BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC"

Transcription

1 BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC Prof. Edvin Aldrian Director for Research and Development - BMKG First Scientific and Planning Workshop on Year of Maritime Continent, Singapore 27-3 January 25

2 BMKG Climatology of regional rainfall Mainly monsoonal Three distinct rainfall climate regions Three climate regions update previous work by Wyrtki, 956 monsoonal Semi-monsoonal Anti-monsoonal

3 BMKG Onset Dates of Asian Summer Monsoon 3

4 Dry Season onset (TRMM data 998) BMKG Area with rainfall > 5mm/ days (Non Monsoon) Areas with rainfall < 5mm/ days (Non Monsoon) Colour indicates days

5 Rainy Season onset (TRMM data 998) BMKG Area with rainfall > 5mm/ days (Non Monsoon) Areas with rainfall < 5mm/ days (Non Monsoon) Colour indicates days

6 Improvement by higher resolution BMKG with regional model

7 Java BMKG Improvement by coupling with ocean model uncoupled Java Aldrian et al, 25, Clim Dyn. coupled Southern South China Sea Southern South China Sea Molucca Sea Molucca Sea

8 Rainfall Predictability by regional model BMKG RMS Error against control run Ensemble runs with REMO-ERA and REMO-ECHAM: 6 members with 2 hr diff. in initial condition

9 BMKG Studying Land sea interaction with Satellite Observation results of diurnal process between land and sea Study area (55 E AND 5-9 S)

10 Studying Land sea interaction with Satellite Observation results of diurnal process between land and sea BMKG land ocean There is a reverse diurnal mechanism of cloud development and precipitation processes over land and surrounding ocean 6 4 Land Ocean 2 TBB

11 Studying Sea Air interaction ( cloud model) Jan January with a coupled Feb ocean Februaryatmosphere Mar modeling March results Apr April BMKG y =.3884x +.98 R 2 =.49 y =.657x +.33 R 2 = y =.79x -.29 R 2 =.7478 y =.295x R 2 = y =.825x -.3 R 2 =.5373 y =.242x R 2 = y =.3982x R 2 =.477 y = 2.55x R 2 = SST SST SST SST May May Jun June Jul July Aug August y =.43x +.93 R 2 =.48 y =.9282x R 2 = y =.759x R 2 =.675 y =.8249x -.8 R 2 = y =.5x +.92 R 2 =.42 y =.636x +.4 R 2 = y =.729x +.85 R 2 =.33 y =.5779x R 2 = SST SST SST SST Sep September Oct October Nov Novem ber Dec Decem ber Convective -.5 Stratiform y =.2262x R 2 =.2689 y =.4247x R 2 = y =.3562x +.9 R 2 =.3695 y =.5887x -.57 R 2 = y =.476x +.66 R 2 =.536 y =.5884x +.54 R 2 = y =.22x -.37 R 2 =.7546 y =.333x -.73 R 2 = SST SST SST SST

12 BMKG Studying Sea Air interaction with a coupled ocean atmosphere modeling results April is the most sensitive month for change in SST against change in rainfall, while August, September and October are the less influential months for SST changes to rainfall. Changes of SST bring larger impacts on rainfall than on the statiform rainfall.

13 BMKG Studying Sea Air interaction with a coupled ocean atmosphere modeling results Pentad (five-days) lag and lead correlation

14 BMKG Studying Sea Air interaction with a coupled ocean atmosphere modeling results No Correlation variables Correlation type lag lead Period remarks Rainfall vs SST SON DJF 2 Laten Heat vs SST MAM JJA SON DJF 3 Shortwave surface radiation vs SST MAM SON

15 BMKG Studying Sea Air interaction with a coupled ocean atmosphere modeling conclusions When using the abovementioned relationship, mechanism of sea air interaction is define. The sea air interaction is defined for each season or three monthly analyses. Significant relationship of sea air interactions are given by SST to latent heat release near surface. The results indicate clearly that in most cases the ocean affecting the atmosphere or the sea air interaction is significant than the air sea interaction. For this type of analysis only the coupled on simulation is used, while possible extension of the work include study on the differences between similar analyses of coupled on and coupled off simulations.

16 BMKG Some thoughts for YMC The Maritime Continent is mostly covered by ocean thus air sea interaction should be one of major focus. There are aspect of diurnal to seasonality time scale in air sea interaction. Improvement of sea air flux processes are needed Proposed activity should covered Java Sea, Karimata Strait (between Sumatera and Borneo), Banda Sea and Flores sea.

17 BMKG Instrumentations from BMKG In addition to existing observation network Sea glider X band doppler weather radar WindCube wind profiler, Mini Sodar Lidar Portable air quality (PM2.5, ) Sun photometer, sun tracker, uv photometer Net Radiometer dan Sensible Heat Flux Quadrotor UAV

18 BMKG THANK YOU 8

Sierra Weather and Climate Update

Sierra Weather and Climate Update Sierra Weather and Climate Update 2014-15 Kelly Redmond Western Regional Climate Center Desert Research Institute Reno Nevada Yosemite Hydroclimate Workshop Yosemite Valley, 2015 October 8-9 Percent of

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (December 2017)

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (December 2017) UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (December 2017) 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions for November 2017 1.1 In November 2017, Southeast Asia experienced inter-monsoon conditions in the first

More information

On the presence of tropical vortices over the Southeast Asian Sea- Maritime Continent region

On the presence of tropical vortices over the Southeast Asian Sea- Maritime Continent region Technical Conference of 50 th Annual Session of Typhoon Committee 2018 On the presence of tropical vortices over the Southeast Asian Sea- Maritime Continent region Nguyen Dang-Quang 1, James Renwick 2,

More information

Probabilistic predictions of monsoon rainfall with the ECMWF Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Systems

Probabilistic predictions of monsoon rainfall with the ECMWF Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Systems Probabilistic predictions of monsoon rainfall with the ECMWF Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Systems Franco Molteni, Frederic Vitart, Tim Stockdale, Laura Ferranti, Magdalena Balmaseda European Centre for

More information

Atmospheric circulation analysis for seasonal forecasting

Atmospheric circulation analysis for seasonal forecasting Training Seminar on Application of Seasonal Forecast GPV Data to Seasonal Forecast Products 18 21 January 2011 Tokyo, Japan Atmospheric circulation analysis for seasonal forecasting Shotaro Tanaka Climate

More information

Seasonal Climate Watch June to October 2018

Seasonal Climate Watch June to October 2018 Seasonal Climate Watch June to October 2018 Date issued: May 28, 2018 1. Overview The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has now moved into the neutral phase and is expected to rise towards an El Niño

More information

What is happening to the Jamaican climate?

What is happening to the Jamaican climate? What is happening to the Jamaican climate? Climate Change and Jamaica: Why worry? Climate Studies Group, Mona (CSGM) Department of Physics University of the West Indies, Mona Part 1 RAIN A FALL, BUT DUTTY

More information

ENSO and April SAT in MSA. This link is critical for our regression analysis where ENSO and

ENSO and April SAT in MSA. This link is critical for our regression analysis where ENSO and Supplementary Discussion The Link between El Niño and MSA April SATs: Our study finds a robust relationship between ENSO and April SAT in MSA. This link is critical for our regression analysis where ENSO

More information

The Arctic Energy Budget

The Arctic Energy Budget The Arctic Energy Budget The global heat engine [courtesy Kevin Trenberth, NCAR]. Differential solar heating between low and high latitudes gives rise to a circulation of the atmosphere and ocean that

More information

GAMINGRE 8/1/ of 7

GAMINGRE 8/1/ of 7 FYE 09/30/92 JULY 92 0.00 254,550.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 254,550.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 254,550.00 AUG 10,616,710.31 5,299.95 845,656.83 84,565.68 61,084.86 23,480.82 339,734.73 135,893.89 67,946.95

More information

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Shingo Yamada Tokyo Climate Center Japan Meteorological Agency 2006/11/02 7 th Joint Meeting on EAWM Contents 1. Verification of the Seasonal

More information

PROJECT REPORT (ASL 720) CLOUD CLASSIFICATION

PROJECT REPORT (ASL 720) CLOUD CLASSIFICATION PROJECT REPORT (ASL 720) CLOUD CLASSIFICATION SUBMITTED BY- PRIYANKA GUPTA 2011CH70177 RINI KAPOOR 2011CH70179 INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTION- Priyanka Gupta- analysed data of region considered in India (West:80,

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (February 2018)

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (February 2018) UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (February 2018) 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions for January 2018 1.1 The prevailing Northeast monsoon conditions over Southeast Asia strengthened in January

More information

WHEN IS IT EVER GOING TO RAIN? Table of Average Annual Rainfall and Rainfall For Selected Arizona Cities

WHEN IS IT EVER GOING TO RAIN? Table of Average Annual Rainfall and Rainfall For Selected Arizona Cities WHEN IS IT EVER GOING TO RAIN? Table of Average Annual Rainfall and 2001-2002 Rainfall For Selected Arizona Cities Phoenix Tucson Flagstaff Avg. 2001-2002 Avg. 2001-2002 Avg. 2001-2002 October 0.7 0.0

More information

Global climate predictions: forecast drift and bias adjustment issues

Global climate predictions: forecast drift and bias adjustment issues www.bsc.es Ispra, 23 May 2017 Global climate predictions: forecast drift and bias adjustment issues Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes BSC Earth Sciences Department and ICREA Many of the ideas in this presentation

More information

Faisal S. Syed, Shahbaz M.,Nadia R.,Siraj I. K., M. Adnan Abid, M. Ashfaq, F. Giorgi, J. Pal, X. Bi

Faisal S. Syed, Shahbaz M.,Nadia R.,Siraj I. K., M. Adnan Abid, M. Ashfaq, F. Giorgi, J. Pal, X. Bi ICTP NCP International Conference on Global Change 15-19 November, 2006, Islamabad Climate Change Studies over South Asia Region Using Regional Climate Model RegCM3 (Preliminary Results) Faisal S. Syed,

More information

Seasonal Climate Watch April to August 2018

Seasonal Climate Watch April to August 2018 Seasonal Climate Watch April to August 2018 Date issued: Mar 23, 2018 1. Overview The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is expected to weaken from a moderate La Niña phase to a neutral phase through

More information

Interannual variation of MODIS NDVI in Lake Taihu and its relation to climate in submerged macrophyte region

Interannual variation of MODIS NDVI in Lake Taihu and its relation to climate in submerged macrophyte region Yale-NUIST Center on Atmospheric Environment Interannual variation of MODIS NDVI in Lake Taihu and its relation to climate in submerged macrophyte region ZhangZhen 2015.07.10 1 Outline Introduction Data

More information

Agricultural Science Climatology Semester 2, Anne Green / Richard Thompson

Agricultural Science Climatology Semester 2, Anne Green / Richard Thompson Agricultural Science Climatology Semester 2, 2006 Anne Green / Richard Thompson http://www.physics.usyd.edu.au/ag/agschome.htm Course Coordinator: Mike Wheatland Course Goals Evaluate & interpret information,

More information

Regional climate modelling using CCAM: simulations for CORDEX

Regional climate modelling using CCAM: simulations for CORDEX Regional climate modelling using CCAM: simulations for CORDEX John McGregor, Jack Katzfey, Kim Nguyen and Marcus Thatcher CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Aspendale, Melbourne Pune 16 October 2012

More information

Introduction to Climate ~ Part I ~

Introduction to Climate ~ Part I ~ 2015/11/16 TCC Seminar JMA Introduction to Climate ~ Part I ~ Shuhei MAEDA (MRI/JMA) Climate Research Department Meteorological Research Institute (MRI/JMA) 1 Outline of the lecture 1. Climate System (

More information

Improved rainfall and cloud-radiation interaction with Betts-Miller-Janjic cumulus scheme in the tropics

Improved rainfall and cloud-radiation interaction with Betts-Miller-Janjic cumulus scheme in the tropics Improved rainfall and cloud-radiation interaction with Betts-Miller-Janjic cumulus scheme in the tropics Tieh-Yong KOH 1 and Ricardo M. FONSECA 2 1 Singapore University of Social Sciences, Singapore 2

More information

Seasonal Climate Watch September 2018 to January 2019

Seasonal Climate Watch September 2018 to January 2019 Seasonal Climate Watch September 2018 to January 2019 Date issued: Aug 31, 2018 1. Overview The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is still in a neutral phase and is still expected to rise towards an

More information

Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2018

Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2018 Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2018 Date issued: Jun 25, 2018 1. Overview The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is now in a neutral phase and is expected to rise towards an El Niño phase through

More information

Introduction. Observed Local Trends. Temperature Rainfall Tropical Cyclones. Projections for the Philippines. Temperature Rainfall

Introduction. Observed Local Trends. Temperature Rainfall Tropical Cyclones. Projections for the Philippines. Temperature Rainfall PAGASA-DOST ntroduction Observed Local Trends Temperature Rainfall Tropical Cyclones Projections for the Philippines Temperature Rainfall Climate Change ssue ncreased use of fossil fuel Global Warming

More information

Climate Variability in South Asia

Climate Variability in South Asia Climate Variability in South Asia V. Niranjan, M. Dinesh Kumar, and Nitin Bassi Institute for Resource Analysis and Policy Contents Introduction Rainfall variability in South Asia Temporal variability

More information

"STUDY ON THE VARIABILITY OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON RAINFALL AND TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR "

STUDY ON THE VARIABILITY OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON RAINFALL AND TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR "STUDY ON THE VARIABILITY OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON RAINFALL AND TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR 2001 2010" ESPERANZA O. CAYANAN, Ph.D. Chief, Climatology & Agrometeorology R & D Section Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical

More information

YACT (Yet Another Climate Tool)? The SPI Explorer

YACT (Yet Another Climate Tool)? The SPI Explorer YACT (Yet Another Climate Tool)? The SPI Explorer Mike Crimmins Assoc. Professor/Extension Specialist Dept. of Soil, Water, & Environmental Science The University of Arizona Yes, another climate tool for

More information

OVERVIEW OF IMPROVED USE OF RS INDICATORS AT INAM. Domingos Mosquito Patricio

OVERVIEW OF IMPROVED USE OF RS INDICATORS AT INAM. Domingos Mosquito Patricio OVERVIEW OF IMPROVED USE OF RS INDICATORS AT INAM Domingos Mosquito Patricio domingos.mosquito@gmail.com Introduction to Mozambique /INAM Introduction to AGRICAB/SPIRITS Objectives Material & Methods Results

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE December 2016

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE December 2016 UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE December 2016 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions in November 2016 1.1 Inter monsoon conditions prevailed in the first half of November 2016. During this

More information

Jackson County 2013 Weather Data

Jackson County 2013 Weather Data Jackson County 2013 Weather Data 61 Years of Weather Data Recorded at the UF/IFAS Marianna North Florida Research and Education Center Doug Mayo Jackson County Extension Director 1952-2008 Rainfall Data

More information

Variability and trends in daily minimum and maximum temperatures and in diurnal temperature range in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia

Variability and trends in daily minimum and maximum temperatures and in diurnal temperature range in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia Variability and trends in daily minimum and maximum temperatures and in diurnal temperature range in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia Jaak Jaagus Dept. of Geography, University of Tartu Agrita Briede Dept.

More information

Aquarius Data Release V2.0 Validation Analysis Gary Lagerloef, Aquarius Principal Investigator H. Kao, ESR And Aquarius Cal/Val Team

Aquarius Data Release V2.0 Validation Analysis Gary Lagerloef, Aquarius Principal Investigator H. Kao, ESR And Aquarius Cal/Val Team Aquarius Data Release V2.0 Validation Analysis Gary Lagerloef, Aquarius Principal Investigator H. Kao, ESR And Aquarius Cal/Val Team Analysis period: Sep 2011-Dec 2012 SMOS-Aquarius Workshop 15-17 April

More information

Life Cycle of Convective Systems over Western Colombia

Life Cycle of Convective Systems over Western Colombia Life Cycle of Convective Systems over Western Colombia Meiry Sakamoto Uiversidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil Colombia Life Cycle of Convective Systems over Western Colombia Convective System (CS)

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE November 2016

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE November 2016 UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE November 2016 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions in November 2016 1.1 Southwest Monsoon conditions prevailed on most days in October 2016 and the winds were

More information

Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June to September) Issued in May 2014

Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June to September) Issued in May 2014 Ministry of Earth Sciences Earth System Science Organization India Meteorological Department WMO Regional Climate Centre (Demonstration Phase) Pune, India Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June

More information

Analysis of Rainfall and Other Weather Parameters under Climatic Variability of Parbhani ( )

Analysis of Rainfall and Other Weather Parameters under Climatic Variability of Parbhani ( ) International Journal of Current Microbiology and Applied Sciences ISSN: 2319-7706 Volume 7 Number 06 (2018) Journal homepage: http://www.ijcmas.com Original Research Article https://doi.org/10.20546/ijcmas.2018.706.295

More information

ENSO Outlook by JMA. Hiroyuki Sugimoto. El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency

ENSO Outlook by JMA. Hiroyuki Sugimoto. El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency ENSO Outlook by JMA Hiroyuki Sugimoto El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Outline 1. ENSO impacts on the climate 2. Current Conditions 3. Prediction by JMA/MRI-CGCM 4. Summary

More information

The 2010/11 drought in the Horn of Africa: Monitoring and forecasts using ECMWF products

The 2010/11 drought in the Horn of Africa: Monitoring and forecasts using ECMWF products The 2010/11 drought in the Horn of Africa: Monitoring and forecasts using ECMWF products Emanuel Dutra Fredrik Wetterhall Florian Pappenberger Souhail Boussetta Gianpaolo Balsamo Linus Magnusson Slide

More information

Using Reanalysis SST Data for Establishing Extreme Drought and Rainfall Predicting Schemes in the Southern Central Vietnam

Using Reanalysis SST Data for Establishing Extreme Drought and Rainfall Predicting Schemes in the Southern Central Vietnam Using Reanalysis SST Data for Establishing Extreme Drought and Rainfall Predicting Schemes in the Southern Central Vietnam Dr. Nguyen Duc Hau 1, Dr. Nguyen Thi Minh Phuong 2 National Center For Hydrometeorological

More information

Convective-scale NWP for Singapore

Convective-scale NWP for Singapore Convective-scale NWP for Singapore Hans Huang and the weather modelling and prediction section MSS, Singapore Dale Barker and the SINGV team Met Office, Exeter, UK ECMWF Symposium on Dynamical Meteorology

More information

SYSTEM BRIEF DAILY SUMMARY

SYSTEM BRIEF DAILY SUMMARY SYSTEM BRIEF DAILY SUMMARY * ANNUAL MaxTemp NEL (MWH) Hr Ending Hr Ending LOAD (PEAK HOURS 7:00 AM TO 10:00 PM MON-SAT) ENERGY (MWH) INCREMENTAL COST DAY DATE Civic TOTAL MAXIMUM @Max MINIMUM @Min FACTOR

More information

Today s Lecture: Land, biosphere, cryosphere (All that stuff we don t have equations for... )

Today s Lecture: Land, biosphere, cryosphere (All that stuff we don t have equations for... ) Today s Lecture: Land, biosphere, cryosphere (All that stuff we don t have equations for... ) 4 Land, biosphere, cryosphere 1. Introduction 2. Atmosphere 3. Ocean 4. Land, biosphere, cryosphere 4.1 Land

More information

Impact of Intraseasonal Variations to the Spatial Distribution of Coastal Heavy Rainbands Intensity During HARIMAU IOP 2011 in the West Sumatera

Impact of Intraseasonal Variations to the Spatial Distribution of Coastal Heavy Rainbands Intensity During HARIMAU IOP 2011 in the West Sumatera Impact of Intraseasonal Variations to the Spatial Distribution of Coastal Heavy Rainbands Intensity During HARIMAU IOP 2011 in the West Sumatera Ardhi Adhary Arbain, Yekti Galihselowati Agency for the

More information

The western Colombia low-level jet and its simulation by CMIP5 models

The western Colombia low-level jet and its simulation by CMIP5 models The western Colombia low-level jet and its simulation by CMIP5 models Juan P. Sierra, Jhoana Agudelo, Paola A. Arias and Sara C. Vieira Grupo de Ingeniería y Gestión Amiental (GIGA), Escuela Ambiental,

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE FOR MAY 2015

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE FOR MAY 2015 UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE FOR MAY 2015 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions in April 2015 1.1 Inter-Monsoon conditions prevailed over the ASEAN region in April 2015. The gradual northward

More information

1. INTRODUCTION 2. HIGHLIGHTS

1. INTRODUCTION 2. HIGHLIGHTS Bulletin Issue January 2017 Issue Number: ICPAC/03/44 IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Seasonal Bulletin, Review for October to December (OND) Season 2016 For referencing within this bulletin,

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 23 April 2012

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 23 April 2012 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 23 April 2012 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index

More information

High-latitude influence on mid-latitude weather and climate

High-latitude influence on mid-latitude weather and climate High-latitude influence on mid-latitude weather and climate Thomas Jung, Marta Anna Kasper, Tido Semmler, Soumia Serrar and Lukrecia Stulic Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine

More information

Country Presentation-Nepal

Country Presentation-Nepal Country Presentation-Nepal Mt.Everest, Shiva Pd. Nepal, DHM South Asia Drought Monitor Workshop Dhaka Bangladesh 2 th April 215 Overview Brief Climatology Climate activities- DHM PPCR (Pilot Program for

More information

SYSTEM BRIEF DAILY SUMMARY

SYSTEM BRIEF DAILY SUMMARY SYSTEM BRIEF DAILY SUMMARY * ANNUAL MaxTemp NEL (MWH) Hr Ending Hr Ending LOAD (PEAK HOURS 7:00 AM TO 10:00 PM MON-SAT) ENERGY (MWH) INCREMENTAL COST DAY DATE Civic TOTAL MAXIMUM @Max MINIMUM @Min FACTOR

More information

Chiang Rai Province CC Threat overview AAS1109 Mekong ARCC

Chiang Rai Province CC Threat overview AAS1109 Mekong ARCC Chiang Rai Province CC Threat overview AAS1109 Mekong ARCC This threat overview relies on projections of future climate change in the Mekong Basin for the period 2045-2069 compared to a baseline of 1980-2005.

More information

Characterization of the Present-Day Arctic Atmosphere in CCSM4

Characterization of the Present-Day Arctic Atmosphere in CCSM4 Characterization of the Present-Day Arctic Atmosphere in CCSM4 Gijs de Boer 1, Bill Chapman 2, Jennifer Kay 3, Brian Medeiros 3, Matthew Shupe 4, Steve Vavrus, and John Walsh 6 (1) (2) (3) (4) ESRL ()

More information

The Cryosphere Radiative Effect in CESM. Justin Perket Mark Flanner CESM Polar Climate Working Group Meeting Wednesday June 19, 2013

The Cryosphere Radiative Effect in CESM. Justin Perket Mark Flanner CESM Polar Climate Working Group Meeting Wednesday June 19, 2013 The Cryosphere Radiative Effect in CESM Justin Perket Mark Flanner CESM Polar Climate Working Group Meeting Wednesday June 19, 2013 Cryosphere Radiative Effect (CrRE) A new diagnostic feature is available

More information

COUNTRY REPORT. Jakarta. July, th National Directorate of Meteorology and Geophysics of Timor-Leste (DNMG)

COUNTRY REPORT. Jakarta. July, th National Directorate of Meteorology and Geophysics of Timor-Leste (DNMG) The Southeastern Asia-Oceania Flash Flood COUNTRY REPORT Jakarta. July, 10-12 th 2017 National Directorate of Meteorology and Geophysics of Timor-Leste (DNMG) Carla Feritas and Crisostimo Lobato Democratic

More information

Met Office and UK University contribution to YMC Ground instrumentation and modelling

Met Office and UK University contribution to YMC Ground instrumentation and modelling Met Office and UK University contribution to YMC Ground instrumentation and modelling Cathryn Birch 1,2 Adrian Matthews 3, Steve Woolnough 4, John Marsham 2, Douglas Parker 2, Paul Barret 1, Prince Xavier

More information

IAP Dynamical Seasonal Prediction System and its applications

IAP Dynamical Seasonal Prediction System and its applications WCRP Workshop on Seasonal Prediction 4-7 June 2007, Barcelona, Spain IAP Dynamical Seasonal Prediction System and its applications Zhaohui LIN Zhou Guangqing Chen Hong Qin Zhengkun Zeng Qingcun Institute

More information

Description of Precipitation Retrieval Algorithm For ADEOS II AMSR

Description of Precipitation Retrieval Algorithm For ADEOS II AMSR Description of Precipitation Retrieval Algorithm For ADEOS II Guosheng Liu Florida State University 1. Basic Concepts of the Algorithm This algorithm is based on Liu and Curry (1992, 1996), in which the

More information

Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall?

Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall? Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall? Nicholas P. Klingaman National Centre for Atmospheric Science-Climate Walker Institute for Climate System Research University of Reading The Walker-QCCCE

More information

US Drought Status. Droughts 1/17/2013. Percent land area affected by Drought across US ( ) Dev Niyogi Associate Professor Dept of Agronomy

US Drought Status. Droughts 1/17/2013. Percent land area affected by Drought across US ( ) Dev Niyogi Associate Professor Dept of Agronomy Droughts US Drought Status Dev Niyogi Associate Professor Dept of Agronomy Deptof Earth Atmospheric Planetary Sciences Indiana State Climatologist Purdue University LANDSURFACE.ORG iclimate.org climate@purdue.edu

More information

Bryan Butler. National Radio Astronomy Observatory. November 23, 1998

Bryan Butler. National Radio Astronomy Observatory. November 23, 1998 MMA Memo. No. 238 Precipitable Water at KP 1993{1998 Bryan Butler National Radio Astronomy Observatory November 23, 1998 Introduction This memo is essentially a clone of MMA Memo No. 237 (also VLA Scientic

More information

Dust storm variability over EGYPT By Fathy M ELashmawy Egyptian Meteorological Authority

Dust storm variability over EGYPT By Fathy M ELashmawy Egyptian Meteorological Authority WMO WORKSHOP ON CLIMATE MONITORING INCLUDING THE IMPLEMENTATION OF CLIMATE WATCH SYSTEMS FOR ARAB COUNTRIES IN WEST ASIA, AMMAN, JORDAN, 27-29 MAY 2013 Dust storm variability over EGYPT By Fathy M ELashmawy

More information

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING. November 17, 2017 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING. November 17, 2017 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING November 17, 2017 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region Today Feature of the month: More climate models! Climate Forecast Basics Climate System Review

More information

Supplementary appendix

Supplementary appendix Supplementary appendix This appendix formed part of the original submission and has been peer reviewed. We post it as supplied by the authors. Supplement to: Lowe R, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Petrova D, et al.

More information

I C P A C. IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Monthly Climate Bulletin, Climate Review for September 2017

I C P A C. IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Monthly Climate Bulletin, Climate Review for September 2017 Bulletin Issue October 2017 I C P A C IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Monthly Climate Bulletin, Climate Review for September 2017 1. INTRODUCTION This bulletin reviews the September 2017

More information

Environment and Climate Change Canada / GPC Montreal

Environment and Climate Change Canada / GPC Montreal Environment and Climate Change Canada / GPC Montreal Assessment, research and development Bill Merryfield Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma) with contributions from colleagues at

More information

Changing Hydrology under a Changing Climate for a Coastal Plain Watershed

Changing Hydrology under a Changing Climate for a Coastal Plain Watershed Changing Hydrology under a Changing Climate for a Coastal Plain Watershed David Bosch USDA-ARS, Tifton, GA Jeff Arnold ARS Temple, TX and Peter Allen Baylor University, TX SEWRU Objectives 1. Project changes

More information

Yuqing Wang. International Pacific Research Center and Department of Meteorology University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 96822

Yuqing Wang. International Pacific Research Center and Department of Meteorology University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 96822 A Regional Atmospheric Inter-Model Evaluation Project (RAIMEP) with the Focus on Sub-daily Variation of Clouds and Precipitation Yuqing Wang International Pacific Research Center and Department of Meteorology

More information

Jackson County 2018 Weather Data 67 Years of Weather Data Recorded at the UF/IFAS Marianna North Florida Research and Education Center

Jackson County 2018 Weather Data 67 Years of Weather Data Recorded at the UF/IFAS Marianna North Florida Research and Education Center Jackson County 2018 Weather Data 67 Years of Weather Data Recorded at the UF/IFAS Marianna North Florida Research and Education Center Doug Mayo Jackson County Extension Director 1952-2008 Rainfall Data

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 5 August 2013

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 5 August 2013 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 5 August 2013 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index

More information

Long Range Forecasts of 2015 SW and NE Monsoons and its Verification D. S. Pai Climate Division, IMD, Pune

Long Range Forecasts of 2015 SW and NE Monsoons and its Verification D. S. Pai Climate Division, IMD, Pune Long Range Forecasts of 2015 SW and NE Monsoons and its Verification D. S. Pai Climate Division, IMD, Pune Other Contributors: Soma Sen Roy, O. P. Sreejith, Kailas, Madhuri, Pallavi, Mahendra and Jasmine

More information

Local Ctimatotogical Data Summary White Hall, Illinois

Local Ctimatotogical Data Summary White Hall, Illinois SWS Miscellaneous Publication 98-5 STATE OF ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES Local Ctimatotogical Data Summary White Hall, Illinois 1901-1990 by Audrey A. Bryan and Wayne Armstrong Illinois

More information

Atmospheric Boundary Layer over Land, Ocean, and Ice. Xubin Zeng, Michael Brunke, Josh Welty, Patrick Broxton University of Arizona

Atmospheric Boundary Layer over Land, Ocean, and Ice. Xubin Zeng, Michael Brunke, Josh Welty, Patrick Broxton University of Arizona Atmospheric Boundary Layer over Land, Ocean, and Ice Xubin Zeng, Michael Brunke, Josh Welty, Patrick Broxton University of Arizona xubin@email.arizona.edu 24 October 2017 Future of ABL Observations Workshop

More information

GPC Exeter forecast for winter Crown copyright Met Office

GPC Exeter forecast for winter Crown copyright Met Office GPC Exeter forecast for winter 2015-2016 Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5 (GloSea5) ensemble prediction system the source for Met Office monthly and seasonal forecasts uses a coupled model (atmosphere

More information

Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change

Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change Chapter 1 Atmospheric and Oceanic Simulation Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change Project Representative Tatsushi

More information

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING. November 16, 2018 Rick Thoman Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING. November 16, 2018 Rick Thoman Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING November 16, 2018 Rick Thoman Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy Today s Outline Feature of the month: Southeast Drought Update Climate Forecast Basics

More information

Characteristics of Precipitation Systems over Iraq Observed by TRMM Radar

Characteristics of Precipitation Systems over Iraq Observed by TRMM Radar American Journal of Engineering Research (AJER) e-issn: 2320-0847 p-issn : 2320-0936 Volume-5, Issue-11, pp-76-81 www.ajer.org Research Paper Open Access Characteristics of Precipitation Systems over Iraq

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (May 2017)

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (May 2017) UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (May 2017) 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions in April 2017 1.1 Inter monsoon conditions, characterised by afternoon showers and winds that are generally

More information

ANNUAL CLIMATE REPORT 2016 SRI LANKA

ANNUAL CLIMATE REPORT 2016 SRI LANKA ANNUAL CLIMATE REPORT 2016 SRI LANKA Foundation for Environment, Climate and Technology C/o Mahaweli Authority of Sri Lanka, Digana Village, Rajawella, Kandy, KY 20180, Sri Lanka Citation Lokuhetti, R.,

More information

The importance of long-term Arctic weather station data for setting the research stage for climate change studies

The importance of long-term Arctic weather station data for setting the research stage for climate change studies The importance of long-term Arctic weather station data for setting the research stage for climate change studies Taneil Uttal NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratory Boulder, Colorado Things to get out

More information

Impact of sea surface temperatures on African climate. Alessandra Giannini

Impact of sea surface temperatures on African climate. Alessandra Giannini Impact of sea surface temperatures on African climate Alessandra Giannini alesall@iri.columbia.edu Outline: Intro/Motivation: demand-driven science, use of seasonal climate prediction, adaptation to climate

More information

What is the difference between Weather and Climate?

What is the difference between Weather and Climate? What is the difference between Weather and Climate? Objective Many people are confused about the difference between weather and climate. This makes understanding the difference between weather forecasts

More information

8.1 Attachment 1: Ambient Weather Conditions at Jervoise Bay, Cockburn Sound

8.1 Attachment 1: Ambient Weather Conditions at Jervoise Bay, Cockburn Sound 8.1 Attachment 1: Ambient Weather Conditions at Jervoise Bay, Cockburn Sound Cockburn Sound is 20km south of the Perth-Fremantle area and has two features that are unique along Perth s metropolitan coast

More information

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING. December 22, 2017 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING. December 22, 2017 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING December 22, 2017 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region Today s Outline Feature of the month: Autumn sea ice near Alaska Climate Forecast Basics Climate

More information

Global Ocean Monitoring: Recent Evolution, Current Status, and Predictions

Global Ocean Monitoring: Recent Evolution, Current Status, and Predictions Global Ocean Monitoring: Recent Evolution, Current Status, and Predictions Prepared by Climate Prediction Center, NCEP November 6, 2009 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/godas/ This project to deliver

More information

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING. June 22, 2018 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING. June 22, 2018 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region ALASKA REGION CLIMATE OUTLOOK BRIEFING June 22, 2018 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region Today s Outline Feature of the month: Ocean Warmth Headed into Summer Climate Forecast Basics Climate

More information

EVOLUTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN JAKARTA FLOOD CASE 2013 BASED ON COSMO MODEL

EVOLUTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN JAKARTA FLOOD CASE 2013 BASED ON COSMO MODEL EVOLUTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN JAKARTA FLOOD CASE 2013 BASED ON COSMO MODEL Erma Yulihastin 1,2) and Nurjanna Joko Trilaksono 2) Center for Science and Technology of Atmosphere, LAPAN, Indonesia 1) Faculty

More information

Seasonal forecasting activities at ECMWF

Seasonal forecasting activities at ECMWF Seasonal forecasting activities at ECMWF An upgraded ECMWF seasonal forecast system: Tim Stockdale, Stephanie Johnson, Magdalena Balmaseda, and Laura Ferranti Progress with C3S: Anca Brookshaw ECMWF June

More information

Lecture 8. Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall

Lecture 8. Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall Lecture 8 Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall According to the second hypothesis, the monsoon is a manifestation of the seasonal variation of the tropical circulation

More information

SC-WACCM! and! Problems with Specifying the Ozone Hole

SC-WACCM! and! Problems with Specifying the Ozone Hole SC-WACCM! and! Problems with Specifying the Ozone Hole R. Neely III, K. Smith2, D. Marsh,L. Polvani2 NCAR, 2Columbia Thanks to: Mike Mills, Francis Vitt and Sean Santos Motivation To design a stratosphere-resolving

More information

Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sws.uiuc.edu Maria Peters, Weather Observer January: January started on a mild note,

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (September 2017)

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (September 2017) UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (September 2017) 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions in August 2017 1.1 Southwest Monsoon conditions continued to prevail in the region in August 2017. The

More information

2003 Water Year Wrap-Up and Look Ahead

2003 Water Year Wrap-Up and Look Ahead 2003 Water Year Wrap-Up and Look Ahead Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center Prepared by Odie Bliss http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu Colorado Average Annual Precipitation Map South Platte Average Precipitation

More information

S e a s o n a l F o r e c a s t i n g f o r t h e E u r o p e a n e n e r g y s e c t o r

S e a s o n a l F o r e c a s t i n g f o r t h e E u r o p e a n e n e r g y s e c t o r S e a s o n a l F o r e c a s t i n g f o r t h e E u r o p e a n e n e r g y s e c t o r C3S European Climatic Energy Mixes (ECEM) Webinar 18 th Oct 2017 Philip Bett, Met Office Hadley Centre S e a s

More information

2016 Meteorology Summary

2016 Meteorology Summary 2016 Meteorology Summary New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection AIR POLLUTION AND METEOROLOGY Meteorology plays an important role in the distribution of pollution throughout the troposphere,

More information

Variability of Reference Evapotranspiration Across Nebraska

Variability of Reference Evapotranspiration Across Nebraska Know how. Know now. EC733 Variability of Reference Evapotranspiration Across Nebraska Suat Irmak, Extension Soil and Water Resources and Irrigation Specialist Kari E. Skaggs, Research Associate, Biological

More information

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO Tim Li Department of Meteorology and IPRC University of Hawaii DYNAMO workshop, April 13-14, Boulder, Colorado 1. MJO Initiation issue: Role of air- sea

More information

Linkages between Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude

Linkages between Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude Linkages between Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude weather patterns Response of the wintertime atmospheric circulation to current and projected Arctic sea ice decline Gudrun Magnusdottir and Yannick

More information

UWM Field Station meteorological data

UWM Field Station meteorological data University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UWM Digital Commons Field Station Bulletins UWM Field Station Spring 992 UWM Field Station meteorological data James W. Popp University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee Follow

More information

Climate of the Philippines and the sea surface temperature effect on summer monsoon rainfall in the Philippines

Climate of the Philippines and the sea surface temperature effect on summer monsoon rainfall in the Philippines International Workshop on Climate Downscaling Studies at Tsukuba, October 4, 2017 Climate of the Philippines and the sea surface temperature effect on summer monsoon rainfall in the Philippines Jun Matsumoto

More information