A looming drought is manageable. Long-term changes to the monsoon might be catastrophic
|
|
- Stuart Heath
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 India s climate: Monsoon, or later The Economist 1 of 5 9/4/ :29 PM India s climate Monsoon, or later A looming drought is manageable. Long-term changes to the monsoon might be catastrophic Jul 28th 2012 DASNA, UTTAR PRADESH from the print edition A farmer walks through a dry, cracked paddy-field on the outskirts of Jammu. The monsoon, which usually starts to arrive in June, has barely come at all this year AP 1 / 13 THE dizzying midday heat of India s northern plains cracks the earth. Farmers slump on the charpoys on which they sleep outdoors. It should be raining, yet the sky is clear. Prithi Singh, lean and wrinkled, says his entire rice crop has withered, along with fields sown for fodder. After two summers of erratic and delayed monsoons, this year the rains simply failed. Mr Singh cannot afford to pay for a borehole, generator
2 2 of 5 9/4/ :29 PM and diesel to reach ever-diminishing groundwater. Farmers always grumble. But Mr Singh has lost half of his annual income of 50,000 rupees ($890) and now depends upon his crop of winter wheat. Another farmer nearby fears he must sell his land to pay accumulated debts to moneylenders. The monsoon months, June to September, bring three-quarters of India s annual rainfall. Official studies show it to be erratic in four out of every ten years. Yet farmers rarely get any useful warning of shortfalls. As recently as late June, India s meteorologists were predicting a normal monsoon. Punjab and Haryana, two north-western agricultural states, now say rains are about 70% below average. Six western states have issued drought warnings. The government in Delhi says it may soon offer emergency help. The country remains predominantly rural: over 600m out of 1.24 billion Indians rely directly on farming. Nearly two-thirds of Indian fields are fed only by rain. A one-off drought is tolerable. Rural job-creation schemes have lifted incomes for the poorest. Food prices have only started to creep up. Granaries are overflowing, thanks to recent bumper crops. What is disturbing, though, are tentative signs of long-term change to the summer rains. A less stable monsoon pattern would be harder to predict. It would arrive late more often, yield less water, become more sporadic, or dump rain in shorter, more destructive bursts (which happened two years ago in Pakistan, where the Indus basin disastrously flooded). The concerns of experts about the monsoon long predate today s dry spell. Too little is known about summer weather systems on the subcontinent. India is short of observation stations, weather planes, satellites, climate scientists and modellers. The government and foreign donors are scrambling to make amends. But even with better data, monsoons are ill-understood once they leave the sea or low-lying land. At altitude, notably, for instance, approaching the Himalayas, it is far trickier to grasp just how factors such as wind direction, air pressure, latent heating and moisture levels interact to deliver monsoon rains. One trend looks clear: India has grown warmer over the past six decades. Glaciers are melting in the Himalayas, and orchards in the
3 3 of 5 9/4/ :29 PM range s valleys are being planted on ever-higher slopes in search of a temperate climate. Crops in the northern grain belt, notably wheat, are near their maximum tolerance to heat, and so are vulnerable to short-term blasts of higher temperatures. North India s cities are also growing hotter. How more warmth affects the monsoon is not straightforward. A land mass heating faster than the oceans will, in theory, draw in more moisture to produce heavier monsoons. Yet the reverse appears to be happening. Specialists who met in February in Pune, in Maharashtra state, reported a 4.5% decline in monsoon rain in the three decades to India s leading climate modeller, R. Krishnan, of the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology in Pune, points to a study showing a steady decline in rainfall on the Western Ghats, which run down the west coast. A Japanese model that he has applied to southern India predicts that a still more rapid decline in rainfall is likely. Such a fall may matter little for states such as Kerala in the south, which gets a monthly drenching of 50 centimetres (20 inches) during the wet season. But Mr Krishnan notes other changes, notably evidence that far fewer depressions have formed in the Bay of Bengal, off India s east coast, in recent summers. Since these help drive rain to India s arid northern plains, he concludes that there is every reason to be concerned about the monsoon. Explanations exist for some of this. One theory is that a growing mass of particulates, such as coal dust and biomass (from the widespread use of cow dung as fuel, for instance) in the air above India, now hinders rainfall. Timothy Lenton, a climate scientist at the University of Exeter, argues that such pollution could trigger wider instability in the monsoon. Yet a decline in average rainfall may not be the main worry. Experts who met in Delhi in May to discuss climate-induced extreme events in India suggest that likelier threats include more short and devastating downpours and storms, more frequent floods and droughts, longer consecutive dry days within monsoons, more rapid drying of the soil as the land heats, and a greater likelihood that plant and animal diseases might spread.
4 4 of 5 9/4/ :29 PM It does not bode well for farmers, or for crammed cities with poor sewerage and other rotten infrastructure. Slums and coastal cities look especially vulnerable. Mumbai was overwhelmed in 2005 when nearly a metre of rain was dumped on the city in 24 hours. Such events will happen more often, the highest official in the country s environment ministry warns. He wants urgently to bring about a big increase in insurance schemes that spread weather-related risks. Rajendra Pachauri, who leads the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, worries that India is not yet even seriously debating the new threats. He says it is ill-prepared for floods and droughts that are now considered once-in-every-20-years events, but will be happening once in two years. The data harvest The most pressing need is to gather and analyse data. This month Indian scientists and foreign partners launched a five-year monsoon mission to develop climate models for the region. India s government is beginning to act, by setting up new Doppler radar stations to track weather systems over mountains. It is launching a new plane to fly into cyclones to study their behaviour. Better still, India and its neighbours could start sharing weather data, comparing ground and satellite observations, for example. More can be done elsewhere, too. Most obviously, even the poorest farmers could work together better to store rainwater, for instance in ponds and tanks, rather than praying for the skies to open. The share of India s farmland that is irrigated could roughly double, officials say. Huge scope exists to reduce losses through evaporation and leakage from shoddy irrigation systems. More sophisticated farmers are getting better informed. One Indian firm, Weather Risk, sells forecasts to some 75,000 subscribers, mostly farmers across 15 states. Each pays just 30 rupees a month for the information the firm supplies. It looks worthwhile. Sonu Agrawal of Weather Risk notes growing demand for detail on highly localised conditions and short-term rain and hail forecasts. Demand for crop insurance is also rising. Mr Agrawal and others remain sanguine about today s dry patch, calling
5 5 of 5 9/4/ :29 PM it typical of the sort of droughts that often show up in historic data stored by insurance firms. But given great gaps in knowledge about the monsoon, and uncertainties over climate change, the need for more accurate and complete data seems pressing. Studying the late rains this year will not help Prithi Singh and his parched plot today. But clarifying which, if any, trend poses the greatest threats to farmers like him could turn out to be one of India s most important tasks. from the print edition Asia Copyright The Economist Newspaper Limited All rights reserved. Accessibility Privacy policy Cookies info Terms of use Help
Summary and Conclusions
241 Chapter 10 Summary and Conclusions Kerala is situated in the southern tip of India between 8 15 N and 12 50 N latitude and 74 50 E and 77 30 E longitude. It is popularly known as Gods own country.
More information3. HYDROMETEROLOGY. 3.1 Introduction. 3.2 Hydro-meteorological Aspect. 3.3 Rain Gauge Stations
3. HYDROMETEROLOGY 3.1 Introduction Hydrometeorology is a branch of meteorology and hydrology that studies the transfer of water and energy between the land surface and the lower atmosphere. Detailed hydrological
More informationWeather and Climate 1. Elements of the weather
Weather and Climate 1 affect = to have an effect on, influence, change altitude = the height of a place above the sea axis = the line around which an object rotates certain = special consist of = to be
More informationCLIMATE READY BOSTON. Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016
CLIMATE READY BOSTON Sasaki Steering Committee Meeting, March 28 nd, 2016 Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016 WHAT S IN STORE FOR BOSTON S CLIMATE?
More informationUNIT 11 SOUTH ASIA SG 1 - PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY & THE ENVIRONMENT
UNIT 11 SOUTH ASIA SG 1 - PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY & THE ENVIRONMENT I. PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY TAKE OUT YOUR PHYSICAL MAP OF SOUTH ASIA A. The Himalayan Mountains form the northern boundary of the region (color
More informationImpact on Agriculture
Weather Variability and the Impact on Agriculture InfoAg 2017 Copyright 2017, awhere. All Rights Reserved The Problem: The Earth s Atmosphere is a Heat Engine In transition 1 C warming of atmosphere Triples
More informationIssue Overview: El Nino and La Nina
Issue Overview: El Nino and La Nina By Bloomberg, adapted by Newsela staff on 09.28.16 Word Count 748 TOP: A Category 5 typhoon in the Pacific Ocean. BOTTOM: Graphics courtesy of the U.S. National Oceanic
More informationTHE STUDY OF NUMBERS AND INTENSITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING TOWARD THE UPPER PART OF THAILAND
THE STUDY OF NUMBERS AND INTENSITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING TOWARD THE UPPER PART OF THAILAND Aphantree Yuttaphan 1, Sombat Chuenchooklin 2 and Somchai Baimoung 3 ABSTRACT The upper part of Thailand
More informationWhat is climate change?
Level 1 What is climate change? WE OFTEN MAKE the mistake of saying the climate of a city or country is hot. Little do we realise that it s actually the weather we are speaking about and not the climate.
More informationOver the course of this unit, you have learned about different
70 People and Weather TA L K I N G I T O V E R Over the course of this unit, you have learned about different aspects of earth s weather and atmosphere. Atmospheric scientists, climatologists, hydrologists,
More informationBackground and History
p1 Background and History What is the Indian Ocean Climate Initiative? The Indian Ocean Climate Initiative (IOCI) is a strategic program of research and information transfer to support government decision-making.
More informationRainfall Analysis in Mumbai using Gumbel s Extreme Value Distribution Model
Rainfall Analysis in Mumbai using Gumbel s Extreme Value Distribution Model S. Sangita Mishra 1, M. Solapure 2, R. Satpathy 3, K. Phadtare 4, S. Pawar 5 1 Assistant Professor, 2,3,4,5 Undergraduate students
More informationAnalytical Report. Drought in Sri Lanka January2017 ERCC Analytical Team and JRC Drought Team 26 January Map
1. Map 2. Situation analysis Sri Lanka 1 is currently experiencing a severe drought. This drought situation has been caused by a severe lack of rainfall during the last second Inter-monsoon season (IM2)
More informationPredict. Perform. Profit. Highly accurate rain forecasts a missing link to Climate Resilient Agriculture in West Africa
Predict. Perform. Profit. Highly accurate rain forecasts a missing link to Climate Resilient Agriculture in West Africa Presentation for Food Security Working Group 9 May 2017 Climate Change & Food Security
More informationHow strong does wind have to be to topple a garbage can?
How strong does wind have to be to topple a garbage can? Imagine winds powerful enough to pick up a truck and toss it the length of a football field. Winds of this extreme sometimes happen in a tornado.
More informationPage 1 of 5 Home research global climate enso effects Research Effects of El Niño on world weather Precipitation Temperature Tropical Cyclones El Niño affects the weather in large parts of the world. The
More informationSEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK VALID FOR JULY-AUGUST- SEPTEMBER 2013 IN WEST AFRICA, CHAD AND CAMEROON
SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK VALID FOR JULY-AUGUST- SEPTEMBER 2013 IN WEST AFRICA, CHAD AND CAMEROON May 29, 2013 ABUJA-Federal Republic of Nigeria 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Given the current Sea Surface and sub-surface
More informationModule 3, Investigation 1: Briefing 2 The ENSO game: Predicting and managing for El Niño and La Niña
Part 5. The ENSO game How can prediction help avoid ENSO s tragic human consequences? Scientists from around the world are involved in forecasting, with computer models and sophisticated measurements,
More informationGanbat.B, Agro meteorology Section
NATIONAL AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY, HYDROLOGY AND ENVIRONMENT MONITORING OF MONGOLIA Ganbat.B, Agro meteorology Section OF INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY 2009 YEAR Location Climate Northern Asia,
More informationGlobal Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma. Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey
Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey OCS LEGISLATIVE MANDATES Conduct and report on studies of climate and weather
More informationATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION AND WIND
ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION AND WIND The source of water for precipitation is the moisture laden air masses that circulate through the atmosphere. Atmospheric circulation is affected by the location on the
More informationChapter 21 Southwest Asia: Harsh & Arid Lands
Name Hour Chapter 21 Southwest Asia: Harsh & Arid Lands Essential Question: How has the physical geography of Asia influenced the development of these regions (i.e. history, population distribution, &
More informationUnit 2 Text Worksheet # 2
Unit 2 Text Worksheet # 2 Read Pages 74-77 1. Using fig. 5.1 on page 75 identify: Climatic Region the most widespread climatic region in the low latitudes two climatic subregions with dry conditions for
More informationBy: J Malherbe, R Kuschke
2015-10-27 By: J Malherbe, R Kuschke Contents Summary...2 Overview of expected conditions over South Africa during the next few days...3 Significant weather events (27 October 2 November)...3 Conditions
More informationFire Weather Drivers, Seasonal Outlook and Climate Change. Steven McGibbony, Severe Weather Manager Victoria Region Friday 9 October 2015
Fire Weather Drivers, Seasonal Outlook and Climate Change Steven McGibbony, Severe Weather Manager Victoria Region Friday 9 October 2015 Outline Weather and Fire Risk Environmental conditions leading to
More informationHurricanes and typhoons are taking their cues from a changing global climate
Hurricanes and typhoons are taking their cues from a changing global climate By Los Angeles Times, adapted by Newsela staff on 06.18.18 Word Count 921 Level 1050L Image 1. Flooding submerged a road after
More informationWhat is the IPCC? Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
IPCC WG1 FAQ What is the IPCC? Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change The IPCC is a scientific intergovernmental body set up by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and by the United Nations
More informationMinnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture. Today. 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date
Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture Kenny Blumenfeld, State Climatology Office Crop Insurance Conference, Sep 13, 2017 Today 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date
More informationMonthly Overview. Rainfall
Monthly Overview Rainfall during August occurred mainly over the Western and Eastern Cape provinces, and KwaZulu- Natal. Rain in these provinces were regularly accompanied by cold fronts as they made landfall
More information1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Impacts Assessment
1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Impacts Assessment Although the variability of weather and associated shifts in the frequency and magnitude of climate events were not available from the
More information4 Changes in Climate. TAKE A LOOK 2. Explain Why is more land exposed during glacial periods than at other times?
Name Class CHAPTER 3 Date Climate 4 Changes in Climate SECTION National Science Education Standards BEFORE YOU READ After you read this section, you should be able to answer these questions: ES 1k, 2a
More informationWeather and Climate Risks and Effects on Agriculture
Weather and Climate Risks and Effects on Agriculture Dr. Eric Snodgrass Official Journal of the Fluid Fertilizer Foundation Vol. 26, No. 2, Issue #100 DOWNLOAD Summary: So, what do we need to watch for?
More informationSuppressed Surface Heating over northwestern parts of the Country and the ensuing Monsoon Rainfall
Suppressed Surface Heating over northwestern parts of the Country and the ensuing Monsoon Rainfall During this year, the temperatures have been below normal over north and northwestern parts of India.
More informationGlobal Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma. Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey
Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey Our previous stance on global warming Why the anxiety? Extreme Viewpoints!
More informationSeasonal Variation of Rainy Days in Pakistan
Pakistan Journal of Meteorology Vol. 9, Issue 18: Jan 2013 Seasonal Variation of Rainy Days in Pakistan Naheed, G. 1, 2, D. H. Kazmi 2, G. Rasul 2 ABSTRACT Monsoon precipitation (one of the major rainfall
More informationNational Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook
National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Interagency Fire Center Predictive Services Issued: September, 2007 Wildland Fire Outlook September through December 2007 Significant fire
More informationWeek: Dates: 3/2 3/20 Unit: Climate
clementaged.weebly.com Name: EVEN Period: Week: 28 30 Dates: 3/2 3/20 Unit: Climate Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday 2 O 3 E *Vocabulary *Water in the Atmosphere and Clouds Notes *Cloud Drawings
More informationThe AIR Tropical Cyclone Model for India
The AIR Tropical Cyclone Model for India Tropical cyclones have caused millions, and even billions, of dollars in damage in India. The growing number of properties on the coast, together with growing insurance
More informationStudy of Changes in Climate Parameters at Regional Level: Indian Scenarios
Study of Changes in Climate Parameters at Regional Level: Indian Scenarios S K Dash Centre for Atmospheric Sciences Indian Institute of Technology Delhi Climate Change and Animal Populations - The golden
More informationActivity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference)
Activity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference) Teacher Notes: Evidence for Climate Change PowerPoint Slide 1 Slide 2 Introduction Image 1 (Namib Desert, Namibia) The sun is on the horizon
More informationStudy of Hydrometeorology in a Hard Rock Terrain, Kadirischist Belt Area, Anantapur District, Andhra Pradesh
Open Journal of Geology, 2012, 2, 294-300 http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ojg.2012.24028 Published Online October 2012 (http://www.scirp.org/journal/ojg) Study of Hydrometeorology in a Hard Rock Terrain, Kadirischist
More informationReport on Disaster statistics of Nepal
Report on Disaster statistics of Nepal Submitted by Altaf Rehman Submitted to Dr. Naveed Ahmed University of engineering and technology Peshawar Assignment 1 Section A Registration id 14PWCIV456 Page 1
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College August 5, 2018 Summary: July 2018 will likely go down as one of the top five warmest July s on record for many
More informationThe Impact of Geography in South and East Asia
The Impact of Geography in South and East Asia Gobi desert, Mongolia Essential Question: How does the geography of SE Asia impact trade and the distribution of population throughout the region? (AKS #52a)
More informationThe Failed Science of Global warming: Time to Re-consider Climate Change
The Failed Science of Global warming: Time to Re-consider Climate Change Madhav Khandekar Expert Reviewer IPCC 2007 Climate Change IPCC vs NIPCC IPCC: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; A UN Body
More informationRefer to FIGURE 1 which shows how temperatures over a city and its surrounding areas differ. This is an example of microclimate.
CLIMATE & WEATHER Checklist Make sure you know how to: Describe global air circulation Explain formation and effects of tropical cyclones Identify and explain weather patterns over southern Africa Interpret
More informationAdvanced Hydrology. (Web course)
Advanced Hydrology (Web course) Subhankar Karmakar Assistant Professor Centre for Environmental Science and Engineering (CESE) Indian Institute of Technology Bombay Powai, Mumbai 400 076 Email: skarmakar@iitb.ac.in
More informationWeather Atmospheric condition in one place during a limited period of time Climate Weather patterns that an area typically experiences over a long
Weather Atmospheric condition in one place during a limited period of time Climate Weather patterns that an area typically experiences over a long period of time Many factors influence weather & climate
More informationCurrent and future climate of the Cook Islands. Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program
Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program Penrhyn Pukapuka Nassau Suwarrow Rakahanga Manihiki N o r t h e r n C o o k I s l a nds S o u t h e Palmerston r n C o o k I s l
More informationThe Impact of Geography in South and East Asia
The Impact of Geography in South and East Asia Gobi desert, Mongolia Essential Question: How does geography impact the distribution of population throughout South and East Asia? I CAN Explain how geography
More informationKey Finding: Long Term Trend During 2014: Rain in Indian Tradition Measuring Rain
Chapter 34 RAINFALL Key Finding: Long Term Trend Despite of theories suggesting increase in rainfall in Asian Region due to global warming, no significant trend has been observed at all India level (confirmed
More informationICSE Board Class X Geography Board Paper- 2014
Time:2 hrs ICSE Board Class X Geography Board Paper- 2014 Total Marks: 80 General Instructions: 1. Answers to this paper must be written on the paper provided separately. 2. You will not be allowed to
More informationMonthly overview. Rainfall
Monthly overview 1 to 10 April 2018 Widespread rainfall continued to fall over most parts of the summer rainfall region during this period. Unseasonably good rain fell over the eastern half of the Northern
More informationThe Impact of Geography in South and East Asia
The Impact of Geography in South and East Asia Gobi desert, Mongolia Essential Question: How does the geography of SE Asia impact trade and the distribution of population throughout the region? (AKS #52a)
More informationChapter 3 Packet. and causes seasons Earth tilted at 23.5 / 365 1/4 days = one year or revolution
Name Chapter 3 Packet Sequence Section 1 Seasons and Weather : and causes seasons Earth tilted at 23.5 / 365 1/4 days = one year or revolution solstice - begins summer in N. hemisphere, longest day winter
More informationAnalytical Report. Drought in the Horn of Africa February Executive summary. Geographical context. Likelihood of drought impact (LDI)
Executive summary The current drought in the Horn of Africa is affecting especially Somalia, among other countries, in particular the central and southern regions, where most population is located. Overall,
More informationClimate versus Weather
Climate versus Weather What is climate? Climate is the average weather usually taken over a 30-year time period for a particular region and time period. Climate is not the same as weather, but rather,
More informationMDA WEATHER SERVICES AG WEATHER OUTLOOK. Kyle Tapley-Senior Agricultural Meteorologist May 22, 2014 Chicago, IL
MDA WEATHER SERVICES AG WEATHER OUTLOOK Kyle Tapley-Senior Agricultural Meteorologist May 22, 2014 Chicago, IL GLOBAL GRAIN NORTH AMERICA 2014 Agenda Spring Recap North America Forecast El Niño Discussion
More informationUnit: Weather Study Guide
Name: Period: Unit: Weather Study Guide Define each vocabulary word on a separate piece of paper or index card. Weather Climate Temperature Wind chill Heat index Sky conditions UV index Visibility Wind
More informationNovember 2018 TEMPERATURES RAINFALL RIVER FLOW GROUNDWATER & SOIL LONGER FORECAST
November 2018 TEMPERATURES RAINFALL RIVER FLOW GROUNDWATER & SOIL LONGER FORECAST November 2018 Spring was bookended by very wet months and the solid dry spell in between didn t prevent the season notching
More informationHow we know the world has warmed
How we know the world has warmed A comprehensive review of key climate indicators confirms the world is warming and the past decade was the warmest on record. More than 3 scientists from 48 countries analyzed
More informationCrop / Weather Update
Crop / Weather Update Corn Crop Condition Percent of Acreage Rated Good or Excellent 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 Corn condition this week is the same as the last two weeks in the good/excellent category,
More informationFINAL EXAM PRACTICE #3: Meteorology, Climate, and Ecology
FINAL EXAM PRACTICE #3: Meteorology, Climate, and Ecology 1. Clay is watching the weather to prepare for a trip to the beach tomorrow. The forecast predicts that a low-pressure system will move in overnight.
More informationWater Resource & Management Strategies
Water Resource & Management Strategies National Conference on Integrated Water Resource Management for enhancing Farmers' Income March 22, 2017, Hotel Park, New Delhi Nalin Rawal Chief Business head Agribusiness
More informationinvestment decisions
Climate modelling: A guide to investment decisions Vicky Pope Met Office Hadley Centre This is not an ADB material. The views expressed in this document are the views of the author/s and/or their organizations
More informationObserved changes in climate and their effects
1 1.1 Observations of climate change Since the TAR, progress in understanding how climate is changing in space and time has been gained through improvements and extensions of numerous datasets and data
More informationClimate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report Presented by R.K. Pachauri, IPCC Chair and Bubu Jallow, WG 1 Vice Chair Nairobi, 6 February
More information2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW
2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW 1 INTRODUCTION Recently, three of the major centres for global climate monitoring determined with high confidence that 2015 was the warmest year on record, globally.
More informationFoundations of Earth Science, 6e Lutgens, Tarbuck, & Tasa
Foundations of Earth Science, 6e Lutgens, Tarbuck, & Tasa Weather Patterns and Severe Weather Foundations, 6e - Chapter 14 Stan Hatfield Southwestern Illinois College Air masses Characteristics Large body
More informationEl Nino: Outlook VAM-WFP HQ September 2018
El Nino: Outlook 2018 VAM-WFP HQ September 2018 El Nino Outlook September 2018 2015-16 El Nino Peak Possible evolution of an El Nino indicator (Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly) generated by a diverse
More informationLong Range Forecast Update for 2014 Southwest Monsoon Rainfall
Earth System Science Organization (ESSO) Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES) India Meteorological Department PRESS RELEASE New Delhi, 9 June 2014 Long Update for 2014 Southwest Monsoon Rainfall HIGHLIGHTS
More informationDefinitions Weather and Climate Climates of NYS Weather Climate 2012 Characteristics of Climate Regions of NYS NYS s Climates 1.
Definitions Climates of NYS Prof. Anthony Grande 2012 Weather and Climate Weather the state of the atmosphere at one point in time. The elements of weather are temperature, t air pressure, wind and moisture.
More informationDust Storms of the Canadian Prairies: A Dustier and Muddier Outlook
Dust Storms of the Canadian Prairies: A Dustier and Muddier Outlook E Wheaton, University of Saskatchewan and Saskatchewan Research Council, and V Wittrock, Saskatchewan Research Council Invited presentation
More information3) What is the difference between latitude and longitude and what is their affect on local and world weather and climate?
www.discoveryeducation.com 1) Describe the difference between climate and weather citing an example of each. Describe how water (ocean, lake, river) has a local effect on weather and climate and provide
More informationDrought lesson plan ITEMS. Teachers lesson plan. Student assignments. About droughts. Real life stories. Droughts: Be prepared.
Drought lesson plan The drought lesson plan provides teachers and students with an opportunity to investigate the Australian climate, water table and the impacts of drought through individual or classroom
More informationMonthly Overview. Rainfall
Monthly Overview Weather news during February 2017 was dominated by the arrival of Tropical Cyclone Dineo, the first cyclone to make landfall over southern Africa since cyclone Eline in February 2000.
More informationCh. 3: Weather Patterns
Ch. 3: Weather Patterns Sect. 1: Air Mass & Fronts Sect. 2: Storms Sect. 3: Predicting the Weather Sect. 4: Weather forecasters use advanced technologies Ch. 3 Weather Fronts and Storms Objective(s) 7.E.1.3
More informationIt is never so good as expected and never so bad as feared.
2018 General: The weather conditions in the Baltics and Scandinavia have not been perfect - not enough rain and high temperatures after drilling. As Scandinavia and Baltics was the area where there was
More informationMonsoons: A Three Season Play. Kathy Sundstedt School not available. Content Area (Req.): Physical Geography, English/Reading
Instructional Sequence/Procedure (Req.): 1. Teacher preparation: Read through play and consider students for roles. Find yarn and string. Using overhead transparency, make an enlarged map of South Asia
More informationAtmosphere and Weather Revision Notes
Atmosphere and Weather Revision Notes Atmosphere The blanket of gases that surrounds the Earth is called the atmosphere. The main gases are nitrogen (78 %), oxygen (21 %), water vapour, ozone and carbon
More informationCurrent Climate Trends and Implications
Current Climate Trends and Implications Dr. Mark Seeley Professor emeritus Department of Soil, Water, and Climate University of Minnesota St Paul, MN 55108 Crop Insurance Conference September 12, 2018
More informationTHE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA MINISTRY OF WORKS, TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION TANZANIA METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY
THE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA MINISTRY OF WORKS, TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION TANZANIA METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR TANZANIA MARCH MAY, 2018 MASIKA RAINFALL SEASON Highlights for March May,
More informationEarth Issue: June 2018
Earth Issue: June 2018 Cyclone Risk in The Flood Tore Apart Whole Roadways during Cyclone Mekunu in May 2018 Source: AP, abc.net.au The Sultanate of is characterized by hyper-arid (
More informationWeather Atmospheric condition in one place during a limited period of time Climate Weather patterns that an area typically experiences over a long
Weather Atmospheric condition in one place during a limited period of time Climate Weather patterns that an area typically experiences over a long period of time Many factors influence weather & climate
More informationOcean in Motion 7: El Nino and Hurricanes!
Ocean in Motion 7: El Nino and Hurricanes! A. Overview 1. Ocean in Motion -- El Nino and hurricanes We will look at the ocean-atmosphere interactions that cause El Nino and hurricanes. Using vocabulary
More informationSeasonal Outlook through September 2007
Seasonal Outlook through September 2007 Klaus Wolter (18apr07) University of Colorado, CIRES & NOAA-ESRL Climate Analysis Branch klaus.wolter@noaa.gov http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/people/klaus.wolter/swcasts/
More informationCURRENT STATUS OF MONSOON Main Meteorological conditions of the last week (27August to 2 September)
CURRENT STATUS OF MONSOON 2009 Main Meteorological conditions of the last week (27August to 2 September) Last week s low pressure area over Orissa and neighbourhood moved west-northwestwards across central
More informationClimate & Climate Change in Indus Basin. How Can Research Help? Danial Hashmi, Pakistan
Climate & Climate Change in Indus Basin How Can Research Help? Danial Hashmi, Pakistan Sequence of Presentation Brief Description of Indus Basin Climate of Indus Basin Climate of Upper Indus Basin Climate
More informationWeatherManager Weekly
Issue 288 July 14, 2016 WeatherManager Weekly Industries We Serve Agriculture Energy/Utilities Construction Transportation Retail Our Weather Protection Products Standard Temperature Products Lowest Daily
More informationWeather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College November 7, 2017 Summary: October was relatively cool and wet north, while warm and very dry south. Dry conditions
More informationAnticipated and Observed Trends in the Global Hydrological Cycle. Kevin E. Trenberth NCAR
Anticipated and Observed Trends in the Global Hydrological Cycle Kevin E. Trenberth NCAR The presence of moisture affects the disposition of incoming solar radiation: Evaporation (drying) versus temperature
More informationClimate. Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) January Temperature. July Temperature. Average Precipitation (Last 30 Years)
Climate Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) Average Annual High Temp. (F)70, (C)21 Average Annual Low Temp. (F)43, (C)6 January Temperature Average January High Temp. (F)48, (C)9 Average January Low Temp.
More informationTHE CANADIAN CENTRE FOR CLIMATE MODELLING AND ANALYSIS
THE CANADIAN CENTRE FOR CLIMATE MODELLING AND ANALYSIS As Canada s climate changes, and weather patterns shift, Canadian climate models provide guidance in an uncertain future. CANADA S CLIMATE IS CHANGING
More informationCh. 3: Weather Patterns. Sect. 1: Air Mass & Fronts Sect. 2: Storms Sect. 3: Predicting the Weather
Ch. 3: Weather Patterns Sect. 1: Air Mass & Fronts Sect. 2: Storms Sect. 3: Predicting the Weather Sect. 1: Air Masses & Fronts An air mass is a huge body of air that has similar temperature, humidity,
More informationNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information State Summaries 149-FL. Observed and Projected Temperature Change
19-FL FLORIDA Key Messages Under a higher emissions pathway, historically unprecedented warming is projected by the end of the 1st century. Rising temperatures will likely increase the intensity of naturally-occurring
More informationWhat a Hurricane Needs to Develop
Weather Weather is the current atmospheric conditions, such as air temperature, wind speed, wind direction, cloud cover, precipitation, relative humidity, air pressure, etc. 8.10B: global patterns of atmospheric
More informationW.B (pp126) 1. Why does cold air sink and hot air rise? When air is heated it expands, becomes lighter and goes up. Cold air is denser and heavy.
GEOGRAPHY CH-4 AIR (KEY) W.B (pp-125,126) 1. What is atmosphere? A huge blanket of air by which our earth is surrounded is called atmosphere. 2. Mass of air made the temperature_on the earth liveable.
More informationAustralian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) Statement on Climate Change
Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) Statement on Climate Change This statement provides a summary of some aspects of climate change and its uncertainties, with particular focus on
More informationExtreme Weather Events and Climate Change
Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change Robert M Rabin NOAA/National Severe Storms Lab Norman, Oklahoma Most material presented is from: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Intergovernmental
More informationHURRICANES AND TORNADOES
HURRICANES AND TORNADOES The most severe weather systems are hurricanes and tornadoes. They occur in extremely low pressure systems, or cyclones, when the air spirals rapidly into the center of a low.
More information