Strategic and Operational Risk Management for Wintertime Maritime Transportation System
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1 Strategic and Operational Risk Management for Wintertime Maritime Transportation System PA SAFE Flagship Seminar Vantaa, Finland 25 November 2016 Floris Goerlandt Aalto University Research Group on Maritime Risk and Safety
2 Context
3 HELCOM Ilmatieteen Laitos Wintertime maritime transportation context Maritime traffic Sea ice
4 TraFi H. Heikura, HS Wintertime maritime transportation risks Wintertime operations Oil spill in ice
5 STORMWINDS Strategic and Operational Risk Management
6 STRATEGIC RISK MANAGEMENT OIL SPILL RISK MANAGEMENT AND RESPONSE SAFETY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (SMS) OF VESSEL TRAFFIC SERVICES Vessel Traffic Services IMO 2010 Oil spill risk managament model Safety engineering based SMS
7 OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT E-NAVIGATION TOOLS FOR IMPROVED ROUTE PLANNING TOOLS FOR OPERATIONAL OIL SPILL RESPONSE AIS data Ice charts Performance analysis Accidental damage Oil spill evaluation Performance modeling Route planning Operations Web-based tool Oil spill propagation
8 Strategic oil spill risk management
9 Strategic risk management: oil spills What are the oil winter spill risks in the Northern Baltic Sea? Required response preparedness level? Response fleet location & equipment? Scientific research Accident analysis Traffic system analysis Consequence models Stakeholder participation Risk management model and answers Policy and industry recommendations
10 Overview: elements of strategic risk management model ACCIDENT ANALYSIS TRAFFIC SYSTEM ANALYSIS COLLISION & GROUNDING DAMAGE MODELS OIL OUTFLOW MODEL CLIMATE SCENARIO ANALYSIS TRAFFIC DEVELOP- MENT ANALYSIS SPILL EQUIPMENT EFFICIENCY FLEET & STORAGE ANALYSIS
11 Accident analysis ACCIDENT ANALYSIS BASIC DATA FILTERING VISUALISING AIS INTEGRATED DATABASE Goerlandt F, Goite H, Valdez Banda OA, Höglund A, Ahonen-Rainio P, Lensu M An analysis of wintertime navigational accidents in the Northern Baltic Sea. Safety Science 92:66-84
12 Accident analysis ACCIDENT ANALYSIS Goerlandt F, Goite H, Valdez Banda OA, Höglund A, Ahonen-Rainio P, Lensu M An analysis of wintertime navigational accidents in the Northern Baltic Sea. Safety Science 92:66-84
13 Climate scenario analysis CLIMATE SCENARIO ANALYSIS A. Höglund, P. Pemberton, R. Hordoir and S. Schimanke Ice conditions for maritime traffic in the Baltic Sea in future climate. Boreal Environment Research, submitted.
14 Climate scenario analysis CLIMATE SCENARIO ANALYSIS A. Höglund, P. Pemberton, R. Hordoir and S. Schimanke Ice conditions for maritime traffic in the Baltic Sea in future climate. Boreal Environment Research, submitted.
15 Operational oil spill risk management
16 Operational risk management: oil spills Existing tools SmartResponse Web SeaTrack Web Scientific research Oil propagation in ice + Sea ice dynamics = models and tests Oil ouflow models Tools for improved situational awareness and decision support during oil spill operations in ice conditions
17 Overview: elements of operational risk management model COLLISION & GROUNDING DAMAGE MODELS OIL OUTFLOW MODEL OIL PROPAGATION (SeaTrackWeb) WEB-BASED SHIP SPILL APPLICATION (ADSAM) GIS LAYER TOOLS SmartResponse Web
18 Collision and grounding damage models COLLISION & GROUNDING DAMAGE MODELS l dam Results from each simulation: critical energy critical penetration volume of deformed material opening size M. Heinvee The rapid prediction of grounding behavior of double bottom tankers. PhD thesis, Tallinn University of Technology
19 Oil outflow model OIL OUTFLOW MODEL M. Sergejeva, J. Laanearu, K. Tabri Hydraulic modelling of submerged oil spill including tanker hydrostatic overpressure. Analysis and Design of Marine Structures
20 Web-based ship spill application (ADSAM) WEB-BASED SHIP SPILL APPLICATION (ADSAM)
21 SmartResponse Web SmartResponse Web ADSAM spill amount Seatrack Web spill trajectory SmartResponse Web Environmental Sensitivity Index shore impact
22 STORMWINDS Consortium
23 Thank you! Questions? Floris Goerlandt, D.Sc. (Tech)
24 Strategic and Operational Risk Management for Wintertime Maritime Transportation System PA SAFE Flagship Seminar Vantaa, Finland 25 November 2016 Floris Goerlandt Aalto University Research Group on Maritime Risk and Safety
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