Development and Application of Earthquake Early Warning System in NCREE. P.Y. Lin, T.Y. Hsu & H.W. Jiang
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1 Development and Application of Earthquake Early Warning System in NCREE P.Y. Lin, T.Y. Hsu & H.W. Jiang
2 Introduction of earthquake wave P Wave (primary wave): 6 ~ 7 km/s S Wave (shear wave or secondary wave):3 ~ 4 km/s
3 Two Types of EEWS - Regional EEWS CWB
4 Two Types of EEWS - On-site EEWS On-site EEWS detect P wave, then predict the seismic intensity. If predicted intensity higher than threshold, raise alarm. P-wave:6~7km/s S-wave:3~4km/s Epicener
5 311 Earthquake in Japan 921 Earthquake in Taiwan ~80S ~10S ~45S 100KM 200KM ~10S 100KM ~45S 200KM 300KM Epicenter was far from city Long warning time 台日地震預警時間差異 Epicenter was close to city Short Warning Time
6 On-site EEW Support Vector Regression(SVR) 2013 Ting-Yu Hsu et al. Earthquake Data (CWB Database) Pa Pv Pd Features CAV: 3 0 IV2: 3 0 CAV IV2 TauC u u(t) dt 2 ( t) dt Six P-wave features Real PGA Prediction Accuracy Rate(PAR):99.22% (CWB Validation) Training Predicted PGA (gal) Regression Model On-line Result (Nan-An Junior High School) I II III IV V VI VII 2 TauC: r r 3 0 u ( t) dt ( t) dt 0 u Real PGA (gal) PAR:99.7%
7 Integration Test of On-site Earthquake Early Warning System HsinChu 105Km 17 Taipei 152Km 27 ChiChi Earthquake Time : 88/9/21 1:47 Depth : 8 km Magnitude : 7.3 TaiChung 43Km 7 Epicenter ChiaYi 55Km 11 Photo of the press conference of the integration test on the shaking table on 2,22,2011
8 EEWS for Schools
9 EEWS Demonstration Station: Regional + On-site EEWS NCREE On-site Sensor CWB Regional EEWS Message SMS Message
10 Typical System Arrangement of On-site EEWS for School
11 Installation of Shallow down hole Sensor Kinemetrics EpiSensor ES-T Dynamic range: 155 db+ Bandwidth: DC to 200Hz Full-scale range: User selectable at ± 0.25g, ± 0.5g, ± 1g, ± 2g or ± 4g Outputs: User selectable at:± 2.5V single-ended± 10V single-ended ± 5V differential ± 20V differential
12 Installation of Backup Sensor on structure AS-305C1W5 Sensor Dynamic range: 155 db+ Bandwidth: DC to 250Hz Full-scale range: User selectable at ± 2000gal Scale Factor: 5mv/gal
13 Problem in Real World How to mitigate the false alarm
14 Application of Backup Sensor
15 Threshold can change Nan'an junior high school ~ Predicted Intensity Measured Intensity 7 7 Actual Example Predicted Intensity Number of times (year) Over 5 class 0 Over 4 class Over 3 class 7 On-site EEWS detects the earthquake P-wave, and then predicted seismic inte
16 Education and Drill for Schools Education of Seismic Disaster Reduction Seismic Disaster Prevention Drill
17 In School when earthquake is coming 1F Move to outside quickly. 2F Earthquake Warming Predict intensity Lv6 Please take cover immediately. Drop, Cover and Hold On. Strong wave arrive Move to outside
18 Video: Earthquake Disaster Prevention Drill
19 Epicenter distance:~60km X-axis Accel. (gal) EEW 地震加速度 Students take cover and evacuate in 13s. 13 sec PGA (37.65gal) Time (Sec)
20 Validation in field On-site EEWS developed by NCREE
21 CWB Earthquake Report Earthquake No.: Origin time(taiwan Time: GMT+08:00): 4/20/ :42:58.5 Location: 24.05N E Depth: 17.5km Magnitude(ML): 6.3
22 EEWS Station Response of Nan'an junior high school Nan'an junior high school Warning Time = sec Epicenter Warning Time : sec Epicenter Distance 77.34km PGA Performance Online Real Intensity 4 4 PGA(gal)
23 EEWS Station Response of Earthquake No
24 EEWS Station Response of Earthquake No
25 EEWS Station Response of Earthquake No EEWS Station Name Warning Time(sec) Predicted Intensity Measured Intensity Predicted PGA Measured PGA Remark 東和國小 SVM ver2 斗六 Tc 雲林 SVM ver1 港坪國小 Tc 育人國小 Tc 宜蘭國小 Tc 南安國中 SVM ver1 光復國小 Tc 玉東國中 Tc
26 EEWS Station Accurate Rate on Last Year Station Name Date Accurate Rate 宜蘭國小 港坪國小 南安國中 光復國小 玉東國中 育人國小 新興國小 東和國小 % 928/ % 6/ % 5592/ % 148/ % 757/ % 138/ % 239/ % 199/232 Number of Times(Per Month) Trigger Event Method τc 1.8 τc SVM ver τc 68.6 τc 14.9 τc 43.3 SVM ver SVM ver2
27 EEWS for High-Tec Plant
28 On-Site EEWS for High-Tech Plant Backup Sensor EEW Hardware In the Rack Shallow Down hole Sensor Down Hole Sensor 45~50m EEW Hardware Equipped in the Cabinet Down Hole Sensor + Shallow Down Hole Sensor + Backup Sensor: Reduce False Alarm Annually EEW Report Customized EEW
29 Real Performance in EQ Event Announce PGA Reach Warning Time = 26.6sec PGA Announce Time: 04:06:55 Warning Time: 26.6 sec Epicenter Distance: 130 km Performance Real On site Intensity 3 3 PGA
30 New Approach of On-site EEWS Online Status New Solution More Customized Future Work New Prediction Method New Detection Method Accuracy Rate: 81.8% Accuracy Rate becomes 100% Accuracy Rate keeps 100% The non-earthquake events are highly eliminated.
31 Application of EEWS
32 At Home when earthquake is coming Electric bulletin board will show the evacuate icon The door will open automatically. Elevator will stop at the closest floor and open the door. Emergency exit light wil open to give direction. The LED light will provide spot light to the safety zone for shelter. Gas will be closed automatically.
33 In Plant when earthquake is coming Think EEW broadcast, waning light, LED Display, SMS message will help people to take shelter. Also, the digital signal will be sent to EOC or the automatic production control system to proceed the emergency operation procedure. Speaker SMS 15s, there s lots of thing we can do to save money. Others Devices (Dry Contact, RS485, etc.)
34 There s more
35 Integrated Earthquake Early Warning System for Science Park NCREE Regional EEWS NCREE On-site EEWS at Hsinchu NCREE On-site EEWS at Taichung Warning time / Epicenter distance ~15s / ~60km ~20s / ~100km NCREE On-site EEWS at Tainan Global Seismograph Network CWB Regional EEWS
36 Structural Health Monitoring System Traditional Centralized sampling Wired, analog w/o embedded calculation SSHMS Decentralized sampling Multiple communications Online SHM calculation
37 37 Structural Health Monitoring System Office Building of Central Taiwan Science Park
38 Software Hardware Total Solution of Seismic Disaster Prevention EEWS SHM Automation Combined the EEW and Structural Health Monitoring Office building DP Program DP Drill DP Service Hi-Tec plant
39 The Total Solution of Seismic Disaster Prevention will get ready soon
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