EUMETNET highlights. 23 rd annual meeting WGCEF, Warsaw, October 2017

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1 EUMETNET highlights Dick Blaauboer with thanks to Michael Staudinger, Rainer Kaltenberger, Yong Wang, Ingo Meirold- Mautner, Balazs Szintai, Alessandro Chiariello, Heleen ter Pelkwijk, Jose A Garcia Moya, Chiara Marsigli, Manuel Palomares and many others 23 rd annual meeting WGCEF, Warsaw, October 2017

2 Forecasting Programmes and groups 2017 Forecasting Programme Management KNMI Dick Blaauboer Expert Team Forecasting 1 meeting per year EMMA ZAMG Michael Staudinger EMMA-H ZAMG Michael Staudinger EUMETCAL FMI Alessandro Chiariello C-SRNWP OMSZ Balázs Szintai SRNWP-EPS AEMET Jose Antonio García-Moya ASIST ZAMG Yong Wang Expert team EMMA Expert team EMMA-H Expert teams EUMETCAL SRNWP & EWGLAM Annual meeting Expert Team SRNWP-EPS Expert Team ASIST 2

3 EMMA, EMMA-H PM Michael Staudinger The size of the areas for the alerts decreased in 2016 in several countries September 2017: 14 partners imported their warning messages in CAP standard, 10 are testing, rest to follow until end this year The Meteoalarm - Google cooperation has been given lower priority by the Google organization (Google Severe Weather Programme) Next phase proposed activities: Redesign of the website Development of the social media strategy Multi-hazard warnings Communication of storm naming and more.. ERCC operations room Important MEG and MPG meeting in De Bilt/Utrecht March 2017, partly joint with EFAS Hydro-warnings in Meteoalarm Presentations related projects: o Aristotle (ERCC) o ANYWHERE (H2020) o WMO FFGS o Copernicus EMS 3

4 ASIST: ENC 2017, 3-5 May DWD ~100 participants 24 nations Sessions on Observations Nowcasting techniques User aspects and verification Combination of NWP and nowcasting Heavy thunderstorms/ lightning with flooding in Offenbach and temporary shutdown of FRA All presentations can be found at the EUMETNET website under ASIST:

5 ASIST (2) WA1: Nowcasting techniques and systems Potential for delivering probabilistic nowcasting/vsrf EPS information to end users: Joint workshop with SRNWP-EPS in 2018 WA2: Observation and NWP Benefit of exchanging additional observations/ information on regional and sub-regional scales for nowcasting purposes Bilateral data exchange important EUMETNET data in VSRF (NWP), not in nowcasting OPERA: nice overview; too late for nowcasting NWCSAF, MSG important Future: MTG (IRS/ lightning), higher density networks, crowdsourced data

6 ASIST (3) WA3: Verification Cooperation with ESSL testbed Contact established Participation encouraged among members Limiting factor: price tag of min. 5,000 Positive feedback from participants Guidelines for evaluating nowcasting systems Training material, with Eumetcal WA4: Application and user aspect Description of end users needs and system requirements w.r.t. nowcasting

7 Coordination of (8!) ET s on different sub-domains of (SR)NWP) basis for cooperation within C-SRNWP and for new activities Interface with OBS programme obs. requirements Supporting SEECOP C-SRNWP EWGLAM/SRNWP meeting: ECMWF, Reading, 2-5 October Around 70 participants Theme: convection PM Balazs Szintai Next phase drafted: Current activities EWGLAM fin. support GLDB fin. Support Short Term Scientific Missions Involvement in impact studies Support meeting participation for low GNI countries Next EWGLAM meeting: To be hosted by ZAMG, Salzburg 1-4 October

8 C-SRNWP and SRNWP EPS related Application part The calibration tool and the software to generate fog forecasting are almost completed and are being tested during autumn 2017; The software for thunderstorm forecasting is a little bit delayed according to the schedule and it is expected to be ready for testing in winter 2017/2018; PM José-Antonio García-Moya Science part Next workshop will be held at AEMET, Madrid, October 2017 where results of experiments will be presented and decisions taken on next experimental phase Establishment of User Group postponed to next phase: not feasible without additional funding, but important for developing user tailored applications 8

9 SRNWP EPS II, forecasters feedback on using SREPS Useful features: forecast in terms of probability (especially useful for severe weather/ extreme events), provides estimation of uncertainty, long range forecast available in ECMWF ENS Drawbacks: lack of spread, lower spatial resolution, lack of consistency, uncertainty in the interpretation of the probabilities Research WP will focus on improving the drawbacks mentioned by forecasters

10 Eumetcal and WGE&T: developments for new program phase

11 Eumetcal and WGE&T: developments for new program phase (2) Partners: NMHSs and external:

12 Preparation of new phase: Drafting Teams Main theme for Forecasting Programme: Impact based Warning/Forecasting Spring 2017: Drafting Teams established: DT OBS, DT FOR DT FOR: o o o o o Goal: draft the requirements and include them in Invitation to submit proposals for new phase co-chairs Andreas Schaffhauser (ZAMG), Jan Rozema (KNMI) First face-to face meeting: Offenbach, September Preliminary delivery to STAC/PFAC: October 2017, Forecasting Capability Area structure, first draft of requirements, benefits for Members Final delivery: February 2018: Final draft Invitation to submit proposals including all requirements Conclusion in 2018: o o o May: Invitation to submit proposals documents approved by Assembly and distributed among Members September: Deadline for Programme proposals by (consortia of) Members October: evaluation of proposals by evaluation committees (recruited from STAC/PFAC) o November: new programme decisions by Assembly 12

13 NMS service Provision to end users Forecasting Capability Area Management EUMETNET goverannce, outreach FP Proposed Structure and Interfaces EMMA Meteoalarm * Aggregation, Repository Harmonization Dissemination CAP feed, maps -> users Forecaster Support Nowcasting* Workstation ECMWF LAM Consortia IbW Modules Moving to IbW C-SRNWP * NWP cooperation EPS* Post Processing Modules Capacity building Capacity building Education and Training* Infrastructure Marketplace/Broker Training consultancy * Existing Programms Observation Programmes WMO Global Campus Members + EMI Non Members GIE/EIG EUMETNET, L Institut Royal Météorologique de Belgique, Avenue Circulaire 3, 1180 Bruxelles, Belgique

14 Heads of Forecasting meetings Warsaw host IMGW-PIB May 2017, main theme: improving weather services throughout Europe, including impact-based forecasting and warning Special guest: Brian Golding, MetOffice, WMO WWRP HIWeather Presentation ESFS - European Storm Forecast Support - Christoph Gatzen - Potential service for EUMETNETMembers

15 Aristotle project (DG ECHO/ERCC) - Pilot Project in the area of Early Warning System for natural disasters - Financed by DG ECHO/ERCC - two year project: Feb 2016 Jan Coordination: INGV, ZAMG - 15 partners: meteo, geo incl. EUMETNET - Tender for next phase to be expected Nov/Dec 2017

16 EMS 2017: 4-8 Sep. Dublin The 17th EMS Annual Meeting & 11th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC) was a great success with 814 participants from 46 countries Attended by FPM and Manuel Palomares as EUMETNET liaison with EMS and member of Programme and Science Committee (PSC) Next EMS: 3-7 September 2018, Budapest MetEireann/MetOffice pilot on Storm Naming The Helix, Dublin City Univ.

17 Questions? Dick Blaauboer Forecasting Programme Manager GIE/EIG EUMETNET ForecastingProgramme Manager Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute Utrechtseweg GA De Bilt Tel: Fax: dick.blaauboer@knmi.nl Web: GIE EUMETNET Secretariat c/o L Institut Royal Météorologique de Belgique Avenue Circulaire Bruxelles, Belgique Tel: +32 (0) Fax: +32 (0) info@eumetnet.eu Web: