Predicting ecosystem response to the removal of the Elwha River Dams, Washington State, U.S.A.

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1 Predicting ecosystem response to the removal of the Elwha River Dams, Washington State, U.S.A. G.Pess 1, M. McHenry 2,T. Beechie 1, S. Morley 1, J. Duda 3,H. Coe 1, K. Kloehn 1, M. Liermann 1 1 NOAA, rthwest Fisheries Science Center 2 Klallam Tribe 3 USGS Western Fisheries Research Center Elwha Basin Natl. Park Olympic Peninsula Washington State approx million m 3 behind dams dams to be removed 29 The Elwha River a brief history W N S E 1913 Elwha Dam 1927 Glines Canyon Dam photo: S. Church 1

2 Questions How will ecosystem processes and condition change with the removal of the Elwha River dams? Primary & secondary productivity Fish community response How do channel & floodplain dynamics affect primary & secondary productivity and fish community response? Impacts of the dams Blockage to upstream migration 146 of mainstem and tributary habitat Floodplain channels Area (m2) 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, above dams alluvial mainstem confined mainstem floodplain channels below dams

3 spawnable area (1, m2) 1 Impacts of the dams Reduced habitat quality Reduced river movement River bed coarsening River Kilometer 5.6 Municipal Water Well Rip-Rap Dike WDFW Spawning Dike/Pilings Channel Impacts of the dams Loss, reduced, and altered salmonid populations Over 9% decline in salmonid abundance Likely extirpation of upstream stocks Shift in species composition Total number of salmonids 4, 3, 2, 1, 1% 8% 6% 4% 2% % Pre-Dam Pre dams Steelhead Coho Chinook Sockeye Chum Pink Post dams Post-Dam 3

4 Two main changes: Loss of downstream transport of sediment and wood Loss of upstream migration of salmon Study design Lower Middle Upper Elwha response to dam removal Channel & floodplain dynamics Increase in sediment & wood supply Channel widening & aggradation Increase in channel migration rate Decrease in riparian stand age Reach Quinault Upper Elwha Middle Elwha Sediment Fish Quinault Sediment Fish Change in floodplain channel characteristics Salmon recolonization Upstream movement of anadromous fish W N S E 4

5 Bounded alluvial valleys Primary productivity Longitudinal patterns Canyon reach Alluvial valley Initial reduction due to sediment Long-term increase due to marine dervied nutrients? mg/cm 2 organic matter density (AFDM) * Lower Middle Upper p <.1 1-way ANOVA log transformed Tukey s HSD 5 to 1 sites/reach 5 samples/site 5

6 Secondary productivity Channel & floodplain dynamics Stand age surrogate for channel dynamics Fish community response Do salmonids succeed in colonizing new habitats? 2,5, Percent conifer Stand age (yrs) Insect species richness Decreased stand age Increase in channel dynamics Sediment increase Detrital input Stand age (yrs) Straying Newly created or reopened habitats Establish self-sustaining populations in years to decades Success Specific life history variation Geomorphic and ecological conditions Adult pink salmon 2,, Habitat opened 1,5, 1,, 5, Fraser River DFO, unpublished data 6

7 Fish community response Recolonization Fish community response Straying away from sediment source Chinook & coho Lamprey Pink & chum Sockeye, Steelhead/rainbow, char, & cutthroat W N S E High sediment load in a short time period Deleterious effects on salmon Straying away from Elwha Mt. St. Helens Stray rates increased from 16% to 45% W N S E 7

8 Fish community response Buffering effects - Dams & floodplains Fish response Channel & floodplain dynamics Coho salmon 1% 75% 5% 25% sculpin stickleback coho trout chinook Steelhead % Surface water Ground water Chinook salmon Canyon reach Alluvial valley

9 Elwha River hypotheses summary Channel widening, aggradation, increased migration & shift in floodplain characteristics Primary & secondary productivity Initial decrease sediment Long term increase marine derived nutrients & detrital input Salmonids will establish selfsustaining populations in the middle & upper Elwha Lower river, other watersheds & resident populations Sediment impacts Stray rates Floodplain channels Acknowledgements NWFSC Investigators Watershed Program (EC) Beechie, Coe, Kloehn, Kiffney, Liermann, Morley, Pess Genetics & Evolution (CB) - Gary Winans Estuarine & Ocean Ecology (FE) - Kurt Fresh Migrational Behavior (FE) - Brian Burke, Kinsey Frick Collaborators Tribe - Michael McHenry, Larry Ward, Doug Morrill, Mel Elofson, Sonny Sampson, Raymond Moses NPS - Brian Winter, Jerry Freilich, Steve Acker, Pat Crain, Sam Brenan Bureau of Reclamation Tim Randle U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service - Roger Peters, Bob Wunderlich U.S. Geological Survey - Jeff Duda, Pat Shafroth, Chris Konrad, Dave Woodson University of Idaho - Chris Peery, Nancy Wright, Jeff Braatne University of Washington - Bob Naiman, Tom Quinn Peninsula College - Bill Eaton, Jack Ganzhorn, Dwight Barry Western Washington University - Jim Allaway University of Montana - Mark Lorang, Ric Hauer WDFW - Anne Schaffer, Bill Freymond Support NOAA Fisheries NWFSC NOAA Fisheries Restoration Center USFWS Coastal Puget Sound Program 9

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