On January 23, 2018, FPAC met via conference call for its weekly meeting. The following people participated in the meeting:

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1 FISH PASSAGE CENTER 847 NE 19 th Avenue, #250, Portland, OR Phone: (503) Fax: (503) us at MEMORANDUM To: From: Fish Passage Advisory Committee (FPAC) FPC Staff Date: January 29, 2018 Subject: Action Notes from January 23, 2018, FPAC meeting On January 23, 2018, FPAC met via conference call for its weekly meeting. The following people participated in the meeting: Paul Wagner (FPAC Co-Chair NOAA) Tom Lorz (FPAC Co-Chair CRITFC) Brandon Chockley (FPC) Charlie Morrill (WDFW) Dave Benner (FPC) Dave Swank (USFWS) Erick Van Dyke (ODFW) Erin Cooper (FPC) Gabe Scheer (Fish Passage Center) Kyle Dittmer (CRITFC) Michele DeHart (FPC) Sheri Sears (Colville Tribes) Steve Haeseker (USFWS) Tom Iverson (Yakima Nation) Trevor Conder (NOAA) Jennifer Graham (Warm Springs Tribe) AGENDA ITEMS Approval of Notes FPAC notes from January 16 were approved with the change of 29 MAF to 2.9 MAF. Water Supply/Flood Control Dave Benner (FPC) provided a summary of the current reservoir operations and water supply forecasts, snowpack estimates, and ESP runoff volumes. See the attached document. G:\STAFF\DOCUMENT\2018_Documents\2018_Files\FPAC\0123\FPAC Notes Jan doc

2 There is a discrepancy of about 800 Kcfs between the RFC and COE runoff forecasts at Libby Dam. At Dworshak, RFC forecast increased from last week. Current forecast is 2.5 MAF, which is 104% of average. There may be drum gate maintenance at Grand Coulee this spring. The current STP shows an increasing draft over what was projected in last week s STP. The decision will be made after the February 6 forecast is released. Weather Kyle Dittmer (CRITFC) provided a summary of weather conditions and water year status. See attached. Ocean conditions show an 85% to 90% chance of La Niña. Previous forecasts indicated that conditions would move back towards ENSO neutral in the spring, but current predictions show a cooler than normal spring with higher than average precipitation. Dworshak Operations Paul Wagner (NOAA) reported that the COE is still targeting an elevation of 1530 for the end of January. Outflows are expected to increase to up to 6 Kcfs. Sort-by-Code Request The Sort-by-Code request for the CSS was submitted. The link shows the total tag numbers from each hatchery group, as well as wild aggregate. The only change from the 2017 request is the addition of a pilot group from the Tucannon Hatchery. The request was approved by all FPAC members. Little Goose Adult Delay At the TMT process meeting on January 17 th, the process for determining adult delay at Little Goose was discussed. Tom Lorz (CRITFC) requested that FPAC members share their ideas of how to proceed. Paul Wagner (NOAA) stated that there will probably be a couple of groups, including FPAC. Russ Kiefer (IDFG) has stated an interest in the Spill Ops group taking up the discussion. o Paul Wagner pointed out that his reading of the Court Order is that if the COE notes a problem with the Spill Ops recommendations in-season, they are able to intervene and change operations. Tom Lorz noted that adult delay is not defined in any of the discussions or documentation so it is unclear when the COE can take action. It is also unclear as to who is able to make call that adult delay is occurring. He also stated that it may be a waste of time for two groups to simultaneously work on adult delay, since both groups will consist of most of the same people. Dave Swank (USFWS) agreed with Tom Lorz that two groups may be a waste of time. The Spill Ops groups said they would look at options if there was a passage delay, but it should be up to managers to determine if there is a delay and which option to take. Page 2 of 4

3 Erick Van Dyke (ODFW) stated that it sounded like NOAA would make the decision without the input of other managers. Paul Wagner stated that the goal was consensus among managers. Paul Wagner stated that it will be necessary to have two separate groups reviewing adult delay if not all members are represented on each group. Charlie Morrill (WDFW) said that after internal discussions at Washington, they believe that FPAC should be the primary group, because it s only the managers without action agencies. He noted that including IDFG in FPAC discussions is a challenge. He agrees with Dave Swank that the COE does not have the authority to pull the trigger on any given operation to reduce spill without input from managers. Tom Lorz (CRITFC) noted that the COE Standard Operating Procedure of making the call may not apply here, as this is a court order. Trevor Conder (NOAA) stated that the COE should be involved in the analysis and decision process, because they are the agency in charge of carrying out decisions. The COE is represented on the Spill Ops team. Dave Swank disagreed, saying that often meetings involving the COE allows the COE to set the agenda and drive the discussions and conclusions. While this was fine within the initial goals of the Spill Ops team, it may not be the appropriate venue for discussion of adult delay. Tom Lorz proposed that an FPAC subgroup start the analysis and discussion, and then move it forward to other groups. There is not a lot of statistical expertise on the Spill Ops group so it may be beneficial for the discussion to begin in FPAC. Charlie Morrill agreed that all groups will have access to the FPC analyses. Michele DeHart (FPC) noted that the discussions so far have been mostly about process. She explained that FPC is currently working on several analyses related to adult passage at Little Goose, and it may be beneficial to see these analyses prior to deciding on the process moving forward. FPC still plans to have analyses available by the end of January, and include operations at Little Goose and survival estimates to the hatchery or tributary. In addition to providing memos, FPC will present results from analyses at FPAC meeting. Paul Wagner added that Blane Bellarud (NOAA) and DART are both developing methodologies for estimating the impacts of adult passage. There is not a known timeline for either of those products. Michele DeHart (FPC) noted that FPC is not just looking at procedure to address delay but also looking at effects of LGS operations on passage and effect of delay on adult success. Erick Van Dyke added that SRWG is also developing a proposal to use active tag data at Little Goose. Most of the coverage will be on the south shore so it may not address all the questions with behavior in the tailrace. Trevor Conder pointed out that some of this data will be available immediately or with a delay of up to 5 days. Michele DeHart added that FPC analyses will only include the data available up through the 2017 adult migration. Erick noted that if data from active tag study are going to be relied on for inseason management, should have discussions on strengths and weaknesses of these data. Page 3 of 4

4 Lower Granite Juvenile Bypass Update Trevor Conder (NOAA) updated FPAC members on the Lower Granite juvenile bypass. Additional money has been given to contractors to ensure that things will be done on time. The contractors plan on handing the project over to the COE in March. Tom Lorz (CRITFC) added that there will be lots of stages of testing and watering up the bypass. Normal sampling should start March 25 th. Coordination Charlie will report back next week on LGS PIT detection. TMT next Wednesday, January 31 st. FPAC conference call on Tuesday, January 30 th at 9:00 AM. These minutes have been reviewed and approved by the Fish Passage Advisory Committee. Page 4 of 4

5 FPAC Agenda January 23, 2018 Meeting time: 9:00 AM 1. Review and approval of notes from the January 16, meeting 2. Water supply status 3. Weather update and forecast 4. Dworshak operations 5. Sort by code requests: 6. Adult delay 7. Other 8. Coordination for other meetings

FISH PASSAGE CENTER 847 NE 19 th Avenue, #250, Portland, OR 97232 Phone: (503) 833-3900 Fax: (503) 232-1259 www.fpc.org/ e-mail us at fpcstaff@fpc.

6 FISH PASSAGE CENTER 847 NE 19 th Avenue, #250, Portland, OR Phone: (503) Fax: (503) us at MEMORANDUM TO: FPAC FROM: David Benner, FPC DATE: January 22 nd, 2018 RE: Reservoir Operations/Snowpack/Water Supply Grand Coulee Reservoir is at 1,280.5 feet ( ) and has drafted 2.4 feet over the last week. Outflows at Grand Coulee have ranged between Kcfs and Kcfs over the last week. The end of January and February FC Elevation at Grand Coulee is 1290 ft., the end of March FC is 1,280.9 ft. The Libby Reservoir is currently at elevation 2,406.4 feet ( ) and has drafted 3.4 feet over the past week. Daily average outflows at Libby Dam have been Kcfs for the last week. The end of January FC at Libby is 2,401.8 ft. Hungry Horse is currently at an elevation of 3,539.4 feet ( ) and has drafted 0.5 feet last week. Outflows at Hungry Horse have been Kcfs over the last week. The end of January FC at Hungry Horse is 3,541.5 ft. Dworshak is currently at an elevation of 1,528.1 feet ( ) and has refilled 2.2 feet over last week. Dworshak outflows have increased from 2.4 to 4.0 Kcfs last week (spill have been as high as 1.7 Kcfs). The end of January Local FC at Dworshak is ft. The Brownlee Reservoir was at an elevation of 2,053.0 feet on January 22, Outflows at Hells Canyon have ranged between 21.5 and 30.2 Kcfs over the last four days. The end of January FC Elevation at Brownlee is 1,277 ft., the end of February FC is 2,045.9 ft. g:\staff\document\2018_documents\2018_files\fpac\0123\fpac summary docx

7 January 16, day QPF ESP January 22, day QPF ESP Location % Average ( ) Runoff Volume (Kaf) % Average ( ) Runoff Volume (Kaf) The Dalles (Apr , ,843 Aug) Grand Coulee 98 55, ,502 (Apr-Aug) Libby Res. Inflow, MT (Apr-Aug) ** 5,455 6,645** ** 5,840 6,645** Hungry Horse Res , ,183 Inflow, MT (Apr- Aug) Lower Granite Res , ,110 Inflow (Apr- July) Brownlee Res , ,798 Inflow (Apr-July) Dworshak Res. Inflow (Apr-July) ** 2,443 2,941** ** 2,534 2,941** **COE January Forecast Page 2 of 6

8 Snow Water Equivalent (% Med.) Snow Water Equivalent (% Med.) Basin Columbia above the Snake River Confluence Kootenai River in Montana Flathead River Upper Clark Fork River Bitterroot Lower Clark Fork River Idaho Panhandle Region Columbia above Methow Chelan, Entiat, Wenatchee Yakima, Ahtanum Average * Snake River Snake above Palisades Henry Fork, Teton, Willow, Blackfoot, Portneuf Big and Little Wood Big and Little Lost Raft, Goose, Salmon Falls, Bruneau Weiser, Payette, Boise Owyhee Malheur Grande Ronde, Powder, Burnt, Imnaha Clearwater and Salmon Average * Lower Columbia between Bonneville and McNary Umatilla, Walla Walla, Willow Deschutes, Crooked, John Day Lower Columbia, Hood River Average * Page 3 of 6

9 Reservoir Elevation Actual Reservoir Elevation Figure 1. Grand Coulee Time Reservoir Elevation Actual Reservoir Elevation Full Pool Reservoir Elevation Figure 2. Libby Time Page 4 of 6

10 Reservoir Elevation Actual Reservoir Elevation Full Pool Reservoir Elevation February System FC March System FC April FC Time Figure 3. Dworshak Reservoir Elevation Actual Reservoir Elevation Full Pool Reservoir Elevation Figure 4. Hungry Horse Time Page 5 of 6

11 Reservoir Elevation Actual Reservoir Elevation Full Pool Reservoir Elevation Figure 5. Brownlee Time Page 6 of 6

12 Water Year 2018 Precipitation Monthly Clim Norm Monthly Seasonal Temp. (degf) Jan (Oct. 1 - now) (pro-rated) Portland 81% 96% 4.3 UPPER-COLUMBIA: Kamloops 66% 92% 1.3 Revelstoke 40% 57% -1.3 Cranbrook 43% 122% -0.4 Creston 124% 81% 2.5 average: 68% 88% 0.5 Normal: MIDDLE-COLUMBIA: Pendleton 108% 106% 3.5 Redmond 23% 37% 2.9 Yakima 79% 75% 7.7 Wenatchee AP 83% 100% 2.7 Omak 100% 76% 3.9 Spokane 128% 125% 3.6 average: 87% 86% 4.1 Normal: LOWER SNAKE: Lewiston 159% 175% 4.2 Pullman 152% 167% 5.6 Stanley 141% 164% 7.7 Challis 44% 56% 9.7 average: 124% 141% 6.8 Normal: UPPER and MIDDLE SNAKE: McCall 213% 128% 8.7 Ontario 213% 128% 7.6 Boise 134% 101% 5.8 Twin Falls 105% 84% 4.8 Burley 182% 81% 9.4 Pocatello 92% 88% 9 Idaho Falls 92% 78% 8.2 average: 147% 98% 7.6 Normal: Forecasted Daily Rain (in inches), BON dam area: 23-Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan 0.75

14 Mt. Hood Test Site, Oregon (north Oregon Cascades). Elevation 5370 feet. Irish Taylor, Oregon (central Oregon Cascades). Elevation 5540 feet.

15 Stampede Pass, Washington (central Washington Cascades). Elevation 3850 feet. Mountain Meadows, Idaho (Panhandle, Salmon River drainage). Elevation 6360 feet.

16 1/23/ Day and YTD Adult Counts 2018 SALMON COUNTS Daily Totals for Last 7 days and Year to Date Totals (based on reporting dates since 2000) [ FPC Home ] [ Adult Salmon Home ] Corp of Engineers Adult Fish Count Queries by Project and Fish Ladder NOTE: These data are updated as soon as the Corp of Engineers provides the data to us. MORE HOT LINKS: GO TO: Adult Count RSS Feed or Annual Totals or 10 Yr. Avg. vs 2017 and 2016 Graph Table or Water Flow & Spill or Current Water Temperature (January through December) Current vs. Historical Water Temperature (April through Aug) Offline until April FISHING REPORTS: Oregon or Washington or Idaho DATE SPRING SPRING SUMMER SUMMER FALL WILLAMETTE FALLS 2) FALL COHO COHO STEELHEAD WILD 5) STEELHEAD SHAD SOCKEYE LAMPREY CHUM PINK SOURCE 01/16/ n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a WFA 01/17/ n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a WFA 01/18/ n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a WFA 01/19/ n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a WFA 01/20/ n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a WFA 01/21/ n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a WFA 01/22/18 YTD n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a DATE SPRING SPRING SUMMER SUMMER FALL BONNEVILLE DAM FALL COHO COHO STEELHEAD WILD 5) STEELHEAD SHAD 6) SOCKEYE LAMPREY CHUM PINK SOURCE 01/16/ USACE 01/17/ USACE 01/18/ USACE 01/19/ USACE 01/20/ USACE 01/21/ USACE 01/22/18 YTD DATE SPRING SPRING SUMMER SUMMER FALL THE DALLES DAM 2) **) FALL COHO COHO STEELHEAD WILD 5) STEELHEAD SHAD SOCKEYE LAMPREY CHUM PINK SOURCE 01/16/ n/a USACE 01/17/18 01/18/18 01/19/18 01/20/18 01/21/18 01/22/18 YTD n/a DATE SPRING SPRING SUMMER SUMMER FALL MCNARY DAM **) FALL COHO COHO STEELHEAD WILD 5) STEELHEAD SHAD SOCKEYE LAMPREY CHUM PINK SOURCE 01/16/ USACE 01/17/ USACE 01/18/ USACE 01/19/ USACE 01/20/ USACE 01/21/18 01/22/18 YTD NOTES: At Willamette Falls Dam, it takes the staff most of the day to accurately review one day of fish passage on tape when the counts are high. The WFA staff make every attempt to keep the counts as up to date as possible. Note: at WFA Monday's are extremely busy, as the staff attempt to catch up with the weekend counts. The Corp of Engineers has stopped shad counting at The Dalles, starting in 2011 on the advice of the Fish Passage Operations and Management (FPOM) committee, made up of NOAA, CRITFC, ODFW, WDFW, IDFW, BPA, and COE biologists. 1) Since the year 2006, Priest Rapids Dam and Wanapum Dam jack counts have included mini jacks. 2) Shad are not counted at Willamette Falls, The Dalles, John Day, Lower Monumental, Little Goose, Rock Island, Rocky Reach and Wells Dams 3) Steelhead counts appear higher at Lower Granite Dam because most years a group which migrated into the river system between October and December overwinters below LGR and continues its migration in early March. ytd_adults.htm 1/3

17 1/23/ Day and YTD Adult Counts 4) As the Army Corp of Engineers no longer collects adult counts from the PUDs, we now get data directly from Chelan, Douglas and Grant Co. PUDs and DART. The steelhead counts include unclipped (wild) steelhead. It is not appropriate to add the steelhead counts and wild steelhead counts together. 5) Wild steelhead are counted separately from hatchery steelhead at Corps dams on the Columbia and Snake Rivers. Wild steelhead are identified as fish with an intact adipose fin. However, a small number of hatchery fish may not have had their adipose fin removed. There are no wild steelhead counts at Priest Rapids or Willamette Falls. Willamette Falls counts for: Chinook, Steelhead, and Coho only. 6) Shad are typically not counted at any of the Corps dams after August 31 each year and shad are not counted at all Corps dams. An n/a in the shad columns at Bonneville Dam and Lower Granite Dam after August 31st means that the shad are not being counted. 7) In 2014, Grant County PUD trapped and transported hundreds of Lamprey above Rock Island Dam. Therefore, the ladder counts of Lamprey at Rock Island under estimate the true numbers of lamprey past the project. In 2012, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and NOAA Fisheries are currently developing automated counting systems for Lamprey Passage Structures (LPS) installed at Bonneville Dam. In the interest of publishing accurate counts, LPS counts will not be publicly posted in season until the automated systems are fully operational. The adult counts in this report are based on reporting dates for dams recently established (2000). They are presented in the table below. A report with adult salmon counts based on historical dates (prior to 2000) can be found here. The reporting dates table shows that several dams stop counting fish around November 15th each year. After a dam stops counting fish for the season, only the total number of fish are shown on this report. These data are updated periodically throughout the day. The FPC data retrieving robot searches the web for updated data every 30 minutes in the AM, and every hour in the PM. The last column " Source " shows where the data was imported from: NWACE is imported from the COE's Daily Fish Reports; USACE is from US Army Corps of Engineers fish count pages; CHPUD is from Chelan PUD; GCPUD is from Grant PUD and DGPUD is from Douglas PUD and DART is from the University of Washington's Data Access in Real Time, WFA is imported from ODFW's Willamette Falls website. Some of the sites are several days behind in reporting, but is reported by the COE as zero, so where zeros appear across all rows, the data should be considered as "not yet reported". Video counts can cause a delay in posting the data to the web, because the staff at the projects have to review the tapes Adult Salmon Dam Count Monitoring Dates Dam Bonneville Dam The Dalles Dam John Day Dam McNary Dam Ice Harbor Dam Lower Monumental Dam Little Goose Dam Lower Granite Dam Priest Rapids Dam Wanapum Dam Rock Island Dam Rocky Reach Dam Wells Dam Video Monitoring Dates Day March 1 March 31, 2017 December 1, 2017 February 28, 2018 March 1 March 31 December 1, 2017 February 28, 2018 March 1 March 31 November 1, 2017 February 28, 2018 March 1 March 31, 2017 November 1 December 30, 2017 April 15 November 15, 2017 (24 hr) April 15 November 15, 2017 (24 hr) April 14 November 15, 2017 (24 hr) April 14 November 15, 2017 (24 hr) May 1 November 15, 2017 (24 hr) Willamette Falls Count year round (24 hr) Night May 15 September 30, 2016 June 15 September 30, 2017 June 15 September 30, 2017 June 15 September 30, 2017 June 1 September 30, 2017 Direct Monitoring Dates April 1 to November 30, 2017 April 1 to October 31, 2017 April 1 to October 31, 2017 April 1 to October 31, 2017 April 1 to October 31, 2017 April 1 October 31, 2017 April 1 to October 31, 2017 April 1 October 31, Columbia and Snake River Fishway Outages Dam Bonneville Dam The Dalles Dam John Day Dam McNary Dam Ice Harbor Dam Lower Monumental Dam Dates Fishways are Closed Bradford Island Fishway: Not Dewatering. Cascades Island Fishway: Not Dewatering. Washington Shore Fishway: December 1, 2016 February 28, East Fish Fishway: December 1, 2016 February 28, North Fish Fishway: January 3, 2017 January 17, North Fish Fishway: December 1, 2016 January 10, South Fish Fishway: January 17, 2017 February 28, Washington Shore Fishway: December 1, 2016 January 27, Oregon Shore Fishway: January 28, 2017 February 24, North Shore Fishway: January 3, 2017 January 27, South Shore Fishway: January 30, 2017 February 27, North Shore Fishway: January 3, 2017 January 30, South Shore Fishway: February 6, 2017 February 28, Little Goose Dam January 2, 2017 February 17, Lower Granite Dam January 2, 2017 February 13, Priest Rapids Dam Wanapum Dam Left Bank Fishway: TBD Right Bank Fishway: TBD Right Bank Fishway: TBD Left Bank Fishway: TBD Rock Island Dam Right Bank Fishway: January 3, 2017 to January 24, Left Bank Fishway: December 19, 2017 to February 2, Middle Fishway: December 5, 2016 to December 30, ytd_adults.htm 2/3

18 1/23/ Day and YTD Adult Counts Rocky Reach Dam December 12, 2016 to February 28, Wells Dam West Ladder: TBD East Ladder: TBD Data source: Corp of Engineers, Dewatering Plans and Schedules. Available online at: Page last updated on: :47:40 Copyright Fish Passage Center. ytd_adults.htm 3/3

19 Water Year 2018 Precipitation Monthly Clim Norm Monthly Seasonal Temp. (degf) Jan (Oct. 1 - now) (pro-rated) Portland 81% 96% 4.3 UPPER-COLUMBIA: Kamloops 66% 92% 1.3 Revelstoke 40% 57% -1.3 Cranbrook 43% 122% -0.4 Creston 124% 81% 2.5 average: 68% 88% 0.5 Normal: MIDDLE-COLUMBIA: Pendleton 108% 106% 3.5 Redmond 23% 37% 2.9 Yakima 79% 75% 7.7 Wenatchee AP 83% 100% 2.7 Omak 100% 76% 3.9 Spokane 128% 125% 3.6 average: 87% 86% 4.1 Normal: LOWER SNAKE: Lewiston 159% 175% 4.2 Pullman 152% 167% 5.6 Stanley 141% 164% 7.7 Challis 44% 56% 9.7 average: 124% 141% 6.8 Normal: UPPER and MIDDLE SNAKE: McCall 213% 128% 8.7 Ontario 213% 128% 7.6 Boise 134% 101% 5.8 Twin Falls 105% 84% 4.8 Burley 182% 81% 9.4 Pocatello 92% 88% 9 Idaho Falls 92% 78% 8.2 average: 147% 98% 7.6 Normal: Forecasted Daily Rain (in inches), BON dam area: 23-Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan 0.75

FISH PASSAGE CENTER. On January 8, 2019, FPAC met for its weekly conference call. The following people participated in the call:

FISH PASSAGE CENTER. On January 8, 2019, FPAC met for its weekly conference call. The following people participated in the call: FISH PASSAGE CENTER 847 NE 19 th Avenue, #250, Portland, OR 97232 Phone: (503) 833-3900 Fax: (503) 232-1259 www.fpc.org/ e-mail us at fpcstaff@fpc.org MEMORANDUM To: From: Fish Passage Advisory Committee