Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office

Transcription

1 Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office Morning Situation Report Sunday, January 20, 2019

2 State Emergency Operations Center Activation Level Level 3 Monitoring

3 SERT On-Call Personnel Position Personnel Phone Operations Chief Ashley Davis (850) Watch Officer Amy Godsey (850) Duty Officer Taylor Cheney (850) Operations Officer- Day Kassidy Grant (850) Operations Officer- Swing Phillip Thomas (850) Operations Officer- Night Amanda Holcomb (850) Meteorologist Michael Spagnolo (850) Plans Chief Ryan Lock (850) Logistics Chief Jeff Swain (850) Human Services Director Pam Hughes (850) Emergency Services Director Rob Dietrich (850) Infrastructure Branch Director Danny Kilcollins (850) ESF 8 On-Call Robert Mills (850) Robert.Mills@flhealth.gov Public Information Officer Lauren Engel (850) Lauren.Engel@em.myflorida.com DEM Finance and Admin Phyllis Vaughn (850) Phyllis.Vaughn@em.myflorida.com

4 Regional Coordination Team Team County Location Status / Activities RC Manager: Jim Roberts Annual Leave Off & See Coverage Region 1: Wanda Stafford In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 2: Brian Bradshaw In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 3: Gina Lambert In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 4: Paul Siddall In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 5: Claudia Baker In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 6: Jodie Fiske In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 7: Willie Bouie In Region / State Off & Monitoring R2 covering Manager Notifications R3 covering Lake, Seminole, & Volusia R4 covering Brevard, Orange, & Osceola R7 covering Indian River, Martin, & St. Lucie RC Status Normal Operations Delayed Response Out of Service / Unavailable

5 Meteorology Summary Threat R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Lightning L Flooding (Rivers) L L Damaging Wind Hail Tornado Freeze M M M M L Fire L L M M M M M Fog Rip Currents H H L H L H L Space Weather Very Low Lake Okeechobee Status: Keetch-Byram Drought Index: Elevation is at ft. 225 (+5) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry) Today s Weather Map Forecast Rainfall Next 24 Hours

6 Meteorology Summary Statewide Overview, Next 24 Hours: A strong cold front has moved through North and Central Florida and will be clearing South Florida this afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will impact Southeast Florida and the Florida Keys through mid-day, but all rainfall will move offshore by early afternoon as cooler and drier air moves in. Despite the drier air behind the cold front, low cloud cover will linger- particularly in the Panhandle and Big Bend. More sunshine is expected today in eastcentral Florida. Winds are breezy again today and a Wind Advisory is in effect through this afternoon for much of Central and Northeast Florida. Winds will be out of the northwest at mph with gusts as high as 35 mph inland and 40 mph along the coast. With more clouds than sun, breezy winds, and the dry air moving in, today will be chilly across the northern half of the state. High temperatures will be near 50 degrees in the Panhandle and Big Bend and will only feel like it is in the 30s all day with the wind. Temperatures in the Peninsula will fall over the course of the day as the cold front moves through. Tonight will be cold with a freeze expected along the I-10 corridor and the Nature Coast. Lows will be in the 40s all the way into the metro areas of Southeast Florida. Breezy winds overnight will prevent any widespread frost, but will make it feel several degrees cooler. Wind chills will be in the 20s for much of the Panhandle tonight. There is no chance of rain statewide. Clouds will move out overnight with clear skies expected statewide by tomorrow morning. Low Temperatures Tonight High Temperatures Today

7 Coastal Hazards / Hydrology Rip Currents: Strong winds from the northwest today will result in a high rip current risk for all Panhandle beaches and West Coast beaches. High Surf Advisories are in effect for Panhandle beaches and West Coast beaches as wave heights will build to 5-8. A low threat is expected elsewhere. Remember, always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Rip currents can still occur on low risk days! Lake Okeechobee average elevation is feet, which is 2.39 feet below normal for this time of year. The top of the water short management level is feet this time of year. Rip Current Outlook Hydrology: River Flood Warnings remain in effect for the Suwannee River near Wilcox and the Santa Fe River at Hildreth and Three Rivers Estates. By tomorrow morning, only the Santa Fe River at Three River Estates will be in minor flood stage and will remain there for much of this week. The Suwannee River at Wilcox will fall below flood stage later today. The rainfall from yesterday s cold front was not enough to result in any additional river flooding. For more information on specific rivers, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here. Current & Forecast River Conditions

8 Drought & Fire Weather Fire Weather: Gusty winds are expected today throughout Florida, but yesterday s rainfall has helped to wet the fuels. Drought conditions in South Florida will contribute to a higher threat, however. Thus, a moderate wildfire threat is forecast for Northeast, Central, and South Florida today with a low threat in the Panhandle and Big Bend. A County Burn Ban remains in effect for Gulf County in the Panhandle and 5 other counties that are in effect year-round. The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 225 (+5) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry). There are currently 10 Florida counties with a KBDI above 500, all in South Florida. Drought Monitor Active Wildfires (Florida Forest Service)

9 Space Weather Current Sunspots Solar Flare Risk Active Watches & Warnings Past 24 hours M-class: 1% Geomagnetic Storm: No A1 Solar Flare X-class: 1% Radiation Storm: No No Radio Blackouts 48 Hour Geomagnetic Forecast 1/20 1/21 Coronal holes on the Earthfacing side of the sun Max Kp= 2 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 1% severe activity = 1% Max Kp= 2 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 1% severe activity = 1% Space Weather: The sun is currently spotless and the risk for a significant solar flare is zero. A large coronal hole along the sun s equator is emitting a stream of solar wind which is expected to impact Earth s magnetic field by Wednesday. This may result in minor geomagnetic storming next week with any impacts confined to polar regions. The space weather threat to Florida remains very low. Tonight, a total lunar eclipse will take place. It begins at 10:34 pm EST, reaching the greatest eclipse at 11:12 pm EST, and ending at 1:51 am EST. Details here!

10 SWO Communications Systems & Contact Information Equipment Contact Status Phone: or Fax: SWO Tracker: SLERS: DEM Statewide NAWAS: State Watch Office EMnet Message: FL.000- State Watch Office EMnet Voice: FL SWP- State Watch Office State EAS: FL Interoperable Network: Website: WebEOC: LP.1 Stations via Emnet SOFEOC Users wishing to subscribe (approval pending) to this distribution list, register at: Taylor Cheney Comments Digitally signed by Taylor Cheney DN: cn=taylor Cheney, o=florida Division of Emergency Management, ou=operations Duty Officer, c=us Date: :46:25-05'00'