Mike Sfraga, Director UA Geography Program Scott Rupp, Director SNAP Katie Kennedy, Outreach Coordinator UAGP

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1 Mike Sfraga, Director UA Geography Program Scott Rupp, Director SNAP Katie Kennedy, Outreach Coordinator UAGP

2 What is SNAP? SNAP is a collaborative network of the University of Alaska, state, federal, and local agencies, NGOs, and industry partners. Its mission is to provide timely access to scenarios of future conditions in Alaska for more effective planning by decision-makers, communities, and industry.

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4 Climate Information Needs Research Agenda Improved Decision- making SNAP Research Results

5 Projections based on IPCC models Calculated concurrence of 15 models with data for for surface air temperature, air pressure at sea level, and precipitation Used root-mean mean-square error (RMSE) evaluation to select the 5 models that performed best for Alaska, N,, and N latitude. First focused on A1B (intermediate) scenario, now added B1 and A2 Downscaled course resolution GCM data to 2km

6 Walsh et al. 2008

7 Climate Research Unit (CRU) Historical Observations 0.5 x 0.5 degrees

8 CRU 0.5 x 0.5 degrees Downscaled CRU 2 x 2 km

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10 January Temperatures (PRISM climatology) (ECHAM5)

11 Temperature Projections: Winter

12 Growing Season Projections

13 Simulated AreaBurn/Year: Annual Replicate Area 43 Burned cells burn ECHAM5 1 st and 3 rd Largest Annual Area Burned Simulated AB/Year Historical AB/Year BackCast Year

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15 University of Alaska Geography Program B.S. Landscape Analysis and Climate Change Studies B.A. Circumpolar North and Pacific Rim Studies Program Partners AT&T, Google, ESRI, National Geographic Society, Alaska Geographic Association UA Geography Program UAGP Research Scenarios Network for Alaska Planning (SNAP) B.S. Environmental Studies UAGP K-12 Network (Outreach/Recruitment) B.S. Geographic Information Science and Technology

16 Geospatial Education in Alaska A collaboration promoting geographic K-12 education in Alaska Dedicated Google Staff K-12 Teacher Toolkit Classroom Workshops

17 Geospatial Education in Alaska A collaboration promoting geographic K-12 education in Alaska The Google/UAGP team s outreach trip: Three communities Barrow Kotzebue Nome September 15 19, 2008 School assemblies Classroom activities with students After-school workshops with teachers

18 Geospatial Education in Alaska A collaboration promoting geographic K-12 education in Alaska Worked with teachers and students on: Google Earth Navigating GPS points/paths Overlays Working with KML files Google Maps Collaborative mapping My Maps Photo-sharing technology GigaPan Panoramio

19 Geospatial Education in Alaska A collaboration promoting geographic K-12 education in Alaska SNAP climate data was used in a lesson featuring overlays presented to high school students. This lesson was featured in the Google Lat Long Blog: 9/geo-educations-alaskatrip-diary-day-3.html

20 UAGP K-12 Education and Outreach Model Alaska Geographic UAGP credit teacher Training Public lands outreach and education Chugach Children s Forest Teacher/School District initiatives Affiliate Faculty Alaska Network for Understanding American History UA Geography Program Education & Outreach NGS/Alaska Geographic Alliance MapTEACH Stories of Culture and Place Math in a Cultural Context FFA GLOBE Reindeer Research Program Institute of the North Meeting of Frontiers ANILCA Curriculum Alaska Dialogue SNRAS/UAGP Research Scenarios Network for Alaska Planning (SNAP) ESRI GIS/AEJEE Teacher In-services Google Earth Alaska K-12 Toolkit Classroom Programs Teacher In-services Staff Program Affiliation AT&T Alascom UA GeoPortal AT&T Green Room

21 University of Alaska Geography Program AT&T/UA K-12 K GeoPortal Project Geography web portal Funded by AT&T Will provide geography resources for teachers and students SNAP climate change projection KML files will be available via the GeoPortal

22 UAGP K-12 K Programs National Geographic Society: Alliance, GeoBee,, Giant Map Program Google: In-Service, Content & Technology AT&T: GeoPortal Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc. (ESRI): In- Service, Training Alaska Geographic (ANHA) MapTEACH Math in a Cultural Context Stories of Culture and Place FFA