Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office

Transcription

1 Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office Morning Situation Report Saturday, February 2, 2019

2 State Emergency Operations Center Activation Level Level 3 Monitoring

3 SERT On-Call Personnel Position Personnel Phone Operations Chief Ashley Davis (850) Watch Officer Sam Walters (850) Duty Officer Taylor Cheney (850) Operations Officer- Day Paige Levanti (850) Operations Officer- Swing Amanda Holcomb (850) Operations Officer- Night Phillip Thomas (850) Meteorologist Cameron Young (850) Plans Chief Ryan Lock (850) Logistics Chief Jeff Swain (850) Human Services Director Pam Hughes (850) Emergency Services Director Rob Dietrich (850) Infrastructure Branch Director Danny Kilcollins (850) ESF 8 On-Call Robert Mills (850) Robert.Mills@flhealth.gov Public Information Officer Lauren Engel (850) Lauren.Engel@em.myflorida.com DEM Finance and Admin Phyllis Vaughn (850) Phyllis.Vaughn@em.myflorida.com

4 Regional Coordination Team Team County Location Status / Activities RC Manager: Jim Roberts In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 1: Wanda Stafford In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 2: Brian Bradshaw In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 3: Gina Lambert In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 4: Paul Siddall In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 5: Claudia Baker In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 6: Jodie Fiske In Region / State Off & Monitoring Region 7: Willie Bouie In Region / State Off & Monitoring R3 covering Lake, Seminole, & Volusia R4 covering Brevard, Orange, & Osceola R7 covering Indian River, Martin, & St. Lucie RC Status Normal Operations Delayed Response Out of Service / Unavailable

5 Meteorology Summary Threat R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Lightning Flooding (Rivers) L L Damaging Wind Hail Tornado Freeze Fire L L L L L L L Fog (Tonight) L L M M M M M Rip Currents H M M L M L H Space Weather Very Low Lake Okeechobee Status: Keetch-Byram Drought Index: Elevation is at ft 69 (+3) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry) Today s Weather Map Chance of Rain Today Forecast Rainfall Next 24 Hours

6 Meteorology Summary Statewide Overview, Next 24 Hours: Light winds and warm, moist air will make for areas of patchy fog throughout much of North Florida this morning. Today, cloudy skies and scattered showers will be expected throughout Florida at any point during the day. In the morning hours, Northeast Florida has the best rain chances, and as the day progresses some showers will be possible across the Peninsula. Rainfall amounts will generally be light, but isolated stronger showers could produce some locally heavy downpours. Temperatures continue to increase as Florida remains under the influence of a broad high pressure system. Highs in North Florida will be in the upper 60s, possibly reaching 70 degrees. Central and South Florida highs will be in the mid to upper 70s. Overnight low temperatures in North Florida will be in the mid to upper 50s, with Central and South Florida in the low to upper 60s. With warm, moist air and light winds in place tonight, areas of fog will develop overnight across the Peninsula, with patchy fog possible across North Florida. Some of the fog could become locally dense by daybreak Sunday. Low Temperatures Tonight High Temperatures Today

7 Coastal Hazards / Hydrology Rip Currents: Moderate onshore winds between mph and wave heights between 2-3 along all coasts will make for a high rip current risk along Escambia through Okaloosa County beaches in the Western Panhandle and for Palm Beach County in Southeast Florida. A moderate rip current risk is in effect for Walton through Wakulla County beaches along the panhandle and for all beaches along Atlantic Coast. Elsewhere there is a low risk for rip currents. Remember, always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Rip currents can still occur on low risk days! Rip Current Outlook Lake Okeechobee average elevation is feet, which is 1.95 feet below normal for this time of year. Hydrology: A River Flood Warning remains in effect for much of the Santa Fe River and Apalachicola River near Blountstown today as the rivers remain in minor flood stage. The Ocklawaha River at Rodman Dam remains in moderate flood stage. Several other rivers throughout North Florida are in action stage today. Forecasted rain today today will generally be light and are not expected to create additional river rises. Locally heavy downpours in some showers may result in minor urban flooding. For more information on specific rivers, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here. Current & Forecast River Conditions

8 Drought & Fire Weather Fire Weather: A low wildfire threat is forecasted for today due to soil moisture levels remaining high, relative humidity levels above critical values, and light winds throughout Florida. A County Burn Ban remains in effect for the 5 counties that are in effect year-round. The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 69 (+3) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry). There are zero Florida counties with a KBDI above 500. Drought Monitor Active Wildfires (Florida Forest Service)

9 Space Weather Current Sunspots Solar Flare Risk Active Watches & Warnings Past 24 hours M-class: 1% Geomagnetic Storm: No A2 Solar Flare X-class: 1% Radiation Storm: No No Radio Blackouts 48 Hour Geomagnetic Forecast 2/2 2/3 Max Kp= 3 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 10% severe activity = 1% Max Kp= 3 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 05% severe activity = 1% Coronal holes on the Earthfacing side of the sun Space Weather: There are currently no sunspots on the Earth-facing disk, and the risk of solar flares are very low. The coronal hole facing Earth is producing some solar wind, but any impacts will be confined to the polar latitudes. The geomagnetic storm from yesterday has waned as the coronal hole continues to rotate toward the sun s eastern limb. Space weather threat to Florida is very low.

10 SWO Communications Systems & Contact Information Equipment Contact Status Phone: or Fax: SWO Tracker: SLERS: DEM Statewide NAWAS: State Watch Office EMnet Message: FL.000- State Watch Office EMnet Voice: FL SWP- State Watch Office State EAS: FL Interoperable Network: Website: WebEOC: LP.1 Stations via Emnet SOFEOC Users wishing to subscribe (approval pending) to this distribution list, register at: Taylor Cheney Comments Digitally signed by Taylor Cheney DN: cn=taylor Cheney, o=florida Division of Emergency Management, ou=operations Duty Officer, c=us Date: :23:13-05'00'