Outlooks A Climate/ Historical Perspective Gerry Bell NOAA Lead Seasonal Hurricane Forecaster Climate Prediction Center/ NWS Related Publications: Bell and Chelliah

More information

Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis

Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis Baijun Tian 1 Duane Waliser 1, Eric Fetzer 1, and Yuk Yung 2 1.Jet Propulsion

More information

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE. Applying the Betts Miller Janjic Scheme of Convection in Prediction of the Indian Monsoon

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE. Applying the Betts Miller Janjic Scheme of Convection in Prediction of the Indian Monsoon JUNE 2000 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE 349 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE Applying the Betts Miller Janjic Scheme of Convection in Prediction of the Indian Monsoon S. S. VAIDYA AND S. S. SINGH Indian Institute of

More information

Probabilistic predictions of monsoon rainfall with the ECMWF Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Systems

Probabilistic predictions of monsoon rainfall with the ECMWF Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Systems Probabilistic predictions of monsoon rainfall with the ECMWF Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Systems Franco Molteni, Frederic Vitart, Tim Stockdale, Laura Ferranti, Magdalena Balmaseda European Centre for

More information

Short-term modulation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall bywest Asian dust

Short-term modulation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall bywest Asian dust SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2107 Short-term modulation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall bywest Asian dust 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 V Vinoj 1,2, Philip J Rasch 1*, Hailong

More information

Kalimantan realistically (Figs. 8.23a-d). Also, the wind speeds of the westerly

Kalimantan realistically (Figs. 8.23a-d). Also, the wind speeds of the westerly suppressed rainfall rate (maximum vertical velocity) around 17 LST (Figs. 8.21a-b). These results are in agreement with previous studies (e. g., Emanuel and Raymond 1994). The diurnal variation of maximum

More information

JMA s Seasonal Prediction of South Asian Climate for Summer 2018

JMA s Seasonal Prediction of South Asian Climate for Summer 2018 JMA s Seasonal Prediction of South Asian Climate for Summer 2018 Atsushi Minami Tokyo Climate Center (TCC) Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Contents Outline of JMA s Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System

More information

BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC

BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC Prof. Edvin Aldrian Director for Research and Development - BMKG First Scientific and Planning Workshop on Year of Maritime Continent, Singapore 27-3

More information

GAMINGRE 8/1/ of 7

GAMINGRE 8/1/ of 7 FYE 09/30/92 JULY 92 0.00 254,550.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 254,550.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 254,550.00 AUG 10,616,710.31 5,299.95 845,656.83 84,565.68 61,084.86 23,480.82 339,734.73 135,893.89 67,946.95

More information

Funding provided by NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Project CLIMATE. Basic Climatology Colorado Climate Center

Funding provided by NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Project CLIMATE. Basic Climatology Colorado Climate Center Funding provided by NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Project CLIMATE Basic Climatology Colorado Climate Center Remember These? Factor 1: Our Energy Source Factor 2: Revolution & Tilt Factor 3: Rotation!

More information

Long Range Forecasts of 2015 SW and NE Monsoons and its Verification D. S. Pai Climate Division, IMD, Pune

Long Range Forecasts of 2015 SW and NE Monsoons and its Verification D. S. Pai Climate Division, IMD, Pune Long Range Forecasts of 2015 SW and NE Monsoons and its Verification D. S. Pai Climate Division, IMD, Pune Other Contributors: Soma Sen Roy, O. P. Sreejith, Kailas, Madhuri, Pallavi, Mahendra and Jasmine

More information

The Coupled Earth Reanalysis system [CERA]

The Coupled Earth Reanalysis system [CERA] The Coupled Earth Reanalysis system [CERA] Patrick Laloyaux Acknowledgments: Eric de Boisséson, Magdalena Balmaseda, Dick Dee, Peter Janssen, Kristian Mogensen, Jean-Noël Thépaut and Reanalysis Section

More information

What a Hurricane Needs to Develop

What a Hurricane Needs to Develop Massive Storms! Hurricanes What a Hurricane Needs to Develop Warm tropical water - at least 80 F High Humidity Light wind Low Pressure Area Form between 5 and 20 latitude Hurricane Ingredients Hurricane

More information

The spatio-temporal characteristics of total rainfall during September in South Korea according to the variation of ENSO

The spatio-temporal characteristics of total rainfall during September in South Korea according to the variation of ENSO Clim Dyn DOI 1.17/s382-13-233- The spatio-temporal characteristics of total rainfall during September in South Korea according to the variation of ENSO Ki-Seon Choi Sung-Dae Kang Hae-Dong Kim Bin Wang

More information

Climate of the Philippines and the sea surface temperature effect on summer monsoon rainfall in the Philippines

Climate of the Philippines and the sea surface temperature effect on summer monsoon rainfall in the Philippines International Workshop on Climate Downscaling Studies at Tsukuba, October 4, 2017 Climate of the Philippines and the sea surface temperature effect on summer monsoon rainfall in the Philippines Jun Matsumoto

More information

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO Tim Li Department of Meteorology and IPRC University of Hawaii DYNAMO workshop, April 13-14, Boulder, Colorado 1. MJO Initiation issue: Role of air- sea

More information

1. Introduction. 2. Verification of the 2010 forecasts. Research Brief 2011/ February 2011

1. Introduction. 2. Verification of the 2010 forecasts. Research Brief 2011/ February 2011 Research Brief 2011/01 Verification of Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific and Number of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall in South China and the Korea and Japan region

More information

New Salinity Product in the Tropical Indian Ocean Estimated from OLR

New Salinity Product in the Tropical Indian Ocean Estimated from OLR New Salinity Product in the Tropical Indian Ocean Estimated from OLR Aquarius Bulusu Subrahmanyam and James J. O Brien Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University V.S.N. Murty

More information

PYROGEOGRAPHY OF THE IBERIAN PENINSULA

PYROGEOGRAPHY OF THE IBERIAN PENINSULA PYROGEOGRAPHY OF THE IBERIAN PENINSULA Teresa J. Calado (1), Carlos C. DaCamara (1), Sílvia A. Nunes (1), Sofia L. Ermida (1) and Isabel F. Trigo (1,2) (1) Instituto Dom Luiz, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisboa,

More information

ENSO Outlook by JMA. Hiroyuki Sugimoto. El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency

ENSO Outlook by JMA. Hiroyuki Sugimoto. El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency ENSO Outlook by JMA Hiroyuki Sugimoto El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Outline 1. ENSO impacts on the climate 2. Current Conditions 3. Prediction by JMA/MRI-CGCM 4. Summary

More information

Time-Space Characteristics of Seasonal and Interannual Variations of Atmospheric Water Balance over South Asia

Time-Space Characteristics of Seasonal and Interannual Variations of Atmospheric Water Balance over South Asia Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, Vol. 87, No. 2, pp. 263--287, 2009. 263 DOI:10.2151/jmsj.87.263 Time-Space Characteristics of Seasonal and Interannual Variations of Atmospheric Water Balance

More information

The Maritime Continent as a Prediction Barrier

The Maritime Continent as a Prediction Barrier The Maritime Continent as a Prediction Barrier for the MJO Augustin Vintzileos EMC/NCEP SAIC Points to take back home. Forecast of the MJO is at, average, skillful for lead times of up to circa 2 weeks.

More information

The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview

The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview Jae-Kyung Schemm Gerry Bell Climate Prediction Center NOAA/ NWS/ NCEP 1 Overview outline 1. Current status for the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific and Western Pacific basins

More information

Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast

Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast TCC Training Seminar on One-month Forecast on 13 November 2018 10:30 11:00 1 Typical flow of making one-month forecast Observed

More information

Average temperature ( F) World Climate Zones. very cold all year with permanent ice and snow. very cold winters, cold summers, and little rain or snow

Average temperature ( F) World Climate Zones. very cold all year with permanent ice and snow. very cold winters, cold summers, and little rain or snow P r e v i e w Look carefully at the climagraph of Mumbai, India. What is the wettest month (or months) in Mumbai? What is the driest month (or months) in Mumbai? What effects might this city s climate

More information

Study of Hydrometeorology in a Hard Rock Terrain, Kadirischist Belt Area, Anantapur District, Andhra Pradesh

Study of Hydrometeorology in a Hard Rock Terrain, Kadirischist Belt Area, Anantapur District, Andhra Pradesh Open Journal of Geology, 2012, 2, 294-300 http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ojg.2012.24028 Published Online October 2012 (http://www.scirp.org/journal/ojg) Study of Hydrometeorology in a Hard Rock Terrain, Kadirischist

More information

Warm Episode over Indian Sub-continent March 2010 By Richard Grumm National Weather Service State College Contributions by Lance Bosart SUNY Albany

Warm Episode over Indian Sub-continent March 2010 By Richard Grumm National Weather Service State College Contributions by Lance Bosart SUNY Albany Warm Episode over Indian Sub-continent March 2010 By Richard Grumm National Weather Service State College Contributions by Lance Bosart SUNY Albany 1. INTRODUCTION A massive subtropical ridge formed over

More information

Primary Factors Contributing to Japan's Extremely Hot Summer of 2010

Primary Factors Contributing to Japan's Extremely Hot Summer of 2010 temperature anomalies by its standard deviation for JJA 2010 Primary Factors Contributing to Japan's Extremely Hot Summer of 2010 Nobuyuki Kayaba Climate Prediction Division,Japan Meteorological Agancy

More information

Advanced Hydrology. (Web course)

Advanced Hydrology. (Web course) Advanced Hydrology (Web course) Subhankar Karmakar Assistant Professor Centre for Environmental Science and Engineering (CESE) Indian Institute of Technology Bombay Powai, Mumbai 400 076 Email: skarmakar@iitb.ac.in

More information

Towards a new understanding of monsoon depressions

Towards a new understanding of monsoon depressions Towards a new understanding of monsoon depressions William Boos Dept. of Geology & Geophysics May 2, 25 with contributions from John Hurley & Naftali Cohen Financial support: What is a monsoon low pressure

More information

Operational Monsoon Monitoring at NCEP

Operational Monsoon Monitoring at NCEP Operational Monsoon Monitoring at NCEP Wassila M. Thiaw Climate Prediction Center National Centers for Environmental Predictions Operational Monsoon Monitoring at NCEP Wassila M. Thiaw Climate Prediction

More information

Chapter 4 Inter-Annual and Long-Term Variability

Chapter 4 Inter-Annual and Long-Term Variability Chapter 4 Inter-Annual and Long-Term Variability 4.1 General Rainfa\\ is the most imllortant weather element for India, a trollica\ country. Agriculture, hydro-electric power, industry and the economy

More information

EVALUATION OF BROAD SCALE VERTICAL CIRCULATION AND THERMAL INDICES IN RELATION TO THE ONSET OF INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON

EVALUATION OF BROAD SCALE VERTICAL CIRCULATION AND THERMAL INDICES IN RELATION TO THE ONSET OF INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY Int. J. Climatol. 22: 649 661 (2002) Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI: 10.1002/joc.742 EVALUATION OF BROAD SCALE VERTICAL CIRCULATION

More information

Seasonal Climate Watch June to October 2018

Seasonal Climate Watch June to October 2018 Seasonal Climate Watch June to October 2018 Date issued: May 28, 2018 1. Overview The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has now moved into the neutral phase and is expected to rise towards an El Niño

More information

Extreme Weather and Climate Week 2. Presented by Ken Sinclair September 29th 2014

Extreme Weather and Climate Week 2. Presented by Ken Sinclair September 29th 2014 Extreme Weather and Climate Week 2 Presented by Ken Sinclair September 29th 2014 Overview Required - Climate extremes and climate change: The Russian heat wave and other climate extremes of 2010 (Trenberth,

More information

A Study of Teleconnection between the South Asian and East Asian Monsoons: Comparison of Summer Monsoon Precipitation of Nepal and South Korea

A Study of Teleconnection between the South Asian and East Asian Monsoons: Comparison of Summer Monsoon Precipitation of Nepal and South Korea Journal of Environmental Science International pissn: 1225-4517 eissn: 2287-3503 23(10); 1719~1729; October 2014 http://dx.doi.org/10.5322/jesi.2014.23.10.1719 ORIGINAL ARTICLE A Study of Teleconnection

More information

Analysis of meteorological measurements made over three rainy seasons in Sinazongwe District, Zambia.

Analysis of meteorological measurements made over three rainy seasons in Sinazongwe District, Zambia. Analysis of meteorological measurements made over three rainy seasons in Sinazongwe District, Zambia. 1 Hiromitsu Kanno, 2 Hiroyuki Shimono, 3 Takeshi Sakurai, and 4 Taro Yamauchi 1 National Agricultural

More information

Presentation Overview. Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future. Global Energy Balance. What is climate?

Presentation Overview. Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future. Global Energy Balance. What is climate? Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future Mike Crimmins Climate Science Extension Specialist Dept. of Soil, Water, & Env. Science & Arizona Cooperative Extension The University of Arizona Presentation

More information

Chiang Rai Province CC Threat overview AAS1109 Mekong ARCC

Chiang Rai Province CC Threat overview AAS1109 Mekong ARCC Chiang Rai Province CC Threat overview AAS1109 Mekong ARCC This threat overview relies on projections of future climate change in the Mekong Basin for the period 2045-2069 compared to a baseline of 1980-2005.

More information

Impacts of precipitation interpolation on hydrologic modeling in data scarce regions

Impacts of precipitation interpolation on hydrologic modeling in data scarce regions Impacts of precipitation interpolation on hydrologic modeling in data scarce regions 1, Shamita Kumar, Florian Wilken 1, Peter Fiener 1 and Karl Schneider 1 1 Hydrogeography and Climatology Research Group,

More information

Influences of PBL Parameterizations on Warm-Season Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Simulations

Influences of PBL Parameterizations on Warm-Season Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Simulations Influences of PBL Parameterizations on Warm-Season Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Simulations Stan Trier (NCAR/MMM) Andreas Prein (NCAR/ASP) and Changhai Liu (NCAR/RAL) GEWEX Convection-Permitting

More information

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR In this chapter, comparisons between the model-produced and analyzed streamlines,

More information

Impact of ATOVS data in a mesoscale assimilationforecast system over the Indian region

Impact of ATOVS data in a mesoscale assimilationforecast system over the Indian region Impact of ATOVS data in a mesoscale assimilationforecast system over the Indian region John P. George and Munmun Das Gupta National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Department of Science &

More information

Seasonal Persistence and Propagation of Intraseasonal Patterns over the Indian Monsoon Region

Seasonal Persistence and Propagation of Intraseasonal Patterns over the Indian Monsoon Region Seasonal Persistence and Propagation of Intraseasonal Patterns over the Indian Monsoon Region V. Krishnamurthy and J. Shukla Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies Institute of Global Environment and

More information

Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian Sea

Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian Sea SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION Letters https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-017-0008-6 In the format provided by the authors and unedited. Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian

More information

Update on SCOPE-Nowcasting Pilot Project Real Time Ocean Products Suman Goyal Scientist-E

Update on SCOPE-Nowcasting Pilot Project Real Time Ocean Products Suman Goyal Scientist-E Update on SCOPE-Nowcasting Pilot Project Real Time Ocean Products Suman Goyal Scientist-E 19-22 Nov 2013 SCOPE-Nowcasting-1 Agenda Item 5 Pilot Projects Overview Users /Clients User requirements Product

More information

The Arctic Energy Budget

The Arctic Energy Budget The Arctic Energy Budget The global heat engine [courtesy Kevin Trenberth, NCAR]. Differential solar heating between low and high latitudes gives rise to a circulation of the atmosphere and ocean that

More information

Weather Outlook. 1 July 2016 METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH GROUP. INDIA HEADQUART ERS G 31 Quest Offices DLF Golf Course Road Gurgaon India

Weather Outlook. 1 July 2016 METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH GROUP. INDIA HEADQUART ERS G 31 Quest Offices DLF Golf Course Road Gurgaon India Weather Outlook 1 July 2016 METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH GROUP INDIA HEADQUART ERS G 31 Quest Offices DLF Golf Course Road Gurgaon 122 002 India NORTH AMERICA 350 Fifth Avenue 59 th Floor, New York City NY

More information

Summary and Conclusions

Summary and Conclusions 241 Chapter 10 Summary and Conclusions Kerala is situated in the southern tip of India between 8 15 N and 12 50 N latitude and 74 50 E and 77 30 E longitude. It is popularly known as Gods own country.

More information

Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions

Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions Anders Levermann, Jacob Schewe, Vladimir Petoukhov, and Hermann Held Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany,

More information

Physical Features of Monsoon Asia. 192 Unit 7 Teachers Curriculum Institute 60 N 130 E 140 E 150 E 60 E 50 N 160 E 40 N 30 N 150 E.

Physical Features of Monsoon Asia. 192 Unit 7 Teachers Curriculum Institute 60 N 130 E 140 E 150 E 60 E 50 N 160 E 40 N 30 N 150 E. 50 N 60 E 70 E 80 E 90 E 100 E 60 N 110 E 120 E 130 E 140 E 150 E 50 N 160 E 40 N 40 N 30 N 60 E 30 N 150 E Tropic of Cancer 20 N Tropic of Cancer 20 N 10 N 10 N 0 Equator 0 Equator 10 S 10 S 0 500 1,000

More information

Where does precipitation water come from?

Where does precipitation water come from? Chapter II Climate and Meteorology Where does precipitation water come from? Introduction The source of water vapor existing over Mongolia has been considered to consist of evapotranspiration at several

More information

CHAPTER 2 DATA AND METHODS. Errors using inadequate data are much less than those using no data at all. Charles Babbage, circa 1850

CHAPTER 2 DATA AND METHODS. Errors using inadequate data are much less than those using no data at all. Charles Babbage, circa 1850 CHAPTER 2 DATA AND METHODS Errors using inadequate data are much less than those using no data at all. Charles Babbage, circa 185 2.1 Datasets 2.1.1 OLR The primary data used in this study are the outgoing

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (May 2017)

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (May 2017) UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (May 2017) 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions in April 2017 1.1 Inter monsoon conditions, characterised by afternoon showers and winds that are generally

More information

Mekong River Commission

Mekong River Commission U Mekong River Commission Regional Flood Management and Mitigation Centre Weekly Flood Situation Report for the Mekong River Basin th Prepared on: Monday, /9, covering the week from P P August to 31 st

More information

SAJJAD SAEED¹, MUHAMMAD MUNIR SHEIKH², SYED FAISAL SAEED³

SAJJAD SAEED¹, MUHAMMAD MUNIR SHEIKH², SYED FAISAL SAEED³ Simulations of 1992 Flood in River Jhelum using High Resolution Regional Climate Model, PRECIS to Study the Underlying Physical Processes Involved in the Extreme Precipitation Event SAJJAD SAEED¹, MUHAMMAD

More information

The Indian summer monsoon during peaks in the 11 year sunspot cycle

The Indian summer monsoon during peaks in the 11 year sunspot cycle GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 39,, doi:10.1029/2012gl051977, 2012 The Indian summer monsoon during peaks in the 11 year sunspot cycle Harry van Loon 1,2 and Gerald A. Meehl 1 Received 9 April 2012;

More information

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION The total amount of rainfall recorded at Reina Beatrix International Airport for the year 2014 was 309.2 mm. This is 34.4 % below normal ( Figure 1 ). During

More information

Modeling Indian Ocean Biogeochemistry Iron Limitation and Dipole-Zonal Mode Impacts

Modeling Indian Ocean Biogeochemistry Iron Limitation and Dipole-Zonal Mode Impacts Modeling Indian Ocean Biogeochemistry Iron Limitation and Dipole-Zonal Mode Impacts Jerry Wiggert jwiggert@ccpo.odu.edu Funded by the NASA Oceanography Program Outline 1) Coupled 3-D Bio-physical Model

More information

Study of Changes in Climate Parameters at Regional Level: Indian Scenarios

Study of Changes in Climate Parameters at Regional Level: Indian Scenarios Study of Changes in Climate Parameters at Regional Level: Indian Scenarios S K Dash Centre for Atmospheric Sciences Indian Institute of Technology Delhi Climate Change and Animal Populations - The golden

More information

Government of Sultanate of Oman Public Authority of Civil Aviation Directorate General of Meteorology. National Report To

Government of Sultanate of Oman Public Authority of Civil Aviation Directorate General of Meteorology. National Report To Government of Sultanate of Oman Public Authority of Civil Aviation Directorate General of Meteorology National Report To Panel on Tropical Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal And Arabian Sea 43rd Session, India

More information

The 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. What is New and What to Expect. Mark Chambers President & CEO ImpactWeather, Inc.

The 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. What is New and What to Expect. Mark Chambers President & CEO ImpactWeather, Inc. The 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season What is New and What to Expect Mark Chambers President & CEO ImpactWeather, Inc. Hurricane Climatology for the Gulf of Mexico A Look back at 2013 The outlook for this

More information

LAB J - WORLD CLIMATE ZONES

LAB J - WORLD CLIMATE ZONES Introduction LAB J - WORLD CLIMATE ZONES The objective of this lab is to familiarize the student with the various climates around the world and the climate controls that influence these climates. Students

More information

ovember 2008 Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service

ovember 2008 Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service ovember 2008 Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service The Atlantic Hurricane Season Summary 2008 Special Focus on Antigua and Barbuda The Season in Brief Sixteen (16) named storms formed in the Atlantic

More information

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION The total amount of rainfall recorded at Reina Beatrix International Airport for the year 2017 was 391.0 mm. This is 17.1 % below normal ( Figure 1 ). During

More information

Stephen W. Bieda III, Steven L. Mullen, Christopher L. Castro University of Arizona Department of Atmospheric Sciences

Stephen W. Bieda III, Steven L. Mullen, Christopher L. Castro University of Arizona Department of Atmospheric Sciences Stephen W. Bieda III, Steven L. Mullen, Christopher L. Castro University of Arizona Department of Atmospheric Sciences Collaborative effort between National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ WSFO and the University

More information

CURRENT STATUS OF MONSOON Main Meteorological conditions of the last week (27August to 2 September)

CURRENT STATUS OF MONSOON Main Meteorological conditions of the last week (27August to 2 September) CURRENT STATUS OF MONSOON 2009 Main Meteorological conditions of the last week (27August to 2 September) Last week s low pressure area over Orissa and neighbourhood moved west-northwestwards across central

More information

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Shingo Yamada Tokyo Climate Center Japan Meteorological Agency 2006/11/02 7 th Joint Meeting on EAWM Contents 1. Verification of the Seasonal

More information

WATER VAPOR FLUXES OVER EQUATORIAL CENTRAL AFRICA

WATER VAPOR FLUXES OVER EQUATORIAL CENTRAL AFRICA WATER VAPOR FLUXES OVER EQUATORIAL CENTRAL AFRICA INTRODUCTION A good understanding of the causes of climate variability depend, to the large extend, on the precise knowledge of the functioning of the

More information

Seasonal Climate Watch April to August 2018

Seasonal Climate Watch April to August 2018 Seasonal Climate Watch April to August 2018 Date issued: Mar 23, 2018 1. Overview The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is expected to weaken from a moderate La Niña phase to a neutral phase through

More information

University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom. 2 Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Meteorological Office, Exeter, United Kingdom.

University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom. 2 Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Meteorological Office, Exeter, United Kingdom. 9.1 RUNNING A CLIMATE MODEL IN FORECAST MODE TO IDENTIFY THE SOURCE OF TROPICAL CLIMATE ERRORS: WITH SPECIFIC REFERENCE TO THE DRY BIAS OVER THE MARITIME CONTINENT IN AN ATMOSPHERE ONLY GCM 1 Jane Strachan,

More information

Assessing the impact of Arctic sea ice variability on Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass and energy exchange

Assessing the impact of Arctic sea ice variability on Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass and energy exchange Assessing the impact of Arctic sea ice variability on Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass and energy exchange J. Stroeve, L. Boisvert, J. Mioduszewski, T. Komayo Enhanced Greenland Melt and Sea Ice Loss R=

More information

What is the difference between Weather and Climate?

What is the difference between Weather and Climate? What is the difference between Weather and Climate? Objective Many people are confused about the difference between weather and climate. This makes understanding the difference between weather forecasts

More information

Climate Variability in South Asia

Climate Variability in South Asia Climate Variability in South Asia V. Niranjan, M. Dinesh Kumar, and Nitin Bassi Institute for Resource Analysis and Policy Contents Introduction Rainfall variability in South Asia Temporal variability

More information

Massive Storms! 8.10C Identify the role of the oceans in the formation of weather systems such as hurricanes

Massive Storms! 8.10C Identify the role of the oceans in the formation of weather systems such as hurricanes Massive Storms! 8.10C Identify the role of the oceans in the formation of weather systems such as hurricanes Instructional page: Each person in group will take on one portion or set of questions: Each

More information

2016 Meteorology Summary

2016 Meteorology Summary 2016 Meteorology Summary New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection AIR POLLUTION AND METEOROLOGY Meteorology plays an important role in the distribution of pollution throughout the troposphere,

More information

SEA ICE PREDICTION NETWORK (SIPN) Template for Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Outlook Core Contributions August 2015 Report

SEA ICE PREDICTION NETWORK (SIPN) Template for Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Outlook Core Contributions August 2015 Report SEA ICE PREDICTION NETWORK (SIPN) Template for Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Outlook Core Contributions August 2015 Report 1. David Rennie / Amateur Individual 2. Executive summary This estimate is primarily based

More information

Intraseasonal Oscillations and Interannual Variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon

Intraseasonal Oscillations and Interannual Variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon 1180 JOURNAL OF CLIMATE Intraseasonal Oscillations and Interannual Variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon B. N. GOSWAMI AND R. S. AJAYA MOHAN Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute

More information

3. HYDROMETEROLOGY. 3.1 Introduction. 3.2 Hydro-meteorological Aspect. 3.3 Rain Gauge Stations

3. HYDROMETEROLOGY. 3.1 Introduction. 3.2 Hydro-meteorological Aspect. 3.3 Rain Gauge Stations 3. HYDROMETEROLOGY 3.1 Introduction Hydrometeorology is a branch of meteorology and hydrology that studies the transfer of water and energy between the land surface and the lower atmosphere. Detailed hydrological

More information

Characteristics of 2014 summer climate over South Korea

Characteristics of 2014 summer climate over South Korea 2 nd East Asia winter Climate Outlook Forum Characteristics of 2014 summer climate over South Korea October 30, 2014 So-Young Yim, E-hyung Park, and Hyun-Sook Jung Climate Prediction Division Korea Meteorological

More information

Supplementary Figure 1. Summer mesoscale convective systems rainfall climatology and trends. Mesoscale convective system (MCS) (a) mean total

Supplementary Figure 1. Summer mesoscale convective systems rainfall climatology and trends. Mesoscale convective system (MCS) (a) mean total Supplementary Figure 1. Summer mesoscale convective systems rainfall climatology and trends. Mesoscale convective system (MCS) (a) mean total rainfall and (b) total rainfall trend from 1979-2014. Total

More information

Anticorrelated intensity change of the quasi-biweekly and day oscillations over the South China Sea

Anticorrelated intensity change of the quasi-biweekly and day oscillations over the South China Sea Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L16702, doi:10.1029/2008gl034449, 2008 Anticorrelated intensity change of the quasi-biweekly and 30 50-day oscillations over the South

More information

Monday 7 October 2013, Class #15

Monday 7 October 2013, Class #15 Monday 7 October 2013, Class #15 Concepts for Today (Basics for Thermodynamics) Weather versus climate Lapse Rate (Adiabatic Lapse Rate) Ideal Gas Law Adiabatic Processes Potential Temperature Hydrostatic

More information

Equatorial Waves and Air Sea Interaction in the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation

Equatorial Waves and Air Sea Interaction in the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation 1JULY 2001 KEMBALL-COOK AND WANG 2923 Equatorial Waves and Air Sea Interaction in the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation SUSAN KEMBALL-COOK* AND BIN WANG Department of Meteorology, School of Ocean

More information

WMO technical conference on climate services building on clips legacy

WMO technical conference on climate services building on clips legacy WMO technical conference on climate services building on clips legacy conjunction with the Sixteenth Session of WMO Commission for Climatology (CCl-16) and the 35 th Meeting of the Joint Scientific Committee

More information