ERA-CLIM2 2 nd General Assembly Welcome and Introduction

Transcription

1 ERA-CLIM2 2 nd General Assembly Welcome and Introduction Roberto Buizza European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 1

2 Welcome Welcome.. and thank you to: All of you for your help and engagement, especially to the WP Leaders for their leadership role All for your work and progress (we will hear more about it..) Joerg S for helping with the logispcs and organisapon M Kacik for her support and help with the amendment (with the 12-month extension) EUMETSAT for hospng the 2 nd GA and for invipng us to dinner on Wednesday evening ASer the WS: Please let me know if you object that your slides will be made available on ECMWF ERA-CLIM2 project web site: hvp:// WP Leaders please send me a short (say about 2 pages) report on progress and plan ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 2

3 Agenda Wednesday 9 December ( ) 1300 Start of General Assembly Introduction R Buizza WP1 (Global 20 th century reanalysis) and WP5 (Service developments) Overview of WP1 P Laloyaux Status, plans and first CERA results P Laloyaux Ocean initialisation and monitoring for CERA E de Boisseson Initial diagnostics on CERA-20C ensemble performance P Dahlgren WP Monitoring tools for CERA D Schepers ICOADS usage in ERA20C and CERA20C S Hirahara CERA-LAND P Peylin CERA data servers P Laloyaux Coffee break WP3 (Earth system observation) Overview of WP3 S Brönnimann Upper Air, surface and snow data deliverables contributed by RIHMI to WP3 A Sterin Progress on Météo France work S Jourdain Progress on digitising Portuguese and Chilean surface data plus Spanish pilot balloon data M A Valente ERA-CLIM2 Global Registry M A Valente WP Progress on Met Office work N Rayner Satellite data records for ERA-CLIM2 R Roebeling Progress on FMI work J Pulliainen Questions and Discussion 1800 End of first day 1830 WS Dinner (at EUMETSAT) offered by EUMETSAT ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 3

4 Thursday 10 December ( ) WP2 (Future coupling methods) Overview of WP2 M Martin Improved assimilation of SST observations M Martin Improved assimilation of sea-ice observations C-E Testut Use of ensemble information and development of efficient 4D-Var in ocean analysis A Weaver Generation of ocean ensemble information A Storto Land carbon developments P Peylin WP Ocean biogeochemistry in reanalysis M Gehlen Strengths/weaknesses of weakly coupled DA, coupled error covariance estimation and developing bias correction methods for coupled reanalysis K Haines Strongly coupled DA in simplified systems F Lemarié Questions Coffee break WP4 (Quantifying and reducing uncertainties) Overview of WP4 L Haimberger Homogenization tests on surface data using 20CR and ERA20C as reference series Precipitation assessment with focus on station density, convective and stratiform precipitation M A Valente E Rustemeier Input uncertainties for carbon estimates P Peylin Lunch break On reproducing rescued UA data for the 50's of last century and IGRA dataset by reanalyses Radiosonde humidity bias adjustments using reanalysis background departures A Sterin M Blaschek Radiosonde bias adjustments as input for ERA5 L Haimberger Results from ERA-preSAT Chances and challenges of assimilating pre-igy upper air data Instructions to Working Groups (break-out sessions) Coffee break Working Groups (break-out sessions, WP1/WP2/WP3/WP4) 1800 End of second day S Brönnimann (presented by L Haimberger) WP4 Friday 11 December ( ) Plenary discussion (WP Leaders to report key points from the break-out discussions and present plan for next 12 months) Report of WG discussions and 1-year plan WP Leaders Review and comments Advisers Discussion Chaired by R Buizza Coffee break Project summary EU comments to ERA-CLIM2 project M Kacik Recommendations and actions Chaired by R Buizza 1300 End of General Assembly ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 4

5 Project status: deliverables WP1-WP2 Deliverables - WP1 Deliverables - WP2 D1.5 D1.4 D1.3 D1.2 D D2.12 D2.11 D2.10 D2.9 D2.8 D2.7 D2.6 D2.5 D2.4 D2.3 D2.2 D ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 5

6 Project status: deliverables WP3-WP4 Deliverables - WP3 Deliverables - WP4 D3.20 D3.19 D3.18 D3.17 D3.16 D3.15 D3.14 D3.13 D3.12 D3.11 D3.10 D3.9 D3.8 D3.7 D3.6 D3.5 D3.4 D3.3 D3.2 D3.1 D4.14 D4.13 D4.12 D4.11 D4.10 D4.9 D4.8 D4.7 D4.6 D4.5 D4.4 D4.3 D4.2 D forthcoming.. ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 6

7 Project status: deliverables WP5-WP6 Deliverables - WP5 Deliverables - WP6 D5.3 D5.2 D D6.8 D6.7 D6.6 D6.5 D6.4 D6.3 D6.2 D ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 7

8 Financials Please note that the 12-month extension is at no extra cost. With the extension of the project the payments are as following: 1. Pre-financing (60% with retenpon of 5% guarantee fund) Q First interim aser month 18 (up to 90% of the budget) To be paid in the coming days/weeks 3. Final payment aser month 48 (remaining balance) So at the end of reporpng period 1 (now) the EU will have paid up to 90% of the grant. 10% of the funding is retained for the final payment. 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, , ,000, , , , , , , , , ,000 0 Partners' total and consumed budget (30/6/15) ECMWF ECMWF METO METO EUMST EUMST UBERN UBERN UNIVIE UNIVIE FFCUL FFCUL Requested EU ContribuPon Partners' consumppon - 30/06/2015 RIHMI RIHMI MERCO MERCO METFR METFR DWD DWD CERFAC CERFAC CMCC CMCC FMI FMI UREAD UREAD INRIA UVSQ INRIA CNRS (TP) UVSQ Maximum allowable EU contribupon CEA (TP) CNRS (TP) CEA (TP) 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Requested EU ContribuPon Budget ConsumpPon % ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 8

9 Looking ahead in reanalysis produchon: is there a scope for ERA-CLIM3? ECMWF ERA-INTERIM & ERA-Interim/Land ERA-CLIM ERA-20C ERA-CLIM2 CERA-20C ERA-CLIM2 ~5y CERA-SAT COP C3S ERA5 ERA-CLIM3? CERA? COP C3S ERA6 (or CERA6?) ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 9

10 ERA-CLIM3 (Earth System Reanalysis): possible R&D scope ERA-CLIM3 will spll be an R&D project involving: 1. More data rescue: e.g. sea-level data from Pde gauges; Atmospheric MoPon Vectors from Nimbus satellite instrument THIR going back to early 70s, or addressing radiance records from older microwave instruments (NEMS and SCAMS) also covering early 1970s, The addipon of more exispng data (e.g. for the ocean/sea-ice CRYOSAT, SMOS, AlPmer,..) 3. The assimilapon of new data (e.g. from SENTINELS, deep ARGO,..) 4. The development and tespng of new/bever ways of assimilapng sea-surface data: a) AssimilaPon of high-frequency satellite data b) AssimilaPon of historical and sparse data (sea level and sea-surface temperature) ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 10

11 ERA-CLIM3 (Earth System Reanalysis): possible R&D scope 5. The tespng of exispng assimilapon methods and of new ones: a) Assessment/development of more fully coupled DA methods b) R&D of hybrid methods (flow dependent background error stats) in the ocean (e.g. from the EDA) c) R&D of 4D-Var methods in the ocean (including sea-ice) d) R&D of weak-constraint, mulp-temporal-scales methods e) Development of more scalable/flexible methods (e.g. OOPS) f) BeVer handling/simulapon of observapon errors 6. BeVer integrapon of carbon, bio-chemistry and aerosols: a) observaponal constraints on fluxes in these subsystems b) spll above average improvement can be expected in remote sensing of these consptuents/ subsystems 7. Higher-quality, higher-frequency output data (if asked for) R&D in these areas should deliver improvements to be included in COP-C3S first coupled reanalysis (CERA6?) and will advance our knowledge for the future (higher-quality) systems. ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 11

12 Next meehngs ERA-CLIM2 WSs and GAs: User WS on observapons for reanalysis (2016 D5.5, M30) - Key organizer? Shall we co-organize it with Copernicus C3S?? When? Where? ERA-CLIM2 3 rd General Assembly ( M36) Nov 2016? Where (Bern, Wien, Lisbon,..)? WS on Coupled Data-AssimilaPon ( M48) Q2-2017? At ECMWF? ERA-CLIM2 4 th General Assembly (2017 M48) Q (close to the WCRP/WWRP 5 th InternaPonal Reanalysis Conference)? At ECMWF? Other meehngs where we could present ERA-CLIM2 work: Jan AMS 96 th Annual MeePng (New Orleans, Jan 2016) Mar Global Climate ObservaPons: the road to the future (2-4 March 2016, Amsterdam; CFA 15/12/15) Apr EGU General Assembly 2016 (Wien, Apr 2016; CFA 13/1/16) May ESA Living Planet Symposium (Prague, 9-13 May 2016) Sep ECMWF Annual Seminar on Earth-System modelling (5-9 Sep 2016) Sep EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference (6-30 Sep 2016, CFA 31/01/16) Sep CLIVAR Open Science Conference (19-23 Sep 2016) Quingdao (China, TBC) WCRP/WWRP 5 th InternaPonal Re-analysis Conference (Q4-2017? ECMWF?) AMS 97 th Annual MeePng ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 12

13 Common spaces: WGs, plenary, advisers, discussion 1) WG breakout sessions (Thursday ): A space for the WP to review progress, discuss challenges and plan work Two groups (WP1+WP2, WP3+WP4) WG chairs please deliver a short summary (2-4 slides) to be presented to the plenary 2) Plenary (Friday ): Each WG Chair to present short summary of the WG discussion (15m each) to the plenary, to be followed by a general discussion 3) Advisers (Friday ): Advisers to give feedbacks and comments on progress 4) EU Commission (Friday ) 5) RecommendaHons, achons and plan for 2016 (Friday ) ERA-CLIM2 2 nd GA (EUMETSAT, 9-11 Dec 2015) - Roberto Buizza: Welcome and Introduc6on 13