The Copernicus Climate Change (C3) service: State of play

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1 Enterprise and Industry The Copernicus Climate Change (C3) service: State of play B. Pinty (a) & J-N. Thépaut (b) (a) Copernicus G.2 unit (b) ECMWF CCI October2014

2 Legal frame & MS consultations Publica6on on the OJ 13/09/10 Publica6on on the OJ 24/04/ GMES Regula6on 911/2010 Copernicus Regula6on 377/2014 GMES User Forum 21/11/11 Helsinki GMES climate's conference 15/07/11 Climate Change Workshop 13/06/13 Climate Change User Forum 22/10/14

3 Copernicus regulation New Copernicus regulation (EU) 377/2014: "the Climate Change service shall provide information to increase the knowledge base to support adaptation and mitigation policies. It shall in particular contribute to the provision of Essential Climate Variables (ECVs), climate analyses, projections and indicators at temporal and spatial scales relevant to adaptation and mitigation strategies for various Union's sectoral and societal benefit areas."

4 Negotiation process Stable Text Wed 30/07/14 Consolidated Text Wed 08/10/14 25 Nov '13 30 Dec '13 03 Feb '14 10 Mar '14 14 Apr '14 19 May '14 23 Jun '14 28 Jul '14 01 Sep '14 06 Oct '14 Technical Annex to Delega6on Agreement Call for Expression Delega6on Decision of Interest Delega6on Agreement ECMWF Workshop 1 Tue 18/02/14 ECMWF Workshop 2 Thu 26/06/14 ECMWF PAC- FC Wed 04/06/14 ECMWF Council Fri 04/07/14 ECMWF PAC- FC Fri 03/10/14 ECMWF PAC- FC Wed 10/09/14 ECMWF Extraordinary Council Tue 21/10/14

5 Strategy for the C3 service Space & in-situ Observations Climate data & reanalyses Seasonal forecasts & Climate projections Set of ECVs, indicators and indices for the Climate drivers and Climate impacts EU knowledge in support of Adaptation and Mitigation

6 from European commission e.g.,fp7 Space call from research to operations from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO.. Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform Climate Indicator Data Store Customization platform Sectorial Information System Selected set of information for customer DGs MS and other users & customers

7 from European commission e.g.,fp7 Space call C3S architecture: the CDS from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO.. Consistent Climate Data Store Observed, analysed and simulated Essential Climate Variables plus derived set of indicators relevant Sectorial to consistently Information monitor System and simulate Earth Climate responses to forcings

8 Water management C3S architecture: the SIS Energy Sectoral Information System Climate indices relevant to the various EU sectoral policies

9 C3S architecture: logical view Evaluation & QC function from European commission e.g.,fp7 Space call Selected set of information for customer DGs from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO.. Consistent Climate Data Store Sectoral Information System MS and other users & customers Outreach & Dissemination Monitoring, QC of the service and feedbacks to production or R&D Education, general public and authorities, reports, media, bulletin

10 Interfaces & user interactions Expert Panel F4P Commission C3 service Work Plan + Annual Activity (n+1) Report (n) Delegated Body high level recommendations if not OK EQC External expertise O&D CDS SIS technical suggestions if OK Customer DGs & Member States C3 portal Climate-ADAPT C3 service users

11 Provisional timing Pre- opera6onal Phase Stage 0 - Proof of Concept Stage I - Pre- Opera6onal Stage II - Opera6onal ~20 ECVs, ~5 Sectors Stage III - Opera6onal ~33 ECVs, ~9 Sectors Stage 0 Stage I Stage II Stage III Opera6onal Phase

12 Market place concept WIS GEOSS WMO GFCS, INSPIRE, Distributed Build upon existing infrastructures

13 Market place concept WIS WIS GEOSS GEOSS WMO WMO GFCS, INSPIRE, GFCS, etc. Adaptor Other Copernicus Services"

14 Indicative road map stage II Consistent Climate Data Store - ~ 20 ECVs & indicators - Observed, re-analyzed and model projected products ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties Wind Speed & Direction Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets Sectoral Information System 6-8 sectors Energy Agriculture and forestry Health Infrastructure Coastal areas Water management Tourism Insurance

15 Indicative road map Stage II & III Consistent Climate Data Store - ~ 33 ECVs & indicators - Observed, re-analyzed and model projected products ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties Wind Speed & Direction Upper Air Temperature Other Long-Lived GHGs Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content CO2 partial pressure Ocean Activity Sea Surface Salinity Current Salinity Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets Lakes Permafrost Land Cover Leaf Area Index Soil Moisture Sectoral Information System ~ 8-10 sectors Energy Agriculture and forestry Health Infrastructure Coastal areas Water management Tourism Insurance Marine and fisheries Disaster risk reduction Biodiversity Transportation

16 CCI Stage II & III ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties Wind Speed & Direction Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets STAGE II Upper Air Temperature Other Long-Lived GHGs CCI 2 nd set CO2 partial pressure Ocean Activity Sea Surface Salinity Current Salinity STAGE III Lakes Permafrost Land Cover Leaf Area Index Soil Moisture

17 CCI ECVs in the TA on-going negotiation with ECMWF of the Technical Annex of the C3 service : " Specific actions will be supported by the service to operationalize the production of a limited subset of ECV products generated under the ESA Climate Change Initiative (CCI), selected on the basis of quality, maturity, and added value to the service."

18 Provisional timing Stage 0 - Proof of Concept Stage I - Pre- Opera6onal Stage II - Opera6onal ~20 ECVs, ~5 Sectors Stage III - Opera6onal ~33 ECVs, ~9 Sectors 6th Space Call 5th Space Call Stage 0 Stage I Stage II Stage III CCI 1 st set CCI 1 st Set Phase 1: Jan Dec 2013 Phase 2: Jan Dec 2016 CCI 2 nd set CCI 2 nd set Phase 1: Jan Dec 2014 Phase 2: Jan Dec 2017

19 Change service An unprecedented societal concern LONDON PARIS

20 Thank you

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