Indonesian Air Quality Model in the MFI SINOP project
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- Dwight McKenzie
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1 Indonesian Air Quality Model in the MFI SINOP project Use quasi real-time fire data CHIMERE model Web and tablet capacity
2 Inside MFI model suite for BMKG «Strengthening BMKG Climate and Weather Service Capacity» Session 4: Air Quality & Wave Models IAQM Indonesian Air Quality Model 10 décembre 2015 ARIA Technologies - 25 ans! 2
3 Objectives Strong BMKG action against haze by daily monitoring/informing/alerting and needs a forecasting IAQM to alert in anticipation What need the IAQM to reproduce for being a good air quality forecasting system? - Very thick and persistent haze, especially during dry seasons when El Nino is intense - Not injected high enough to go outside BL keep a lot of fire smoke stays in BL=> high thickness on ground - When no fire haze present, still large urban pollution 10 décembre 2015 ARIA Technologies - 25 ans! 3
4 BMKG already informs on haze BMKG MODIS-adapted hot spot product with confidence level: helps to locate position of the high impact fires BMKG FDRS: helps to know current state of vegetation dryness BMKG daily automatic PM10 stations (8 currently), with analysis and AQI emoticons helps to monitore current air quality conditions in Indonesian 10 décembre 2015 cities ARIA Technologies - 25 ans! 4
5 Other existing systems monitoring daily haze in the region? MACC global forecast system (ECMWF) Asean ASMC haze composite model/observation But: No browsable Google-layer No time series extraction No downscaling on Indonesia: 1 x1, 3hrs resolution no PM10 details for AQ experts No distinction urban/fire sources, only AOD and ozone maps But: No urban pollution is accounted for
6 What is the new IAQM product? A dedicated algorithm on BMKG HPC (CIPS-operated CHIMERE) to produce 73hours forecast : at morning daily, BMKG operators can access to the AirQuality evolution (fire and urban pollution information) from D-1, D, D+1, with added value of: 1/ increased space-time resolution (15km, 1hr) 2/ information on urban/fire/vegetation sources of pollution A new dedicated internal BMKG website : 1/ automatic download HPC result to the «IAQM website» 2/ it enables at morning of day D an internal-bmkg expert analysis, by using the website functionalities, of the AQ evolution at D-1, D, D+1 Growing cooperation with BMKG team: 1/ 2-week scientific Training last December in Toulouse 2/ 1-week Operational Training now 3/ 6 trainees from Climate Change & AirQuality BMKG Unit trained to analyze the website output fields and complete a daily report Mrs Andri, Harika,Hani Mr Eka Mr Syam Pak Anton Pak Mangasa French guy Pak Addip Ready to operate even in very severe conditions Mr Sunaryo
7 IAQM website Dedicated analysis functionalities Outputs - Synthetic haze and urban pollution indices: - hourly AOD 550nm forecast (thanks to collaboration with LA, Toulouse): - 2D displayed in ARIA web site - daily AQI and PSI forecast : - Display in ARIA web site - Provided as separate 2D GRIB file for Transmet - More detailed information for in-depth analysis: - hourly detailed concentrations forecast of SO2, PM2.5, PM10, CO, O3, NO2, NOx: - 2D display in AQ website - 3D GRIB file for Transmet (in finalization) - hourly emissions forecast of SO2, PM2.5, PM10, CO, NO2, NOx: - 2D display in ARIA web site - 2D GRIB file for Transmet (in finalization) - hourly «FDRS forecast»: - Display in ARIA web site (in finalization)
8 IAQM Algorithm description
9 IAQM integration in Data/Task Manager by MFI
10 IAQM CHIMERE optimized use CHIMERE model run on 864cpus Optical module run on 768cpus
11 IAQM Validation
12 IAQM Validation (2)
13 What could be a daily reporting by BMKG operator to public diffusion? Yesterday (07/10 9LT) Today (08/10 9LT) Tomorrow (09/10 9LT) AOD NO DATA AQI NO DATA Current date 08/10/2015 Update report on regional Haze and Pollution type and origin Persistent fires in Sumatra, tending to evacuate tomorrow. Urban pollution (see AQI map) is also expected in Surabaya for tomorrow (principally from ozone).
14 TERIMA KASIH!!! 10 décembre 2015 ARIA Technologies - 25 ans! 14
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