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1 ü a Ö S U z T H?** Ö "ös ö J ; d Ö d "üd

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3 m m N - v r- N i H N \ r-t U! U a; PS b HJ S H " J-l b t PH M) fi U t-i bß J t pa pa bj -*-» t t a S i i PH * +- ( JH "ös j D PS "t J t G a; a D, JH PH J a, S e j U PH in H I PH t s *-H T i PS " JH w S-: i T +-I e W U ID H I PH S SH s a n D 2 2 S S U J s J PS

4 V K M N rhm"*lvnt-hn ) 7 4- ) U S-H S W ft H i x T H H a UJ UJ JJ UJ 2 2 S 2

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7 h- D ) w «5 = I - (/ jz ) ÖPLLJ F LGI SUBSTAN G RADIN hü? Z D. D huj UJ D i lidin Prin istis Stra -» ST AND MUST B WITH UJ z jilfflll J l j ill» S ~ ««5!= : U «

8 t a, ( "e fi _ 4-» t H H w H 't fi "t s fi rh s H H-» fi HVH fi s t / t '5b «j a» 5-H ' J -- r way t f n MRSPs. mind tha nts and fi H S8 fi s Ö -w H S * s SH H 2 rh itsi 8 S *H t T t & t fi U ( S-H abt dema "- H 2* P* t j2 * 6 t fi H R * fi )! *H t Ö fs H ji H t Thi time t fi "5 fi '-Ö t

9 - -I k H D LJJ i - - P 2 K I -J "+ ( a r. ( S ( D D ü s Fre U. IN h- in * ( a ; ** w, ( H

10 HH hj tf ) H U istin le fr d fr e sil 5 *-» e s s -H (J t LD S J «S "5b ) S s-i ai b. b «s y 5. T5 4-» n~j T s U ) r J 8 "

11 ü D LL H ID ö _ " -. * " +-» T i " " i_ T T Z _ s_ " i_. T SZ '? D v sz 25 D) x: t 5 T ' 4 Z L _ 5 i *. v_ 2 L z LL /) 2 A A _ A A A a * T "D v_ -

12 »H V, ID S + H U t r n ) 'Ö "S e H tö w 2 l-h H U W b D S w /? t b* '&* «' "ö 2. T n 9 b t t t e_) j d.-h T N b n -I J P4 b H tu J " In H- -rt v s a & s tj H M tu e T P» T U tn d L, t t Ts * J-I J " H b 5 *-! JS ü t I S *P T S i s ö ) T M rt n-fj bß ö 4 U.5 t.y t a t ( fv a; S t: +-» H au"s 2 H S _ ß bid' t H-» t ). jn' " ö b ß tu. bß t j_, e J t a -' " SH U ) "? I " 2 a q t (j t H n «5 -i.s i n is y f

13 r ( ( J. _ - m mwmm H s UND mp eted l in hr ü AKGR liremts v j G 5 a. - ü a _ M T tal mpnt flyin hrs p artime demands = prjeted T _ "ö v_ 4 (/) _ ' _ "ö N " _ T z N "5 2 ß A A D A A Z A H ' i ü p i 5 - T "i_ s_ s "ö D m I i I! T? 2 I Zi p 2 J

14 ) t jy j t 5i5 «I ( H H a, D P -4-» l v- t -äs a» -~ - T M 8 w s *j 5 S» ( -l- H J Ö -M H-» t t t a» a, I M S a,-p 5 j U»H t T ä a; r-' a» N " *H "- * «* *H t ««H J- * rh m t "" * «- «isu S -2.? B «e 4!-H H s T Si, e ) H T ' a «Si, H U bp S 5 2 «2 a a ) H..-a rt "t

15 /) "Ö ( 'Z! Z a 4-«a 2» (. a L h- ) 2 2 m S)S %h (frm ) r L si- + + M * * r~-» + + T LL - +,_ M - T i + M + w P in -nil] i-~ M r- M ) «t M L _ 'tf lyin r LL - T M ~ "t. = r-- M M L F m ' D) T L ' lyin r r i ID T _ "fr LL - \J M L LD T~ T- T "*" LL LL LL ö) Z5 r ' i_ a. /D ;L : "D LL. i_ L _r = S: S «" - 99 W exepti T- v_ n the mts frw y's tas ±i TJ ink ester TJ % "5 t w - n * rn pi tins Mrat mp still aai are ility : We apab m Prbh tday

16 w Z : x 2 -ft *-". * ' ei«5 s a * (2 m H pa H U s «... t sr-i & &Ä a a (B U 2 2 S S &

17 N G G UJ L. - Z5 sz T 4» TJ "l_ *- TJ r TJ * -' T _ ". 4-4» ~ -t T H ' T Z " *- 7 T5 -a T e ref 2 += i i "..a b e"tr a ZS SI j_ - i: +-» k. *-* ~ _ ) ) x: " T.2 t. t s f Ö).. * «% % \ N \ \» i \ \ t \ * -/' TJ r s \» ; '%. * 9!; \ f \ *t "\ % % \ * «" :: L \. v \ i r \., * \ * \ *?» \ \ i V.J V- D \«S «4 L - ) \\ V\ % * )

18 D 2 s w D H U t rt t ) S I - n «a; a, e " t -«Si a) *-* t -»- v2 f-h -M Si ( W. H t t ( t 4-H -2 Jj"2 i y 5 T5 t Ä n i. t t i l t 2 t a» =. 4-» s-s s-l H t s I 8 jn S'-S j. i I t 5- ) I* *** " a» *-.fa T 2 _ T5 4-» ( SH J be *% t S H, t t 8 I-i a, ) T (U t H ; H S-l b * *. H! b t.5 b fa a S.SJ & H t ti - * -d S5T.2 * HT

19 *tf a " i a» ü ~ J. i_ / *; " " "D j J=. I tz a, r Sf!_- i! i + M *- -rü x- v_ 2 'ö -t-" % aj x: 4 ' S=! x: 4= -D.2 2 -z S - - = - ** H- 5 w r a z " +± Z - - P

20 SH tj in VH *4H -i i Si 4-» Si 4-» d -4-» 4H x 4» bß -t- d d (- 5- %T d d 5H -a J-l Si T *J d s T ) - 4-» 4- S-H 4-» H Si T 4-» Si SH 4-» JH J» d a 2 5? " )-* d e* w U w D H-t and a sbasi SH f the demand d hr t the ddin a third " 4-» 5- d s T ~ rret. a se rate. -d 4-» 4-, hr. bß -H is dinj and 5 - 'S s in 4-» _d y S ppra th in d L U J f- x; a-* n bj H d 4-* j " Js JH.ell r tt *4-? x 'SH U *-! Sppsi fr a r e adds. the frth ) S-l j_, ate rti 5H rd 2

21 r A V H V UJ - x: 'l_ *» " "SZ 'ö " i_ \. i 4 «D x: i II: I *-- i: (/) i_ - "Ö _ "Ö l x: ~ H j z i "ö ift stdies shw f epdt T v_ x: i_ "l_ i_ v5 L x: - sz s_ i_ ' * s_ i_ " + T T " x: _ sq D +-» x: J *- P "ö " LL I LL LL A A A A D II II = I. l 4 * L Z p : z v...- ' J

22 ' H hj W H 5- A T "ö -a t: i 5 T5 tj j U 5- )T " a; P w t *- r * 4 b +5 a»! r j ) x? ) a, a ; H t 4j e. t I A U /} I) 2 -t- t S t i-t H t d ) n -d d b S (5 -S A _-? a» in MH 5- S S H 4j +-. t a Jj D bp A U b b.h 5 e tj T ) J-l - a A t.2 -.rt L, H-» *.SP4J *H.S "«. 4-' s a t i- - s t 55 4-, i & A 8 i PH 4S ö xs " M S T &S T *; s S f 5-i "ffi»-i t a, be S J x *- I l 5*. ß 5 T.-a 5 w 4H -»-I 2 «t t s b 4*. xt ) ; " ; ä! «( w». t w 2 -j -*-* T I * bä * * t -5.! S SI, T a S t b 5 J.5 T t s T t t 6 t S-6? 4S S SG a,.5 t Ö I l ) S - t., JJ ( 4 P -Si 4J t -"-»-H ** - d S 'S U T Ä a» JH a xj j «TJ 2J -4-» J ' 4-* e * A t t a s bd4 t bh a tifi Si t - Ö '' 5- a» a, i- hh t fin -!- -*-» U H.a - &. - (D y H ä t *J t» S.a a - 6' fl 6 tss b +; -a S j 8 (-; b 5 t S w *- 'S «S s j 5. T S S t "Tj T ) "Ö t 6 = b b t.s 5- «*-' 5H 5H S A w Äi 4J.b bp UM- - i A t S «4-» - -» /J rt ) i a x i? 5 Ö t a tp-s & ) «J -H S a a; " S S ) a ) S JH Ti ) ' v* *t- 5 )-H fl, t 5- s,rt y * "".a a 'S)' s 2 S V4-H b 2 a 4j si s t. jj a w +.a b,-i S 4H 5-( -» 4j Ö4J T T! t in t! 5- t t a t J 5-

23 Z /) ) I - S 'm in LL a. z L ) LL - L S z H ) j -v "? \T in" M" T-T - " "* " s _J i=: M T M" N-" M" " M IT) M ', v I - t.2 in M L = ö M w J ~ T, *. - -v r--_ "* T-" "j \f T-T *; "- ~ ' _ 4 ' ' M" L" " in" M t- ' ~~,_ #,, _J ö t.2 r. M M = * T-I r V '- *sf & If i., L --5 S _ "D ZJ JZ -»» J "t 2», H vd L = D J LD M ) izt " lid? 2 -D *= l.= r S _ =5-2 -

24 w D 2 s w D w b H U H W5 i -a a Is i a S «V S «"S ) a r - a «. fei +- " TJ» i-l (6 -. S, a -5 {L.y J S S 5 -r) a S _ s y H a S bß J H a S SH J-T bßu. j2 j i v 4- D JH H T.a i.. d, - ) L i si bß 5-42 a *- «rs n-t AS I -Ä J T.tJ ) *- 2 in.* P-, T I e 8l \ s? T S H-»! S T! & a ia 2 H.-S S-*.«f * n J M- h I 4-H bjd i-h P-, a.} b N S T S j ).s «e- a e a jy ) S t S a «?f! -w a S H ~ U S 'S j2 Ä s ej M-H 5 ) b s I s - H.-S y T I 4 5 i-h a» H-t JH.2 I 5H ~ -5 S JH H S a p s

25 w U_ in i i m 2 W 5 4J 9 S a i- 2.9 r- _ b= tr - q M P a d d d - " 5 i T T " * f T d d ÖI ) 5 T_ T P _ "D M 2 D ZJ vp in I 2 2 ~ M = _ H V. VP ) Z L ) q t d d a» ) \J d d \i P ) h- -S. I _, M_ h- M m "*.2 = d d d - "" *~ & ' _i \J *».. \*L S _l Hz,., L - 2 p _l -a 2 i,. * i j _J _ M ZJ -* ', x: -Z 5 'tr 4 ' '* Z "+ LL L _ vp r* l_ ZS Z _ a. '. z ) L. " 4» k -» 5 4

26 'S 'S M., -Si «-ri S 7. -xj U in 7 re $H b 'S kl a, SH re 7 rv \J i- UJ S 2 SH U a; w 7 55 J H 2* * t 6.s 4-» bd re re N A WD W 5 «* * S HH 5 JH 4 r «ö H a 2 re re $H 4- re T. j b d, " 6 2 re 5- ü SH? * Pi - SH - a, I ~2 S - H - SH 2 be re?-s s re SH T * '-5 re 7 Ä I re. BS U e 2 M T.S v t i re H Ä Ö v2 re 5-i in L - %-. &H *.P J ) TT - xi W _ re 'H re re T re T T re i I» I -t- 5H )-H H H-J 7 H -i b SH H SH re T 7 ) re 7 re 9» I -M ) SH U H SH, 4 J SH H N SH re D

27 Ns.2 tr -,. V l M l-l üh ** ), a m ) LL r H I ) Z "/ 2 ) ) V. (/ ) n ) (ft ) * ( / "Ö ) +-* ( +» (A _J \J "ö ".+_ " a mdel ram tr in hr mdel H ' S M ) a l_. * *. ZS M \J.. n 2 "5 2- Z- = -D l i ) l D. M : = T_ T **- T-" T i_ T T r» M h- "5 SB- ' ZS l l M _. T ** _* L _ M L A 2 _J L _l M "* ** 4 " *» 5 L _i 2 S _, 2 5 I _l M, ) -, JZ. -' L* rz ' 4 M M *_ 5 i i_ ZS Z _ D L i _ 5. *_; ).. 5.t=: m..' U- "ö 4», s D '5 r "5

28 I ß / hß a -ö.52 «in r-i i ) s ) er ß z Ö5 SS- er, 4-J W 4-l S «8 S «'S a; 'S Sri -~ v B) 4J * f s. J ' JT" T U * 'S - r- ß II) SJ bß f.s s ISS ) S n VS. t % B p» S a s t ;-ü t ' $- f-2 T 2 " - H "«2 *» ) W ha. J S II 5, ) :T r-4 L.2 5 ö bp 2 H» +* V j T5 t 4-J? " G id ) s bp.s *j S *J ( T I ' j " b 2 ä II SJ J Ä «w -, S 5 -

29 2 s 4-* ) I- ) 2 ( ) i ( +» * ) L +-* i_ H» ta- M M s - L «4 I I : -* s_ s_. L 5 h_ ** i 2 Z5 i_ t 5 * LL L i _ ) D) " L Li. ' *- 5 * i_ if M, 4 ' i " «"- I I *-» I x

30 i t *; ) J -t- tn J n -r JH ( i-h *H i i 4-* J tn T., h «) 'G %* H ä 'S a S. t «5- «5-. H Ä " Ä * " 2 H 5 «-? in TH a) ö ft ~ ) S-i Si 't 4- T tn 4-» 5) tn -s i» ö? 'G i-i N -. -eß- L, H st fr stsr j » -la's wrisk H: 4-* H a; tn «.2 rj *J " ä tn tn t J? US 2 S.5 tn i n i t H in N D T U m ft t«* *G N "G 5 $ Here we the ther MD 4- J T "Ö Si 2 i s* } tn. in i i ft M d S 5 IS 2. ö $.2 «? t b * t *? b *-' rt 2 t t ö i i ) UJ Ä T T5 4J 4-J i -S 5H tj 4~* tn a, Ö t -Ö t I I tn 8 "tn, := tn MI J= J yj U. a «a -G.2 r- tn G t fe fi t 5JD.2 - f - n - l j J - ) be j «-,

31 LL ) = 8 a «S ( *» +- i_ M "Ö _ vp T H V s v ) T M l " : q _l M HH-» Hh -t : t : b I LL «4 -I«J ) j*.* DJ j* lie: i *- LL ZZr LL P LL T * A A LL LL G " L M _ i_ " 5 ü M LL vp x

32 . I x n =! H j * J. " M ) ) H-S * T G H H i T.. -' f-h H-» n UJ T-l H-» lh y rr, HH «ft a; H-* y ID ** * f/.,-f *f-h * & B it 6 a; J H H N._.q ** 'G H I p N W *H TT! v. a» 'ü b» - J-l Si H-* *«JS - S H. f i I -H -TH N H S.H S sei _ - 4-i "ih *H ü «fl & r U ) J *H a» J _ v d «a a» ft aj V b US H M! H-» r; T

33

34 T t H ) M-H ' H 4-» i-h 4- H- G 'S fi 4-T ) 4H J-H i-h T-( 4-* S-i J S 4-» - s«* J H -5 SS S-I T H I H- *J fi -5 T x; +H S 'S -Ö M " be H Si x. bb xi x T ö H-H 5 H v x -5 "+ f-i H / a T P A 2 S " **H H M-H J ' 4-4-» i -H bß 'S «T ** -2 4H J.tJ a T hj ß J~ SH b J-H H T T 2 J «H T S-H 'S J D 'S H B -t- B b T b 4-» T-H l -d " T! S-H * 5-H T5 H H-l 4-» H b +H 5H,, S m -T- 4 T-H - ', _ ism- S Pi *-H S-I.s «4~ * 4-i ) S 5-!S T5, H jö T' 4-» J J B H T-T 4- SH SH H-» H H-» H 2 T SH 'S H 'S -H b 5-H "J 'S -ö 4_» SH»-H H- H. H H s H b H _J I T-H SH "5 SH 7\ N

35 / z z "Ö D) " D M -» ) T ( H» M D "i_ L_ "D "Ö 4 -

36 t Z H D Z w «5 } ß ß 4-J (, rt T ) 7 r; ß t 4-» 4-( Ti s a Ä j ) ) JH '5-4-* T5 ( ) (- H s «4-» r! +-» ß ) J»- PH ) ß. ) 2 "ö H H H 4-J a, b., ) Ti ) fa b 4-» T ) -t 4-i 5 '-* ) ) 4 rj VM 5 4 T ( 44 ) ß ) 4-» n fa ) ) 4-» J-l ) a J er a; 4- JH 5-,

37 * (N. Ill Li. -?T w _? a.. 2 LL * /) T H- (T " ) m dem Z5 i.92 /) pr T TS2 ( 2 : S ü?? _ LL J- x) *- N _. " _ *v_ * L D_ " " "ö TJ Z - " ZJ D '

38 H «H N -a i b H 2 ft 4-» T J ex * *bb - IS j ) i -w rv «? " is ** a Ja * vä, - l + ) S «T 4-»»-I b 5 -* fi, G ft.t; ; S ft G T.a «B * Ä G '-t-h «H - '-a JT.S a G --j ft b -S b G a G b H T -Ö ) T G G 5 bß.a G 2 H J ft "a, US5 I I fj_.a * ) i 4-» U 2 G ft 4J "re. J S.2 JH «5 J 4-» a T S 2 T r 4J 5 4-» W "rt J.2 -B Ö t- J S 4 n j S-i ft a -i.y H H- 4J JH?a 5 9 -d s.2 ü bß fl

39

40 G Z / S - S B T- (/ a. z K S LL z H LL» - Z! I T ~ Zi M M M " ' ' ""7 «fr \J M M M t.2 l "- M LD 68-4-J i s in _ : 5 zz 2.! sz I *- j*: ** H p i_ =S -.a M" M p - d a. 2 = : a 5 - D I *- - *= SI (.2 'S" S~

41 .9 d ) T- Pr srt md. ( " ( L a. - S z 5 HI a s ü) JL. ( D ) a v. ) a. mdel lyin prrai p L- % lyin h mdel ** * m. Dema WMP- 2% in h mdel ) a, M r 5 d d ) Ö d d d d ) d 5 L d d = y ) a -. T, M T d t 5 P L -* N = L -* "- - & L +- :*: - i - _ 5 TJ : 4-* ) _*: 5 x:!s *- i '.* tr. * i_ L _ 4» " J «4 - IN

42 r +- f- m.9 ffl M D * i { U_ fl A ) _ " ) D z ) / 2 a a - a ( * ( a) +-» ( +- ( _ * ) f " m Dema WMP- 5 _ h del ) z L 2~ : *~ L- " " ** * "- i (_) ) M r-- M ) M «- f-,, """~' M T M * " ) "'* *' M. UL f. "~ * L '.. ID. D_ 5 " *: -4 «d JZ. J +_* *» ) ) ü: ja: H M 5 P _ T - ID i a. D + *--' "(D +Z "D «- -? - * ' J T TJ "

43 ) (/) a* Z - J N-' I LL D - ) " T T r. M \l s M ' *; " ' )S "tf - L Tj- T- M "* M M h- UJ. I HI GL Z /) UJ tr Li. 't" 5.2 M m = M - M l L t 5 Ö5 ) V J - * * ) t *-* t I _. tp L " " SI ) jv. """i. M" t.t; " _* I ' i - ) ".= «t. J N

44 .92 Pr srt md 5 Ö Ö LL (A rt 4-«im LL if)., del pr. D) - z t * " IT) Dema WMP- 2% in h mdel ) 8 5 "fr 5 Ö m 5 T L. f ' ) D) j? si «) a. - 2 m L Ö Tt = 5 -. T **~ \J in = M 5 M ö -+ ' j* -»» V m _ 5 j*: 5 - * ) ) - * J* " *: _. p (J D_ L _ I \J * Z _ " LL M 5 sz «

45 s i + «*- Pre srtie mdel i i iii III ( ) 4-* ) «d- ) Li. - i Ö" - ) Z ) s t /) im (/) /) a- /) D ( *» Ö 4-* ( +* Demand mdel (99 WMP-5 flyin prram) % flyin hr mdel 8 () 2% flyin hr mdel 44 (4) Pre flyin hr mdel,275 (9) Kit assessed' ' rrt kit (986 WMP-5) Pre flyin hr kit 28 (2) 8 (64) % flyin hr - 9% srtie kit Pre srtie kit 2,2 (7) 27 (9) 47 () ) 2 ir i L *- - D -r " J +i - += TJ.-i -a «t 5 n' -U- f - J M 5" S" "=s " 4 * T L 5 _ V-» ) 5

46 M Z (/ L (/ S ( I LL (/) z LL H S IMPA TING (/ LL S" * " sl- Li-. --~. M _?"- M" M ; " * * * *»_* "-" ti -L- J M 'D I ' I M T ~ T ~ t.2 = K _ -i ',. v ID DL 5 2 "5 TJ I» ) ) : r ' : j. i_ 5 Z. _ M.. VJ L M" S " i SI 2 ID """l "D VJ * ti "D j*: T D " f % s _ z:.2 i- LL

47 5 ).9 p _ T LL. t. I- s Z mdel lyin prram % lyin h mdel M " l. «L ) M ~, d d d S 5 ) N 5 ) 5 s D 2 L )!=; " d d P ) ) ) i -. T- *- + * H.*: I 2 V ö " ). st lin - F «/* q L d *_.*: V- -. * 5 +- ) _*: d *-* i ' D) *» :*: = ZS (J L T I M I Lie sz a ;»

48 .2 i_ tr T j j [ _ I li- I a \- '5 w a D " a x a w a + «( ) i_ " _ N j D) %*. J H d m flyin Ln Dema 99 WMP- M hr del -sp, s ). **"**" *4 T p f M ä5 -* -- T " * * " ) T _ M _i -r \J -*» Js: " t». l _ 5 " S 5 S -*». - J - -i * ) ) k J ' ' i_ 5 _ D- G D5 L _ S M s -, - * i_ a) 4», M * ' ", r T! 4 ' m I f- D) n 5 -» * " n a. *, - " '5 T 4-"" ' lä I -4» T )

49 Z ) (/ S «J in T V) Li. a. Z a.. h- S. z 2 ).a L M T * - ** - TJ«. ~ T T ' s *' *- ' 5 * *' _l S M 5:9 " ' a L -,, T T ' v H *. t.2 r-- = Tf ) M t T JD ~ " ü in T T..,_r,_r ' ' ' ' " e ' ) l *sh - " J "~, ip. f. = /* * '' q L M ai,_ " d _ 5 " _ JZ sz D) ) "t: V». * t+_ s - - _ n ", L i. r e a a F ~*~ *» -* ~ a. Z. z D) " 4_i r a T- U_ L

50 LL /.2 in r i- LL ).2 i= - " - P d d d 2 -?) _J T~* T- M ~ö i "-*» "w q - - T d d d ) "5 V T T. -D.? a " ) ~ 2 5 a d d d M z T!% - IT) H i -I -M /) si " M D a. 2_ h- T- T d h-. ', st llin.+=: & h- d d d M T l 2 _i M 4 ' M _ tr, N -. 9 _ V» 2 _l i = -4 ; M k: -t- IM " e [, H = = D_ * ' L I LL M "t:. H

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63 RPRT DMNTATIN PAG Frm Apprved PM N Pbli reprtin brd fr this lletin f infrmatin is estimated t averae hr per respnse, inldin the time fr reviewin instrtins, searhin existin data sres atherin, and maintainin the data needed, and reviewin the lletin f infrmatin. Sd mmts reardin this brd estimate r any ther aspet f this lletin f infrmatin, inldin sestins fr redin this brd, t Washintn Headqarters Servies, Diretrate fr Infrmatin peratins and Reprts, 25 Jeffersn Davis Hihway, Site 24, Arlintn, VA , and t the ffie f Infrmatin and Relatry Affairs, ffie f Manaemt and Bdet, Washintn, D 25.. AGNY US NLY (Leave Blank) 2. RPRT DAT Ast TITL AND SUBTITL Demand Freastin. RPRT TYP AND DATS VRD Final 5. FUNDING NUMBRS DASW-95-9 P 9298D 6. AUTHR(S) F. Mihael Slay 7. PRFRMING RGANIZATIN NAM(S) AND ADDRSS(S) Listis Manaemt Institte 2 rprate Ride MLean, VA PRFRMING RGANIZATIN RPRT NUMBR LMI- AF4LN2 9. SPNSRING/MNITRING AGNY NAM(S) AND ADDRSS(S) United States Air Fre/LGSI The Ptan Washintn, D... SPNSRING/MNITRING AGNY RPRT NUMBR. SUPPLMNTARY NTS 2a. DISTRIBUTIN/AVAILABILITY STATMNT A: Apprved fr pbli release; distribtin nlimited 2b. DISTRIBUTIN D. ABSTRAT (Maximm 2 wrds) Althh the United States Air Fre, and ther Military Servies, freast failres fr many airraft mpnts n the basis f flyin hrs, it has ln be renized that the sitatin is nt that simple. New war plans adpted by the Air Fre in 99 and refletin Desert Strm experie and a reinal ntiny ritatin made it rial t imprve freastin methds. We examined data fr ver 2, srties and shw that failres fr lner srties are nt stritly prprtinal t flyin hrs, and qantify the errrs ased by assmin that they are. We demnstrate a methd fr rretin fr this errr and apply this rretin t a nmber f fihter deplymt spares pakaes. We mpte the new sts and test the rbstness f the new pakaes nder varis saris. 4. SUBJT TRMS Invtry, readiness, spares, demand freast, demands, failre rates, demand rates 5. NUMBR F PAGS 6 6. PRI D 7. SRITY LASSIFIATIN F RPRT 8. SRITY LASSIFIATIN F THIS PAG 9. SRITY LASSIFIATIN F ABSTRAT 2. LIMITATIN F ABSTRAT Unlassified Unlassified Unlassified UL NSN Standard Frm 298, (Rev. 2-89) Presribed by ANSI Std

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