Impact on Agriculture
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1 Weather Variability and the Impact on Agriculture InfoAg 2017 Copyright 2017, awhere. All Rights Reserved
2 The Problem: The Earth s Atmosphere is a Heat Engine In transition 1 C warming of atmosphere Triples weather variance Hot gets hotter Cold gets colder Dry gets dryer Wet gets wetter Agriculture Impact Yield and production risk 5.5 Quadrillion Ton Heat Engine Extreme weather events (heatwaves / extreme precipitation) 1/1,000 days now 1/200 days with atmospheric warming
3 Bulging Waistline: Hadley Cell Expansion Expansion of the Hadley cell pushes descending air poleward
4 Non-linearity in the power equation Munich Re: "It's as if the weather machine had changed up a gear. Warmer Air Holds More Moisture and Energy Hurricanes 25% bigger, thunderstorms 15% 4% per F or 7% per C More violent and frequent storms, once merely a prediction of climate models, are now a matter of observation "the upshot is that overall rainfall increases only 2 to 3 percent per degree of warming, whereas extreme rainfall increases 6 to 7 percent
5 Impact of a Warming Atmosphere on Agriculture: Events Hail Flood Wind Drought Pest and disease risk Increased rain variability Drought events Warmer night temperatures More extreme weather events Less predictability and greater risk Copyright 2017, awhere. All Rights Reserved
6 Symmetrical information to optimize response Need: Agricultural information solutions across the agricultural value chain Government+NGO Agribusiness Commodities Policy Development Research Input Supply Production Financing Markets Consumption SET NATIONAL AND BUSINESS PRIORITIES IN-SEASON ACTIONABLE INSIGHTS ANTICIPATE NEEDS AND MOVEMENTS BASED ON TRENDS AND FORECASTS
7 Hyper-local Agriculture Intelligence awhere constructs a weather station s worth of data every 9km across the planet Satellite Radar 35% 17% Weather Station Ground Radar 15% awhere Station 38% 5% 28% 24% C Copyright 2017, awhere. All Rights Reserved 21% C 17% C Temperature, Humidity etc. Precipitation
8 Better Information enables Field Insight When to plant? When and how much to irrigate? What pests to scout and treat for? When and how much to fertilize? When will harvest be? How much yield is expected? When an insurance payout triggers? What is the risk of a financial loan? Copyright 2016, awhere. All Rights Reserved
9 Field Insight aggregated - delivers R&D, Ag Business, Market Insight July 20, 2017 Last 30 day P/PET Two areas to watch as drought conditions are building
10 Predictive analytics across the ag value chain Pest and disease models: how many acres and where - under threat? Irrigation demand: crop water need Crop suitability: what crops can grow where? should? could? Environmental trend: how is the environment changing? (ecological thresholds) Yield and production: the bottom line * for food security, climate refugees * for commodity carry-out / supply markets forecasting sales
11 P/PET vs. 10-Year Average: mid May through mid August Predictive modeling aggregated for any geography - here showing sales territories and their variability within and between
12 July 20, 2017 Last 30 day P/PET Conditions of the corn crop globally: insight to future market conditions
13 An agriculture intelligence company The most complete ag-weather data and insight for real-time agricultural decisions We help feed the world, one insight at a time For more information contact: beawhere@awhere.com
14 Copyright 2016, awhere. All Rights Reserved
15 Base Agricultural Info Agricultural Earth Coverage >1.5 million awhere weather stations aws (virtual) Daily Observed ( years) Precipitation Min/Max Temperature Min/Max Relative Humidity Max/Mean Wind speed Solar Radiation Hourly Forecast 8-15 days of hourly forecast Copyright 2017, awhere. All Rights Reserved (updated 4x daily) >7 billion data points processed each day Advanced Information and Insight Accumulated factors Pest and disease indices PET & Crop stress indices Soil moisture, net water Plant growth / harvest date indicators Crop suitability Yield & Production Complete daily ag-met information every 9km Global in coverage yet localized & specific. Current, Correct, Consistent, Complete
16 The most complete ag-weather information and insight for real-time agricultural decisions Capabilities Big data analytics and visualizations Process >7b data points/day Agronomic modeling & field data analysis Bi-directional data and technology integrations to ensure 2-way information flows with farmers Operational support & expert advisors Information & Insight >1.5m virtual weather stations with daily observed, historic, & forecast weather data Geolocated, time specific climate smart agricultural info services Crop suitability & risk/trend assessments Real-time production forecasting We help feed the world, one insight at a time
17 Copyright 2017, awhere. All Rights Reserved
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