GURME. Today s Topics: Brief Overview Activities since 2009 Pilot Projects Workshops/training Other Future Plans WMO

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1 GURME WMO Today s Topics: Brief Overview Activities since 2009 Pilot Projects Workshops/training Other Future Plans

2 GAW Urban Research Meteorology and Environment Project (GURME) To enhance the capabilities of NMHSs in providing urban-environmental forecasting and air quality services of high quality, illustrating the linkages between meteorology and air quality; In collaboration with other WMO programmes, WHO and environmental agencies, to better define meteorological and air quality measurements focusing specifically on those that support urban forecasting; To provide NMHSs with easy access to information on measurement and modeling techniques; To promote a series of pilot projects to demonstrate how NMHSs can successfully expand their activities into urban environment issues. 2

3 GURME-SAG Alexander Baklanov - Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) Gufran Beig - Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology Greg Carmichael (Chair) -Centre for Global and Regional Environmental Research Sunling Gong, Environment Canada Louisa Molina Molina Center for Energy and Environment Chunhong Zhou Center for Atmospheric Watch and Services, CMAS Liisa Jalkanen, WMO Secretariate

4 Current Strategic Plan

5 Example of GURME pilot projects: Latin American Cities NMHSs - Universities - Environmental Agencies Sao Paulo, Brazil Mexico City, Mexico Santiago, Chile Improvement of AQ forecasting in Latin American cities through capacity building First Air Quality Forecasting Workshop for the Latin American Cities October, 2003, Santiago, Chile; Workshop on application of WRF/Chem Model and Use of Remote sensing, 2006, Sao Paulo Training Workshop on AQF for Latin American countries, 2006, Lima Air Quality Modeling for Latin America, August 2009, Mexico City Workshop on SLCFs for Latin America, Sept 2011, Mexico City; Costa Rica workshop on AQ forecasting, Oct. 2011

6 Established a New Air Quality Forecasting System at the Chilean Met Office Chilean Meteorological Office and UNAB, and sign MOU to transfer model to the Met Office. Master s students training for implementation(rodrigo Delgado, Pablo Hernandez)

7 GURME Pilot Project (MHEWS Shanghai) (EXPO-2010) Enhanced observing system Enhanced air quality & weather forecasting (heat waves, AQ, +) Field experiment (joint with NCAR) Workshop activities Lead by Tang Xu, SMB

8 Meteorological measurements (temperature, wind, humidity, pressure, cloud, etc) Shanghai: Meteorological services for public health Heat wave and cold spell forecast UV forecast UV radiation Ozone forecast Atmospheric chemistry observation (O 3, NO X, CO, SO 2, aerosols) Pollen measurements (open plat method, Microscope filter) Observati ons Forecast models Haze forecast Pollen forecast Bacterial Food Poisoning Influenza forecast Bacterial food poisoning, Influenza,Heatstrok e, Trauma, Diarrhea diagnostic SporeWatch electronic spore & pollen sampler Heat index, Sunstoke, and Diarrhea forecast for EXPO 2010

9 Phase II - Health-Meteorology Service high temperature & heat wave cold rain storm lighting air pollution typhoon Heat illness: Respiratory disease: Cardiovascular disease: Digestive disease: heat rash, heat syncope, sunstroke. COPD, asthma, influenza, lung Cancer heart attacks, stroke, hypertension gastrointestinal disorders, stomach bleeding

10 1 st AQ Forecasting System in India FORECASTING AIR QUALITY OF TOMORROW FOUR MAJOR SAFAR COMPONENTS FOR SERVICES (1) Weather Forecasting Model Matters to AQ on special scale as Driver MUST: Monitor Weather Parameters (24x7) WHY: Validating Forecast, Assimilate and Input back (2) High resolution Emission inventories Key Input to Air Quality Forecast (3) Air Quality Forecasting Model CENTRAL ISSUE MUST: Monitor Air Pollutants Strategically (24x7) WHY: Validating Forecast, Assimilate and input back (4) Dissemination of information and Reaching to Common Public (a) Translate Data to Information; (b) Issue Advisories & Alerts; HOW- Develop AQI Concept HOW- Advise on Health via AQI Lead by Gufran Beig, IITM with India Met. Service 10 10

11 METROPOLITAN AIR QUALITY AND WEATHER FORECASTING SERVICES Air Quality Monitoring AIR-Now & AIR-Tomorrow Weather Monitoring Web Portal Emission inventory Development Weather -Now & -Tomorrow Surface topography & land use study Alerts Health Advisories AIR QUALITY FORECAST MODELING Supercomputer WEATHER FORECAST SMS Alerts City Pollution Maps PRODUCTS Translate Science to Public SERVICES Digital Display UV Index- Skin Advisory BENEFIT TO END -USER Protecting Human Health Agricultural yield Benefits to Farmers Awareness of impact of AQ & Weather Basis for mitigation strategies RESEARCH Explore Chemical-Weather Improve Weather & AQ Forecasting Skill Development of Emission scenario Short Term Climate Change TV /Radio

12 SYSTEM DEVELOPMET FOR METROPOLITAN REGIONS

13 Weather and air quality forecasting for the benefit of both Guidance from WMO-CAS XV Near-real time delivery of air chemistry observations for use in weather and environmental forecasting

14 中国气象局 - 国际气象组织城市气象和环境研究示范项目 A CMA-WMO GURME Pilot Project NRT Data Application to Air Quality Forecasts Xiaoye Zhang, Sunling Gong, Chunhong Zhou and others Develop and establish a NRT chemical data transfer system to collect and process both ground based and satellite observations, based on the WMO data transfer protocols for conventional weather data; Develop an AQ forecasting system and integrate it with the NRT system to illustrate the capacity of NRT data to enhance the accuracy of AQ forecasts in China; Develop an emission estimating system using the NRT data and inverse modeling methodology; Exchange and transfer research results with other national and international agencies.

15 中国气象局 - 国际气象组织城市气象和环境研究示范项目 A CMA-WMO GURME Pilot Project NRT Data Application to Air Quality Forecasts Xiaoye Zhang, Gunling Gong, Chunhong Zhou and others

16 Expanded EU, COST, IGAC, GEO collaborations MEGAPOLI Project, MACC (GEMS) COST Actions 728 Mesoscale for AP and Dispersion Applications: 0602 Chemical weather; 0603 Allergenic pollen 1004 European framework for online integrated air quality and meteorology modelling (EuMetChem) IGAC: Megacity Report, biomass burning, Regional networks (China, America s, S. Asia) WHO : AQ links to health effects GEO: Global Urban Observation and Info Task

17 GAW publications available from: gaw/gaw-reports.html Including the IGAC/WMO Impacts of Megacities on Air Pollution and Climate Joint reports with COST 728

18 Co-Organized Technical Conferences 2013 in Santiago, Chile!!

19 WMO increasing focus: Megacities and large urban complexes Need focus on large urban areas both for meteorological and air quality research applications services Activities should be aimed at: (i)development of strategies for megacities to deal with weather, climate and environmental problems and improvement of related services; (ii) enhancement of environmental monitoring and modelling capabilities; and (iii) establishment of case studies for understanding air pollution, health and climate connections in different types of megacities.

20 Updated Website To improve communications/outreach (hosted by Louisa Molina) mce2.org/wmogurme.org/