28TH LOWELL WAKEFIELD FISHERIES SYMPOSIUM
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1 28TH LOWELL WAKEFIELD FISHERIES SYMPOSIUM Responses of Arctic Marine Ecosystems to Climate Change March 26-29, 2013 Anchorage, Alaska Photo: Arctic cod under the ice by Elizabeth Siddon
2 History of Wakefield Symposia "Taxon-centric" Symposia (17): Chionoecetes spp., Dungeness, King Crab, Tanner crab, crab, Herring, sablefish, walleye pollock, rockfish, flatfish, gadids, forage fish, sea lions "Discipline-centric" Symposia (7): Seafood quality, genetics, stock assessment models, management strategies Ecosystem-Based Approaches (1998, 2010) "People-centric" Symposium (2011) Global change sub-theme (4 Symposia) "Ecosystem-centric": The Arctic (2013)
3 Geographic scope Circumpolar Bias towards Pacific (Western) Arctic Map from University of Texas Perry-Castaneda library
4 Perspectives Pan-Arctic
5 Perspectives Pan-Arctic Humans Seabirds & Mar mammals Vertically integrated Fish Plankton Oceanography Climate
6 Perspectives Pan-Arctic Vertically integrated Interdisciplinary
7 Major forces shaping the future of the Arctic Demographic trends Natural resource demand Global Warming Globalization From Laurence C. Smith (2010) "The World in 2050"
8 "THE FUTURE IS ALREADY HERE IT'S JUST NOT EVENLY DISTRIBUTED" William Gibson, quoted in The Economist (December 4, 2003)
9 Courtesy of S. Watanabe (JAMSTEC) Projected 21st Century Surface Temperature Change by MIROC-ESM (Difference in from ) RCP2.6 Emissions Scenario (low) RCP4.5 RCP6.0 RCP8.5 Emissions Scenario (high) 8-9 o C (~15 o F)
10 Barrow air temperature anomalies Temperature anomaly ( o C)
11 Courtesy of Takashi Kikuchi (JAMSTEC) 2002 (Sep 9) 2005 (Sep 22) 2007 (Sep 16) 2012 (Sep 16)
12 Age of Ice Reduction in ice volume likely more dramatic than reduction in spatial extent < 15% ice 1 st Year 2 nd Year 3 rd Year 4 th Year 5+Years From: 2012 Arctic Report Card (Perovich et al.)
13 Shipping: Northern Sea Route Number of ships Number of international cargo ships sailing the Northern Sea Route Sources New York Times, Oct 7, 2011 Barents Observer, Nov 23, 2012 Map: Arctic Logisitic Information Office (
14 Symposium Goals "Advance our understanding of present and future responses of arctic marine ecosystems to climate change" At all trophic levels from plankton to fish, marine mammals, and humans
15 Symposium Goals Explore approaches to " managing living marine resources in a changing Arctic" and " managing human responses locally, regionally, and globally to changing arctic marine ecosystems"
16 Schedule Tuesday am pm evening Wednesday am Thursday Friday pm evening am pm pm / evening am Keynotes Session 1: Climate/Oceanography Session 2: Lower Trophic Levels Poster session / Reception Session 2 (cont'd) Session 3: Marine fishes Panel: Integrated Arctic Management Session 4: Birds & Mammals Session 5: Human dimension Workshop: Conceptual Models Session 6: Management Summary & Wrap-up
17 Changes to schedule Check the latest schedule for adjustments due to cancellations Two talks moved from Thursday to Wednesday Bodil Bluhm, Tom Kline One talk moved from today to Wednesday J. Wynn Speakers: Please be sure to check your time!
18 This morning 8:30 8:45 a.m. Welcome by Franz Mueter, University of Alaska Fairbanks 8:45 9:30 a.m. Keynote Address: Marine Mammals and Sea Ice Loss in the Pacific Arctic: Tracking ecosystem Responses to the New Normal Sue Moore, NOAA Office of Science and Technology 9:30 10:15 a.m. Keynote Address: Arctic Research and Policy Kate Moran, Ocean Networks Canada 10:15 10:45 a.m. Break Session 1: Environmental changes in the Arctic 10:45 11:15 a.m. Invited Talk: Changing Arctic Seas: A Very Brief Look at Ice, Water, Marine Life, and People Eddy Carmack, Fisheries and Oceans Canada 11:15 11:35 a.m. On the Role of Advection on the Interaction between the Arctic and Subarctic Seas: Comparing the Atlantic and Pacific Sectors Kenneth Drinkwater, Institute of Marine Research, Norway 11:35 11:55 a.m. The Influence of Climate on Circulation, Water Column Properties, and Plankton Community Structure Phyllis Stabeno (Sue Moore), NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory 11:55 a.m. Lunch
19 Presentations & manuscripts We plan to make presentations available on Symposium website (pdf) Sue Keller will contact you for permission! Manuscripts Deadline: March 29 (this Friday) If you are interested, but can't meet the deadline, please contact Sue Keller
20 We are on Twitter!! Follow the #WakefieldSymposium ontwitter #lwfs
21 Steering Committee Sea Grant staff David Christie (Sea Grant) Henry Huntington (Pew) Jim Irvine (DFO, Canada) Harald Loeng (IMR, Norway) Libby Logerwell (AFSC, NOAA) Steve MacLean (NPFMC) Franz Mueter (UAF) Lori Quakenbush (ADF&G) Cheryl Rosa (US Arctic Research Commission) Cynthia Suchman/Danielle Dickson (NPRB) Sue Keller Adie Callahan Dave Partee
22
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