WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM (SDS WAS) Achievements and Implementation plan in

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1 WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM (SDS WAS) Achievements and Implementation plan in Soon-Ung Park WMO SDS-WAS Asia Node Center for Atmospheric and Environmental Modeling 4 th JSC/WWRP in Geneva, Switzerland (21-24 Feb. 2011)

2 Impacts of airborne sand and dust aerosols Human health and air quality - The air quality standard of PM 10 for human health in Korea is 100 μg m -3 (24 hr mean) 1000 PM 10 Concentration CON (μg m -3 ) PM 10 Standard (24hr) Day (March 2002) - The estimated economic cost amounts about US$20 billion for this dust event in Korea (air flight cancellation, increase of defect rate of semiconductor manufactures, sales reduction at the department store, shortening of air filter change, disruption of painting of ship manufacture, defect rate increase in glass manufactures Co., passenger car wash, Cough complainment)

3 Respiratory (asthma) and other diseases - Intercontinental transport of fine aerosols (PM 2.5 ) was associated with 400,000 premature mortalities (-100,000 from nondust aerosols) of adults 30 years and older (in 2000) - Meningitis in sub-saharan belt is one of the most feared epidemic diseases in Africa. DSS is associated with epidemics : 250,000 people affected, 25,000 fatalities. - Valley Fever caused by a soil-dwelling fungus endemic to the central valley of California and the desert southwest of the US, Mexico, and locations in central and south America.

4 Transportation - Visibility reduction causing airport closure and road accidents Riyad, 11 March 2009 Khaled International Airport was closed for several hours in the middle of the day after a dense dust storm occurred.

5 - Visibility reduction causing airport closure and road accidents Kuwait Times - 22 June, 2008 Sand storms in the northern Gulf have disrupted oil exports for several days from OPEC members Iraq and Kuwait. The storms had prevented seven of eight ships from docking there since Saturday. 1. More than 500 traffic accidents were reported in Kuwait within 48 hours on Thursday and Friday, while in Bahrain a further 20 accidents were reported, according to local media. 2. Hospitals in all three Gulf states reported large numbers of patients being admitted with respiratory problems. In Bahrain, more than 150 people required hospital treatment, Bahrain's Gulf Daily News reported. 3. The adverse weather conditions also caused some problems at airports around the region, with both Bahrain and Kuwait reporting minor disruption.

6 Biological productivity in the oceans Canary Islands Bloom of Trichodesmium - Canary Islands, August 2004 Dust over W Africa, July 2004 Chl-a Trichodesmiu m in situ samplin g Chlorophyll-a vs. dry dust deposition (model); no upwelling during the event Dust REFERENCE: A. G. Ramos et al., 2008:Saharan Dust and Bloom of Diazotrophic Cyanobacteria in the NW Af rican Upwelling, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 10, EGU2008-A-11763, 2008

7 Dust deposition in Asia Deposition [ ton/km 2 ] Annual Total Dust Deposition in 2007 Wet dep. Dry dep. mean PM 10 Source Region Yellow Sea Korea East Sea CON ( μg / m 3 )

8 Agriculture - A severe dust storm in Eastern Mongolia on May 2008 caused the total cost of US$500,000 * 52 persons death * 242,000 livestocks killed * damages of 110 buildings, 221 houses, 668 telecommunication poles - Dust storm in Gansu, China Minqin county in Gansu province. Sand covered 1/8 of China from April 14-18, ,000t fell in Beijing on Sunday night.

9 REGION I [95-103E, 40-45N] Weather prediction - Airborne dust affects precipitation processes and the atmospheric energy and radiation budget Impact of the dust radiative forcing VIC (g m -3 ) SRF and SHF (W m -2 ) (a) VER. INT. CON MARCH (LST) (b) SRF and SHF MARCH (LST) SRF SHF WS (m s -1 ) E (g m -2 hr -1 ) (e) W.S (f) Emission 19 MARCH (LST) 19 MARCH (LST) C NC dws C NC de dws(m s -1 ) de(g m -2 hr -1 ) SRF and SHF (W m -2 ) (c) T 5 0 C NC dt MARCH (LST) dt ( o C) dpt/dz ( o C (100m) -1 ) (g) Stability (2 km height) MARCH (LST) C NC dpt/dz dpt/dz( o C (100m) -1 ) (d) SLP (h) Stability (surface layer) 1.0 P (hpa) MARCH (LST) C NC dp dp (hpa) dpt/dz ( o C (100m) -1 ) C NC dpt/dz MARCH (LST) dpt/dz( o C (100m) -1 )

10 Soil chemical composition change - Aerosol provide chemical reactionsurfaces for gaseous pollutants and produce chemically different aerosols. These are deposited through dry and wet depositions in the source regions and downstream region.

11 Affect atmospheric chemistry and radiative balance causing possible climate change Direct radiative forcing (W m -2 ) at the surface (1-31 Mar 2002) Dust + PM BC OC SIA MIX TOTAL (W m -2 )

12 Direct radiative forcing (W m -2 ) at the TOA Dust + PM BC OC SIA MIX TOTAL (W m -2 )

13 Dust + PM Direct radiative forcing (W m -2 ) at the atmosphere BC OC SIA MIX TOTAL (W m -2 )

14 Aerosol Surface (W mg -1 ) Radiative balance TOA (W mg -1 ) Atmosphere (W mg -1 ) Total mass con. (mg m -2 ) Asian dust SIA Mixed type BC OC Sea salt

15 WMO SDS-WAS To deal with these important phenomena required internationally collaborated research and resulted in the birth of WMO Sand and Dust Storm Warning, Advisory and Assessment System (WMO SDS-WAS). WMO SDS-WAS Mission : To enhance the ability of countries to deliver timely and quality Sand and Dust Storm forecasts, Observations, information and knowledge to users through an international partnership of research and operational communities.

16 Objectives Community Service Improvement of SDS forecast model Capacity Building Provide user communities forecasts, observations and information on the SDS through regional centers using WIS and WWW Identify and improve SDS products through consultation with the operational and user communities Enhance operational SDS forecasts through technology transfer from research Improve forecasting and observation technology through coordinated international research Build capacity of relevant countries to utilize SDS observations, forecasts and products for meeting societal needs Build bridges between SDS-WAS and other communities Conducting aerosol related studies (air quality, biomass burning, etc.)

17 WMO SDS-WAS History September 2004: International Symposium on SDS, Beijing, CMA, followed by SDS Experts Workshop 2005 JSC WWRP approved an SDS-Project May 2007: 15th WMO Congress endorsed launching of the SDS-WAS. August 2007: Korean Meteorological Administration hosted the 2 nd International Workshop on SDS November 2007: WMO/GEO Expert Meeting on SDS-WAS (Barcelona Supercomputing Centre); 100 international experts 2008: WMO accepted a China Meteorological Agency offer to host a regional centre for Asia/Central-Pacific node of SDS-WAS, and a Spanish offer to host a regional centre for North Africa, Middle East and Europe. End 2008: SDS-WAS Draft Implementation Plan and two regional steering groups met for Nodes in Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe (Tunis) and for Asia (Beijing) May 2009: WMO briefed the Arab League on SDS-WAS Sept 2009: Barcelona WMO/ESA Consultation Workshop on SDS Satellite products Oct 2009 : 2 nd Regional Steering Group of WMO SDS-WAS Asia node was held in Seoul, Korea

18 14 th session of CBS in Dubrovnick (25 March-2 April 2009) requested CBS experts to review the draft SDS-WAS Implementation plan to clarify the SDS-WAS Center (Nodes) in the context of the WMO Global Data Processing and Forecasting System (GDPFS) and Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) structures. CBS reviewed SDS-WAS IP in 13 Oct 2009 and accepted by WMO-CAS on its XV Session in Incheon Korea (18-25 November 2009) CAS recommended for the WMO Secretariat to appoint a small ad-hoc joint task team with representatives from the CBS Open Programme Area Group for Data Processing and Forecasting System (OPAG-DPFS) and CAS to prepare an amendment to the GDPFS manual in association with operational aspects of SDS-WAS The ad-hoc joint task team was formed in July 2010 * Experts from CBS and two SDS-WAS regional nodes

19 Improved dust source specification and parameterization Influence of local and mesoscale atmospheric processes on dust storm generation Advanced methods in observing the SDS, including surface-based, aircraft and satellite methods 4-D assimilation of dust-related observations Inclusion of direct and indirect radiative forcing effects of dust in atmospheric weather and climate models The role of dust as ice nuclei affecting storm development and precipitation Dust impact on high impact hydrometeorological and environmental phenomena (e.g. monsoons, tropical cyclones, mesoscale convective complexes, flooding and droughts) Developing ensemble systems for SDS prediction Dust and health issues (e.g. meningitis, valley fever, asthma, etc) Dust as a transmitter of disease and contaminants Photochemical effects of dust and its impact on atmospheric ozone and other oxidants Impact of dust on marine productivity Research plan SDS reanalysis studies producing dust climatologies SDS model validation and model intercomparisons

20 Structure

21 Flow of information between SDS-WAS components

22 Current Achievements Two active research nodes (Asia node, NA-ME-E node) were established with the supporting regional centers in China and Spain Established node portals (observations, forecasts and other information) - The web portal of the Regional Center for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe of the WMO SDS-WAS (

23 - The web portal of the WMO SDS-WAS Asia node ( for Regional Center)

24 - for Korea-

25 - (observation) for Japan (prediction) for Japan - These web portals are available during the Asian dust event period.

26 Standardization of the display of different products (NA-ME-E node)

27 Scientific meetings coordinated jointly by WMO and regional partners were organized - NA-ME-E node organized a technical seminar with participation of AEMET, BSC, EUMETSAT and the WMO : Lectures on Atmospheric mineral dust and its impact on human health, Environment and economy (Barcelona, 13 Nov. 2010) - The 3 rd WG meeting for Joint research on dust and sand storms among Mongolia, China, Korea and Japan (Jeju, Korea, 8-10 Nov. 2010) : Presentations of collaborated research results including the monitored data analysis, model intercomparison for a severe dust event case that occurred in Asia on May 2008.

28 Multi-decadal region dust model reanalysis was performed to serve as a information source for regional dust climate studies. Annual total dust deposition was estimated over the ocean to serve as a information for the atmospheric chemical input into the ocean. (a) DRY 2010 (b) WET CNC NWP 1 EASNWP YES 2 ECSNWP 3 (c) PM 10 (ton km -2 ) (d) DEPOSITION (ton km -2 ) (μg m -3 )

29 Several organizations established daily dust forecasts - In Asia, ADAM2 of Korea, CUACE/Dust of China and Masingar of Japan have been used as operational forecastings - In Europe, METEO FRANCE, UK MET Office, BSC-AEMET-CSIC, Spain etc.

30 Building observational capacity through aerosol measurement instrumentation - New sun photometers in Northern Africa (framework AERONET) - New sun photometers in China (framework CMA Aerosol Remote Sensing Network) - Visibility meters (framework KMA dust network) Utilization of the lidar retrievals of vertical profiles of aerosol (cooperation with EARLINET/GALION) with incorporation of PM10 aerosol measurements - Spanish air quality network - CMA Atmospheric Watch Network - KMA dust aerosol network - NIES Lidar network in Japan

31 Utilization of the satellite data for the identification of dust events - SDS index retrievals from FY-2C/2D in China - IODI retrievals from MTSAT-IR in Korea

32 WMO and/or its SDS-WAS partners support/participate dust aerosol- related project - Meningitis Environmental Risk Information Technologies (MERIT) impact of dusty weather on meningitis outbreaks in Sahel - GMES and Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate (MACC) EU project dust and health aspects; chemical weather forecast, including dust aerosol modeling - GAW Aerosol Lidar Observation Network (GALION) observing vertical profiles of aerosol including dust - Group of Experts on Scientific Aspects of Marine Environmental Protection (GESAMP) Working Group on the atmospheric chemical input into the ocean - The Fennec project: Dust processes and the western Sahara heat low (leaded by UK NERC)

33 Coordination of capacity building activities - NA-ME-E regional center * Training week on satellite meteorology (8-12 Nov 2010) with some lectures and practical work on mineral dust monitoring and forecasting * Training week on WMO SDS-WAS products (15-19 Nov 2010)

34 - KMA installed the ADAM2 model to National Agency for Meteorology, Hydrology and Environmental Monitoring of Mongolia (Aug 2010) as a dust storm forecasting model in Mongolia - Training workshop for the KMA-CMA joint SDS station operators (27 Jan - 5 Feb 2010)

35 Implementation in the period of The implementation of the SDS-WAS includes; - enhancing effective cooperation between partners in regional nodes, that will include exchange of agreed observations and model products ( ) - developing an integrated aerosol monitoring network in Asia ( ) - developing and implementing a routine verification system ( ) TS score or HR (Hit Rate) or FAR (False Alarm Rate) - developing a dynamic aerosol model including natural and anthropogenic aerosols ( ) - strengthening cooperation with organization/networks/projects providing SDS-related observations (NASA, ESA, GALION, AEONET, CAWNET, CARSNET, KMA dust network, etc. - models inter-comparisons ( ) - developing of a unified Asian dust forecast model (2014- ) - dust reanalysis (2012- )

36 - ensemble forecasting (2014- ) - considering establishing new nodes and/or sub-nodes (Americas, SW Asia, Australia) (2012- ) - establishing RDP/FDP project (continuous) - supporting field campaigns, to be used for a better understanding of the SDS process, to evaluate of model performance (2013- ) - data assimilation (2011- ) - establishing user-oriented studies (e.g. case studies of event affecting air/ground transport; studies linking public health and dust, etc.) (continuous) - studies on emission process (continuous) - mineral dust fractions; impact of deposited dust on environment (continuous)

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