A community-sourced global database of paleo-water isotopes from the past two millennia

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "A community-sourced global database of paleo-water isotopes from the past two millennia"

Transcription

1 A community-sourced global database of paleo-water isotopes from the past two millennia Bronwen Konecky, U. Colorado & Oregon State U. Jud Partin, U. Texas at Austin PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 1

2 The challenges of synthesizing hydroclimate proxy records... Precipitation is so localized! Hydro proxies are so complicated! And the usual suspects: low-res & hi-res records age model uncertainties seasonal biases etc. etc....are the origins of Iso2k PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 2

3 The Iso2k strategy: Precipitation is so localized! Hydro proxies are so complicated! And the usual suspects: low-res & hi-res records age model uncertainties seasonal biases etc. etc. Use proxies for regional patterns Own it Document it PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 3

4 Many proxy archives record δ18o and δd of environmental waters K. Cobb (Georgia Tech) U. Maine NOAA-NCDC U. Missouri WWF 4 Southampton University

5 These archives often record a common signal δd precip δ 18 O precip δd wax δ 18 O cave 5 Evans et al., 2013

6 The δ 18 O and δd of environmental waters (precip, vapor, groundwater, surface water, seawater, etc.) track regional circulation PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 6 Bowen, 2010

7 Example of δ18o and δd tracking regional circulation PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 7

8 Team of archive experts Co-Leader Co-Leader Data Management Corals Fossil Groundwaters Ice Cores Lake Sed - Biomarker Lake Sed - Macro Marine Sed - Biomarker Marine Sed - Nonorg Speleothems Tree Ring Cellulose Bronwen Konecky (U. Colorado/Oregon State U., USA) Jud Partin (U. Texas-Austin, USA) Nick McKay (Northern Arizona U., USA) Diane Thompson (NCAR, USA) Kei Yoshimura (U. Tokyo, Japan) Valérie Masson-Delmotte (IPSL/LSCE, France) Elizabeth Thomas (U. Buffalo/U. Massachusetts, USA) Darrell Kaufman (Northern Arizona U., USA) Guillaume Leduc (CEREGE, France) Lukas Jonkers (Bremen Univ., Germany) Jud Partin (U. Texas-Austin, USA) Shreyas Managave (Pondicherry U., India, and Brown U., USA) We designed every aspect of this project together open and transparent PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 8

9 Iso2k Project Members Bronwen Konecky, Jud Partin, Michael Evans, Shreyas Mangave, Kei Yoshimura, Valerie Masson-Delmotte, Nick McKay, Darrell S Kaufman, Diane Thompson, Lucien von Gunten, Elizabeth Thomas, William D'Andrea, Dmitry Divine, Belen Martrat, Guillaume Leduc, Julien Emile-Geay, Grzegorz Skrzypek, Helen McGregor, Jonathan Tyler, Olivier Antonin Cartapanis, Tim Shanahan, Churakova Olga, Heidi Roop, Ana Moreno, Matthew Jones, Hussein Sayani, Timothe Bolliet, Thomas Opel, Christopher Bosma, Kristine L DeLong, Christian Holme, Margit Schiwikowski, Mark Curran, Jing Gao, Kaustubh Thirumalai and many more...

10 Key Science Question Do regional/global hydroclimate patterns exhibit coherent responses to decadal- to centennial-scale temperature changes (from PAGES2K Temperature reconstructions) over the past 2 kyr? PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 10

11 Other Key Topics Iso2k patterns & relationship with temperature Tropical water cycle Dominant controls on terrestrial δ 18 O/δD worldwide Dominant controls on marine δ 18 O Climate response to North Atlantic ocean circulation Isotopic data assimilation Climate response to North Pacific ocean circulation Pre-industrial to industrial climate transition Isotopic response to volcanic eruptions Lake water isotopes and climate model comparison δ 18 O in tree-rings Pacific coral δ 18 O records PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 11

12 Data selection criteria for Iso2k (designed to be inclusive) Annually banded Non-annually-banded Terrestrial Marine Terrestrial Marine Min record duration 30 yr 30 yr 200 yr 200 yr Min resolution at least 5 data points/2kyr at least 5 data points/2kyr PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 12

13 We are a METADATA RICH project PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 13

14 We are a METADATA RICH project PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 14

15 The Iso2k database v.0 as of 12/2015 (v.1 expected ~end of summer 2016) ~600 records Coral GroundWater Ice core Lake Sediment Marine Sediment Speleothem Tree Ring Cellulose Coral GroundWater 400 Ice core Lake Sediment 200 Marine Sediment Speleothem Year CE PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop xies # of proxies Tree Ring Cellulose 15

16 PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 16

17 We continue to welcome help from the community. If you want to help, please contact: Bronwen Konecky Jud Partin PAGES2k-PMIP3 Workshop 17

Hydroclimate over the Common Era from Sr/Ca and d 18 O records of corals Thomas Felis

Hydroclimate over the Common Era from Sr/Ca and d 18 O records of corals Thomas Felis Hydroclimate over the Common Era from Sr/Ca and d 18 O records of corals Thomas Felis PAGES 2k PMIP3 Workshop Comparing data and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era

More information

GEOL 437 Global Climate Change 3/13/18: Introduction to Paleoclimatology

GEOL 437 Global Climate Change 3/13/18: Introduction to Paleoclimatology GEOL 437 Global Climate Change 3/13/18: Introduction to Paleoclimatology What kind of paleoclimate data are out there? What are their strengths and weaknesses? What can we learn from paleoclimatology?

More information

Stalagmite records of abrupt climate change in the tropical Pacific

Stalagmite records of abrupt climate change in the tropical Pacific Stalagmite records of abrupt climate change in the tropical Pacific Kim Cobb Georgia Inst. of Technology Jud Partin UT-Austin Jess Adkins California Inst. of Technology Brian Clark Gunung Mulu National

More information

Historical Changes in Climate

Historical Changes in Climate Historical Changes in Climate Medieval Warm Period (MWP) Little Ice Age (LIA) Lamb, 1969 Hunters in the snow by Pieter Bruegel, 1565 Retreat of the Rhone Glacier shown by comparing the drawing from 1750

More information

The ocean s overall role in climate

The ocean s overall role in climate The ocean s overall role in climate - moderates climate in time (diurnally, annually) - redistributes heat spatially in the largescale ocean circulation - lower albedo (sea ice higher albedo) - dry atmosphere

More information

Today s Climate in Perspective: Hendrick Avercamp ( ) ~1608; Rijksmuseum, Amsterdam

Today s Climate in Perspective: Hendrick Avercamp ( ) ~1608; Rijksmuseum, Amsterdam Today s Climate in Perspective: Paleoclimate Evidence Hendrick Avercamp (1585-1634) ~1608; Rijksmuseum, Amsterdam Observations Instrumental surface temperature records? (Le Treut et al., 2007 IPCC AR4

More information

Climate Change and Global Warming

Climate Change and Global Warming Climate Change and Global Warming Michael E. Mann Department of Environmental Sciences University of Virginia ETP 401 Guest Lecture University of Virginia April 12, 2005 `The balance of evidence suggests

More information

Recent Climate History - The Instrumental Era.

Recent Climate History - The Instrumental Era. 2002 Recent Climate History - The Instrumental Era. Figure 1. Reconstructed surface temperature record. Strong warming in the first and late part of the century. El Ninos and major volcanic eruptions are

More information

Paleoclimate: What can the past tell us about the present and future? Global Warming Science February 14, 2012 David McGee

Paleoclimate: What can the past tell us about the present and future? Global Warming Science February 14, 2012 David McGee Paleoclimate: What can the past tell us about the present and future? 12.340 Global Warming Science February 14, 2012 David McGee 1 Recent observed trends: Greenhouse gases Image courtesy of NOAA. 2 Recent

More information

Climate variations in the eastern Mediterranean over the last millennium; New evidence from proxy reconstructions and high resolution climate models

Climate variations in the eastern Mediterranean over the last millennium; New evidence from proxy reconstructions and high resolution climate models Climate variations in the eastern Mediterranean over the last millennium; New evidence from proxy reconstructions and high resolution climate models Elena Xoplaki, Jürg Luterbacher Juan José Gómez-Navarro,

More information

Observed Climate Variability and Change: Evidence and Issues Related to Uncertainty

Observed Climate Variability and Change: Evidence and Issues Related to Uncertainty Observed Climate Variability and Change: Evidence and Issues Related to Uncertainty David R. Easterling National Climatic Data Center Asheville, North Carolina Overview Some examples of observed climate

More information

Lecture 28: Observed Climate Variability and Change

Lecture 28: Observed Climate Variability and Change Lecture 28: Observed Climate Variability and Change 1. Introduction This chapter focuses on 6 questions - Has the climate warmed? Has the climate become wetter? Are the atmosphere/ocean circulations changing?

More information

Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years. Statement of

Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years. Statement of Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years Statement of Gerald R. North, Ph.D. Chairman, Committee on Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years National Research Council

More information

Fossil coral snapshots of ENSO and tropical Pacific climate over the late Holocene

Fossil coral snapshots of ENSO and tropical Pacific climate over the late Holocene Fossil coral snapshots of ENSO and tropical Pacific climate over the late Holocene Kim Cobb Georgia Inst. of Technology Chris Charles Scripps Inst of Oceanography Larry Edwards Hai Cheng University of

More information

NATS 101 Section 13: Lecture 32. Paleoclimate

NATS 101 Section 13: Lecture 32. Paleoclimate NATS 101 Section 13: Lecture 32 Paleoclimate Natural changes in the Earth s climate also occur at much longer timescales The study of prehistoric climates and their variability is called paleoclimate.

More information

Joël Guiot, CEREGE, CNRS, Aix-Marseille University, Aix-en-Provence

Joël Guiot, CEREGE, CNRS, Aix-Marseille University, Aix-en-Provence Joël Guiot, CEREGE, CNRS, Aix-Marseille University, Aix-en-Provence *1. Introduction *2. Paleodata syntheses and Holocene climate variations in the Mediterranean *3. Data-model comparison: large scale

More information

1. Deglacial climate changes

1. Deglacial climate changes Review 3 Major Topics Deglacial climate changes (last 21,000 years) Millennial oscillations (thousands of years) Historical Climate Change (last 1000 years) Climate Changes Since the 1800s Climate Change

More information

Climate Change Insights from the. Centuries

Climate Change Insights from the. Centuries Climate Change Insights from the Paleoclimate Record of Past Centuries Michael E. Mann Penn State University with contributions from: Caspar Ammann, Raymond Bradley, Elizabeth Crespin, Jeff Donnelly, Greg

More information

PMIP Ocean Workshop 2013 Program Outline

PMIP Ocean Workshop 2013 Program Outline PMIP Ocean Workshop 2013 Program Outline We, Dec. 4 8:30-9:15 Introductory Discussion 9:15-10:15 Model-Data Comparison 10:30-12:00 Quantifying Uncertainties 1:00-2:30 LGM and Deglacial Changes in the Tropics

More information

Judson W. Partin EDUCATION

Judson W. Partin EDUCATION Judson W. Partin Institute for Geophysics, Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78758 Phone: Cell (512) 418-6676, Office (512) 471-7775, Fax (512) 471-5585 e-mail:

More information

6. What has been the most effective erosive agent in the climate system? a. Water b. Ice c. Wind

6. What has been the most effective erosive agent in the climate system? a. Water b. Ice c. Wind Multiple Choice. 1. Heinrich Events a. Show increased abundance of warm-water species of planktic foraminifera b. Show greater intensity since the last deglaciation c. Show increased accumulation of ice-rafted

More information

Paleoclimate and climate science same but different... h5p://ocean.si.edu

Paleoclimate and climate science same but different... h5p://ocean.si.edu Paleoclimate and climate science same but different... Credit: Emma Farmer h5p://ocean.si.edu and Dee Breger Scientific Partnership Paleoscience Climate science (PAGES WCRP) www.pages-igbp.org Thorsten

More information

The Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre: Beijing, China

The Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre: Beijing, China The Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre: Beijing, China Vision To become an internationally acknowledged climate research and training centre with emphasis on tropical and highlatitude regions, and

More information

El Niño-Southern Oscillation and global warming: new data from old corals

El Niño-Southern Oscillation and global warming: new data from old corals El Niño-Southern Oscillation and global warming: new data from old corals Kim M. Cobb Georgia Inst. of Technology Chris Charles, Scripps Inst. of Oceanography Larry Edwards, Hai Cheng, UMN Emory University

More information

Impacts of Climate on the Corn Belt

Impacts of Climate on the Corn Belt Impacts of Climate on the Corn Belt Great Lakes Crop Summit 2015 2015 Evelyn Browning Garriss Conclusions Climate change is not linear. It ebbs and flows. Recent polar volcano eruptions created a cool

More information

Coupled modelling of water isotopes in the GISS GCM

Coupled modelling of water isotopes in the GISS GCM IAEA: Feb 2004 Coupled modelling of water isotopes in the GISS GCM Gavin Schmidt NASA GISS and Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University Focus of GISS water isotope research Forward modelling

More information

Northern New England Climate: Past, Present, and Future. Basic Concepts

Northern New England Climate: Past, Present, and Future. Basic Concepts Northern New England Climate: Past, Present, and Future Basic Concepts Weather instantaneous or synoptic measurements Climate time / space average Weather - the state of the air and atmosphere at a particular

More information

Physics of Aquatic Systems II

Physics of Aquatic Systems II Contents of Session 5 Physics of Aquatic Systems II 5. Stable Isotopes - Applications Some examples of applications Stable isotopes as markers of water origin Stable isotopes in process studies Stable

More information

NOAA/OAR Observing Systems

NOAA/OAR Observing Systems NOAA/OAR Observing Systems Dr. Christopher L. Sabine Director NOAA s Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory Workshop on Hydroclimate Monitoring Systems and Measurement Needs June, 2014 Global Ocean Observing

More information

Y6 GMPV5.8/AS4.18/CL3.9

Y6 GMPV5.8/AS4.18/CL3.9 CL Climate: Past, Present, Future (#EGU15CL) Orals Monday, 13 April MO1, 08:30 10:00 MO2, 10:30 12:00 MO3, 13:30 15:00 MO4, 15:30 17:00 TU1, 08:30 10:00 TU2, 10:30 12:00 CL3.6/AS1.25, Extreme Events and

More information

A coral-based picture of ENSO from the mid- Holocene tropical Pacific. Helen McGregor, University of Wollongong (LDEO Tharp Scholar)

A coral-based picture of ENSO from the mid- Holocene tropical Pacific. Helen McGregor, University of Wollongong (LDEO Tharp Scholar) A coral-based picture of ENSO from the mid- Holocene tropical Pacific Helen McGregor, University of Wollongong (LDEO Tharp Scholar) Origins of interest in mid-holocene ENSO Laguna Pallcacocha (Ecuador)

More information

Climate of Alaska: Past, Present and Future

Climate of Alaska: Past, Present and Future Climate of Alaska: Past, Present and Future Pond shrinkage in Alaska's Yukon Flats National Wildlife Refuge, 1951-2000. Source: USGCRP (2009) Uma S. Bhatt, usbhatt@alaska.edu John Walsh for many of today

More information

The Influence of Obliquity on Quaternary Climate

The Influence of Obliquity on Quaternary Climate The Influence of Obliquity on Quaternary Climate Michael P. Erb 1, C. S. Jackson 1, and A. J. Broccoli 2 1 Institute for Geophysics, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 2 Department of Environmental

More information

Climate Over the Past Two Millennia

Climate Over the Past Two Millennia Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 2007. 35:111 36 First published online as a Review in Advance on December 6, 2006 The Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences is online at earth.annualreviews.org This

More information

Components of the Climate System. Lecture 2: Earth s Climate System. Pop Quiz. Sub-components Global cycles What comes in What goes out

Components of the Climate System. Lecture 2: Earth s Climate System. Pop Quiz. Sub-components Global cycles What comes in What goes out Lecture 2: Earth s Climate System Components of the Climate System terrestrial radiation Atmosphere Ocean solar radiation Land Energy, Water, and Biogeochemistry Cycles Sub-components Global cycles What

More information

Lecture 2: Earth s Climate System

Lecture 2: Earth s Climate System Lecture 2: Earth s Climate System terrestrial radiation solar radiation Atmosphere Ocean Solid Earth Land Energy, Water, and Biogeochemistry Cycles Sub-components Global cycles What comes in What goes

More information

Regional Climate Change Effects Report

Regional Climate Change Effects Report Regional Climate Change Effects Report Aug 6, 2010 Robert Kafalenos, FHWA U.S. Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration 1 Past Performance does not guarantee future returns Past weather

More information

DROUGHT IN AMERICA DURING THE PAST MILLENNIUM

DROUGHT IN AMERICA DURING THE PAST MILLENNIUM DROUGHT IN AMERICA DURING THE PAST MILLENNIUM Mark Cane Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University With Ed Cook, Richard Seager, Amy Clement and Michael Mann Photo: Rose Werner The New York

More information

Pacific Northwest Quaternary Climate History: Very Short Version 2:00

Pacific Northwest Quaternary Climate History: Very Short Version 2:00 Pacific Northwest Quaternary Climate History: Very Short Version 2:00 Glacial Maximum North America Major Effects: 1. Great Lakes 2. Missouri River Drainage 3. Upper Mississippi River Drainage 3. Ohio

More information

Supplementary Information (SI)

Supplementary Information (SI) Supplementary Information (SI) 1) Computation of radiative forcing estimates G08 is accompanied by a dataset with monthly and spatially dependent stratospheric loading from volcanic eruptions. C13 is available

More information

Multiple timescale coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation

Multiple timescale coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation Multiple timescale coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation (for climate prediction & reanalysis) Robert Tardif Gregory J. Hakim H L H University of Washington w/ contributions from: Chris Snyder NCAR

More information

Different impacts of Northern, Tropical and Southern volcanic eruptions on the tropical Pacific SST in the last millennium

Different impacts of Northern, Tropical and Southern volcanic eruptions on the tropical Pacific SST in the last millennium Different impacts of Northern, Tropical and Southern volcanic eruptions on the tropical Pacific SST in the last millennium Meng Zuo, Wenmin Man, Tianjun Zhou Email: zuomeng@lasg.iap.ac.cn Sixth WMO International

More information

Climate Changes due to Natural Processes

Climate Changes due to Natural Processes Climate Changes due to Natural Processes 2.6.2a Summarize natural processes that can and have affected global climate (particularly El Niño/La Niña, volcanic eruptions, sunspots, shifts in Earth's orbit,

More information

Paleoclimate indicators

Paleoclimate indicators Paleoclimate indicators Rock types as indicators of climate Accumulation of significant thicknesses of limestone and reef-bearing limestone is restricted to ~20º + - equator Gowganda tillite, Ontario

More information

Changes in Frequency of Extreme Wind Events in the Arctic

Changes in Frequency of Extreme Wind Events in the Arctic Changes in Frequency of Extreme Wind Events in the Arctic John E. Walsh Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois 105 S. Gregory Avenue Urbana, IL 61801 phone: (217) 333-7521 fax: (217)

More information

CLIVAR/PAGES Intersection Panel. Vision Document for the next 5 years

CLIVAR/PAGES Intersection Panel. Vision Document for the next 5 years CLIVAR/PAGES Intersection Panel Vision Document for the next 5 years 1. Introduction The CLIVAR/PAGES Intersection Working Group is jointly sponsored by the Past Global Changes (PAGES) project of the International

More information

A Warming Arctic: Regional Drama with Global Consequences

A Warming Arctic: Regional Drama with Global Consequences A Warming Arctic: Regional Drama with Global Consequences Norway: Temperature in March was 3,8 C above the normal, 4th highest since 1900 Monthly precipitation for Norway was 120 % above the normal Temperaturein

More information

OBSERVATIONS OF CLIMATIC CHANGE & VARIABILITY in the PAST & PRESENT First Look

OBSERVATIONS OF CLIMATIC CHANGE & VARIABILITY in the PAST & PRESENT First Look TOPIC #5 OBSERVATIONS OF CLIMATIC CHANGE & VARIABILITY in the PAST & PRESENT First Look pp 27-30 in Class Notes All things are connected. Whatever befalls the earth, befalls the children of the earth.

More information

7/5/2018. Global Climate Change

7/5/2018. Global Climate Change 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Global Climate Change Earth, Chapter 21 Chapter 21 Global Climate Change Climate and Geology The climate system is a multidimensional system of many interacting parts,

More information

Climate variability and change in the Canadian Eastern Subarctic IRIS region (Chapter 2)

Climate variability and change in the Canadian Eastern Subarctic IRIS region (Chapter 2) Climate variability and change in the Canadian Eastern Subarctic IRIS region (Chapter 2) Lead authors 1 Ross Brown and 2 Mickaël Lemay Contributing Authors 2 Carl Barrette, 2 Michel Allard, 2 Yves Bégin,

More information

Chapter 14: The Changing Climate

Chapter 14: The Changing Climate Chapter 14: The Changing Climate Detecting Climate Change Natural Causes of Climate Change Anthropogenic Causes of Climate Change Possible Consequences of Global Warming Climate Change? -Paleo studies

More information

Climate Modeling and Downscaling

Climate Modeling and Downscaling Climate Modeling and Downscaling Types of climate-change experiments: a preview 1) What-if sensitivity experiments increase the optically active gases and aerosols according to an assumed scenario, and

More information

Chapter 15 Millennial Oscillations in Climate

Chapter 15 Millennial Oscillations in Climate Chapter 15 Millennial Oscillations in Climate This chapter includes millennial oscillations during glaciations, millennial oscillations during the last 8000 years, causes of millennial-scale oscillations,

More information

Speleothem records of precipitation in the West Pacific Warm Pool from the LGM to present

Speleothem records of precipitation in the West Pacific Warm Pool from the LGM to present Speleothem records of precipitation in the West Pacific Warm Pool from the LGM to present Kim Cobb, Jud Partin Georgia Inst. of Technology Jess Adkins California Inst. of Technology Thanks to: Sarawak

More information

lecture 12 Paleoclimate

lecture 12 Paleoclimate lecture 12 Paleoclimate OVERVIEW OF EARTH S CLIMATIC HISTORY Geologic time scales http://www.snowballearth.org/index.html Features of the climate during the Cretaceous period the land-sea distribution

More information

May Global Warming: Recent Developments and the Outlook for the Pacific Northwest

May Global Warming: Recent Developments and the Outlook for the Pacific Northwest Global Warming: Recent Developments and the Outlook for the Pacific Northwest Pat Bartlein Department of Geography University of Oregon (bartlein@uoregon.edu) http://geography.uoregon.edu/envchange/gwhr/

More information

Internal and forced decadal variability: lessons from the past millennium

Internal and forced decadal variability: lessons from the past millennium Internal and forced decadal variability: lessons from the past millennium Hugues Goosse 1, François Klein 1, Didier Swingedouw 2, Pablo Ortega 3 1 ELIC/TECLIM Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium

More information

Why 17 O-excess? (And, what is it?)

Why 17 O-excess? (And, what is it?) Why 17 O-excess? (And, what is it?) Advances in cavity ring-down spectroscopy (CRDS) have enabled scientists around the world to make quick, easy and highly precise measurements of the stable isotopes

More information

Weather Forecasts and Climate AOSC 200 Tim Canty. Class Web Site: Lecture 27 Dec

Weather Forecasts and Climate AOSC 200 Tim Canty. Class Web Site:   Lecture 27 Dec Weather Forecasts and Climate AOSC 200 Tim Canty Class Web Site: http://www.atmos.umd.edu/~tcanty/aosc200 Topics for today: Climate Natural Variations Feedback Mechanisms Lecture 27 Dec 4 2018 1 Climate

More information

2/18/2013 Estimating Climate Sensitivity From Past Climates Outline

2/18/2013 Estimating Climate Sensitivity From Past Climates Outline Estimating Climate Sensitivity From Past Climates Outline Zero-dimensional model of climate system Climate sensitivity Climate feedbacks Forcings vs. feedbacks Paleocalibration vs. paleoclimate modeling

More information

Topic #2 (cont.) QUANTIFYING GLOBAL CHANGE (cont.) Time Series Graphs WRAP-UP...

Topic #2 (cont.) QUANTIFYING GLOBAL CHANGE (cont.) Time Series Graphs WRAP-UP... Topic #2 (cont.) QUANTIFYING GLOBAL CHANGE (cont.) Time Series Graphs WRAP-UP... Class Notes page # p 13 ANSWERS TO TIME SERIES GRAPHS pp 13-14 PLOT #1: White noise (random fluctuations) but with constant

More information

Chinese stalagmite δ 18 O controlled by changes in the Indian monsoon during a simulated Heinrich event Supplementary Information

Chinese stalagmite δ 18 O controlled by changes in the Indian monsoon during a simulated Heinrich event Supplementary Information SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1169 Chinese stalagmite δ 18 O controlled by changes in the Indian monsoon during a simulated Heinrich event Supplementary Information Francesco S. R. Pausata

More information

Tropical Pacific modula;ons of global climate

Tropical Pacific modula;ons of global climate Tropical Pacific modula;ons of global climate Shang- Ping Xie 1 & Yu Kosaka 2 1 Scripps Inst of Oceanogr, UCSD; 2 Univ of Tokyo Develop seasonal and spa

More information

In the spring of 2016, the American Philosophical Society s

In the spring of 2016, the American Philosophical Society s Introduction to the Symposium on Observed Climate Change 1 WARREN M. WASHINGTON Senior Scientist, Climate Change Research Section National Center for Atmospheric Research In the spring of 2016, the American

More information

The Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report:

The Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report: The Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report: Quantifying the global distribution and trends of tropospheric ozone using satellite instruments Brice Barret, Laboratoire d Aérologie, Toulouse Owen Cooper and

More information

Interactive comment on Understanding the Australian Monsoon change during the Last Glacial Maximum with multi-model ensemble by Mi Yan et al.

Interactive comment on Understanding the Australian Monsoon change during the Last Glacial Maximum with multi-model ensemble by Mi Yan et al. Clim. Past Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2018-24-ac1, 2018 Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Interactive comment on Understanding the Australian

More information

IMPACTS OF A WARMING ARCTIC

IMPACTS OF A WARMING ARCTIC The Earth s Greenhouse Effect Most of the heat energy emitted from the surface is absorbed by greenhouse gases which radiate heat back down to warm the lower atmosphere and the surface. Increasing the

More information

Observed and Projected Climate Change. David R. Easterling, Ph.D. NOAA/National Climatic Data Center. Asheville, NC

Observed and Projected Climate Change. David R. Easterling, Ph.D. NOAA/National Climatic Data Center. Asheville, NC Observed and Projected Climate Change David R. Easterling, Ph.D NOAA/National Climatic Data Center Asheville, NC Introduction One of the most vigorously debated topics on Earth is the issue of climate

More information

EEB Climate Module. Day 3: 2/16/11

EEB Climate Module. Day 3: 2/16/11 EEB Climate Module Day 3: 2/16/11 Lecture Outline Part I: Paleoclimate & Reanalysis Data Proxies Reanalysis Models Part II: Regional Climate Models Downscaling Organizations & Projects Part I PALEOCLIMATE

More information

Reconstructing Past Droughts in Texas. Richard Casteel Jay Banner Jackson School of Geosciences Environmental Science Institute

Reconstructing Past Droughts in Texas. Richard Casteel Jay Banner Jackson School of Geosciences Environmental Science Institute Reconstructing Past Droughts in Texas Richard Casteel Jay Banner Jackson School of Geosciences Environmental Science Institute Texas climate Outline Present and past droughts Drought reconstructions: Tree

More information

ENSO Diversity Workshop Agenda February 6-8, 2013 UCAR Center Green Boulder, CO

ENSO Diversity Workshop Agenda February 6-8, 2013 UCAR Center Green Boulder, CO Wednesday, February 6 8:00-8:30 am: Breakfast Wednesday Morning Session: ENSO Diversity Workshop Agenda February 6-8, 2013 UCAR Center Green Boulder, CO 8:30 am - 12:30 pm: Statistical Characterization

More information

Can CMIP5 models replicate long-term variability of storm characteristics in the WNP? James Bramante

Can CMIP5 models replicate long-term variability of storm characteristics in the WNP? James Bramante Can CMIP5 models replicate long-term variability of storm characteristics in the WNP? James Bramante The Western North Pacific Figure taken from Laing and Evans (2011). Introduction to Tropical Meteorology.

More information

The Impact of increasing greenhouse gases on El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

The Impact of increasing greenhouse gases on El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) The Impact of increasing greenhouse gases on El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) David S. Battisti 1, Daniel J. Vimont 2, Julie Leloup 2 and William G.H. Roberts 3 1 Univ. of Washington, 2 Univ. of Wisconsin,

More information

Extremes of Weather and the Latest Climate Change Science. Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading

Extremes of Weather and the Latest Climate Change Science. Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading Extremes of Weather and the Latest Climate Change Science Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading Extreme weather climate change Recent extreme weather focusses debate on climate

More information

Investigate the influence of the Amazon rainfall on westerly wind anomalies and the 2002 Atlantic Nino using QuikScat, Altimeter and TRMM data

Investigate the influence of the Amazon rainfall on westerly wind anomalies and the 2002 Atlantic Nino using QuikScat, Altimeter and TRMM data Investigate the influence of the Amazon rainfall on westerly wind anomalies and the 2002 Atlantic Nino using QuikScat, Altimeter and TRMM data Rong Fu 1, Mike Young 1, Hui Wang 2, Weiqing Han 3 1 School

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University November 5, 2016 After a year where we were seemingly off by a month in terms of temperatures (March

More information

Global Climate Change

Global Climate Change Why? Global Climate Change What evidence have scientists collected to support global climate change? Global climate change is a topic that is frequently discussed but often misunderstood due to the complexities

More information

Paleoclimate Data Model Comparison and the Role of Climate Forcings over the Past 1500 Years*

Paleoclimate Data Model Comparison and the Role of Climate Forcings over the Past 1500 Years* 15 SEPTEMBER 2013 P H I P P S E T A L. 6915 Paleoclimate Data Model Comparison and the Role of Climate Forcings over the Past 1500 Years* STEVEN J. PHIPPS,* HELEN V. MCGREGOR, 1 JOËLLE GERGIS, # AILIE

More information

Paleoclimatology ATMS/ESS/OCEAN 589. Abrupt Climate Change During the Last Glacial Period

Paleoclimatology ATMS/ESS/OCEAN 589. Abrupt Climate Change During the Last Glacial Period Paleoclimatology ATMS/ESS/OCEAN 589 Ice Age Cycles Are they fundamentaly about ice, about CO2, or both? Abrupt Climate Change During the Last Glacial Period Lessons for the future? The Holocene Early Holocene

More information

Clathromorphum (a calcified ALGA!) meets requirements for climate archive

Clathromorphum (a calcified ALGA!) meets requirements for climate archive Clathromorphum (a calcified ALGA!) meets requirements for climate archive Exhibit high temporal climate recording resolution Multicentury-scale lifespan Abundant in Arctic and Subarctic Accurately records

More information

An integrated speleothem proxy and climate modeling study of the last deglacial climate in the Pacific Northwest

An integrated speleothem proxy and climate modeling study of the last deglacial climate in the Pacific Northwest An integrated speleothem proxy and climate modeling study of the last deglacial climate in the Pacific Northwest Jerry Potter UC Davis, University of Michigan, NASA GSFC Isabel Montanez, University of

More information

Probabilistic Models of Past Climate Change

Probabilistic Models of Past Climate Change Probabilistic Models of Past Climate Change Julien Emile-Geay USC College, Department of Earth Sciences SIAM International Conference on Data Mining Anaheim, California April 27, 2012 Probabilistic Models

More information

Greenhouse Effect & Global Warming

Greenhouse Effect & Global Warming Chemical Cycles: Greenhouse Effect: Cause and effect Chemical Cycles: CO 2 and O 2 Chemical Fluxes: CO 2 and O 2 Proxies for climate change: Isotopes Greenhouse Effect & Global Warming Global Warming World

More information

The Global Monsoon Response to Volcanic Eruptions in the CMIP5 Past1000 Simulations and Model Simulations of FGOALS

The Global Monsoon Response to Volcanic Eruptions in the CMIP5 Past1000 Simulations and Model Simulations of FGOALS The Global Monsoon Response to Volcanic Eruptions in the CMIP5 Past1000 Simulations and Model Simulations of FGOALS Wenmin Man, Tianjun Zhou Email: manwenmin@mail.iap.ac.cn PAGES2k-PMIP3 Hydroclimate Workshop,

More information

Physics of Aquatic Systems II

Physics of Aquatic Systems II Physics of Aquatic Systems II 10. C-Dating Werner Aeschbach-Hertig Institute of Environmental Physics University of Heidelberg 1 Contents of Session 10 General principles of C dating Conventional C age,

More information

Biogeochemistry of trace elements and isotopes in the Indian Ocean

Biogeochemistry of trace elements and isotopes in the Indian Ocean Biogeochemistry of trace elements and isotopes in the Indian Ocean Sunil Kumar Singh Geosciences Division Physical Research Laboratory Ahmedabad 380009 Ministry of Earth Sciences Government of India 2

More information

Rapid climate change in ice cores

Rapid climate change in ice cores Rapid climate change in ice cores Liz Thomas British Antarctic Survey Overview Introduction to ice cores Evidence of rapid climate change in the Greenland ice cores DO events Younger Dryas 8.2 kyr cold

More information

Susan Bates Ocean Model Working Group Science Liaison

Susan Bates Ocean Model Working Group Science Liaison Susan Bates Ocean Model Working Group Science Liaison Climate Simulation Laboratory (CSL) Accelerated Scientific Discovery (ASD) NCAR Strategic Capability (NSC) Climate Process Teams (CPTs) NSF Earth System

More information

Tropical Climates Zone

Tropical Climates Zone Tropical Climates Zone RAIN FOREST CENTRAL AFRICA, SOUTH AMERICA (AMAZON), CENTRAL AMERICA, S.E. ASIA HUMID/WARM ANNUAL RAINFALL 200 CM TYPE #1: TROPICAL DESERT N. AFRICA (SAHARA) & S.W. ASIA < 25 CM

More information

A brief lesson on oxygen isotopes. more ice less ice

A brief lesson on oxygen isotopes. more ice less ice A brief lesson on oxygen isotopes Figure from Raymo and Huybers, 2008 more ice less ice The Pleistocene (1) δ 18 O in sediments is directly related to ice volume. Because ice sheets deplete the supply

More information

Speleothems and Climate Models

Speleothems and Climate Models Earth and Life Institute Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium Speleothems and Climate Models Qiuzhen YIN Summer School on Speleothem Science,

More information

Reminders: Week 14 Assessment closes tonight Watch for Week 15 Assessment (will close Wednesday, Dec. 13)

Reminders: Week 14 Assessment closes tonight Watch for Week 15 Assessment (will close Wednesday, Dec. 13) Wednesday, December 6, 2017 The Pleistocene Glaciations, Continued (Chapter 14) Reminders: Week 14 Assessment closes tonight Watch for Week 15 Assessment (will close Wednesday, Dec. 13) Homework 5 due

More information

WELCOME TO PERIOD 14:CLIMATE CHANGE. Homework #13 is due today.

WELCOME TO PERIOD 14:CLIMATE CHANGE. Homework #13 is due today. WELCOME TO PERIOD 14:CLIMATE CHANGE Homework #13 is due today. Note: Homework #14 due on Thursday or Friday includes using a web site to calculate your carbon footprint. You should complete this homework

More information

Using the climate of the past to predict the climate of the future. Danny McCarroll Swansea

Using the climate of the past to predict the climate of the future. Danny McCarroll Swansea Using the climate of the past to predict the climate of the future Danny McCarroll Swansea Millennium European climate of the last millennium EU 6 th Framework Integrated Project 41 partners January 2006

More information

Recent studies and plans on subjects related to NEESPI at JAMSTEC and other Japanese plans

Recent studies and plans on subjects related to NEESPI at JAMSTEC and other Japanese plans Recent studies and plans on subjects related to NEESPI at JAMSTEC and other Japanese plans Tetsuo Ohata Program Director IORGC/JAMSTEC, Yokosuka, Japan REGIONAL WATER CYCLE C SNOW COVER P E R C http://www.jamstec.go.jp

More information

B. The Observed Changes in the Climate System

B. The Observed Changes in the Climate System gases (decades to centuries), and, as a result, their concentrations respond much more quickly to changes in emissions. Volcanic activity can inject large amounts of sulphur-containing gases (primarily

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter 2016-17 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University December 5, 2016 Well after an October that felt more like November, we just finished a November that

More information

Marine Ecoregions. Marine Ecoregions. Slide 1. Robert G. Bailey. USDA Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station

Marine Ecoregions. Marine Ecoregions. Slide 1. Robert G. Bailey. USDA Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station Slide 1 Marine Ecoregions Robert G. Bailey Marine Ecoregions Robert G. Bailey USDA Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station rgbailey@fs.fed.us Draft of 7/20/2006 8:44 PM Abstract: Oceans occupy some

More information

Using the WHOI CMIP5 archive to understand paleoclimate dynamics

Using the WHOI CMIP5 archive to understand paleoclimate dynamics Using the WHOI CMIP5 archive to understand paleoclimate dynamics Kevin Anchukaitis Department of Geology and Geophysics Laura Fleming Northeastern University [B.Sc. Physics (Maths) 214] Using the WHOI

More information

Physical and Optical Properties of the Stratospheric Aerosol Layer

Physical and Optical Properties of the Stratospheric Aerosol Layer Physical and Optical Properties of the Stratospheric Aerosol Layer Patrick Hamill Department of Physics and Astronomy San Jose State University San Jose, California Justification for this Talk Much debate

More information