Fourth Quarter 2016 Social Weather Survey: Net trust in Rody Duterte stays Excellent at +72

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1 Page 1 of Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City Website: Tel: , Fax: First reported in BusinessWorld, 22 December 2016 Fourth Quarter 2016 Social Weather Survey: Net trust in Rody Duterte stays Excellent at +72 Social Weather Stations The Fourth Quarter 2016 Social Weather Survey, done on December 3-6, 2016, found 81% of adult Filipinos with much trust, % undecided, and 9% with little trust in President Rodrigo R. Duterte. This gives a net trust rating of +72 (% much trust minus % little trust), classified by SWS as excellent [Chart 1, Table 1]. This is 4 points below the excellent +76 (83% much trust, 8% little trust) in September Pres. Duterte's net trust rating has been excellent for three consecutive quarters, since rising from the moderate +26 (54% much trust, 28% little trust) in May It was a moderate +16 when SWS first asked about it in December It hardly changed from January to February 2016, ranging from +13 to +17. It rose to moderate +26 in March 2016, and reached as high as good + in April It was a moderate +26 just before the May 9, 2016 elections, and rose to excellent +79 just days before his inauguration in June, No surveys were conducted on public trust for other past Presidents six months following their inaugurations [Chart 2, also Tables 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6]. The SWS terminology for Net Trust Ratings: + and above, "excellent"; + to +69, "very good"; + to +49, "good"; + to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; - to -29, "poor"; - to -49, "bad"; - to -69, "very bad"; - and below, "execrable". Relation of trust and satisfaction ratings The SWS survey question on trust rating is different from satisfaction rating as the former gauges public trust in a personality as a whole, while the latter asks about public satisfaction with an individual's performance related to his/her position or duty. Public satisfaction with the performance of Rody Duterte as President was higher among those with much trust in him. Dec 24 - Trust in Rodrigo Duterte (media release)

2 Page 2 of 15 It was an excellent +78 (85% satisfied, 7% dissatisfied) among those with much trust in him, compared to the moderate +22 (49% satisfied, 27% dissatisfied) among those who were undecided, and the poor -26 (% satisfied, 56% dissatisfied) among those with little trust in him [Chart 3]. The SWS December 2016 survey findings on the satisfaction rating of Pres. Duterte were reported by BusinessWorld on December 15, The SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: + and above, excellent ; + to +69, very good ; + to +49, good ; + to +29, moderate, +9 to 9, neutral ; to 29, poor ; to 49, bad ; to 69, very bad ; and below, execrable. Excellent in Mindanao, Metro Manila and Visayas; Very Good in Balance Luzon The 4-point decline in Pres. Duterte's overall net trust rating between September and December 2016 was due to the declines of 11 points in Metro Manila, 7 points in Mindanao and 4 points in the Visayas, combined with a steady score in Balance Luzon. Pres. Duterte's net trust rating stayed excellent in Mindanao, although down by 7 points from +92 (94% much trust, 2% little trust) in September to +85 (90% much trust, 5% little trust) in December [Chart 4]. It stayed at very good +69 in Balance Luzon from September (78% much trust, % little trust, correctly rounded) to December (79% much trust, % little trust). However, it fell by one grade from excellent to very good in Metro Manila, down by 11 points from +76 (83% much trust, 7% little trust) in September to +65 (76% much trust, 11% little trust) in December. It also fell by one grade from excellent to very good in the Visayas, down by 4 points from +73 (82% much trust, % little trust, correctly rounded) in September to +69 (78% much trust, 9% little trust) in December. Excellent in both rural and urban areas Pres. Duterte's net trust rating stayed excellent in urban areas, hardly moving from +75 (82% much trust, 7% little trust) in September to +73 (82% much trust, 8% little trust, correctly rounded) in December [Chart 5]. It also stayed excellent in rural areas, although down by 6 points from +77 (85% much trust, 8% little trust) in September to +71 (80% much trust, 9% little trust) in December.

3 Page 3 of 15 Excellent in classes D and E; Very Good in class ABC Pres. Duterte s net trust rating rose by one grade from very good to excellent in class E, up by 5 points from +67 (80% much trust, 13% little trust) in September to +72 (80% much trust, 8% little trust) in December [Chart 6]. It stayed excellent in class D or the masa, although down by 5 points from +78 (84% much trust, 6% little trust) in September to +73 (81% much trust, 9% little trust, correctly rounded) in December. However, it fell by one grade from excellent to very good in class ABC, down by 13 points from +72 (82% much trust, % little trust) in September to +59 (75% much trust, 16% little trust) in December. Excellent among men, Very Good among women Pres. Duterte's net trust rating in stayed excellent among men, hardly moving from +77 (84% much trust, 7% little trust) in September to +75 (83% much trust, 8% little trust) in December [Chart 7]. However, it fell by one grade from excellent to very good among women, down by 5 points from +74 (82% much trust, 8% little trust) in September to +69 (79% much trust, % little trust) in December. Excellent among 18 to 44 year olds, Very Good among 45 and older Net trust in Pres. Duterte stayed excellent among year olds, although down by 5 points from +82 (89% much trust, 7% little trust) in September to +77 (84% much trust, 7% little trust) in December [Chart 8]. It stayed excellent among 25-34, although down by 4 points from +83 (88% much trust, 6% little trust, correctly rounded) in September to +79 (86% much trust, 7% little trust) in December. It also stayed excellent among 35-44, up by 4 points from +76 (83% much trust, 7% little trust) in September to +80 (85% much trust, 5% little trust) in December. It stayed very good among 45-54, although down by 4 points from +69 (78% much trust, % little trust, correctly rounded) in September to +65 (76% much trust, 11% little trust) in December. However, it fell by one grade from excellent to very good among 55 and above, down by points from (81% much trust, 8% little trust) in September to +63 (76% much trust, 13% little trust) in December.

4 Page 4 of 15 Excellent among college and high school graduates; Very Good among elementary graduates and non-elementary graduates Pres. Duterte s net trust rating stayed excellent among college graduates, although down by 6 points from +84 (89% much trust, 4% little trust, correctly rounded) in September to +78 (85% much trust, 7% little trust) in December [Chart 9]. It also stayed excellent among high school graduates, although down by 6 points from +82 (87% much trust, 5% little trust) in September to +76 (83% much trust, 7% little trust) in December. It stayed very good among elementary graduates, hardly moving from +66 (77% much trust, 11% little trust) in September to +68 (78% much trust, % little trust) in December. It also stayed very good among non-elementary graduates, hardly moving from +66 (78% much trust, 12% little trust) in September to +64 (79% much trust, 14% little trust) in December. Survey Background The December 2016 Social Weather Survey was conducted from December 3-6, 2016 using face-to-face interviews of 1,0 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide, 600 in Balance Luzon and 0 each in Metro Manila, Visayas and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national percentages, ±4% for Balance Luzon, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Visayas and Mindanao). The area estimates were weighted by National Statistics Office medium-population projections for 2016 to obtain the national estimates. The SWS survey questions on the trust ratings of Presidents are non-commissioned. They are included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service, with first printing rights assigned to BusinessWorld. The exact question is as follows: MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (name of personality) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN TUNGKOL KAY (name of personality)? PAKISABI ANG SAGOT NINYO SA PAMAMAGITAN NG PAGLAGAY NG MGA KARD SA NAAANGKOP NA LUGAR SA RATING BOARD NA ITO. [Please indicate if your trust/faith in (name of personality) is VERY MUCH, SOMEWHAT MUCH, UNDECIDED IF MUCH OR LITTLE, SOMEWHAT LITTLE, VERY LITTLE, or YOU HAVE NOT HEARD OR READ ANYTHING about (name of personality) ever? You may indicate your answers by placing each card on the appropriate box on this rating board].

5 Page 5 of 15 SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. #

6 Page 6 of 15 Chart 1 RODY DUTERTE, PHILIPPINES, DEC 2015 TO SEP 2016 Dec Jan 12-14, 8-, [RV] [VV] [n= [n= 1,200] 1,200] Feb 5-7, 2016 [VV] [n= 1,200] Mar 4-7, 2016 [VV] [n= 1,800] Mar -Apr Apr 2, 18-20, [VV] [VV] [n= [n= May 1-3, 2016 [VV] [n= 1,0] 1,800] 4,0] Jun 24-27, 2016 [A] [n= 1,200] Sep 24-27, 2016 [A] [n= 1,200] Dec 3-6, 2016 [A] [n= 1,0] Aware 0% % of respondents 90 Much trust 81% Net* +72 Little trust 9% * % Much Trust minus Little Trust, correctly rounded. Don t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Note: Respondents: A=Adults, RV = Validated Voters, VV = Validated Voters. Figures in brackets are sample sizes. Table 1 RODRIGO R. DUTERTE, PHILIPPINES, DEC 2015 TO DEC 2016 Dec 12-14, % 47% 21% 31% +16 Jan 8-, Feb 5-7, Mar 4-7, Mar -Apr 2, Apr 18-20, May 1-3, Jun 24-27, Sep 24-27, Dec 3-6, Q. MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (PERSONALITY) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA

7 Page 7 of 15 Chart 2 NET* TRUST RATINGS OF PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1989 TO DEC AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE C. Aquino Estrada Ramos +6 Duterte +72 B. Aquino Arroyo Table 2 CORAZON C. AQUINO, PHILIPPINES (page 1 of 2) Sep 2-Oct 4, % 55% 32% 13% +42 Mar 25-Apr, Mar 18-Apr 11, Sep 5-Oct 3, Nov 21-Dec 17, Mar 14-Apr 12, Jun 6-, Nov 21-Dec 19, Feb 21-27, Apr 8-16, Jun 27-Jul 14, Sep 25-Oct 11, Sep 23-Oct 6, Dec 8-17,

8 Page 8 of 15 CORAZON C. AQUINO, PHILIPPINES (page 2 of 2) Sep 1-18, % 49% 21% % +19 Mar -25, Aug -Sep 14, Nov 27-Dec 4, Mar 8-14, Q. MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (PERSONALITY) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA Table 3 FIDEL V. RAMOS, PHILIPPINES (page 1 of 2) Sep 2-Oct 4, % 58% 34% 9% +49 Nov 4-Dec 6, Jan 25-Feb, Mar 25- Apr, Jun 2-16, Sep 25-Oct 11, Nov 27-Dec 15, Sep 23-Oct 6, Dec 8-17, Sep 1-18, May 17-Jun 3, Mar -25, Nov 8-24, Aug 26-Sep 5, Nov 27-Dec 4,

9 Page 9 of 15 FIDEL V. RAMOS, PHILIPPINES (page 2 of 2) Mar 8-14, % 34% 23% 41% -7 Feb 24-27, Mar 28-31, Nov 28-Dec 1, Feb 20-23, Jun 19-22, Sep 18-21, Dec 5-, Sep 24-27, Sep 4-7, Q. MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (PERSONALITY) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA Table 4 JOSEPH E. ESTRADA, PHILIPPINES (page 1 of 3) Mar 4-23, % 31% 22% 46% -15 May 17-Jun 3, Aug 24-Sep 8, Nov 15-Dec 2, Mar -25, May 28-Jun 14, Aug -Sep 14, Nov 8-24, Jan 28-Feb 6, Feb 25-Mar, May 14-23, Aug 26-Sep 5, Nov 17-Dec 4, Mar 8-14, Jun 22-28,

10 Page of 15 JOSEPH E. ESTRADA, PHILIPPINES (page 2 of 3) Sep 24-Oct 2, % % 21% 28% +23 Nov 24-29, Feb 24-27, Sep 2-5, Nov -Dec 3, Mar 28-31, Jun 27-, Sep 24-27, Nov 28-Dec 1, Feb 20-23, Jun 19-22, Sep 18-21, Dec 5-, Jun 25-28, Sep 24-27, JOSEPH E. ESTRADA, PHILIPPINES (page 3 of 3) Nov 27-, 20 0% 47% 15% 37% + Mar 4-7, Jun 3-6, Dec 3-7, Mar -13, May 24-27, Aug 24-27, Q. MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (PERSONALITY) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA

11 Page 11 of 15 Table 5 GLORIA MACAPAGAL-ARROYO, PHILIPPINES Mar 21-29, % 51% 26% 23% +27 Sep 24-27, Nov 27-, Mar 4-7, Jun 3-6, Sep 2-7, Dec 3-7, Mar -13, May 24-27, Aug 24-27, Q. MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (PERSONALITY) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA Table 6 BENIGNO S. AQUINO III, PHILIPPINES Jan 21-24, 20 0% 80% 11% 8% +73 Feb 24-28, Mar 19-22, Apr 16-19, Jun 25-28, Sep 4-7, Dec 3-7, Mar -13, May 24-27, Aug 24-27, Mar -Apr 2, Jun 24-27, Q. MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (PERSONALITY) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA

12 Page 12 of 15 Chart 3 % of respondents 90 SATISFACTION WITH PRES. RODY DUTERTE, BY TRUST IN HIM, DEC 2016 Among those with Among Among those with Much Trust Undecided Little Trust (81%) (%) (9%) Dissatisfied Undecided Satisfied Net* Figures in parentheses are national proportions. Chart 4 RODY DUTERTE, BY AREA, JUN TO DEC 2016 % of respondents Total Bal PH NCR Luz Vis Min Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Aware Little trust Undecided Much trust Net*

13 Page 13 of 15 Chart 5 RODY DUTERTE, BY LOCALE, JUN TO DEC 2016 Total PH Urban Rural Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Aware Little trust Undecided % of respondents Much trust Net* Chart 6 RODY DUTERTE, BY ECONOMIC CLASS, JUN TO DEC 2016 % of respondents Total PH ABC D E Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Aware Little trust Undecided Much trust Net*

14 Page 14 of 15 Chart 7 RODY DUTERTE, BY SEX, JUN TO DEC 2016 % of respondents 90 Total PH Men Women Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Aware Little trust Undecided Much trust Net* Chart 8 RODY DUTERTE, BY AGE GROUP, JUN TO DEC 2016 Total PH and above Jun SepDec Jun SepDec Jun SepDec Jun SepDec Jun SepDec Jun SepDec Aware Little trust Undecided Much trust Net*

15 Page 15 of 15 Chart 9 RODY DUTERTE, BY EDUCATION, JUN TO DEC 2016 Total Up to Up to Up to PH Some elem. Some HS Some coll. Coll. grad Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Jun Sep Dec Aware Little trust Undecided Much trust Net*