Carlo Rondinini. Effectiveness of African protected areas for the conservation of large mammals
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1 Carlo Rondinini Effectiveness of African protected areas for the conservation of large mammals Remote Sensing and Conservation, Zological Society of London, May 2014
2 Increase of large mammal extinction risk Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
3 Change in large mammal extinction risk From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
4 African large mammals moving towards extinction Hirola (Beatragus hunteri) LC (1975) CR (2008) From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
5 African large mammals moving towards extinction Ader's duiker (Cephalophus adersi) NT (1975) CR (2008) Hirola (Beatragus hunteri) LC (1975) CR (2008) From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
6 African large mammals moving towards extinction Ader's duiker (Cephalophus adersi) NT (1975) CR (2008) Dama gazelle (Nanger dama) VU (1975) CR (2008) Hirola (Beatragus hunteri) LC (1975) CR (2008) From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
7 African large mammals moving towards extinction Ader's duiker (Cephalophus adersi) NT (1975) CR (2008) Dama gazelle (Nanger dama) VU (1975) CR (2008) Caracal (Caracal caracal) LC (1975) NT (2008) Hirola (Beatragus hunteri) LC (1975) CR (2008) From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
8 African large mammals moving towards extinction Ader's duiker (Cephalophus adersi) NT (1975) CR (2008) Dama gazelle (Nanger dama) VU (1975) CR (2008) Caracal (Caracal caracal) LC (1975) NT (2008) Hirola (Beatragus hunteri) LC (1975) CR (2008) Leopard (Panthera pardus) LC (1975) NT (2008) From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
9 African large mammals moving away from extinction Arabian oryx (Oryx leucoryx) CR (1975) VU (2008) From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
10 African large mammals moving away from extinction Mountain zebra (Equus zebra) EN (1975) VU (2008) Arabian oryx (Oryx leucoryx) CR (1975) VU (2008) From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
11 African large mammals moving away from extinction Cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus) EN (1975) VU (2008) Mountain zebra (Equus zebra) EN (1975) VU (2008) Arabian oryx (Oryx leucoryx) CR (1975) VU (2008) From Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
12 Decline of large mammals in African protected areas Craigie et al. (2010) Large mammal population declines in Africa's protected areas. Biol. Conserv. 143:2221.
13 Natural land cover loss is slowed down inside African protected areas Protected IBA Unprotected IBA but with leakage Beresford et al. (2013) Protection reduces loss of natural land-cover at sites of conservation importance across Africa. PLoS One 8:e65370
14 What is the role of African protected areas for large mammals' conservation?
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16 Extinction risk analysis: design Four components: Species distribution state Human pressures Conservation responses Species biology First time satellites in extinction risk analysis Multi-resolution (NDVI, MODIS 250m;Landsat 5,7 30m Di Marco et al. (2014) Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals: the interplay of distribution state, human pressure, conservation response and species biology. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1471.
17 Extinction risk analysis: Random Forest model 500 Classification Trees Di Marco et al. (2014) Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals: the interplay of distribution state, human pressure, conservation response and species biology. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1471.
18 Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals Di Marco et al. (2014) Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals: the interplay of distribution state, human pressure, conservation response and species biology. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1471.
19 Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals Di Marco et al. (2014) Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals: the interplay of distribution state, human pressure, conservation response and species biology. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1471.
20 The vortex of extinction? MDS on RF classification proximity Di Marco et al. (2014) Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals: the interplay of distribution state, human pressure, conservation response and species biology. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1471.
21 Lessons from the extinction risk analysis Potential of satellite imagery to monitor pressures at continental scale PAs have a measurable effect on the conservation of mammals in Africa Modified from Di Marco et al. (2014) A retrospective evaluation of the global decline of carnivores and ungulates. Cons. Biol. doi /cobi
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23 Connectivity analysis: design 469 African PAs overlapping with the ranges of 76 species of carnivores and ungulates Individual-based models simulating dispersal among PAs Habitat suitability influenced dispersal cost Steps proportional to allometric dispersal distance Search time to each PA calculated Irreplaceability of each PA measured as average distance in search time with and without that PA Vulnerability measured as photosynthetic activity (NDVI) long-term trend Wegmann et al. (2014) Role of African protected areas in maintaining connectivity for large mammals. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1427.
24 Irreplaceability for connectivity Wegmann et al. (2014) Role of African protected areas in maintaining connectivity for large mammals. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1427.
25 Irreplaceability and vulnerability (NDVI trend) Wegmann et al. (2014) Role of African protected areas in maintaining connectivity for large mammals. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1427.
26 Lessons from the connectivity analysis Satellite imagery enables continental-scale assessments of connectivity PAs can play a key role in maintaining connectivity for areademanding species like the African large mammals Effective action is needed to prevent degradation and loss of the natural habitats inside and surrounding From Wegmann et al. (2014) Role of African protected areas in maintaining connectivity for large mammals. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1427.
27 Conclusions PAs alone are insufficient to stop population declines and the race towards extinction Measurable effect of PAs on the conservation of large mammals in Africa Key role in maintaining connectivity for the African large mammals, but leakage to be kept under control
28 Special thanks to collaborators and friends The coauthors of the papers presented and in particular Martin Wegmann and Moreno Di Marco The Global Mammal Assessment lab at Sapienza University, including Luca Santini, Michela Pacifici, Daniele Baisero, Federica Chiozza, Alessia Battistoni The IUCN SSC and the individuals involved in the mammal Red List Several collaborating institutions including IUCN, BirdLife, German Aerospace Centre, JRC, Microsoft Research, UCL, U Wageningen, U Wuerzburg
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30 Interplay of drivers of extinction risk Di Marco et al. (2014) Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals: the interplay of distribution state, human pressure, conservation response and species biology. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B. 369:1471.
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