Berlin-Workshop on Bias Correction in Climate Studies

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1 3rd of October 2016 Berlin-Workshop on Bias Correction in Climate Studies at Freie Universität Berlin

2 General Information Location The workshop takes place at Seminaris Campus Hotel Takustr Berlin Tel.: +49 (0) Wireless LAN You can use your Eduroam account. Other ways to connect to Wireless LAN are given at the registration or on demand. Boat trip on Wednesday A bus will pick us up at the Seminaris at 6.30pm. If you wish to come to the pier by yourself please be at 7.30pm at Reichstagsufer 18 (near Friedrichstr.) in front of the ''Tränenpalast''. You will get two vouchers for drinks on board worth up to 5. You could combine them in groups for example to buy a bottle of wine.

3 Berlin Workshop on Bias Correction in Climate Studies Tuesday :00 pm Registration and Coffee 60 Minutes 14:00 pm Welcome 15 Minutes 14:15 pm Overview and motivation Mathieu Vrac 105 Minutes 14:15 pm What is bias correction? Henning Rust Institut für Meteorologie FU Berlin Germany 14:50 pm Climate modelling and bias corrections : climate services provider's perspective Patrick Josse Météo-France France 15:25 pm Bias Correction in Climate Studies: Road to progress or dead end street? Uwe Ehret KIT - Karlsruher Institut für Technologie Germany 16:00 pm Coffee break 30 Minutes 16:30 pm Applications Applications of bias correction methods for impact modeling and climate services Julie Carreau 95 Minutes 16:30 pm On the needs of bias correction of climate data for agriculture Benjamin Sultan IRD - LOCEAN-IPSL France 17:05 pm Climate change impacts on hydrological processes in Norway based on two methods for transferring regional climate model results to meteorological station sites Stein Beldring Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE) Norway

4 17:25 pm Small scale hydrological impact study based on raw and biascorrected RCM outputs Anna Kis Eötvös Loránd University Hungary 17:45m Evaluation of bias correction methods for future sea surface temperatures and sea-ice concentrations Julien Beaumet Université Grenoble Alpes France 18:05 pm Poster Session Room: Oxford/Foyer Poster presentation 85 Minutes PRELIMINARY CALCULATIONS OF WAVE ENERGY FLUX TRENDS IN EUROPE Alain Ulazia Spain Bias correction of daily precipitation and temperature for Norway Wai Kwok Wong Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE) Norway Adaptation of the German transport infrastructure towards climate change and extreme events Christoph Brendel Deutscher Wetterdienst Germany Rainfall changes impacts on groundwater balance of coastal aquifers:a case study in Greece PANAGIOTA VENETSANOU Aristotle University of Thessaloniki Greece Regression Quantile Mapping (RQM) - A new approach to bias correction with consistent quantile trends Christian Passow Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) Germany Bias correction with harmonic functions Exploiting the smoothness in time Henning Rust Freie Universität Berlin, Institute of Meteorology Germany Intercomparison of statistical and dynamical downscaling models under the EURO and MED CORDEX initiative framework: present climate evaluations Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar CNRS France

5 Discontinuous daily temperatures in the WATCH forcing data sets Andreas Dobler Norwegian Meteorological Institute Norway Spatial interpolation for bias correction Carole HARRY Ecole des mines de Paris, Paris, France Germany JAMSTEC Application Laboratory: Innovations from Earth Sciences Pascal Oettli JAMSTEC Japan High resolution simulations of air quality in the Berlin/Brandenburg area: model evaluation, potential applications and need for bias correction Friderike Kuik Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies Germany Calibrating probabilistic decadal predictions for categories Alexander Pasternack Freie Universität Berlin Germany A Measure of Drift Quantification in Decadal Predictions Igor Kröner Freie Universität Berlin Germany 20:00 pm Dinner at Seminaris Wednesday :00 am Seasonal to decadal Bias and drift correction for seasonal to decadal predictions Henning Rust 95 Minutes 09:00 pm On a hierarchy of a posteriori adjustment methods for seasonal to decadal climate predictions Neven Fuckar Barcelona Supercomputing Center Spain 09:35 pm Parametric drift correction for decadal hindcasts on different spatial scales Jens Grieger Freie Universität Berlin Germany 09:55 pm Can bias correction methods improve the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts? Jose Manuel Gutierrez CSIC / Universidad de Cantabria Spain 10:15 pm Calibration of decadal ensemble predictions Alexander Pasternack Germany 10:35 am Coffee break

6 25 Minutes 11:00 am Seasonal to decadal / Development Bias and drift correction for seasonal to decadal predictions Sophie Bastin 90 Minutes 11:00 pm Bias correction methods for skewed variables based on quantile relations Frank Sienz Germany 11:35 pm Bias correction of CCLM simulated temperature and precipitation in Europe using cross validated model output statistics Jingmin Li University of Wuerzburg Germany 11:55 pm Recommendations of the Decadal Climate Prediction Project for bias correction of decadal hindcasts Jens Grieger Freie Universität Berlin Germany 12:10 pm A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations Sebastian Sippel Germany 12:30 pm Lunch at Seminaris 90 Minutes 14:00 pm Development Development of bias correction methods Mathieu Vrac 90 Minutes 14:00 pm A path to multivariate statistical bias correction Claudio Piani American University of Paris France 14:35 pm Correcting biases in multiple climate model variables: A multivariate generalization of quantile mapping Alex Cannon Environment and Climate Change Canada Canada 15:10 pm Bias correction with the CDF-Transform Method Komlam Agbeko KPOGO-NUWOKLO Freie Universität Berlin Germany 15:30 pm Coffee break at posters 60 Minutes

7 16:30 pm Development Development of bias correction methods Julie Carreau 90 Minutes 16:30 pm Multivariate - Intervariable, Spatial, and Temporal - Bias Correction Petra Friederichs University of Bonn Germany 17:05 pm Using a standardized framework to evaluate, compare, and guide the development of new empirical-statistical downscaling methods Anne Stoner Texas Tech University United States 17:40 pm Bivariate bias correction: is it worth it? Sylvie Parey EDF/R&D France 18:30 pm Bus leaves for the boat trip + boat trip Thursday :00 am Applications Applications of bias correction methods for impact modeling and climate services Martin Göber 95 Minutes 09:00 am Application of bias correction methods for climate predictions tailored to the wind energy sector Verónica Torralba Spain 09:35 am Bias correction of multi-variate parameters: a case study of heat stress in Europe Ana Casanueva Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss Switzerland 09:55 am Bias-correction of daily precipitation in the ACRP project DynAlp Alrun Jasper-Tönnies Germany 10:15 am The PostClim project: Post-processing of Climate Projection Output for Key Users in Norway Andreas Dobler Norwegian Meteorological Institute Norway 10:35 am Coffee break 25 Minutes 11:00 am Miscellaneous

8 Miscellaneous challanges and questions related to bias correction Jens Grieger 95 Minutes 11:00 am Spatial analog method for temporal disaggregation of daily precipitation Julie Carreau Hydrosciences Montpellier - IRD France 11:20 am Influence of bias correcting predictors on statistical downscaling models Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar CNRS France 11:40 am Scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature over Europe: impact of statistical downscaling and/or bias correction on this relationship. Sophie Bastin CNRS/INSU France 12:00 pm Conclusions from the IPCC WG1 Focus group on Bias correction Claudio Piani American University of Paris France 12:30 pm Lunch at Seminaris

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