Wesley Chapel Area Roadway Needs Study Build-Out Analysis (Beardsley Dr/Oldwoods Ave Need Study) Project Progress Meeting 1

Transcription

1 Build-Out Analysis (Beardsley Dr/Oldwoods Ave Need Study) Project Progress Meeting 1 9:30 AM Pasco County Development Services Conference Room 1. Welcome/Introductions 2. Project Overview Purpose Major Tasks Schedule 3. Active Tasks Model Review i. Build-Out Growth Forecast ii. Network Adjustments 2006 Cutline Analysis 4. Upcoming Tasks Initial Model Run Develop Initial Plan Concept Meet w/stakeholders to Review Test 3 Alternatives Develop Preferred Alternative Document Findings 5. Questions/Feedback

2 PASCO COUNTY MPO Wesley Chapel Area Roadway Needs Study Build-Out Analysis Progress Meeting Beardsley Dr./Oldwoods Ave. Need Study Project Overview Active Tasks Upcoming Tasks Questions/Feedback 1

3 Project Overview Project Overview Purpose: To evaluate the need for and potential future configuration of: Beardsley Drive Oldwoods Avenue Study Procedure referenced in Sec LDC 2

4 Project Overview Decision to be made based on: Roadway Capacity Accessibility (all modes) Quality of Service Emergency Access Impacts to Existing Subdivisions i i Connection, Connectivity, Least Circuity Project Overview Major Tasks: Task 1: Model Review Update Zdata Review Model Validation Initial Travel Demand Assessment Task 2: Alternative Evaluation Test 3 Preferred Alternatives Execute Preferred Alternative Task 3: Meetings Task 4: Documentation 3

5 Project Overview Schedule Task May June July August September Task 1 Model Review Update Zdata Review Model Validation Initial Travel Demand Assessment Task 2: Alternative Evaluation Test 3 Additional Alternatives Execute Preferred Alternative Task 3: Meetings Progress Meeting Task 4: Documentation Final Report/Presentation Beardsley Dr./Oldwoods Ave. Need Study Project Overview Active Tasks Upcoming Tasks Questions/Feedback 4

6 Active Tasks Model Review: Build-Out Growth Forecast: 2035 data as base Study Area & Adjacent: 2050 Data Around the Corridors: Build-Out Data New TAZs to better reflect approved development Network Adjustments: No-Build Build Scenario (AON) 2006 Cutline Analysis Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast Build Out Data 2050 Data 5

7 Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast Build-Out Socioeconomic Data Methodology: Existing Development (19%) Approved Development (73%) Wetlands Developable Land (8%) Future Land Use (typical densities on existing future land use) Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast Approved Development Pasco County: Meadow Pointe Wiregrass Wesley Chapel Lakes Saddlebrook Resort Country Walk Ho Harrison Bennett Wesley Chapel Marketplace Aberdeen Lakes New River Parkview/Serino Wyndrush Wyndfields Ashton Oaks Golden Ranch River Landing Two Rivers 6

8 Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast Approved Development City of Tampa: K-Bar Ranch (meeting with City of Tampa and Hillsborough MPO) Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast Developable Land: Land Use Acres Commercial Employment Center Industrial-Light 0.00 Major Attractors 0.00 Major Public/Semipublic 0.00 Major Recreation/Open Space 0.00 Mixed Uses Residential - 1 du/ga Residential - 3 du/ga Residential - 6 du/ga Residential - 9 du/ga Retail/Office/Residential Total

9 Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast Densities & Intensities: Adjusted Forecasted Units per Acre Land Use Dwelling Employees Units Industrial Commercial Service Commercial Employment Center Industrial - Light Major Attractors Public / Semipublic Major Recreation / Open Space Mixed Use Residential - 1 du/ga Residential - 3 du/ga Residential - 6 du/ga Residential - 9 du/ga Retail/Office/Residential Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast Vacant Developable Land Development: Residential: 3,114 Dwelling Units Total Employment: 991 Employees Industrial Employment: 59 Employees Commercial Employment: 423 Employees Service Employment: 509 Employees 8

10 Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast Summary Comparison: Scenario Dwelling Units Total Employment Employees per Dwelling Unit ,351 19, ,690 55, ,631 68, Corridor Study 114,002 82, TBRPM 2,034,629 2,336, Hillsborough 775,897 1,175, Pasco 404, , Active Tasks Build-Out Growth Forecast 9

11 Active Tasks Network Adjustment Legend Two Lane Road Four Lane Road Six Lane Road Centroid Connector Active Tasks Cutline Analysis Cutline 2 (E-W) Cutline 3 (N-S) Cutline 1 (E-W) Cutline 4 (N-S) Cutline 5 (N-S) 10

12 Active Tasks Cutline Analysis Cutline Analysis On Street Location 2006 AADT Source 2006 Model AADT Cutline 1 C.R.581 from Cross Creek Blvd to County Line Rd 38,600 Hillsborough County 2006 LOS Report 34, ,490, Morris Bridge Road from Cross Creek Blvd to Pasco County 8,000 Hillsborough County 2006 LOS Report 11,700 13,690,000 U.S.301 south of Chancy Rd 14,300 FDOT 20,800 42,250,000 Total 60,900 66,800 74,430,000 AADT/Model AADT: 110% 30.1% Cutline 2 Boyette Rd north of S.R.54 5,400 Pasco County Traffic Counts 9,900 20,250,000 Curley Rd north of S.R.54 8,000 Pasco County Traffic Counts 9,300 1,690,000 Handcart Rd south of Fairview Heights Rd 5,700 Pasco County Traffic Counts 3,800 3,610,000 Total 19,100 23,000 25,550,000 AADT/Model AADT: 120% 56.1% Cutline 3 Chancey Rd west of Coats Rd 7,600 Pasco County Traffic Counts 5,600 4,000,000 S.R.54 east of C.R ,100 FDOT 8,000 50,410,000 Eiland Blvd west of Dean Dairy Rd 14,100 Pasco County Traffic Counts 7,300 46,240,000 Total 36,800 20, ,650,000 AADT/Model AADT: 57% 57.8% Cutline 4 S.R.54 west of Morris Bridge Rd 25,000 FDOT 11, ,250,000 Total 25,000 11, ,250,000 AADT/Model AADT: 46% n/a Cutline 5 Cross Creek Blvd from BBD Blvd to Kinnan St 27,900 Hillsborough County 2006 LOS Report 28,200 90,000 County Line Rd from BBD Blvd to Timber Trace Dr 14,200 Pasco County Traffic Counts 19,300 26,010,000 S.R.54 east of C.R ,500 FDOT 36,000 12,250,000 Total 81,600 83,500 38,350,000 AADT/Model AADT: 102% 16.1% Total Cutlines 198, ,200 AADT/Model AADT: 98% 28.2% RMS Beardsley Dr./Oldwoods Ave. Need Study Project Overview Active Tasks Upcoming Tasks Questions/Feedback 11

13 Upcoming Tasks Initial Model Run Develop Initial Plan Concept Meet w/stakeholders to Review Test 3 Alternatives Develop Preferred Alternative Document Findings End of Presentation Questions? 12