The ESA Climate Change Initiative

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1 The ESA Climate Change Initiative Pierre-Philippe Mathieu, ESA, KO meeting IS-ENES2, May 2013, Meudon, France Many thanks to Pascal Lecomte, Mark Doherty, CMUG and CCI teams

2 Monitoring our Climate

3 The importance of Observations Courtesy: adapted by PPM from DiploFoundation Climate Change Building

4 Essential Climate Variables (ECVs)

5 Climate from Space Strategy document produced by CEOS-CGMS-WMO. The implementation starting with an ECV Inventory, Case Studies and space system requirements analysis.

6 ESA EO Missions Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Biomass Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Dick Peltier Stan Jacobs

7 The ESA CCI

8 The ESA CCI ESA Ministerial Council Nov Approval of 75.5 M for a six years programme that will contribute to about twenty satellite-based ECVs. (Funding since increased to 94.4 M ). The CCI initiative will ensure that ESA can play a full role in deriving relevant ECVs specified by GCOS, based on ESA current and archived EO data.

9 GCOS ECVs 13 ESA CCI ECVs 6 EUMETSAT SAF ECVs + Other providers, e.g. NOAA, NASA, GMES...

10 Essential Climate Variables (ECVs)

11 Gathering ECV Requirements CCI paper in BAMS, early online release,

12 Quantifying Uncertainty Error Components (BIPM), QA4EO, Maturity Index (Bates et al) in observing systems Issue of Proliferation of data sets, Confusion of users e.g. Watts Up with That Courtesy Roger Saunders, MetOffice ARC = AATSR Reprocessing for Climate, 0.1K accuracy, 0.05K/decade, 0.1 deg resolution

13 CCI Processing System Ecosystem of data users, providers and system engineers... Continuous reprocessing through an iterative system with feeback loop. Data Working Group on control vocabularies, metadata, CF, directories... Courtesy Chris Merchant, Uni Reading

14 CCI Portal Information on teams, contact point, news, tools... Documentation: CCI Requirements, System Architecture, Uncertainty Analysis, Quality Assessment, Short guides for non-eo specialists Data and Products in Netcdf CF will be available through repositories, FTP, Web browser, OpenDAP, or contact,.. also some plan for some through Obs4MIPS on ESGF... Different types of data & products: Level 1: radiance for model assimilation / evaluation (e.g. needs model observation operator such as COSP) Level 2: swath-based geolocated geophysical products for model process studies and inferring trends Level 3: gridded geophysical products for generic model evaluation

15 International Cooperation

16 Some CCI Products

17 Sea Level Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Regional pattern Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin CCI-SL aims to improve precision of GMSL to <0.3 mm/yr Courtesy Anny Cazenave, LEGOS

18 Greenhouse Gases Gravimetry Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg ENVISAT / SCIAMACHY GOSAT / TANSO CH4 (SCIAMACHY) Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith CO2 (SCIAMACHY) Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Courtesy Michael Buchwitz, IUP, University of Bremen, Schneising et al., 2011 Ian Joughin

19 Glaciers Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Courtesy Frank Paul,, University of Zurich

20 Ice Sheets Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Courtesy Erne Forsberg, DTU

21 Land Cover Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Dick Peltier Courtesy Olivier Arino, ESA

22 Ozone Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Ozone Hole 7 Oct 2008 ESA/KNMI Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Algorithms Improvements Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Courtesy Erne Forsberg, DTU

23 Ocean Colour Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Courtesy Shuba, PML

24 Courtesy Stein Sandven, NERSC, Anna Hogg, Ola Grabak, University of Bremen, Polar View Sea-Ice Extent CCI will reprocess SSMR, SSM/I, AMSR-E, SAR, Landsat to deliver daily Sea Ice Concentration at 25km resolution for

25 Sea-ice Thickness CCI will reprocess Radar Altimeter from ERS, Envisat, Cryosat, IceSat to deliver monthly Ice Thickness at 100km resolution for Courtesy ESA, Seymour Laxon, CPOM

26 Sea-Ice Drift Sea-Ice Drift part of CCI Phase 2 Courtesy Anna Hogg, Ola Grabak, ESA

27 Assessing the value of Climate Data Sets in Model context

28 Climate Modelling User Group CMUG Assessment in model context Integrated View In addition to CMUG, CCI teams address a biodiversity of models involved: e.g. HADGEM, CNRM-CM, MPI, NEMO, ECCO, MACC, ERSEM, ERA-Interim, MOZART, REMO, MOCAGE, POLCOMS, HYCOM, ECHAM, BCM, REMO,...

29 Re-analysis

30 Climate Monitoring Facility (CMF) HadISST2 new historical SST analysis including in-situ & EO (AATSR, AVHRR) for , 10 realisations Courtesy David Tan, ECMWF

31 Century Re-analysis Global Warming relative to 20th Century average (ECMWF Reanalysis ERA-20C) GIF decompressor are needed to see this picture. 10members SST HadISST2 1.5B Obs, Generate 700Tb Courtesy Dick Dee, ECMWF

32 Some quality assessment of Precursor Data Sets

33 Soil Moisture Gravimetry Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith decompressor are needed to see this picture. Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Courtesy Uni Vienna, WACMOS STSE

34 Stability of Climate Data Record Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Dick Peltier Courtesy Alex Loew, CMUG, MPI-M

35 Recommendations

36 Ocean Colour Gravimetry Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard Scott  Luthcke Andrew Shepherd David Bromwich Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Assimilation of CCI data into FOAM model. December mean chlorophyll Issue at high latitude to be investigated further with data producers and assimilation team

37 Flowing Ice GIF decompressor are needed to see this picture. Courtesy Eric Rignot, JPL

38 Ice Sheet Mass BalanceAltimetry Gravimetry Mass Budget Surface Mass Balance (SMB) Post Glacial Rebound (PGR) Independent Rene Forsberg Srinivas Bettadpur Eric Rignot Michiel van den Broeke Erik Ivins Tony  Payne Hamish Pritchard IMBIE (Ice Sheet Mass Balance Intercomparison Exercise) reconciling estimate of ice sheet balance from gravimetry, altimetry, InSAR Ice sheets have contributed to 11+mm global sea level since 1992 (1/5 total). 2/3 from Greenland. Acceleration of melting. Scott  Luthcke 45 investigators Andrew Shepherd 26 partners David Bromwich NASA / ESA Glenn Milne Ted Scambos Ben  Smith Ernst Schrama Adrian Luckman Pippa Whitehouse David Vaughan Duncan Wingham epoch 1: overlap epoch II: IPCC Isabella Velicogna Ian Joughin Courtesy Andrew Shepherd, Uni Leeds

39 Concluding Remarks

40 Opportunities for larger uptake of upcoming EO climate data sets (with error bar) by climate community. Opportunities for closer, collaboration between data users and providers, e.g. IS-ENES, Climate Services...

41 Thank You One Last Thing... CLIVAR-ESA Workshop on Ocean Heat Constraints, University of Reading, 4-5 July 2013

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